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Gallup Daily: Obama Holds 5-Point Lead
Gallup ^ | 9/27/08 | Gallup

Posted on 09/27/2008 10:04:30 AM PDT by tatown

PRINCETON, NJ -- Barack Obama leads John McCain, 49% to 44%, when registered voters are asked who they would vote for if the election were held today, according to the latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking update.

(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; electionpresident; gallup; mccain; mccainpalin; obama; poll
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Obama up 2 from yesterday, up 5 from Thursday.
1 posted on 09/27/2008 10:04:31 AM PDT by tatown
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To: tatown

What about “likely voters?”


2 posted on 09/27/2008 10:05:52 AM PDT by ConservativeMind (What's "Price Gouging"? Should government force us to sell to the 15th highest bidder on eBay?)
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To: tatown

monday will be the day to track to see how the debates went.....starting hitting obama on the economy and how its the DEMOCRATS FAULT!!!


3 posted on 09/27/2008 10:05:58 AM PDT by Blue Turtle (I)
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To: tatown

Registered. Still tight IMHO.


4 posted on 09/27/2008 10:06:30 AM PDT by fhayek
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To: tatown

These results do not reflect the debate in any way.

They do reflect that McCain’s suspend the campaign gambit did not work. It may have backfired.

What’s more, McCain pulled all of his advertising for the past several days. Obama immediately bought up those spots! That may have hurt in more ways than can be quantified. Campaigns would not pay for TV advertising if it did not work!

There is still plenty of time ahead to right this ship.


5 posted on 09/27/2008 10:07:27 AM PDT by Chet 99
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To: tatown

McCain and the GOP has work to do. There are still lots of undecideds in this race. I figure a lot of Obama’s movement is people moving back to the undecided column.


6 posted on 09/27/2008 10:07:37 AM PDT by Maelstorm (This country was not founded with the battle cry "Give me liberty or give me a government check!")
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To: tatown

the polls are irrelevant at this time

this one is “pre-bracelet”


7 posted on 09/27/2008 10:08:24 AM PDT by housedeep
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To: Blue Turtle

The average guy I talk to blames the financial meltdown on: Deregulation, excessive CEO compensation and greed on Wall Street. The MSM’s indoctrination has been largely successful.


8 posted on 09/27/2008 10:08:41 AM PDT by fhayek
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To: fhayek

Not time to panic yet but the trend since McCain suspended his campaign is definitely in Obama’s direction whereas prior to that I was getting the sense that McCain was making inroads.


9 posted on 09/27/2008 10:08:52 AM PDT by wiseprince
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To: Chet 99

After hitting the road and talking to people I think that the debate probably benefited McCain slightly. It is all about what it comes down to in the end.


10 posted on 09/27/2008 10:09:19 AM PDT by Maelstorm (This country was not founded with the battle cry "Give me liberty or give me a government check!")
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To: tatown

This is not good news. Not at all.

Have Americans lost their minds?


11 posted on 09/27/2008 10:09:25 AM PDT by Recovering_Democrat (Just say NObama!)
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To: Maelstorm

Yeah. If McCain pulls within the margin of error after all 3 debates, he will win the election.


12 posted on 09/27/2008 10:09:39 AM PDT by se_ohio_young_conservative (McCain/Palin 08...Dont stop believin...)
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To: wiseprince

I’m not paniced but McCain and the GOP needs to block the Democrat bill on the Bailout. They need to stand up for fiscal responsibility more now than at any other time.


13 posted on 09/27/2008 10:10:42 AM PDT by Maelstorm (This country was not founded with the battle cry "Give me liberty or give me a government check!")
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To: se_ohio_young_conservative

McCain wins.....we win....that is the game plan....


14 posted on 09/27/2008 10:11:42 AM PDT by cherry
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To: wiseprince

The suspended campaign moved backfired. It gave odumbo free time to attack. That being said the polls will start drifting back to Mccain after the bracelet gaffe, missile defense flip flop and just regular normal campaigning


15 posted on 09/27/2008 10:11:50 AM PDT by italianquaker (McCain country first, Odumbo campaign first)
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To: fhayek

correct...but we know that fannie mae and freddie mac, oversight by Chris Dodd, Barnie Frank, Obama AND the black caucus pursuaded “White Guilt” Banks to give “Affirmative Action” loans to those who could not afford it or take care of it.


16 posted on 09/27/2008 10:12:09 AM PDT by Blue Turtle (I)
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To: Maelstorm

It is interesting getting out there and talking with the general public.

