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Bailout failure 'will cause US crash'
Telegraph ^ | Sep. 27, 2008 | Tim Shipman and Edmund Conway

Posted on 09/27/2008 7:31:39 PM PDT by kc8ukw

The US stock market could suffer a devastating crash with shares losing a third of their value this week if Hank Paulson’s financial bailout plan fails, US Treasury officials have warned.

----

The financial system could face a meltdown of 1929 proportions unless US politicians succeed in their efforts for a $700bn rescue scheme, experts added.

The warning came as Republicans and Democrats met in Washington for a rare weekend debating session to attempt to seal agreement on the contentious plan, aimed at preventing a long-lasting recession in the US.

(Excerpt) Read more at telegraph.co.uk ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Front Page News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 110th; 2008; bailout; crash; failure; headforthehills; theskyisfalling; us; wallstreet; wereallgonnadie
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Glenn Beck has been saying the Dow will fall to 8000.
1 posted on 09/27/2008 7:31:39 PM PDT by kc8ukw
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To: kc8ukw

I’d say close the markets for 72 hours. Let it all rest and everyone take a breath. After 9-11 nothing flew for a week.


2 posted on 09/27/2008 7:33:28 PM PDT by edcoil
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To: kc8ukw

This is Pelosi’s big chance to “save the planet.” She don’t need no steenkin’ Republicans. Come on Nancy! You’ve got the votes. Do it! LOL!


3 posted on 09/27/2008 7:33:33 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (When Republicans do it, it's "corruption." When DemocRATS do it, it's a financial crisis.)
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To: kc8ukw

Good and I will buy in and make $$$ as it recovers.


4 posted on 09/27/2008 7:36:04 PM PDT by misterrob (Obama-Keep the Change!)
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To: kc8ukw
Glenn Beck has been saying the Dow will fall to 8000.

No problem, let the gamblers jump.

5 posted on 09/27/2008 7:36:10 PM PDT by org.whodat (Republicans should support the SAM Walton business model, and then drill???)
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To: kc8ukw

What a bunch of garbage.


6 posted on 09/27/2008 7:36:24 PM PDT by JPJones
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To: kc8ukw

Why do I get the feeling that Goldman Sachs execs are holding our Treasury hostage with a gun to our heads?


7 posted on 09/27/2008 7:36:59 PM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: JPJones
What a bunch of garbage.

I suppose I could say, I hope so.
8 posted on 09/27/2008 7:38:04 PM PDT by kc8ukw
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To: kc8ukw

So does Jim Cramer, of MAD MONEY on CNBC. Cramer said that this week while congress had been haggling over this plan, that thousands of wealthy americans have been taking their money out of savings, annuities, money markets, etc and buying TBills. It’s a run on banks that is quiet and with election, debates it has been lost. He wanted people to call and get Bernanke to up the coverage on Money Markets, and other savings vehicles to stop the bleeding. That’s more capital out of banks, less credit lending.

Wachovia won’t last more than a few days without a merge with another bank or institution.


9 posted on 09/27/2008 7:38:16 PM PDT by Kackikat ( Without National Security all other issues are mute points; chaos ensues.))
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To: FlingWingFlyer

If this bail out goes thru or Obama wins, I’m pulling out of the market and going to gold and metals.


10 posted on 09/27/2008 7:38:20 PM PDT by Rodm (Seest thou a man diligent in his business? He shall stand before kings)
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To: kc8ukw
It might. Or it might not. Or they could ram through the "bailout" and it could drop to 8000 anyway. Obviously some response needs to happen, but it doesn't need to take 700 billion taxpayer dollars.
11 posted on 09/27/2008 7:38:37 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: 9YearLurker

Why do I get the feeling that the public is being played big time. I mean, my goodness could they be hyping this thing any greater????


12 posted on 09/27/2008 7:38:44 PM PDT by tatown (How to piss off a liberal: Work hard and be happy!)
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To: kc8ukw

Glenn’s a financial wizard?


