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Election 2008: Michigan Presidential Election (McCain gains though running no ads)
http://www.rasmussenreports.com ^ | OCT 29,2008 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 10/29/2008 3:28:16 PM PDT by Maelstorm

Barack Obama now leads John McCain 53% to 43% in Michigan, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state.

Though Obama is down from the 16-point lead he held earlier in the month, he still holds a greater advantage over McCain than in all previous polls dating back to February. This is now the seventh straight poll Obama has held the lead in the state.

Michigan’s 17 Electoral College votes have gone to the Democratic candidates in the last four presidential elections.

The nominees are now tied among unaffiliated voters in Michigan at 46%. Two weeks ago, Obama led by 11 percentage points among that demographic. While Obama leads by double-digits among women in Michigan, men now favor McCain 49% to 47%. Just two weeks ago, Obama led 59% to 38% among men.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Michigan
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; electionads; electionpresident; mccain; mi2008; obama
Looks like McCain is closing in Michigan. McCain should send Joe the Plumber and Sarah Palin to Michigan for at a rally. It might just give them enough to push them within the margin of error for election day.
1 posted on 10/29/2008 3:28:17 PM PDT by Maelstorm
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To: Maelstorm

the article continued, “the fact that this poll was taken entirely within the city limits of detroit has nothing to do with the results we are publishing and advertising.”


2 posted on 10/29/2008 3:30:57 PM PDT by GeorgiaDawg32 (I'm a Patriot Guard Rider. www.patriotguard.org for info. MAVERICK/BARRACUDA '08)
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To: Maelstorm

My wife has seen two “I am Joe the Plumber” McCain ads here in Michigan the last two days.

Kwame sayin Sumpin up yo!


3 posted on 10/29/2008 3:31:48 PM PDT by Jazz1968
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To: Maelstorm




YES TO MCCAIN-PALIN '08 FOR AMERICA





SARAH PALIN DRAWING HUGE CROWDS ALL ACROSS AMERICA







http://www.jeffhead.com/joeplumber.htm


4 posted on 10/29/2008 3:33:34 PM PDT by Jeff Head (Freedom is not free...never has been, never will be. (www.dragonsfuryseries.com))
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To: Maelstorm

obama wants to do for the country what the dems did to Detroit over the past 50 years.

Imagine... the WHOLE country turned into Detroit.

no thanks, nobammy!


5 posted on 10/29/2008 3:34:38 PM PDT by J40000
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To: Maelstorm; kesg
The nominees are now tied among unaffiliated voters in Michigan at 46%

Has to be a pretty big Rat oversample to come up with a 10% lead then...

I wonder if 0 dropped his MI ads when McCain pulled out?

6 posted on 10/29/2008 3:37:00 PM PDT by Chet 99 (Vote McCain/Palin, or this will be our future: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QTb5EFZmgbs)
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To: Maelstorm

Wouldnt that be a hoot if McCain won Michigan.
I recommended a rally with Sarah, Todd, Mitt and the NUG.
Michigan would have loved it.


7 posted on 10/29/2008 3:39:16 PM PDT by mouse1 (Have you donated to Free Republic today??)
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To: GeorgiaDawg32

That’s a fairly important comment I would think. IOW, they only polled in an area where O should be really strong. Am I missing something?


8 posted on 10/29/2008 3:40:15 PM PDT by perez24 (Dirty deeds, done dirt cheap.)
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To: perez24

yes, it was a comment I made up...:)


9 posted on 10/29/2008 3:44:04 PM PDT by GeorgiaDawg32 (I'm a Patriot Guard Rider. www.patriotguard.org for info. MAVERICK/BARRACUDA '08)
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To: Maelstorm

Gaining is not the same as winning. This is not horseshoes.


10 posted on 10/29/2008 3:46:47 PM PDT by Paladin2 (Palin for President! (RINOs? PUMA))
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To: Chet 99

“I wonder if 0 dropped his MI ads when McCain pulled out?”

Nope.
Two weeks after McCain quit running ads BO was airing them heavily. On a football Saturday I would say that I would see 20+ BO adds
The BO ads have just started to slow the last week.


11 posted on 10/29/2008 3:49:05 PM PDT by Jazz1968
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To: Jazz1968

That is great. I knew there were independent groups running some ads.


