Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

GWU/Battleground Poll: 049, M46
GWU/Battleground ^

Posted on 10/25/2008 3:04:52 PM PDT by Chet 99

GWU/Battleground Poll: 049, M46

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; battleground; gwu; mccain; obama

1 posted on 10/25/2008 3:04:52 PM PDT by Chet 99
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Chet 99

Great news!!!


2 posted on 10/25/2008 3:05:31 PM PDT by nhwingut (,)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Chet 99




YES TO MCCAIN-PALIN '08 FOR AMERICA





SARAH PALIN DRAWING HUGE CROWDS ALL ACROSS AMERICA







http://www.jeffhead.com/joeplumber.htm


3 posted on 10/25/2008 3:08:14 PM PDT by Jeff Head (Freedom is not free...never has been, never will be. (www.dragonsfuryseries.com))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: nhwingut

DANG! He is still leading by 3, but, he can’t seem to seal the deal! STILL under 50%!


4 posted on 10/25/2008 3:09:43 PM PDT by RoseofTexas
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: RoseofTexas

UMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM
They don’t poll on weekends !!!!!!!!!!!!


5 posted on 10/25/2008 3:10:48 PM PDT by PaRep
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: RoseofTexas

Barring a significant development to McCain’s disadvantage, I believe he’ll win.


6 posted on 10/25/2008 3:11:13 PM PDT by skeeter
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: RoseofTexas
What's the party ID weighing? I still think we need to subtract 3 points for Obama.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

7 posted on 10/25/2008 3:11:45 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: RoseofTexas
A week ago I wrote a column here saying that the pollsters had to get their samples in line with reality. Apparently Rasmussen is pig-headed and insists on overpolling Dems, but IDB-Tipp and Battleground are coming right into line.

If they have McCain down 2 nationally, he wins the EC. If it's tied nationally, he wins IA and NH too, and we probably save another 5-6 congressional seats.

8 posted on 10/25/2008 3:12:02 PM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Chet 99

bmflr


9 posted on 10/25/2008 3:15:01 PM PDT by Kevmo (I love that sound and please let that baby keep on crying. ~Sarah Palin)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: LS
I called this election back in September but if you and I are wrong, we'll eat crow. I'm prepared to do mea culpas on this forum on Nov. 5th. I just hope we won't be.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

10 posted on 10/25/2008 3:16:08 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: goldstategop

Perish the thought of eating crow goldstategop, the media is trying EVERYTHING it can demoralize voters, pushback is called for!

Decent news, but keep an eye on undecideds, they are the election, and I’d love to know in what districts the early voting has grown.


11 posted on 10/25/2008 3:18:55 PM PDT by padre35 (Sarah Palin is the one we've been waiting for..Rom 10.10..)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: Chet 99

Just remember folks: the polls showing a double digit or high single digit lead will be absolutely correct...if Republicans don’t show up! It’s up to us. We turn out in droves, we’ll make fools out of the pollsters and the pundits. But if we listen to the pollsters and the media trying to convince us the race is over, if we give in to the propaganda and stay home, then those polls will be accurate and they will have successfully manipulated us into giving Obama the victory.

So what’s it going to be?


12 posted on 10/25/2008 3:20:16 PM PDT by Humbug (ignore the media and the polls and keep fighting)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: PaRep

What are you saying? GWU/Battleground doesn’t Poll on the weekend? I didn’t know that! Ummmmm is right!


13 posted on 10/25/2008 3:20:45 PM PDT by RoseofTexas
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: LS
We should know about NH fairly early in the night correct? If McCain wins NH early in the night we will know it is going to be a very good night.
14 posted on 10/25/2008 3:20:54 PM PDT by wolf24 ("It's always easy to rally the stupid.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: padre35
I'm not privy to the entire country. All we can do is pray. I voted but I can't stop fellow Americans from taking the country over the cliffs. Pray for America!

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

15 posted on 10/25/2008 3:21:44 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: RoseofTexas

Nope that is why the are VERY accurate


16 posted on 10/25/2008 3:21:47 PM PDT by PaRep
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: wolf24
The only flaw in the ointment is the TV networks will call states early for Obama even if they are close. They will call states late for McCain or hold back if they are close. Just something to watch out for on Election Night.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

17 posted on 10/25/2008 3:23:36 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: Humbug
We turn out in droves, we’ll make fools out of the pollsters and the pundits.

Is all the anti-turnout propaganda going to work on the base? I don't think so. 1. this is not 2006; this is a Presidential election, and 2. I believe the base, by and large, is onto these tactics.

We'll see.

18 posted on 10/25/2008 3:23:54 PM PDT by wolf24 ("It's always easy to rally the stupid.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: LS

It seems to me that the polls are being used to shape public opinion, rather than reflect public opinion.

Pollsters seem to be oversampling d-rats in some internals, and as we get closer to the actual election, they get more realistic, or as you said, “...had to get their samples in line with reality.”

Perhaps the liberty pollster take in telling us the truth is lie number 49 in the next installment of your terrific book, “48 Liberal Lies About American History.”


19 posted on 10/25/2008 3:25:29 PM PDT by AdvisorB (Baraq is the Arabic name of the winged horse that took mohammed to paradise from the DomeoftheRock)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: PaRep

So it’s a given they’ll do it tomorrow and again next saturday?!


20 posted on 10/25/2008 3:25:43 PM PDT by RoseofTexas
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: goldstategop
No doubt. Believe me, I remember the media calling Ohio for Gore with about 1% if precincts reporting back in 2000.

If they don't call NH for either candidate, I will take that as a very good sign.