13 posted on 09/27/2008 7:40:58 PM PDT by gotribe (The right pick!)
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To: tatown

Maybe because nobody’s had the audacity to carry out a $700 billion heist before?


14 posted on 09/27/2008 7:41:17 PM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: Kackikat
Wachovia won’t last more than a few days without a merge with another bank or institution.

They should have thought of that before making all those garbage loans.

CRY me a river

NEW YORK, March 9 (Reuters) - Wachovia Corp. (WB.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) said chief executive Ken Thompson was awarded $23.85 million of compensation for 2006, about 41 percent more than a year earlier, after the fourth-largest U.S. bank's profit rose 17 percent to a record.

Thompson received a $1.09 million salary, $17,208,830 of stock and option awards, $5.15 million of performance-based cash incentives and $397,552 of other compensation, according to the bank's proxy filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

15 posted on 09/27/2008 7:41:52 PM PDT by org.whodat (Republicans should support the SAM Walton business model, and then drill???)
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To: FlingWingFlyer

This is Pelosi’s big chance to “save the planet.” She don’t need no steenkin’ Republicans. Come on Nancy! You’ve got the votes. Do it! LOL!

Queen Pelosi, as Henry Paulson treated her when he bent down on one knee (which is digusting in itself) is waiting to see which 100 sap GOPer’s will sign on to this charade.


16 posted on 09/27/2008 7:42:09 PM PDT by tennmountainman
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To: kc8ukw

Hank Paulson’s™ Financial Bailout Plan


17 posted on 09/27/2008 7:42:15 PM PDT by counterpunch (Jim Jones was a Community Organizer)
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To: gotribe
Glenn’s a financial wizard?

He claims to have many high-up sources who are.
18 posted on 09/27/2008 7:42:24 PM PDT by kc8ukw
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To: edcoil
I’d say close the markets for 72 hours. Let it all rest and everyone take a breath. After 9-11 nothing flew for a week.

Franklin Roosevelt did something similar with banks in 1933 right after his inauguration. Supposedly only the good banks which had been examined and passed by a federal regulator were allowed to re-open.

Now, how many banks were actually examined and passed in 1-3 days? Very few, but the point was people's confidence in those banks was high and that stopped the panic about banks collapsing.

19 posted on 09/27/2008 7:42:39 PM PDT by Bernard (If you always tell the truth, you never have to remember exactly what you said.)
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To: org.whodat

http://www.reuters.com/article/companyNewsAndPR/idUSN0926044420070309


20 posted on 09/27/2008 7:44:45 PM PDT by org.whodat (Republicans should support the SAM Walton business model, and then drill???)
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To: 9YearLurker
Why do I get the feeling that Goldman Sachs execs are holding our Treasury hostage with a gun to our heads?

Have you been reading a bunch of conspiratorial crap?

21 posted on 09/27/2008 7:45:21 PM PDT by Moonman62 (The issue of whether cheap labor makes America great should have been settled by the Civil War.)
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To: ex-Texan; TigerLikesRooster
“Several brokerage houses tumbled; blue-sky investment companies formed during the happy bull market days went to smash, disclosing miserable tales of rascality; over a thousand banks caved in during 1930, as a result of marking down both of real estate and of securities; and in December occurred the largest bank failure in American financial history, the fall of the ill-named Bank of the United States in New York.”

~~"Only Yesterday: An Informal History of the 1920’s" by Fredrick Lewis Allen

"There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion. The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as a result of a voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion, or later as a final and total catastrophe of the currency system involved."

---Ludwig Von Mises

The Wisdom of Ludwig Von Mises (a few more pithy on-target quotes.)

22 posted on 09/27/2008 7:45:24 PM PDT by Travis McGee (--- www.EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com ---)
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To: Bernard

Roosevelt made the Depression worse. He’s the reason it lasted so long. Hoover shares blame too.


23 posted on 09/27/2008 7:45:32 PM PDT by djsherin
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To: tatown

I’ve read a couple articles, one from Kristol, and the journalists had been contacted by economists laying out the severity of the situation. I, personally, don’t believe it’s hype. That doesn’t mean I’m for Paulson’s bailout in it’s present form, but something better happen and happen quickly, IMHO, or we could see catastrophic results. And no one should believe they will be immuned from problems if the economy crashes...it won’t only affect Wall Street, it will affect us all. Whistling past the graveyard is not going to work for this situation.


24 posted on 09/27/2008 7:46:47 PM PDT by Dawn531
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To: Moonman62

Yeah, Paulson and Thain were never top GS execs. That’s all just conspiratorial crap.


25 posted on 09/27/2008 7:46:51 PM PDT by Travis McGee (--- www.EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com ---)
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To: Travis McGee

Austrian economics. Finally some sanity.


26 posted on 09/27/2008 7:47:03 PM PDT by djsherin
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To: kc8ukw

Scare tactics.

If hard times are coming, so be it. American people are willing to sacrifice if need be, but not for bandits and common thugs.

NO BAILOUT!


27 posted on 09/27/2008 7:47:18 PM PDT by Lorianne
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To: kc8ukw

Guess what. If a crash is coming, a bailout isn’t going to prevent it. Its just going to delay it.


28 posted on 09/27/2008 7:48:17 PM PDT by wolf24 ("It's always easy to rally the stupid.")
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To: Moonman62

Oh, don’t get me wrong, our entire financial system is in trouble, too.


29 posted on 09/27/2008 7:48:31 PM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: Lorianne

The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.
H. L. Mencken


30 posted on 09/27/2008 7:49:13 PM PDT by Travis McGee (--- www.EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com ---)
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To: gotribe

Glenn’s been predicting this for the last year and a half. He is the first to say he’s not a financial wizard but he has earned credibility on this.


31 posted on 09/27/2008 7:49:44 PM PDT by wolf24 ("It's always easy to rally the stupid.")
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To: djsherin
Yes, I agree that Roosevelt made the depression last longer. But, the history books I've seen at least give him credit for stopping the bank runs.

Three years later.

After most, if not all of, the shaky banks were already closed.

But, the point is, he gets credit for stopping the bank runs.

32 posted on 09/27/2008 7:50:05 PM PDT by Bernard (If you always tell the truth, you never have to remember exactly what you said.)
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To: kc8ukw

How is it going to do that with over 800 stocks on the no-short list?

Including such DJIA components as GE, GM, C, AXP, BAC, IBM...

Fall after the SEC order expires? Yes, that I can see, but until then... I have trouble seeing how enough sell-side volume could be generated to get the DJIA down to 8000. Sell off a few hundred points? Yes. 2000+ — now I’m straining to see how we get there by shorting the likes of Boeing, Cat, Dupont, Pfizer, etc...


33 posted on 09/27/2008 7:50:32 PM PDT by NVDave
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To: wolf24

True, but if a crash comes now, Obama is lock to be elected. Does anybody want that?


34 posted on 09/27/2008 7:52:43 PM PDT by Arec Barrwin
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To: 9YearLurker
Why do I get the feeling that Goldman Sachs execs are holding our Treasury hostage with a gun to our heads?

EXACTLY!!!

Well, ya see, we made a bunch of real bad investments... now, you guys either cough up a trillion dollars, or we'll crash the market....
35 posted on 09/27/2008 7:53:31 PM PDT by djf (Sound of gunfire, off in the distance, I'm getting used to that now...)
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To: Bernard

Fair enough. But bank runs wouldn’t exist with 100% reserve banking.


36 posted on 09/27/2008 7:54:24 PM PDT by djsherin
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To: Bernard

If the Fed then had injected Liquidity into the market there would have been no massive crash or Depression.
The banks would have been fine, Canada had not one bank failure during the Depression becuase it did the opposite of the US.


