I disagree. Rove thinks McCain will do better than Bush in the ring counties of Philly (I have gotten the impression there is a lot of race politics in the suburbs). There is also polling to substantiate that Obama is underperforming Kerry in Pittsburgh. McCain can be expected to do better in Scranton-WB as well.
As for the 2006 analogy, Obama is no Bob Casey Jr. and will not be seen as a Bob Casey Jr. in PA. Casey cut into the “T” - Obama won’t. I doubt Obama will do as well as Casey did in the Philly suburbs.
The case for winning PA is very credible. I think you are wrong to write off NM as well.
Yea, I don’t know who this zebrahead guy is, but its clearly evident he isn’t living in PA. McCain has PA in the bag, and has from day one. He’s buying into national polling and pundent info that has been off about this state drastically since day one.
Fauxbama has no chance of carrying PA.