Skip to comments.Election 2008: Michigan Presidential Election (McCain gains though running no ads)
Posted on 10/29/2008 3:28:16 PM PDT by Maelstorm
Barack Obama now leads John McCain 53% to 43% in Michigan, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state.
Though Obama is down from the 16-point lead he held earlier in the month, he still holds a greater advantage over McCain than in all previous polls dating back to February. This is now the seventh straight poll Obama has held the lead in the state.
Michigans 17 Electoral College votes have gone to the Democratic candidates in the last four presidential elections.
The nominees are now tied among unaffiliated voters in Michigan at 46%. Two weeks ago, Obama led by 11 percentage points among that demographic. While Obama leads by double-digits among women in Michigan, men now favor McCain 49% to 47%. Just two weeks ago, Obama led 59% to 38% among men.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
the article continued, “the fact that this poll was taken entirely within the city limits of detroit has nothing to do with the results we are publishing and advertising.”
My wife has seen two “I am Joe the Plumber” McCain ads here in Michigan the last two days.
Kwame sayin Sumpin up yo!
obama wants to do for the country what the dems did to Detroit over the past 50 years.
Imagine... the WHOLE country turned into Detroit.
no thanks, nobammy!
Has to be a pretty big Rat oversample to come up with a 10% lead then...
I wonder if 0 dropped his MI ads when McCain pulled out?
Wouldnt that be a hoot if McCain won Michigan.
I recommended a rally with Sarah, Todd, Mitt and the NUG.
Michigan would have loved it.
That’s a fairly important comment I would think. IOW, they only polled in an area where O should be really strong. Am I missing something?
yes, it was a comment I made up...:)
Gaining is not the same as winning. This is not horseshoes.
“I wonder if 0 dropped his MI ads when McCain pulled out?”
Two weeks after McCain quit running ads BO was airing them heavily. On a football Saturday I would say that I would see 20+ BO adds
The BO ads have just started to slow the last week.
That is great. I knew there were independent groups running some ads.
I think McCain concluded that no matter how well he’d do in the rest of MI, he’d never be able to overcome the Detroit fraud.
Final RCP average in 2004 was Kerry by 3.5. Rassmussen had Kerry by 4. Kerry won 51.3-46.1 Kerry by +5.2.
Rassmussen now showing McCain down 10 should bring no glee.
the entire state will vote McCain except one area: Detroit and surrounding cities.. thank you UAW.
“Though Obama is down from the 16-point lead he held earlier in the month, he still holds a greater advantage over McCain than in all previous polls dating back to February”
That is as clear as dirt. Nice writing.
My husband almost rear ended someone on the way home from work in liberal Ann Arbor. He was so intent on doing a McCain vs. Obama sign count, that he nearly killed himself. By the way, once outside of Ann Arbor, McCain won the sign count 15 to 12.
Last week, during a Red Wing game, every other commercial was an Obama ad (no exaggeration).
From what I see by the amount of signs in my area (Oakland County) it's running about 50-50 between O & McCain. Once you get out of the vicinity, it's about 70% for Bambi and it gets worse the closer you get to Detroit where it's close to 100%.
The Detroit Free Press runs front page stories about the glory of Obama almost every day and the local news is ALL Barrack, you'd think he was the only one running.
No way McCain wins Michigan.
No one said anything about winning. I posted this as an example of movement in the right direction. Minnesota is also closer in the latest polls. If the polls continue in this direction by election day we may see some of these blue states close within 4 or 5 points. This may help down ticket races. Also 527 ads are running in some of these states.
1. Focusing more on the economy and tying Obama to Granholm and Andy Dillon
2. Knowing about Kwame Kilpatrick's sentencing and pushing the Obama/Kwame connection, running a controversial ad linking Obama's Chicago State Senate District to Detroit. These two democrats will do the same thing for the country and they accomplished for their districts.
3. Used Palin property. They never, ever, ever, should have shielded her from the media. They needed to let her define herself and run on her record as governor, not as a prop for social conservatives. We know her. The Independents did not and let others do the job the campaign should have done.
4. Second amendment.
I thought McCain had a shot here until he quit and worse, ANNOUNCED he quit.
Signs here are 65/35 for McCain, in my part of Washtenaw County just North of Ann Arbor. Close to 100% for Bacrock down in Ann Arbor. North of me in the Republican area it was 70/30 for McCain until a bunch of signs were stolen.
West Bloomfield/Waterford/Commerce and I am as surprised as you are.
I have one theory though, a lot of people probably don't put McCain signs out because of vandalism. It seems like almost every McCain sign I see has been attacked. I have been hypothesizing that if you are an Obamanite you put the sign large and proud on your lawn. Therefore, maybe those that don't have a sign at all are closet McCain people. Make sense? Maybe he's doing better than I thought but I'm only going by what I see.
If you would like to be added or dropped from the Michigan ping list, please freepmail me.
In my opinion, the state still has too many Democrats for McCain to have a real shot in MI. Indpendents being even? They were essentially even in 2004 (Kerry 49-47, just about right at the national average). But the Democrats had a 5 point turnout advantage and their party loyalty was just a hair under the Republicans. Kerry won the state 51-48, or by 166,000 votes.
For what it’s worth,in 2000 Gore won the state 51-47. In 1996, Clinton got 51.6 of the vote while Dole/Perot got about 47. It seems to be a state where a Democrat should normally win by about 51-48 or thereabouts, as Kerry did.
But a 10 point lead? Faux Obamapoll, methinks.
Nope O-bummer kept his ads in very heavy rotation here and I am sick of seeing him. This might be causing him to go down in the polls. You can over saturate the market and cause a backlash.
Day off for vote would cause ‘tremendous economic impact’
The Pittsburgh Tribune-Review | October 29, 2008 | Salena Zito
Posted on 10/29/2008 12:02:05 PM PDT by Salena Zito
Man lives among the chads of 2000 election
AP via ABC7Local | October 24, 2008 | staff reporter
Posted on 10/29/2008 12:37:57 PM PDT by Daffynition
November 2008 — Be There!
Absolutely. Anyone who wants to see what socialism will do to America only needs to see the horror that lies south of 8-mile road.
We ought to bus all the Obama-robots into Detroit and let them see what their messiah has in mind for them.
One of the UAW faithful tried to run my Dad (and his heavily McCain stickered truck) off the road a couple of days ago. Maybe they ought to direct a little of the anger towards the presidents that have sat in Solidarity House rather than blame the one in Washington.
Lots of McCain signs up in the GOP leaning Almont area. Bodes well for redder states me thinks.
I was afraid of that!!!!!
Thanks for the laugh. I needed it.