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Rasmussen: O-51%, M-45% (Obama +2)
Rasmussen ^ | 10/22 | Rasmussen

Posted on 10/22/2008 6:32:21 AM PDT by tatown

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To: pburgh01

“So celebreate on the unemployment line!”

And thus the fruits of socialism. Wish that would get out to the electorate. To simplify it for the room-temp IQ’d voter, “when Obama takes money away from rich people, they will find some way to get it back. That means lost jobs.”

And of course the dimwit voter will respond, “but i’m-a git me a guh-mint check!”


41 posted on 10/22/2008 6:48:03 AM PDT by ScottinVA
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To: tatown

What is better for the media right now? For McCain to be ahead (the old white candidate) or the first African American candidate?

Also, it is better for the media if Obama is ahead in the polls on election day, that way if he loses than can have their many many many news cycles about racism and riots.

This way, if he wins or loses, the media will be in hog heaven.


42 posted on 10/22/2008 6:48:15 AM PDT by babydubya1981 (Homeschooling Moms for McCain/Palin 08)
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To: tatown

Heard McCain interview this morning. He said that in 2004 it was Kerry +13 over Bush at this point in one of the polls. This is a close race, and daily roller coaster angst just isn’t worth it.


43 posted on 10/22/2008 6:49:08 AM PDT by pieceofthepuzzle
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To: perfect_rovian_storm
The polls are cooked to a certain extent, but there’s a definite trend towards 0 here. The media made a huge deal out of Powell, which can give a bit of a bounce. Frankly, were I them, I would rather have had him on the Sunday before election day though.

I wonder if the pollsters have cooked in the "Powell bounce" on their own, assuming there should be one even if there isn't.

44 posted on 10/22/2008 6:50:48 AM PDT by Sans-Culotte
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To: ScottinVA

Gotta hand it to lib establishment — they’ve done a helluva job dumbing America down.


45 posted on 10/22/2008 6:51:15 AM PDT by ScottinVA
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To: pieceofthepuzzle
Heard McCain interview this morning. He said that in 2004 it was Kerry +13 over Bush at this point in one of the polls

I think McCain is stretching really hard with that statement.

3-Way Race: Bush/Cheney vs Kerry/Edwards vs Nader/Camejo

46 posted on 10/22/2008 6:51:38 AM PDT by CatOwner
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To: Paradox

I was at a library yesterday where they were doing one stop voting. These college aged punks were wheeling in old people in chairs and beds. I walked by and said “Bring out your dead for Obama.”

I will vote straight ticket, but I’m afraid this race is over.


47 posted on 10/22/2008 6:51:54 AM PDT by amishman (Barack Obama=Jim Jones)
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To: mn-bush-man

Gallup Expanded was +4 on Saturday, never closer than that.

Gallup does not fix party weights in advance, so their polls are very sensitive to shifts in voter mood. Probably Powell endorsement registered in their trackers.

I think right now McCain is in Dole territory. Dole lost by 8.5, perhaps McCain is doing a tiny bit better, but not by much.


48 posted on 10/22/2008 6:53:19 AM PDT by ubaldus
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To: CatOwner

Yeah — stretching a long way. Maybe he was talking about a CA or MA poll. Nothing national had a wide spread at all.


49 posted on 10/22/2008 6:53:29 AM PDT by ScottinVA
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To: tatown

State polls are all that matter now. Don’t let national numbers worry you.

Remember the Electoral College.


50 posted on 10/22/2008 6:58:32 AM PDT by Jedidah
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To: ubaldus

thank you mr gloom and doom
how come u only show up in poll threads?


51 posted on 10/22/2008 6:59:13 AM PDT by housedeep
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To: Rokke

How did you learn about the individual samples from Monday and Tuesday?


52 posted on 10/22/2008 6:59:13 AM PDT by zaker99
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To: ScottinVA
I am sure in the months following an Obama victory, pyrrhic as it is on a number of levels, CEOs and Small business owners will be taking steps to mitigate higher taxes. My wife works for an Oral Surgeon and is a rabid Dittohead. he said in an "O" win he will be increasing his fees and will be posting a sign in his waiting room.

