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(October 7, 2004) AP Poll: Kerry Holds Small Lead Over Bush (50% to 46%)
Fox/AP ^

Posted on 10/04/2008 12:11:22 PM PDT by Chet 99

WASHINGTON — Sen. John Kerry (search) has taken a slim lead over President Bush (search), according to an Associated Press poll that shows the president's support tumbling on personal qualities, the war in Iraq (search) and the commander in chief's bedrock campaign issue — national security.

Fewer voters than a month ago believe Bush is the best man to protect the country and fight the Iraq war.

The AP-Ipsos Public Affairs poll (search), completed on the eve of the second presidential debate, showed a reversal from early September, when the Republican incumbent had the momentum and a minuscule lead. With bloodshed increasing in Iraq, Kerry sharpened his attacks, and Bush stumbled in their initial debate.

Among 944 likely voters, the Kerry-Edwards ticket led Bush-Cheney 50 percent to 46 percent. The Oct. 4-6 survey had a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

(Excerpt) Read more at 204.120.182.132 ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2004polls; 2008polls; gwb2004; kerry

1 posted on 10/04/2008 12:11:22 PM PDT by Chet 99
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To: Chet 99

Deja-vu all over again?


2 posted on 10/04/2008 12:13:18 PM PDT by Schnucki
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To: Chet 99

Stil waiting...

3 posted on 10/04/2008 12:13:25 PM PDT by MarineBrat (My wife and I took an AIDS vaccination that the Church offers.)
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To: Chet 99

Thanks, Chet, for these reality checks!


4 posted on 10/04/2008 12:13:55 PM PDT by littlehouse36 (Why do we call the "left wing media" the "mainstream media?")
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To: Chet 99

Well, this can give us all hope, that a poll a month before election day in 2004 was not a predictor of how the election would turn out.

I’m concerned though, looking state by state. These electoral vote map web sites have Obama ahead in Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Florida, Colorado, and Nevada. How does McCain win this election if Obama wins most of the battleground states? I hope as the race tightens up, these states also tighten up.


5 posted on 10/04/2008 12:14:16 PM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
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To: Chet 99

The last few months have been a challenge, but that is nothing compared to what it would have been like under President John Francoise Viet Nam Wind Surfer Blowhard Kerry.


6 posted on 10/04/2008 12:15:14 PM PDT by Friend of the Friendless (R-Illinois)
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To: Dilbert San Diego
How does McCain win this election if Obama wins most of the battleground states?

He doesn't. Obama doesn't win the election if he doesn't win them either.

7 posted on 10/04/2008 12:17:15 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: littlehouse36

With Kerry at the 50% mark. That does make things look better considering.


8 posted on 10/04/2008 12:18:01 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: Dilbert San Diego

He doesn’t win if he can’t carry OH/FL/VA/CO.

Now the scary part. The MSM has another secret weapon that I noticed during the VP debate. They know McCain has always been on thin ice with conservatives on some of his more “maverick” views. The Gwen Ifil climate change question to Palin was an attempt to embarrass in front of McCain or in front of the base.

How much you want to bet that at this upcoming town-hall forum, the questions will be exclusively about crap like (1) Climate Change/Global Warming, (2) Guantanamo, (3) Campaign Finance Reform, (4) Immigration, and (5) Bipartisan (Gang of 14) issues in an attempt to make McCain look bad in front of the base which has significant disagreements with him on all these issues. This is a weapon they haven’t had in previous years, but I suspect it’s one their fully aware of. If this happens, we have to stay calm and gear the anger toward the messenger (MSM) and not McCain’s bogus answers, which will be geared toward the uneducated independent voters.


9 posted on 10/04/2008 12:21:01 PM PDT by parksstp (McCain/Palin - Vote for the future to survive the present)
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To: Chet 99

McCain needs to stay away from the Senate and remember that he is running for President.


10 posted on 10/04/2008 12:23:03 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration ('we don't make compromises-we make Marines')
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To: Chet 99

We have a much bigger problem this time. The country has a big economic collapse cloud hanging over its head and the sheeple will take it out on the party in power whether it deserves it or not. Most don’t realize Obama’s policies will make it worse.


11 posted on 10/04/2008 12:23:27 PM PDT by kempo
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To: Chet 99

Thanks for posting this.
Kerry is such a tool. I’m amazed he was doing this well at one point.


