Posted on 10/23/2008 12:46:39 PM PDT by Alter Kaker
A new poll shows that Democrat Barack Obama could be edging ahead of Republican John McCain in Montana.
Obama is at 44 percent and John McCain is at 40 percent in the Montana State University-Billings poll released Thursday. The poll reverses others from earlier in the fall that showed McCain with a lead in the state.
The poll of 403 Montanans was conducted from Thursday though Monday and has a margin of error of plus or minus 5 percentage points.
Both Obama and McCain did a pretty good job in the poll of holding their party's base, but Obama held an advantage among self-described independents.
By a large margin, respondents said they thought McCain had run a more negative campaign.
Predictably, McCain got better marks on the foreign relations issue while Obama scored better on the economy.
Hilarious.
That is absurd. Are they only polling homeless shelters?
Gee, a whopping 403 people?
I guess we're toast
All them cowboys in Montana carry. If they think they are going to loose that right.....they’ll go for McCain.
..somebody posted a news story from 1972 which said McGovern was closing in on Nixon ROFL—I think this is in the same genre of story...
The polled 403 people? There were more people in my high school graduating class.
About as unlikely as a female bull....
McCain will win.
BOOK IT.
How did Janet Reno get involved in this thread?
The issue with Montana if it is close is that it has a large libertarian block of voters which could sway the election. It affected the Senate seat last election and the Republican lost.
Obama edges ahead of McCain among White Supremacists
I’m beginning to think you’re right. Why else would the commie-bommies be releasing these polls that are so blantantly wrong?
Having spent some time in Montana. I know that a majority of it’s residents are definately conservative.
What you hear almost everyday, is their anger at the college towns especially in MSU Billings and University of Montana in Missoula. The students are a large enough block of voters, to tip the political scale of a state with a population of around one million.
A North Dakota TV station’s poll will sit really well in Montana. North Dakota is the butt of jokes in Montana.
Thye must have polled the only 403 Montanans in the State who don’t own a firearm!!
If this year's presidential election were being held today, for whom do you think you would vote?
Barack Obama 44.4%
John McCain 40.2%
Ron Paul 4.2%
Bob Barr 1%
Ralph Nader .7%
Undecided 9.5%
Margin of Error is 4.81%.
So, that could mean that McCain is actually up by .81%.
NOT!!
I have a friend in Montana, near Billings- who says the state is McCain/Palin country.
Those country boys like their guns and hunting too much to ever vote for Obama.
Stupid students from out of state could be the source of this poll, tho.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
There is a Dem senator up for reelection next month. Max Baucus, Dem incumbent is running against Kelleher. Could this be a Republican pick up?
McCain at 40% in the ultra-conservative state of Montana?
BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!
Yeah, right!!!
The next incredulous poll to come out: empty suit is leading in Alabama and Mississippi./Just Asking - seoul62......
Must be all those dental floss tycoons.
There is no other way to explain it. If they had just had a couple states showing a swing or a couple points up on the National poll I may have believed it. Now I have no doubt that Hussein is in trouble, these polls are used to prop him up. Only the liberal sheep will believe this nonsense.
What kind of place do you think Montana is? 90% cowboys, 9% boot sellers and 1% bankers?
Montana is the home of egregious organizations like the Greater Yellowstone Coalition (goal: returns the planes to their natural state by removing all traces of mankind...) and many, many more.
The urban centers all have 4 year colleges and all (except Butte) are trending liberal....
We have two bad liberal senators Max Bacchus and Testor. Bacchus is up for reelection this year and the republican running against him is 79 years old and a fool!
Max is running lots of ads about his accomplishments and Obama is flooding the media with lies about McCain.
I have yet to hear or see an single McCain ad.
I fully EXPECT Montana to go for Obama (he spent 4th of July in Butte).
The only good sign in this whole mess is in my neighborhood there are only 2 Obama signs and many, many McCain signs - 4 and 8 years ago there were lot's of Democrat signs and very few Bush signs...I have little hope, though...
What? They asked everyone in the state their opinion twice. /s
Swain_forkbeard, honey, what’s got into ya?
No chance in Hell. Never gonna happen. Kelleher is 79 years old and a fool, he won the primary from Democrats crossing over to vote him onto the ticket instead one of the good Republicans.
Max is horrible for our state and we just cannot get rid of him.
If it were 90% cowboys, the GOP wouldn't stand a chance in Montana.
OMG, Obama showed up in Montana! And on the 4th of July!!!OMG! What to do, what to do....LOL, McCain is +8 in Montana.
You have nothing to back up your expectations.
wtf?
Obama is about to take Idaho also :)
“You have nothing to back up your expectations.”
Where do YOU live? Obviously, not in Montana.
If you believe this garbage, I have a bridge I’d like to sell you.
Total BS, that’s WTF.
Even if it is true, it won’t be once the photos of teh 20 year old McCain campaign worker who had a B carved into her face by a Fauxbama supporter get distributed.
Fauxbama just went from a possible close lose, to a massive lose. Those undecideds are going to break so far for McCain after this, it won’t even be funny.
Hey Leo,
You got ONE poll. Don’t drink the Kool-aid. McCain is ahead +8.
But that doesn't translate into an Obama win in the polls, that's Obama-12%, McCain-8%, and 80% "undecided".
I'll gladly take all comers on Obama to win in Montana. Place your bets.
If some knucklehead outfit in Texas comes out with a poll showing that Obama has pulled ahead here, does that mean that Sarah Palin will come to Dallas and drop a puck at a Stars game?
Again I ask you, WHERE DO YOU LIVE?
YOU OBVIOUSLY DO NOT LIVE IN MONTANA.
Time to move downt Wyoming you folks in Montana. It is getting full of Ted Turner types.
No internals posted. Imagine that. Could be 100% Dem.
Gutless. And unfortunately, this poll will be reported on breathlessly by the news media as "proof positive" that "McCain is screwed".
Doesn't this add-up to 84%? And this is relevant? 4% different (not counting the margin of error), with 16% undecided?
California Leo, and I don’t give a damn where you live in Montana, the Muslim will not win the state. McCain is +8 in Montana Leo.
Don’t fret “Conservative FReeper” your state is safe.
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