Dear patients, due to the proposed tax increases by the Obama administration I am forced to raise my fees. I am sorry to do this but it is necessary to provide you with the best standard of care

This form of passive resistance needs to be done in all small businesses in America. If they won't hear , then they will pay and learn the hard way. I know we can't divine peoples political leaning but where that is apparent I am sure CEOs will make it a point to let Dem leaning employees go. So Obama koolaid drinkers, think long and hard before you think you are going to stick it to the man. You might be the one actually bending over for the soap.

53 posted on 10/22/2008 7:00:58 AM PDT by pburgh01
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To: pieceofthepuzzle

“Heard McCain interview this morning. He said that in 2004 it was Kerry +13 over Bush at this point in one of the polls.”

If McCain really said that he is just blowing smoke. Why would he state something that is so clearly wrong? The polls were virtually ALL pro-Bush at this time of the cycle. Here are ALL 2004 national polls from 9/1 forward to election day:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/bush_vs_kerry.html

I can’t IMAGINE what McCain would be thinking, claiming that polling was pro-Kerry in 2004, and even showed a 13% Kerry lead at this point in 2004. The opposite is true. Almost every poll showed Bush ahead for the entire 9/1 through 11/1 time frame. Look for yourself.


54 posted on 10/22/2008 7:01:10 AM PDT by floridagopvoter
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To: tatown
Look at how Rasmussen has changed his measure of Rep/Dem in his methodology (from his reports):

In September, the number of Americans who consider themselves to be Republicans increased a percentage point from 33.2% in August to 34.4% in September.

During that same period, the number of Democrats declined slightly from 38.9% to 38.4.%. The remainder, 27.2%, are not affiliated with either major political party.

That gives the Democrats a net advantage of 4.0 percentage points, down from 5.7 percentage points in August.

Look at how he has shifted his sampling with his most recent polling effort:

For polling data released during the week of October 19-25, 2008, the partisan weighting targets used by Rasmussen Reports will be 39.7% Democratic, 33.0% Republican, and 27.3% unaffiliated.

A 5.7% Dem advantage in August, a 4.0% Dem advantage in September, and a 6.7% advantage in October... Like I said earlier, he is using his SECRET SAUCE!!

55 posted on 10/22/2008 7:01:13 AM PDT by mn-bush-man
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To: amishman

“I will vote straight ticket, but I’m afraid this race is over”

Sounds like the band is tuning up to play “Autumn”....

- John
(that was the final tune the Titanic’s band completed before it sank)


56 posted on 10/22/2008 7:01:36 AM PDT by Fishrrman
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To: Fishrrman

Rasmussen ....ROFL ROFL ROFL

What a joke


57 posted on 10/22/2008 7:02:41 AM PDT by JaneNC (I)
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To: housedeep

>> how come u only show up in poll threads?

because this is is what I find interesting to discuss here.
If you want my encouragement to vote and donate - here it is. I already did both.

But please, donate to our Senate candidates, not McCain. Coleman in MN and Chambliss in GA actually have a chance, McCain does not, imo.


58 posted on 10/22/2008 7:05:32 AM PDT by ubaldus
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To: amishman

Easy now. I know some little ole ladies for Hillary that are voting Palin.


59 posted on 10/22/2008 7:06:31 AM PDT by Cold Heart
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To: CatOwner
“I think McCain is stretching really hard with that statement.”

Maybe, but I am intrigued by the distinct disconnect between Obama’s polling numbers showing him leading in states where Hillary beat him by double digits in the primaries. McCain-Palin is not Dole-Kemp. There is a lot more energy in the McCain-Palin campaign, and there are very distinct philisophical differences between the candidates. Clinton essentially ran as a moderate, and still never broke the 50% barrier. Obama has a much more liberal platform, but I do agree that McCain needs to do a better job pointing this out to the electorate.

60 posted on 10/22/2008 7:07:35 AM PDT by pieceofthepuzzle
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