21 posted on 10/25/2008 3:26:12 PM PDT by wolf24 ("It's always easy to rally the stupid.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: Mr.Smorch
They're trying to shape public opinion. They're not telling us how people will actually vote next month, unless they can read people's minds!

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

22 posted on 10/25/2008 3:27:00 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: RoseofTexas

The Poll sunday night & through the week don’t know about the last weekend


23 posted on 10/25/2008 3:27:09 PM PDT by PaRep
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: wolf24
But every state that goes for Obama, they will post early to create that juggernaut image they want people to have. And like in 2000, they hope GOP voters in key states get so demoralized, they give up and go home. We all remember how they called FL for Gore on the basis of completely misleading exit poll data.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

24 posted on 10/25/2008 3:29:30 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

Comment #25 Removed by Moderator

To: goldstategop
The only flaw in the ointment is the TV networks will call states early for Obama even if they are close.

Fox News won't.

26 posted on 10/25/2008 3:31:55 PM PDT by careyb
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: careyb
Fox News won't.

Actually, not so sure about that anymore, ever since they veered far to the Left.
27 posted on 10/25/2008 3:41:48 PM PDT by jstolzen (All it takes for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing - Edmund Burke)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 26 | View Replies]

To: All
I'll state the obvious again:

The “Bradley Effect” will kick in to a much more significant degree than has been anticipated.

When the earlier results of the Clinton-Obama primaries in WVa, Ky, and other “ culture-sensitive” states are closely analyzed, it becomes evident that there is a reservoir of cultural voters out in the hustings — across the country —who simply would not vote for a Black under any circumstance.

Needless to say, these same voters would never reveal their feelings to any pollster — or for that matter — to even their closest friends.

What this percentage is of the total electorate is, in my view, the 64 dollar question, in this election.

My gut tells me it may be adequate to see Detroit in flames.

28 posted on 10/25/2008 3:43:23 PM PDT by dk/coro
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: UpstateNYConservative
This is yesterday’s poll. Battleground does not release polls on Saturdays.

Yes it is, but I don't recall seeing it posted here before, just the "Obama by 14" polls.

FWIW if "Bradley" effect is just 2, 49-2=47 O, 46+2=46 M.

29 posted on 10/25/2008 3:51:25 PM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 25 | View Replies]

To: RoseofTexas

Undecideds always went to Hillary.

I think McCain will get the undecideds.

If they haven’t decided to support “The One” already they way he has been pushed down our throats, they aren’t likely to do so.


30 posted on 10/25/2008 3:52:52 PM PDT by Retired Greyhound
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: wolf24
Is all the anti-turnout propaganda going to work on the base? I don't think so. 1. this is not 2006; this is a Presidential election, and 2. I believe the base, by and large, is onto these tactics.

I believe so too but it is disconcerting when even some Freepers (who you think would know better) seemingly throw in the towel whenever a new Zogby or Rasmussen poll comes out. Conversely, though, there is talk that if Democrats feel they have it in the bag then a number of them may not bother showing up. It'll be interesting to see how it all shakes out.

As long as McCain has the BIG MO at the end (the last 3-4 days) then i feel very good about our chances. Hopefully they have a brilliant end game strategy ready to go.

31 posted on 10/25/2008 3:54:25 PM PDT by Humbug (ignore the media and the polls and keep fighting)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: Retired Greyhound

You are Correct


32 posted on 10/25/2008 3:57:50 PM PDT by PaRep
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 30 | View Replies]

To: Sooth2222
oops!

FWIW if "Bradley" effect is just 2, 49-2=47 O, 46+2=48 M.

33 posted on 10/25/2008 3:58:10 PM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 29 | View Replies]

To: LS

I think some pollsters are going to stick to their inflated projections because they actually believe the electorate is going to turn out like that. So it wouldn’t surprise me to have kooky polls all the way to Election Day.


34 posted on 10/25/2008 4:00:00 PM PDT by Galactic Overlord-In-Chief (Russia invades Georgia? For a moment, I thought that was Red Dawn II)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Humbug

Im getting in line now !!!!!


35 posted on 10/25/2008 4:10:18 PM PDT by ballplayer
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: Sooth2222

A few weeks ago, I saw Brit Hume ask Juan Williams about the “Bradley effect”. He said the Obama campaign is estimating it to be about 5%.


36 posted on 10/25/2008 4:13:48 PM PDT by betsyross60 (God bless our troops everywhere!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 34 | View Replies]

To: betsyross60
A few weeks ago, I saw Brit Hume ask Juan Williams about the “Bradley effect”. He said the Obama campaign is estimating it to be about 5%.

How does one measure the fear of crypto-muslims effect.

37 posted on 10/25/2008 4:16:58 PM PDT by Stentor (Obama is Bill Ayers' Renfield.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 36 | View Replies]

To: wolf24
We should know about NH fairly early in the night correct? If McCain wins NH early in the night we will know it is going to be a very good night.

You are forgetting the media template my friend. When a Republican wins a state it isn't called until midnight. When a Democrat is even close to winning it is called at 7 PM!
38 posted on 10/25/2008 4:21:04 PM PDT by over3Owithabrain
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: Stentor

My guess....it’s even higher! Of course the 5% could be an over estimation by their campaign.


39 posted on 10/25/2008 4:22:21 PM PDT by betsyross60 (God bless our troops everywhere!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 37 | View Replies]

To: over3Owithabrain

Agreed.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2115247/posts?page=38#17


40 posted on 10/25/2008 4:27:38 PM PDT by wolf24 ("It's always easy to rally the stupid.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 38 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson