Skip to comments.Newsweek poll: 053, M41 (Newsweak's sample: 36% Dems, 36% Independents, 27% Republicans)
Posted on 10/24/2008 5:26:30 PM PDT by Chet 99
Newsweek poll: 053, M41 (Newsweak's sample: 36% Dems, 36% Independents, 27% Republicans)
(Excerpt) Read more at newsweek.com ...
Good lord, look at the internals on this one.
I sure hope this one is better than the last one ...
Why doesn’t Obama takes Rush’s offer, stop campaigning. And why is Obama campaigning for other Dimocrats? Could it be, just maybe, like the primaries, Obama is really way behind, and there are no super delegates to help him out here.
Why don’t they just skip the Republicans altogether and make it unanimous?
Chet your new name is “poll Guy”. God love ya...
I’m not even going to waste time breaking this one down.
Newsweak is truly laughable.
I know nervous nellies like to get upset at polls, but even they should laugh at this one.
It’s a joke.
God love ya, stand up Chet, stand up!
I’d like to see where they poll as well
for instance do they poll in black neighbor hoods when polling nation wide, do they poll more in MA than they do ion GA
these internals are just down right biased, sadly most people don’t understand how polling works
so far it’s looking good for McCain in CO
WTF??? 36% Independents?!
Who are they polling, their staff?
The figures to 72% dems 27% rep 1% ind
the only people who don’t realise that the media are looking really stupid and have no respect form most is the media
“Independents are almost always Dems”.
Not so. If that were true, no republican would ever be elected.
Think how many conservatives are pissed off at RINOs and the party.
So essentially 4 people out of every 10 is an Independent. Yeah - right.
O'Biden... Is that you??!!
Why post ANYTHING from Newsweek? You mind as well post Pravda instead.
How many ways can you say bogus propaganda?
Remember that NewsWEAK is the Washington Post Corp. They have newspapers, TV stations, magazines and Buffet (the Soros of Omaha) is the largest shareholder.
NewsWeak’s affiliate TV stations are making tens of millions in TV ads for Obama ditto with web banner ads on Wa PO and NewsWeak web sites.
This poll is clearly BS. It is laughable that Obama has anything over 46% let alone 53%. Ignore this sh**.
IBD/TIPP and Battleground are probably the only independent pollsters without an agenda.
36% D, 36% left-leaning Is, and 28 Rs. Unrepresentative of likely voters. Not valid. Bogus. Fraudulent. A waste of time. They must have polled their own reporters and editors, plus a few secretaries and mail clerk types in order to get the Republican total up to 28. I wish they would stop doing that.
Ya gotta understand. Newsweak is trying to sell magazines. The only people still subscribing to that garbage are doctors’ and dentists’ offices.
I second that quote — shows how bad Obama is doing when they have to sample more Indys then Republicans to get their numbers.
This is just stupid now
That links to the PDF. it says 27% Republican. They may have also oversampled 18-34, I’m not sure though.
I wonder what this poll would say at 1996’s 39-35 turnout.
Newswek to Republicans: Drop Dead!
Anyone want to guess how many of the Independents are actually Democrats?
If they over-sampled by party, then it's most likely that they would over-sample by age and race, too.
This is really getting absurd.
Let’s say the I’s are really 12%, and split the other 28% 50/50. That would say the sample is 50% D, 41% R. In other words, it’s worthless.
Even if this poll was polled at 36D/36R/27I, their internals would indicate that Obama would have 49.2% and McCain would have 43.8%. Sorry, but if the GOP matches the DEMs in voter turnout, McCain get 300+ EVs. End of story.
worthless poll but there is one fun internal:
Biden is unknown by 4 times as many people as THE GOVERNOR!
(Well, it’s 4% to 1% LOL!)
So the media should spend a little time talking about Joe, even though doing so would cut into the time they can spend lying about THE GOVERNOR.
I suppose in the Left’s dream world, Republicans would make up only 27% of the electorate. The Left/MSM is trying their hardest to depress our votes and marginalize us so their dream becomes reality.
I must say it’s making me very angry and it encourages me to work harder. I want to see the 0bama campaign go down in humiliation.
I’m just thinking that we could come up with some pretty damned good polls if we gave the Democrats 27%, the Independents 36%, and the Republicans 36%. And then we would be the folks crying in our spilled milk on November 5th.
If Newsweek is truly breaking out the polls the way you state here, we have some incredible amatures, or incredible propagandists at work here. Most likely both!
There will weeping, wailing and gnashing of teeth on 11/05/08. Sorry Democrats, I feel your pain. Try putting some ice on it.
The number for 18-34 y/o voters looks about right, at least for the LV model (RV looks a little bit oversampled). I'm wondering where they got the absurdly low 35-44 y/o number though. It's low by at least 4%, I'd say. The big trick is with the D/R breakdown. 9% D advantage, which mimics the Operation Chaos/ACORN tomfoolery, but is at least a 6% departure from historical breakdowns from within the last two years, and is even further afield from the post-voting partisan breakdown in the 2004 election.
One thing that bothers me is that I've been hearing of a number of people, such as our own FReeper Italianquaker, who report that they were called by a polling outfit, but were hung up on after they identified as Republican, conservative, McCain supporter, etc. Hung up on! I can see maybe weighing certain respondants out from your data set to fit your particular blend of special sauce, but hanging up on people? Refusing to even gather someone's data after they identify a certain way? IQ isn't the only FReeper who's reported this, and I've heard anecdotal evidences elsewhere to the same effect. Hanging up on someone strikes me as a singularly incompetent way to conduct a poll, to be sure, and indicates to me that there is more than just some past-the-expiration-date special sauce going into some of these polls.
Newsweek has zero credibility. They are a left wing propaganda outfit.
How about some behind-the-scenes threats? Pressure from the Obama campaign? The Thugocracy may have started a year ago.
Stnad up for Chet!
I wouldn't be surprised to find out they don't really poll at all. If you're going to fudge the numbers anyway, why bother?
These lies camouflaged as polls from the media need to be incentive to work even harder getting the message to voters to actually vote on the 4th.
Spreading the truth about these media lies needs to be mission number one.
Make sure everyone you know gets to the poling place and votes.
Expose the lie to all you know.
I get it...ha...to...the...haha
I disagree with that. And if they do tend to be embarrassed Dems, then they won’t go for the most far left Dem of them all. Makes no sense.
There are also a lot of moderates and conservatives who don’t want to be bothered. They just want to vote and not be continuously called during the political season at dinner time.
Thank God somebody got it! I thought I might’ve wasted my time!
Okay maybe I’m wrong, but my most important point is that they over sample Dems and that’s drives me nuts...but I’m used to it now...