Skip to comments.Tracking Polls Continue Trend towards McCain
Posted on 10/09/2008 6:35:45 AM PDT by housedeep
Battlegroun O 48 M 45 (gain of 1 for M) Rasmussen O 50 M 45 (gain of 1 for M)
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
John Zogby said the race mirrors the 1980 election, when voters didnt embrace Ronald Reagan over then-President Jimmy Carter until just days before the election.
The Sunday before the election the dam burst, Zogby said of the 1980 tilt. Thats when voters determined they were comfortable with Reagan.
Now voters are wrestling with two senators with opposite resumes - Obama, at 47, the unknown, and the established 72-year-old McCain.
Finally a little good news. Keep the faith. We’re gaining.
When this is combined with the other polls showing a gap of 2 to 3 points, it’s still for the taking.
All of the polls seem pretty tight including Zogby, but what’s with that Gallup Tracking?
i have said all along i think its a late break towards McCain in the last 72 hours of the election
McCain has razor thin victory with 274 electoral votes
Here’s what I want: a side-by-side of ALL the polls currently, and at this point, last election, with the actual final results.
Ras gave Barry a lead of 9 points just a day or so ago. That means that McCain must have had some really good polling.
Gallup idiots are tracking registered voters, not likely. I believe it’s intentional.
The more voters learn about Obama’s RADICAL past and radical intentions, the less they want that kind of “change”.
I was thinking about that too!
Amen people,we`re having an impact!Keep up the REAL truth squad,keep hammering away.
I would like to see the same thing. The tracking polls at this time 4 years ago
Maybe people don’t like guys who hang out with terrorists and it’s sticking.
i still think Rasmussen has a deeply flawed poll
but i do believe in seeing trends...and there is a sure trend back towards mccain.
At a minimum, it is causing some people to question how much they/we know about Obama. Hopefully those include some of the undecided/swing voters.
So is Zogby. I was one of those polled by him a couple of years ago and since the last election he dropped me from his contact lists. I think I was too biased to the ummmm right. For example I would fill out a "Pre-Debate" survey and then ask to be e-mailed the "Post-Debate" followup and it would never happen. I think Zogby "cherry picks" the poll answers so he gets a result that he wants in order to benefit his business AND benefit liberals.
If anything it seems like McCain got a very small boost from the other night’s debate. Surprising since CNN and CBS said their polls showed obama won by some ridiculous margins.
Just maybe all that talk of landslide is a tad premature.
I'm not sure Ayers has a lot of traction in a debate. Remember that these debates are presumably trying to reach undecided voters. Most of these
undecideds idiots don't know who Ayers even is or who the Weathermen were. They also neither know nor care about Rezko. If McCain brings them up in a debate, he has to first educate the viewers as to what he is talking about.
If he wants to hit Obama with these guys, he has to do better than Bill O'Reilly, who merely asked general questions like "What about Ayers? What about Rezko? What about Rev. Wright?", giving Obama an easy out when he merely claimed he hardly knew the people in question. Rev. Wright has the most traction IMO because Obama and family attended the church for twenty years. Even if Obama tries to sidestep Wright, one can come back with Obama's own words in his self-adulatory autobiographies as to how important Wright was as a spiritual mentor and father-figure.
Of course, with these
undecideds idiots, any such attack may come off as mean. I think McCain did well in the last debate by coming off as calm and reasoned. If, as many here have stated, this election is a referendum on Obama, then McCain may have gained ground in the last debate by appearing to be the guy to trust in the hard times to come.
Maybe some people (excluding liberals!) have figured out that McCain is not at fault for the economy. If the economy becomes a neutral issue in that neither candidate has an advantage, then McCain will come out ahead.
“Even if Obama tries to sidestep Wright, one can come back with Obama’s own words in his self-adulatory autobiographies as to how important Wright was as a spiritual mentor and father-figure.”
I think you should let the Obots believe victory is at hand. The types he attracts (the lazy, the slovenly, the government hand out types) won’t get out of bed on election day.