12 posted on 10/04/2008 12:24:44 PM PDT by kimchi lover (Just another non-racist not voting for Obama)
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To: Chet 99
Here's another good one...

Analysis: No change in presidential race after debate By alan Elsner Reuters

October 6, 2000 Web posted at: 3:58 p.m. EDT (1958 GMT)

ANALYSIS- By Alan Elsner, Political Correspondent

DANVILLE, Ky. (Reuters) - It was heralded as a potential turning point in the 2000 U.S. presidential race, but after the first debate between Democrat Al Gore and Republican George W. Bush, nothing appears to have changed.

Before Tuesday's debate in Boston, the vice president led Bush, the governor of Texas, in a Reuters/MSNBC tracking poll by 46 percent to 40 percent. Three days after that much-hyped event, Gore led by 46 to 41 percent -- a statistically insignificant difference.

13 posted on 10/04/2008 12:26:33 PM PDT by jerod (They were pro-abortion, for gun control & wanted a cleaner environment at all cost - The NAZI party)
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To: kimchi lover

Kerry was never ahead in FL for the same reasons Obama wasn’t ahead in FL. The I-4 area has gotten considerably redder.

Through in additional support for McCain in PBC/Broward/Dade to reduce the blowout margins there and strong performance in the Duval and the panhandle to carry this state by 4-5%


14 posted on 10/04/2008 12:26:48 PM PDT by parksstp (McCain/Palin - Vote for the future to survive the present)
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To: Chet 99

LOL! We kicked Kerry good down here in Florida but we worked very hard. They had hundreds of MoveOn.org/com paid thugs down here too.

Obama is a weaker candidate in FL. we cannot take chances. Volunteer and donate to McCain-Palin 2008. the elections are a media tax every year where the dying lib papers and TV stations have to get campaign money.

Sarah is on the move now. Last week sucked because of Dems manipulated Financial Disaster thanks to Soros, Saudi money and Chicago options markets and Congressional Dems.
Sarah also had to waste the whole week on study up for the debate which she won.

She and Todd can win MN, WS, MI and Iowa. She is on a roll. She will draw 30,000 or more in Clearwater though the city is trying to stop that many people coming because they can only handle 10,000. She and Todd can do the same thing in the upper Midwest where she speaks their lingo.

Ignore the polls. Volunteer and contribute - now.


15 posted on 10/04/2008 12:28:10 PM PDT by Frantzie
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To: jerod

Bush behind by 6% on October 6th.... Hmmmm!

Looks like the only poll that counts is the one on election day. That’s too bad for Barry O.


16 posted on 10/04/2008 12:28:13 PM PDT by jerod (They were pro-abortion, for gun control & wanted a cleaner environment at all cost - The NAZI party)
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To: jerod
It seems to me that producing so called tracking polls to show that the democrat is ahead in the weeks preceding the election, along with exit polls, will be all the “proof” needed to show their fellow Kool Aid drinkers that the election was somehow rigged.
17 posted on 10/04/2008 12:39:51 PM PDT by swift15 (Not enabling the grievance industry or advancing world socialism.)
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To: littlehouse36

ditto


18 posted on 10/04/2008 12:57:10 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: jerod

Heard the political science Ph.D (sorry can’t remember his name) from Temple Univ. on O’Reilly say that if Barack wasn’t up by 10 points in the polls on election day he couldn’t win....let’s hope he’s correct!


19 posted on 10/04/2008 1:06:10 PM PDT by Froggie
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To: Chet 99
President Kerry has confirmed the accuracy of the polls and laughs at all of you doubters.
20 posted on 10/04/2008 2:01:52 PM PDT by AmericaUnited
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To: Chet 99

bttt


21 posted on 10/04/2008 7:18:49 PM PDT by SuperLuminal
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To: Chet 99

Again...the only poll that matters is the one that happens on the first Tuesday in November.

JoMa


22 posted on 10/04/2008 10:26:38 PM PDT by joma89
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To: Schnucki

deja-vu but 10X worse this election period. The media is not even disguising themselves this go around. It is “us vs. them.”


23 posted on 10/06/2008 1:55:48 PM PDT by truthandlife ("Some trust in chariots and some in horses, but we trust in the name of the LORD our God." (Ps 20:7))
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