I remember after the GOP Convention, McCain gave what many labeled a “flat” speech, but it ended up resonating well with the independent voters. I think he was (rather successfully) trying to repeat that tone for the debate.


17 posted on 09/27/2008 10:12:47 AM PDT by Chet 99
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To: Recovering_Democrat

I want to change up the perspective here.

McCain is facing a huge task. This is the most toxic atmosphere since 1932, 1952 and 1968.

Thanks to a great summer and Sarah Palin. we are within striking distance.


18 posted on 09/27/2008 10:13:07 AM PDT by se_ohio_young_conservative (McCain/Palin 08...Dont stop believin...)
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To: Chet 99

“They do reflect that McCain’s suspend the campaign gambit did not work. It may have backfired”.

...I agree that stopping the ads will hurt but going to Washington to do what he was originally voted in as a senator to do was the right thing. If he didn’t his “Country First” slogan would’ve been destroyed by the MSM.


19 posted on 09/27/2008 10:13:18 AM PDT by albie
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To: Recovering_Democrat

Relax...the polls have ALWAYS favored Democrats....Obama needs at least 55% going into the election. Check the state by state as well....if I was McCain I would be on Virginia, Florida, Ohio, and PA.


20 posted on 09/27/2008 10:13:34 AM PDT by Blue Turtle (I)
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To: tatown
Republicans are much to kind to Hussein because he is black.

He should be hit on his radical beliefs and friends.

His sympathies with terrorists, domestic and foreign.

His sympathies for global approval.

His UnAmerican Democrat Party, and their betrayals of our missions, troops and CIC, their leaking of intel to the enemy in Iraq.

His Black Liberation theology.

His Anti-American education, by communists.

He is a fraud and a confidence man, his goals and beliefs need to be exposed.

21 posted on 09/27/2008 10:13:52 AM PDT by roses of sharon (The MSM vampires must die!)
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To: tatown

He needs to lead by at least 6 points to take into effect the Bradley effect. I say at least 7 because of his Islamic name. The debates also rattled some nerves as they see Obama not quite ready to lead. Don’t worry guys. Remember in 2002, the Democrats were suppose to kill Republicans and take back the house and senate and the Republicans won? It wasn’t until Bush started being a liberal in his second term that we started losing elections. Harriet Myers, immigration, borrow and spend policies etc.


22 posted on 09/27/2008 10:14:06 AM PDT by nckerr (www.myspace.com/ArmyKerrFamily)
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To: tatown

Nationally but huge leads in big lib states like Cal. do not translate to electoral college victory. That is why we have the Elector college.


23 posted on 09/27/2008 10:14:28 AM PDT by screaminsunshine
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To: italianquaker

Don’t count on the media to call Obama on his changing positions. He has the ability to hold every position at once without the media ever questioning his real beliefs and/or motives.

As for the bracelet thing, I haven’t heard that mentioned anywhere in the MSM so unless there is an add about it (which I doubt since he was referencing a dead soldier) I wouldn’t expect that to have any impact

— Voices in the Wilderness


24 posted on 09/27/2008 10:15:22 AM PDT by wiseprince
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To: Chet 99

I didn’t agree with McCain’s decision to suspend his campaign and throw himself in the middle of the DC bailout debate, because he never clearly stated he was against it, and wanted to work on a more conservative solution. If you’re going to do something like that, don’t come out with a statement like, “working for a bipartisan solution”, crap. Come out AGAINST it plain and clearly to the American people.
I even had to ask people here what McCain’s stance was on this issue, because he wasn’t making it obvious at first.

It really looked like he ran back to DC just to vote on something people HATE! And President Bush was on TV Wednesday night trying to sell this bailout to the people and he failed to do it... and BINGO... Thursday night was a big night for Obama in the polls.


25 posted on 09/27/2008 10:15:34 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: tatown

I feel the momentum shifting and for the first time I believe 0bama has a real chance of winning (based primarily on the market meltdown and how voters will punish the incumbent party).

McCain needs to come out with a “bold” economic plan, and frame 0bama’s plan as “more of the same.”


26 posted on 09/27/2008 10:16:15 AM PDT by Boiling Pots (Hey B. Hussein, are you going to prosecute me now?)
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To: tatown

A quick thought...After McCains speech I remember thinking how dry and unspectacular it was. It seemed like a let down compared to Palin and I was nervous about the poll results. The poll results were excellent and the indies seemed to like what they saw. The same will happen here. He showed whos the most qualified.