37 posted on 09/27/2008 7:54:29 PM PDT by Captain Peter Blood
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To: Arec Barrwin

And when he tries to raise taxes and increase spending during a recession/depression, one can only hope he will be driven from office... and if not we’re already screwed.


38 posted on 09/27/2008 7:55:54 PM PDT by djsherin
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To: kc8ukw

The Economy of the United States is so huge that it’s really beyond my limited capacity to visualise it. Am I to understand that a failure of maybe 5-10% of one part of one part of one part of it will cause the whole thing to collapse? If we buy that 5-10% and give it to the government, with some extras, which congress will specify, that will make it better? Will Obama then provide prosperity to all who deserve it? What planet am I on?

It looks like Occam had his razor taken away at the airport or something.


39 posted on 09/27/2008 7:57:26 PM PDT by Skid Marx
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To: kc8ukw
These threats have been going on for almost two weeks now.


40 posted on 09/27/2008 7:58:42 PM PDT by Tempest (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gNlXgzzdJQA)
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To: Captain Peter Blood

Increasing the money supply only further inflates bubbles. Deflation was necessary. The reason the Depression was so long was because of big government trying to “solve” the issue.


41 posted on 09/27/2008 7:58:56 PM PDT by djsherin
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To: Travis McGee

Thank You.


42 posted on 09/27/2008 8:02:55 PM PDT by Skid Marx
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To: kc8ukw

“...Rebel Republicans - who see Paulson’s proposals as socialism by the back door - were warned they will be responsible for causing an “amazing catastrophe” if they continue to oppose the plans, ...”

I fail to see how this would be the case if the Dems control congress. Now the Telegraph is in on the blame game of Repubs even though the Repubs have no power ... interesting.


43 posted on 09/27/2008 8:04:55 PM PDT by CapnJack
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To: djsherin

Neither would the internet, the personal computer, the cell phone, and so forth.

You want to see how your preferred money system works? Imagine Saudi Arabia without oil.


44 posted on 09/27/2008 8:14:14 PM PDT by furquhart (John S. McCain for President)
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To: furquhart

Huh?


45 posted on 09/27/2008 8:21:47 PM PDT by djsherin
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To: kc8ukw

There must be something else we could give Bush, Frank, Paulson, Dodd and their favored business partners.

What a remarkable polygamous incestual relationship they have engaged themselves in.

A gift of Money is so crass.

Isn’t there a gift registry for these folks?

And what should we get them?

They already have a featherbed.
They already have a cozy.

We should spare no expense for these hacks in love.


46 posted on 09/27/2008 8:23:05 PM PDT by So Circumstanced
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To: Rodm
One talking head (named doom & Gloom) was saying that if things got really bad the Gummn’t might ban Americans from owning gold! These guys are covering all the bases - I'm moving to Mars or going back through the looking glass.
47 posted on 09/27/2008 8:24:26 PM PDT by Eighth Square
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To: kc8ukw
Good, let it crash. We can expose all the derivative artists, short selling sharpies, pump and dump bozos, and the “everybody deserves home ownership” Obama catchfarts and start smarter with a clean(er) slate.

Pain now, or worse pain later if we bail out the jerks who caused this.

48 posted on 09/27/2008 8:29:41 PM PDT by Octar
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To: kc8ukw

Let it go to 8, a depression will be good for us. All the illegals and other malcontents will leave due to the bad economy and we can start from scratch.


49 posted on 09/27/2008 8:36:12 PM PDT by Cacique (quos Deus vult perdere, prius dementat ( Islamia Delenda Est ))
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To: FlingWingFlyer
This is Pelosi’s big chance to “save the planet.” She don’t need no steenkin’ Republicans. Come on Nancy! You’ve got the votes. Do it! LOL!

What's that old remedy for when a dog craps on the floor...

50 posted on 09/27/2008 8:45:08 PM PDT by Mad_Tom_Rackham ("The land of the Free...Because of the Brave")
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