12 posted on 10/29/2008 3:50:46 PM PDT by Maelstorm (This country was not founded with the battle cry "Give me liberty or give me a government check!")
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To: Jazz1968

I think McCain concluded that no matter how well he’d do in the rest of MI, he’d never be able to overcome the Detroit fraud.


13 posted on 10/29/2008 3:52:39 PM PDT by Chet 99 (Vote McCain/Palin, or this will be our future: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QTb5EFZmgbs)
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To: Paladin2

Final RCP average in 2004 was Kerry by 3.5. Rassmussen had Kerry by 4. Kerry won 51.3-46.1 Kerry by +5.2.

Rassmussen now showing McCain down 10 should bring no glee.


14 posted on 10/29/2008 3:53:44 PM PDT by jpeg82
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To: jpeg82

the entire state will vote McCain except one area: Detroit and surrounding cities.. thank you UAW.


15 posted on 10/29/2008 3:55:51 PM PDT by Chuzzlewit
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To: Maelstorm

“Though Obama is down from the 16-point lead he held earlier in the month, he still holds a greater advantage over McCain than in all previous polls dating back to February”

That is as clear as dirt. Nice writing.


16 posted on 10/29/2008 3:56:07 PM PDT by Rosemont
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To: mouse1

My husband almost rear ended someone on the way home from work in liberal Ann Arbor. He was so intent on doing a McCain vs. Obama sign count, that he nearly killed himself. By the way, once outside of Ann Arbor, McCain won the sign count 15 to 12.


17 posted on 10/29/2008 4:01:31 PM PDT by stayathomemom ( nowanemptynester)
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To: Jazz1968
On a football Saturday I would say that I would see 20+ BO adds

Last week, during a Red Wing game, every other commercial was an Obama ad (no exaggeration).

From what I see by the amount of signs in my area (Oakland County) it's running about 50-50 between O & McCain. Once you get out of the vicinity, it's about 70% for Bambi and it gets worse the closer you get to Detroit where it's close to 100%.

The Detroit Free Press runs front page stories about the glory of Obama almost every day and the local news is ALL Barrack, you'd think he was the only one running.

No way McCain wins Michigan.

18 posted on 10/29/2008 4:03:16 PM PDT by softwarecreator
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To: Paladin2

No one said anything about winning. I posted this as an example of movement in the right direction. Minnesota is also closer in the latest polls. If the polls continue in this direction by election day we may see some of these blue states close within 4 or 5 points. This may help down ticket races. Also 527 ads are running in some of these states.


19 posted on 10/29/2008 4:18:43 PM PDT by Maelstorm (This country was not founded with the battle cry "Give me liberty or give me a government check!")
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To: Maelstorm
Michigan outside of 2006 always tightens up in the last week. It would have tightened up more if McCain planned this properly by:

1. Focusing more on the economy and tying Obama to Granholm and Andy Dillon

2. Knowing about Kwame Kilpatrick's sentencing and pushing the Obama/Kwame connection, running a controversial ad linking Obama's Chicago State Senate District to Detroit. These two democrats will do the same thing for the country and they accomplished for their districts.

3. Used Palin property. They never, ever, ever, should have shielded her from the media. They needed to let her define herself and run on her record as governor, not as a prop for social conservatives. We know her. The Independents did not and let others do the job the campaign should have done.

4. Second amendment.

20 posted on 10/29/2008 4:46:18 PM PDT by Darren McCarty (I'm voting for anybody but Obama)
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To: softwarecreator
Where in Oakland? I can see him doing well in South Lyon or Clarkston. He'd get killed in Royal Oak and Ferndale. Those types love Obama. Southfield and Pontiac are obvious.

I thought McCain had a shot here until he quit and worse, ANNOUNCED he quit.

Signs here are 65/35 for McCain, in my part of Washtenaw County just North of Ann Arbor. Close to 100% for Bacrock down in Ann Arbor. North of me in the Republican area it was 70/30 for McCain until a bunch of signs were stolen.

21 posted on 10/29/2008 4:52:46 PM PDT by Darren McCarty (I'm voting for anybody but Obama)
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To: Darren McCarty
Where in Oakland?

West Bloomfield/Waterford/Commerce and I am as surprised as you are.

I have one theory though, a lot of people probably don't put McCain signs out because of vandalism. It seems like almost every McCain sign I see has been attacked. I have been hypothesizing that if you are an Obamanite you put the sign large and proud on your lawn. Therefore, maybe those that don't have a sign at all are closet McCain people. Make sense? Maybe he's doing better than I thought but I'm only going by what I see.

22 posted on 10/29/2008 4:59:34 PM PDT by softwarecreator
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To: Springman; sergeantdave; cyclotic; netmilsmom; RatsDawg; PGalt; FreedomHammer; queenkathy; ...

If you would like to be added or dropped from the Michigan ping list, please freepmail me.


23 posted on 10/29/2008 5:34:43 PM PDT by grellis (SISTERHOOD OF SARAH God. Guns. Hockey.)
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To: Chet 99

In my opinion, the state still has too many Democrats for McCain to have a real shot in MI. Indpendents being even? They were essentially even in 2004 (Kerry 49-47, just about right at the national average). But the Democrats had a 5 point turnout advantage and their party loyalty was just a hair under the Republicans. Kerry won the state 51-48, or by 166,000 votes.

For what it’s worth,in 2000 Gore won the state 51-47. In 1996, Clinton got 51.6 of the vote while Dole/Perot got about 47. It seems to be a state where a Democrat should normally win by about 51-48 or thereabouts, as Kerry did.

But a 10 point lead? Faux Obamapoll, methinks.


24 posted on 10/29/2008 5:35:04 PM PDT by kesg
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To: Chet 99

Nope O-bummer kept his ads in very heavy rotation here and I am sick of seeing him. This might be causing him to go down in the polls. You can over saturate the market and cause a backlash.


25 posted on 10/29/2008 5:40:00 PM PDT by Harmless Teddy Bear (Just say No to Lawyers! Palin '08! (oh and McWhatshisname too. I guess))
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To: Maelstorm
Good ad in Michigan
26 posted on 10/29/2008 5:42:53 PM PDT by kabar
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To: AdmSmith; Berosus; Convert from ECUSA; dervish; Ernest_at_the_Beach; Fred Nerks; george76; ...

Thanks grellis.

Day off for vote would cause ‘tremendous economic impact’
The Pittsburgh Tribune-Review | October 29, 2008 | Salena Zito
Posted on 10/29/2008 12:02:05 PM PDT by Salena Zito
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2118796/posts

Man lives among the chads of 2000 election
AP via ABC7Local | October 24, 2008 | staff reporter
Posted on 10/29/2008 12:37:57 PM PDT by Daffynition
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/2118832/posts

November 2008 — Be There!


27 posted on 10/29/2008 6:04:17 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/_______Profile finally updated Saturday, October 11, 2008 !!!)
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To: J40000

Absolutely. Anyone who wants to see what socialism will do to America only needs to see the horror that lies south of 8-mile road.

We ought to bus all the Obama-robots into Detroit and let them see what their messiah has in mind for them.


28 posted on 10/29/2008 7:47:17 PM PDT by Mad_as_heck (The MSM - America's (domestic) public enemy #1.)
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To: Chuzzlewit

One of the UAW faithful tried to run my Dad (and his heavily McCain stickered truck) off the road a couple of days ago. Maybe they ought to direct a little of the anger towards the presidents that have sat in Solidarity House rather than blame the one in Washington.

Lots of McCain signs up in the GOP leaning Almont area. Bodes well for redder states me thinks.


29 posted on 10/29/2008 7:51:55 PM PDT by Mad_as_heck (The MSM - America's (domestic) public enemy #1.)
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To: GeorgiaDawg32

I was afraid of that!!!!!


30 posted on 10/30/2008 3:18:39 AM PDT by perez24 (Dirty deeds, done dirt cheap.)
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To: GeorgiaDawg32
The article continued, “the fact that this poll was taken entirely within the city limits of Detroit has nothing to do with the results we are publishing and advertising.”

Bwah-hah-hah!

Thanks for the laugh. I needed it.

31 posted on 10/30/2008 3:08:24 PM PDT by MaggieCarta (Michigan. Coming soon to a country near you.)
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