27 posted on 09/27/2008 10:16:31 AM PDT by albie
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To: ConservativeMind

Look. If McCain wants to run an I am above politics campaign like Bush one he will lose just like Bush one. If he wants to define Obama properly as a person who associates with American hating people like Reverend Wright, wants to slash our defenses and won’t put his hand over his heart for the pledge of allegiance then he can win..He needs to be tricky in next debate such as asking a question such as ok if someone is making 45,000 what will be their tax rate under your proposal and what is it today..?? His team is weak.


28 posted on 09/27/2008 10:16:54 AM PDT by GoMonster (GO)
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To: tatown
Party ID: The Case for Weights and Historical Margins (Current polls all oversampling Dems)
29 posted on 09/27/2008 10:17:19 AM PDT by TonyInOhio (This is no time to go wobbly.)
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To: tatown
As i have said all week, the mainstream electorate has been very confused about the bailout:
Who is at fault? Who has the best plan? Suddenly, to them, Bush seems to care, etc. All the while the MSM keeps hammering it as Bush fault Bush fault Bush fault.

It is very easy to see why there has been a slight drift to Bambi. He was simply awful during the first debate last nite, and we will see these polls drift back into the margin of error next week.

30 posted on 09/27/2008 10:17:26 AM PDT by housedeep
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To: wiseprince
Not time to panic yet but the trend since McCain suspended his campaign is definitely in Obama’s direction whereas prior to that I was getting the sense that McCain was making inroads
You are correct, before he suspended his campaign the race tightened back up, because McCain started hitting Obama on Fannie and Freddie, and his connections.
31 posted on 09/27/2008 10:17:49 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: tatown

yeah, and unless I see the weighting I’m not getting myself very excited.

why would anybody be aroused by ‘registered voters’ at this point? If you haven’t decided to vote yet, you are are idiot OR you aren’t affected by the contagion to ‘change’ everything. Either way, bad news for the guy with the sketchy background.


32 posted on 09/27/2008 10:18:31 AM PDT by bpjam (If an enemy chooses you as his executioner, don't be rude by refusing.)
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To: snarkytart

Well, if McCain is seen as blocking the Paulson bailout, and no alternative bailout passes, the market will go in meltdown mode and McCain will be blamed. That wouldn’t be good.


33 posted on 09/27/2008 10:18:46 AM PDT by Chet 99
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To: tatown

The middle day of the 3 day rolling average is a complete outlier. I have it:

M-—O
46-44
39-56 (17 point spread?)
47-47


34 posted on 09/27/2008 10:21:08 AM PDT by TapsBrowning
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To: Maelstorm
I’m not panicked but McCain and the GOP needs to block the Democrat bill on the Bailout. They need to stand up for fiscal responsibility more now than at any other time.

I think that may be very risky. If they block the bailout bill and ANY other bad news comes out, say Wachovia fails, it will be easy to the Dems to point and say "See, if we had passed a plan this wouldn't have happened."
No matter that the logic is failed, it will play in Peoria.
35 posted on 09/27/2008 10:22:26 AM PDT by itsPatAmerican
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To: Recovering_Democrat

Does not reflect likely voters, does no reflect the debate, does not reflect JM trip to DC to solve the crisis, does not reflect the Bradley effect.....
And yes Americans have lost their minds.


36 posted on 09/27/2008 10:22:37 AM PDT by svcw (Great selection of gift baskets: http://baskettastic.com/)
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To: snarkytart

Hitting Obama on his connections will work in the right places. I’m still troubled that he has put away NC and IN (I think Obama connections will help sure those places up). McCain can solidify independents by letting Sarah be Sarah. That means not trying to make people think she is a foreign policy expert but rather show the world the type of person she is and let her focus on the things she is passionate about.


37 posted on 09/27/2008 10:23:21 AM PDT by wiseprince
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To: wiseprince

I never include the media(same way i dont buy there biased polls), the McCain campaign and ads will do it. The bracelet thing is all over you tube


38 posted on 09/27/2008 10:24:07 AM PDT by italianquaker (McCain country first, Odumbo campaign first)
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To: Chet 99

Don’t get me wrong. I think McCain missed several opportunities. He needs to do a lot better on his economic message but I think he did ok and I think especially the second half Obama didn’t fair so well.


39 posted on 09/27/2008 10:24:08 AM PDT by Maelstorm (This country was not founded with the battle cry "Give me liberty or give me a government check!")
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To: tatown

John McCain is still trying to play nice! Nice guys finish last.
He should never have suspended his campaign. I thought he should have gone back to DC but he didn’t have to suspend the campaign to do that. Once again, the Republicans are showing why they are known as the stupid party.


