Skip to comments.October 25, 2004: Kerry pulls ahead of Bush in Rasmussen Tracking Poll
Posted on 10/04/2008 12:28:37 PM PDT by Chet 99
Kerry pulls ahead of Bush in Rasmussen Tracking Poll
Kerry has pulled ahead of Bush in Rasmussen's Daily Presidential Tracking Poll for the first time since August 23. Rasmussen seems to favor Republicans - so the fact that Kerry's advantage has grown lately is a very positive sign.
Kerry leads 48.4% - 46.4% in todays poll.
The electorate may be leaning towards the challenger, desiring a change.
Of course, the explosives left unguarded by the Bush administration and the prospect of Scalia being appointed Chief Justice might have an impact as well.
Hey find some more. Change the names and you could write it today. Bush won.
Thank you for creating this thread.
I used this one in a post the other day.
I guess the Dems dont feel the need 'change' their talking points. It's deja vu all over again!
But no financial implosion in 2004, or potential "Bradley effect" (grasping for straws) either.
Great find...Ive been thinking of this same thing but hadnt located the old articles. Brainwash the masses starts now ~~
Because I would feel a lot more secure if McCain/Palin was 7 points ahead than 7 points behind, and didn’t need to rely on something that can’t be measured until after the polls close on election day. There may well be some Bradley but it’s probably not 7 points and I’m worried.
They are polling 41 percent Democrats 30 percent Republicans and 29 percent independents.
There is no way that 2008 will find that 41 percent of voters are Democrats. More like 36 35 29 (D,R, I).
Since Labor Day, the media have released about 20 polls on the presidential race. Three show a dead heat, one shows George W. Bush leading by a single percentage point, and the rest show Al Gore leading by one to 10 points. In the latest polls, Gore leads by an average of five points. It's fashionable at this stage to caution that "anything can happen," that Bush is "retooling," and that the numbers can turn in Bush's favor just as easily as they turned against him. But they can't. The numbers are moving toward Gore because fundamental dynamics tilt the election in his favor. The only question has been how far those dynamics would carry him.
Now that he has passed Bush, the race is over.
I agree, we have to be stone cold realists and assume the polls are accurate. Not that I don’t like seeing stories like this!
Was that poll typical or an outlier?
President George W. Bush won the popular vote in 2004 by a 50.7% to 48.2% margin over Senator John Kerry. The final Rasmussen poll had the President winning 50.2% to 48.5%.
Take a look at the primaries to see which states had they greatest Bradley effect, because there was a Bradley effect during the primaries. A financial implosion that can be pinned on the dems. Talk to the older die hard dems you know and see how many of them are voting Obama, because the ones I know are not.
To be honest the polls have been screwing around with their internals to represent the huge growth in youth vote, a voter that has historically never shown up to the polls. Dems have lost voters among women, and among Jews and among older Americans and even independents break for McCain, but we are to believe that they will be able to make all that up with the youth vote. Candidates that depend on the youth vote are called losers.
I could be very wrong but for the first time in many elections I am not worried about losing just about what these screwed up polls are doing to falsely raise excitations of the crazy left and the blacks. We aught to be able to sue them and the media outlets for the riot damage caused when those excitations are not met.
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