Well, this can give us all hope, that a poll a month before election day in 2004 was not a predictor of how the election would turn out.
I’m concerned though, looking state by state. These electoral vote map web sites have Obama ahead in Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Florida, Colorado, and Nevada. How does McCain win this election if Obama wins most of the battleground states? I hope as the race tightens up, these states also tighten up.
He doesn't. Obama doesn't win the election if he doesn't win them either.
He doesn’t win if he can’t carry OH/FL/VA/CO.
Now the scary part. The MSM has another secret weapon that I noticed during the VP debate. They know McCain has always been on thin ice with conservatives on some of his more “maverick” views. The Gwen Ifil climate change question to Palin was an attempt to embarrass in front of McCain or in front of the base.
How much you want to bet that at this upcoming town-hall forum, the questions will be exclusively about crap like (1) Climate Change/Global Warming, (2) Guantanamo, (3) Campaign Finance Reform, (4) Immigration, and (5) Bipartisan (Gang of 14) issues in an attempt to make McCain look bad in front of the base which has significant disagreements with him on all these issues. This is a weapon they haven’t had in previous years, but I suspect it’s one their fully aware of. If this happens, we have to stay calm and gear the anger toward the messenger (MSM) and not McCain’s bogus answers, which will be geared toward the uneducated independent voters.