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SurveyUSA NC Senate Dole Back up (+1)
http://www.surveyusa.com/ ^ | 10/05 - 10/06 | www.surveyusa.com

Posted on 10/07/2008 3:41:18 PM PDT by Maelstorm

SurveyUSA 10/05 - 10/06 617 LV Hagan 43 Dole 44 Dole +1


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: North Carolina
KEYWORDS: 110th; dole; nc2008
Some good news for Dole. Looks like she is coming back from the brink.
1 posted on 10/07/2008 3:41:18 PM PDT by Maelstorm
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To: Maelstorm

Ive seen Her in an Interview with wolfy spitzer, she circumcised him again.


2 posted on 10/07/2008 3:44:31 PM PDT by forYourChildrenVote4Bush (Today, July 16th I no longer donate money for Israel)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Dole up - barely. But not enough. Undecideds will likely break against her. She needs to have a 3-4 point lead.


3 posted on 10/07/2008 3:45:15 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: Maelstorm

I doubt it will be this close. Republicans typically underperform in NC polls.

The RCP average for NC in 2004 was 5 points below Bush’s winning margin.


4 posted on 10/07/2008 3:47:04 PM PDT by Chet 99 (Vote McCain/Palin, or this will be our future: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QTb5EFZmgbs)
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To: Norman Bates

I wouldn’t count Dole out. She has cash.


5 posted on 10/07/2008 3:48:42 PM PDT by Maelstorm (This country was not founded with the battle cry "Give me liberty or give me a government check!")
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To: Maelstorm

That’s good to see. I haven’t followed the race closely, but it’s my understanding she was lagging in the polls a while back.

I’m hoping Norm Coleman pulls it out come Election Day, too. He’s not my fave, but any win that helps keep Harry Reid short of a filibuster-proof majority in the Senate works for me right now.


6 posted on 10/07/2008 3:48:45 PM PDT by DemforBush (Palin! Palin! Palin!)
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To: Chet 99
I doubt it will be this close. Republicans typically underperform in NC polls.

True. Burr was almost always trailing Bowles in 2004, and Helms, as he used to remind people, never led in the polls except in 1996.
7 posted on 10/07/2008 3:51:19 PM PDT by Galactic Overlord-In-Chief (Russia invades Georgia? For a moment, I thought that was Red Dawn II)
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To: Maelstorm

I wishe we had some good news here in Virginia about Jim Gilmore. It seem that he has not moved up even though Mark Warner rips NRA members, Christian Coalition and Home Schoolers.


8 posted on 10/07/2008 3:52:15 PM PDT by KriegerGeist (I'm now considered a "Bitter Clinger" to my guns and religion.)
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To: Norman Bates

Like I said, Republicans underperform in NC polls.

http://www.surveyusa.com/2004_Elections/NC041005wpresvgovysenx.pdf


9 posted on 10/07/2008 3:52:15 PM PDT by Chet 99 (Vote McCain/Palin, or this will be our future: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QTb5EFZmgbs)
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To: Maelstorm; Norman Bates

You mention cash... a little off topic, but the cash factor is one of the reasons Obama may do well in polls in IN and NC. As I understand, he’s spent millions and millions in those states. McCain hasn’t spent a dime on those states so far.


10 posted on 10/07/2008 3:55:51 PM PDT by Chet 99 (Vote McCain/Palin, or this will be our future: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QTb5EFZmgbs)
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To: Maelstorm

I’m not. She just needs to pad her lead a bit. I’m thinking about sending a donation.


11 posted on 10/07/2008 3:57:15 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: Geist Krieger

Yeah I saw that. Unbelievable. It won’t help Warner doing that though. NRA should make him enemy #1. Warner has POTUS ambitions so he ought not be taken lightly. Granted, he’s boring as hell.


12 posted on 10/07/2008 3:59:35 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: Chet 99

Yes but Obama’s saturation has likely gotten his message to anyone who is receptive. Look for a McCain ad push in the last couple weeks to bring the states back into the fold. And certainly a visit or two either McCain, Palin, or both.


13 posted on 10/07/2008 4:00:50 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: Maelstorm
It next to impossible to Rebs to give you an answer on the phone when calling for a poll. They all hand up except for the libs. The good thing about the NC situation is that Obama is pouring resources in there as oppose to elsewhere.

However, the biggest problem facing her and McCain is the walkin and talkin money that will be used to procure the black vote for Obama.