40 posted on 09/27/2008 10:24:38 AM PDT by Cricket24 (Just one of those Conservative women!)
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To: TapsBrowning

Then you would have had a McCain +6 day that just dropped off? I don’t know about that...but you could be right. How do you arrive at these numbers?


41 posted on 09/27/2008 10:25:15 AM PDT by tatown (How to piss off a liberal: Work hard and be happy!)
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To: TapsBrowning

How did you get the breakdown of the days. Do you have it Rasmussen aswell?


42 posted on 09/27/2008 10:25:16 AM PDT by wiseprince
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To: All

This is REGISTERED voters!!!

Get a grip - IT’S MEANINGLESS!!!!!

In fact, it’s designed to elicit the exact reaction I’m seeing here!


43 posted on 09/27/2008 10:25:25 AM PDT by Cedric
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To: Chet 99
They do reflect that McCain’s suspend the campaign gambit did not work. It may have backfired.

I was telling everybody this, but FR was going on and on about it being a "masterstroke."

Kinda reminds me of when Newt shut down the government and how Clinton was able gain from that. Simply said, the center of the electorate reacts badly to this type of thing.

44 posted on 09/27/2008 10:26:01 AM PDT by ARCADIA (Abuse of power comes as no surprise)
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To: Chet 99

I think a little patience is in order. We don’t know the full fallout from the bailout yet. These current polls mostly oversample Dems anyway. There’s no way McCain is ahead among indies by double digits but still behind overall, which both the Washington Post and LA Times polls reported a couple of days ago. If the bailout goes through with some conservative House input, as now appears likely, McCain may come out of this the hero whether the networks report it or not. It’s not time to panic, but to get to work.


45 posted on 09/27/2008 10:26:02 AM PDT by nailspitter
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To: tatown

Well according to the same lamestream then he still loses because racial prejudice from those Democrats he loses 6-10 percent.... can’t win if they tell the pollster one thing and vote the opposite..... Thats the Rats for ya... Then they will cling to the polls and claim vote fraud.... Pathetic.


46 posted on 09/27/2008 10:26:07 AM PDT by tomnbeverly (America is dying your choice is to stand and fight or cut and run.)
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To: snarkytart

Following up on #33 - McCain’s numbers also took a hit after he was blamed for blocking the bailout.

The issue is confusing because polls are all over the place. The results change on how you word it. Ask “Do you favor a bailout for Wall Street fat cats?” and get one result. As “Do you favor a financial recovery assistance plan to prevent another Great Depression”, and you get another result. This is how people play games with polls - the wording of questions. Notice that the media rarely reports the wording of the actual poll question.


47 posted on 09/27/2008 10:26:17 AM PDT by Chet 99
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To: TapsBrowning

I don’t think this could be right. If so, McCain would have had a pretty good lead before the +17 day for Obama. Just my thoughts.


48 posted on 09/27/2008 10:27:26 AM PDT by tatown (How to piss off a liberal: Work hard and be happy!)
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To: tatown
This Obambi lead won't change until Tuesday or so. McCain needs to hit Obama hard on his ties to Raines, Johnson, Dodd, Frank, and others. He also needs to side with the American people on this bailout, which means opposing the Bush-Pelosi-Reid scam. My guess is that clueless coward Obama will skip the vote on the bill in the Senate, so McCain needs to be on the right side.

Why, oh why, does McCain never understand that the ‘Rats he bends over backwards to work with will stab him in the back at a moments notice for political gain? He wasted the first two days after the meltdown trying to be “nonpartisan” and blaming “Wall Street greed” for the crisis, while the ‘Rats and the media were blaming the GOP 24/7. Then, at last night's debate, Obama blamed the meltdown on eight years of GOP policies and McCain did nothing to repudiate that charge. He went on to win the debate once foreign policy issues were discussed, but why did he miss that opportunity in front of millions to mention that Obama’s cronies were the biggest culprits in the debacle?

McCain can win this, but only by being partisan as hell, not by being bipartisan in his dealings with an opposition party led by ideologically-driven leftist fruitcakes.

49 posted on 09/27/2008 10:28:37 AM PDT by puroresu (Enjoy ASIAN CINEMA? See my Freeper page for recommendations (updated!).)
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To: ARCADIA

It was a masterstroke.

In the future they’ll write books about it.

It’s only begun to unfold.

Relax.


50 posted on 09/27/2008 10:28:42 AM PDT by Cedric
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