By the time they shuffle over to the Social Security Office out of their drunken stupor, it will be Wednesday afternoon seeing people in tears about President-Elect McCain.
I am still concerned about the state polls. Let’s see if they start to trend back in the next day or so. I can’t believe NC, IN are in play. McCain has to hold all of W’s states and right now he is trailing in all of them, except MO I think. The MSM keeps harping on this, plus Obama is running Ads 3:1 in these states. Also, I can’t believe Fox news is running Obama ads??? How many Obama supporters watch Fox? Seems like a waste of $$ to me....
Most polls have a large enough group of "undecided" voters to push one or the other over the top and through the margin of error. I have a tendency to believe most people find pollsters as intrusive and annoying as Jehovah's Witnesses at your door. Saying I'm undecided makes them just go away. I don't really believe there are that many people who have not decided one way or another. I also don't believe they're voting for Obama, either.
Unlike in years past, they are reporting the Registered Voters poll and not the Likely Voter breakout to show a bigger lead for Fauxbama. Usually, they have about +6 for the Republican when looking at LV.
I like to point out that the last time a Democrat ran against an unpopular Republican president who wasnt on the ballot we got Jimmy Carter. The point usually works well on anyone that lived through the Carter years.
He did, because Hugh Hewitt has played excerpts from both The Audacity of Hope and Dreams From My Father on the radio. However, I do not know if they are complete or abridged.
Bring up Obama’s brother. If everybody learns about Obama’s brother, they won’t vote for him.
Does that include the massive ACORN voter fraud that will occur nationwide this year?
If McCain is gaining ground it certainly has nothing to do with Tuesday’s debate. I think emails being circulated on the internet with real information about Obama are starting to help McCain. I probably get 4 or 5 a day.
It’s time to drop the “Raila Odinga” bomb. A real game changer when looking at Obama’s associations with bad people.
Exactly, this is what was working so well minths ago - the “who is this guy” thing. Actually the debates kind of suck because people see Obama and think that they know him.
“McCain has razor thin victory with 274 electoral votes”
That’s your optimistic prediction? Geez, you’re awful pessimistic for an optimist. If you’re wrong by one 5 electoral vote state, Obama wins. Over on the dem side, they’re predicting 350 electoral votes for Obama. See, that’s how you do optimism.
Hard to be optimistic when McCain abandons Michigan. That’s my state. I can’t help resenting that decision a little bit.
Precisely, as my FRiend 8mm can attest, Reagan was LOSING the election through mid-October of 1980, but he ran away with it in the final stretch.
i was in Reno, Nevada earlier this week and saw 8-10 Obama commercials on various channels in the early afternoon... i saw maybe 3 McCain commercials, and one was at 1:00 in the morning... (i leave the television on when i stay in a hotel room by myself)...
Running ads on CNN is just preaching to the choir. There's no new voters to be swayed there so that's the real waste of money. With Fox there are some people on the fence.
McCain was greatly outspent by others during the primary and it turned out that had little effect.
I really think that is what happened when Reagan won. The youth didn’t bother to vote, thinking it was in the bag for their guy. The polls/voter registration fraud/etc are more sophisticated, now, however. It is not an accident that all the ACORN fraud is in Battleground states with blue cities. We need a landslide to counteract the machine behind zerO.
McCain has razor thin victory with 274 electoral votes
I’ll take 271, I just want the absurd marxist dumbo defeated and I don’t care what skin shade he is, he is a would be marxist dictator. I want Ayers and Soros and the rest to administer to Obamalamadingdong whatever punishment they normally deal out to those who disappoint them. I’ll bet it’s a lot worse than sixty lashes with a wet noodle.
I was in college at the time, and I clearly remember seeing lots of students with "Regan Country" stickers ( I lived in CA at the time).
I realized right then, that Carter was in trouble. I don't remember the turnout of students at the time, though.
Since today is Yom Kipper, I'll own up and confess that I did vote for Carter. That was only my second time voting, and the last time I voted for a Democrat.