Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: Braak
"Minnesota, Mississippi, and Kentucky are the three states most likely to determine whether Democrats get to 60," Rothenberg said, adding the unexpectedly tight race in North Carolina between incumbent Republican Elizabeth Dole and state Sen. Kay Hagan could turn out detrimental for Republicans as well."

Er, no. McConnell is not in any trouble at all in KY; one loopy poll had Coleman down, but another poll just the previous day had him up big. Perhaps the MS seat is in trouble---I don't know. But Liddy Dole is ahead and apparently gaining some momentum.

The seats in trouble are Sununu, Warner, Domenici (retirement, but the replacement is running behind), and Allard (retirement, but this is a close race). Smith seemed to be safe earlier, but now is in a close race. That's five, plus MS, for six, or 56 seats plus two RINOs and Joe Lieberman. However, Joe has made it clear he won't vote with the Dems on everything.

49 posted on 10/08/2008 2:47:36 PM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]


To: LS

I don’t think the Democrats will get to 60 seats. 57-59 is a real possibility. They’ve got 4 seats sewn up (Virginia, New Mexico, Colorado, New Hampshire) and are strongly contending in four other close races (Alaska, Oregon, North Carolina, Minnesota). Of the latter group of four, I’d rank them in the following order of vulnerability: Gordon Smith, Norm Coleman, Elizabeth Dole, Ted Stevens. I personally believe that Coleman, Dole, and Stevens will survive but Smith appears to be going down. That will give the Dems 56 seats four years after the Republicans had 55. The Dems will control every Senate seat on the West Coast and all but Maine’s two seats in New England. They’ll also gain at least one southern seat and two western seats.

Mississippi was always a pipe dream, IMO. I don’t think the Democrats have a real chance in Maine, Kentucky, or Georgia, despite any recent polls. Collins is still polling over 50%, Chambliss has never trailed in his race, and McConnell has also consistently led even with some recent polls showing things closer.


51 posted on 10/08/2008 2:51:06 PM PDT by zebrahead
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 49 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson