Skip to comments.IBD/TIPP: O-46.7, M-44.6, U-8.7 (McCain gains 2.4 points!)
Posted on 11/02/2008 9:22:31 AM PST by tatown
Day 21: IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll
The race tightened again Sunday as independents who'd been leaning to Obama shifted to McCain to leave that key group a toss-up. McCain also pulled even in the Midwest, moved back into the lead with men, padded his gains among Protestants and Catholics, and is favored for the first time by high school graduates.
(Excerpt) Read more at ibdeditorials.com ...
Now this is looking MUCH better!
Zero BELOW 47% alert.
Good news. :)
Looks like there’s momentum for McCain. The games not over yet.
Mac is within MOE
Undecides are breaking for GOP
State polls tightening up. We have a shot...VOTE
I think I am more excited to see the Obamunist under 47%.
Wow! Not only did Mac gain, Zero lost 1.3 points.
Finally! Some good news!
Does anyone know the internals for this poll...percentage of Dems and Repubs?
We have now seen a 2-point overnight move in the Hotline poll and believe it or not the R2000/Daily Kos poll had Obama +4 for yesterday’s one day sample and that sample was weighted at +9D!
They don’t publish it, but I was told by their pollster that it is somewhere in the 2 to 3 point democrat oversample range.
Here’s one thing about this poll I don’t understand: 89% of Rep vote for McCain, 85% of Dems vote for BO, and 47% of Independents vote for McCain vs. 45% BO vote for McCain. If you add up the numbers here, it looks like McCain should be in the lead.... UNLESS they are overpolling Democrats.
Is my reasoning accurate?
Mark Levin’s pep talk to fire up the base: http://citadelcc.vo.llnwd.net/o29/network/Levin/MP3/levin10282008.mp3
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Obama Says A Baby Is A Punishment
Big movement towards McCain!
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