Obama has got to be cut off from his source of $$$s...namely these internet contributions which have no documentation what so ever. If we had a real AG we could get the FBI to trace the source of these contributions over the internet. I suspect they're coming from a small few nodes with various addresses and using these easily obtainable pre-paid Mastercard and Visas.

This seems like a big effort...and it is...but how much junk mail do you get from Nigeria, Kenya, and the former Soviet Union? There a countless individuals out there who have been given a pc and the information to type in. Once the local copper makes it to the satellite node they've got broadband. If you've got 10,000 people world-wide entering this stuff you can launder a lot of money in a very small time.

Isn't technology wonderful?

14 posted on 10/07/2008 4:04:53 PM PDT by cyberslave (The time has come to talk of many things.)
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To: Maelstorm

Who is Liddy’s opponent. Is there any way we can help, adwise?


15 posted on 10/07/2008 4:07:07 PM PDT by montag813
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To: Maelstorm

Liddy did herself smart by voting AGAINST the ridiculous bailout that the Senate rubber stamped after adding even more pork.


16 posted on 10/07/2008 4:15:45 PM PDT by Burkean
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To: Maelstorm

Liddy did herself smart by voting AGAINST the ridiculous bailout that the Senate rubber stamped after adding even more pork.


17 posted on 10/07/2008 4:15:47 PM PDT by Burkean
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To: Geist Krieger
Gilmore was dead on arrival the moment he was nominated. Warner unfairly blamed Gilmore for the budget problems in Warner's first year in office. He whined like crazy. The press and public bought it. Gilmore's ratings went down and never recovered.

Gilmore will easily lose by 10 to 15 points and the race will be called at 7 pm sharp.

Mark Warner makes my skin crawl. There has been almost no coverage of the senate race in the Wash DC area and Gilmore has no money for ads.

The last time I checked, M. Warner had $4 million and Gilmore had $250,000. No one gives money to a candidate who is 30 points behind in the polls.

18 posted on 10/07/2008 4:19:07 PM PDT by Dave W
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To: Maelstorm

Dole will win this comfortably, and McCain will win NC easily.


19 posted on 10/07/2008 4:19:35 PM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: Maelstorm

I’m in NC and we are in for a barnburner. Turnout, turnout, turnout all NC freepers and make sure all your conservative family and friends do too. Our state is a battleground in both top of the ticket elections and don’t try to convince yourself otherwise. Its time to fight hard! This race will be won by the ground game.


20 posted on 10/07/2008 4:24:46 PM PDT by DemonDeac
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To: montag813

We need a TV ad, and radio ads that capitalize on the gas shortage in North Carolina!!!

Perfect opportunity to blame the gas lines on the democrats, Liddy Dole will increase supplies and lower prices, Kay Hagan supports the democratic limitations on drilling


21 posted on 10/07/2008 4:25:15 PM PDT by o2bfree
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To: cyberslave

” The good thing about the NC situation is that Obama is pouring resources in there as oppose to elsewhere.”

The bad thing is that McCain has to spend money and time in NC and he has less money.


22 posted on 10/07/2008 4:25:29 PM PDT by DemonDeac
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To: Maelstorm

Dole will win...McCain will win and we will get a Republican guv. BUT.it’s interesting to see the spread. McCrory is leading by a wider margin as is McCain. Dole’s re-election hinges on Palin IMHO


23 posted on 10/07/2008 4:31:51 PM PDT by rrrod
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To: o2bfree
We need a TV ad, and radio ads that capitalize on the gas shortage in North Carolina!!!

Do you know anyone in the campaign? We are already working on a generic such ad.

24 posted on 10/07/2008 4:34:39 PM PDT by montag813
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To: Dave W

Like Reagan, I don’t believe in a fate you can’t avoid no matter what you do. To win that race Gilmore needs to get very aggressive. He should pounce on his NRA-bashing, the bailout, taxes. Over and over.

Warner is a likely POTUS candidate for 2012. We shouldn’t let him walk in unopposed.


25 posted on 10/07/2008 4:36:28 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: DemonDeac
The bad thing is that McCain has to spend money and time in NC and he has less money.

Exactly. McCain shouldn't have to work hard for North Carolina.

I read yesterday that North Carolina has had 600,000 new voters registered this year.

Six hundred thousand new voters in a state that Bill Clinton once lost by only 20,000 votes.

About half of those new voters have registered Democrat, about a third Independent, leaving only about 20% for the Republicans and all the other parties (Libertarians, Green, etc.)

Here's the article at Politico(^) about the situation. The information about new voters is on the second page.

I would love to know what the GOP "get out the vote/register voters" plan has been this cycle.

26 posted on 10/07/2008 4:37:33 PM PDT by mountainbunny ("I've got a plan so cunning you could stick a tail on it and call it a weasel!" Blackadder)
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To: DemonDeac

McCain need only make one visit there and he could do that on a swing from VA to FL. Palin should be there a couple more times.


27 posted on 10/07/2008 4:39:05 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: mountainbunny

That means NC is going to be a battleground in coming years. The GOP needs a long term strategy. We need to more aggressively court youth and hispanics.


28 posted on 10/07/2008 4:41:20 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: mountainbunny

“I would love to know what the GOP “get out the vote/register voters” plan has been this cycle.”

In the Triad the Dems have been better organized and more visible. Hate to say it but thats how it appears at least. Can’t speak for anywhere else. My state will become harder to hold. The triangle area is getting flooded with northern transplants who tend to vote lib and the hispanic population is exploding.


29 posted on 10/07/2008 4:44:20 PM PDT by DemonDeac
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To: montag813

I’m not in the Dole campaign, but I would certainly lend a hand if there was an opportunity. :-)

FYI, there were two really damning radio interviews of Kay Hagan on WPTF’s AM 680 Raleigh morning show recently hosted by Jeff Metcalf. Hagan embarrassed herself at every turn when listeners called in to ask questions. She stumbled, wobbled, and couldn’t answer questions such as the following. Name three areas you disagree with the liberals in Washington, or do you support drilling, etc. These were really miserable performances that stunned everyone who heard them.

In the spirit of honesty though I need to admit, I WAS one of the callers. And my question was a tough one for her!


30 posted on 10/07/2008 4:59:38 PM PDT by o2bfree
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To: Norman Bates
I don't think you understand. Gilmore has no money. No money and no ads mean you don't get your message out. Gilmore can't raise money since he is 20 to 30 points behind in the polls and no one gives money that is not in a competitive race.

Gilmore is not popular. His ratings went down after he left office when Mark Warner criticized him about causing a budget "crisis" that Mark had to deal with. It was echoed by the media.

I agree with you about not letting Warner in unopposed since I too think he will run for the presidency.

But with a democrat media and a truly horrific state Republican leadership, Warner will sweep to victory in a walk.

31 posted on 10/07/2008 5:01:59 PM PDT by Dave W
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To: DemonDeac
In the Triad the Dems have been better organized and more visible. Hate to say it but thats how it appears at least. Can’t speak for anywhere else. My state will become harder to hold. The triangle area is getting flooded with northern transplants who tend to vote lib and the hispanic population is exploding.

I live in Colorado, and it has been the same story here. I haven't been able to go to the grocery store since the middle of summer without seeing people doing voter registration standing outside. I always ask what their party affiliation is and they always say that they are Democrats.

I live in one of the most conservative counties in the country, and all I've seen is Democrats, Democrats, Democrats.

I asked one of my children who is away at college what it's like there. The same story.

It makes me more than a bit sad and angry that the GOP doesn't seem to be doing much to reach out to new voters or to voters that haven't traditionally voted Republican, as that is a poor long-term strategy for winning elections.

32 posted on 10/07/2008 7:24:13 PM PDT by mountainbunny ("I've got a plan so cunning you could stick a tail on it and call it a weasel!" Blackadder)
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To: Norman Bates

Liddy Dole’s plight represents the state of the GOP. Back in 2002, she easily won when Bush’s approval ratings were sky high. With the GOP brand in the dumpster, Dole is running for her life against a 2nd tier opponent. Hope Dole pulls it out.


33 posted on 10/07/2008 8:00:32 PM PDT by yongin (Send a message to the MSM. Vote for Sarah Palin)
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To: Maelstorm; Norman Bates; fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Kuksool; LdSentinal; ExTexasRedhead; ...

This is mildly encouraging news, as Elizabeth Dole had been narrowly trailing for the past month or so. She hasn’t been a large presence in the state, giving some the impression that she was coasting on her celebrity.


34 posted on 10/07/2008 8:08:13 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (If Islam conquers the world, the Earth will be at peace because the human race will be killed off.)
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To: JaneNC

North Carolina ping


35 posted on 10/07/2008 8:08:56 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (If Islam conquers the world, the Earth will be at peace because the human race will be killed off.)
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