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Adviser: "McCain to win every red state...probably win Pennsylvania and Iowa."
The Page ^

Posted on 11/02/2008 12:30:36 PM PST by Retired Greyhound

On a brief jump flight from Philadelphia to Scranton, McCain adviser Charlie Black and Kansas Sen. Sam Brownback came back to talk up the campaign's conviction that the glass if half full. "Four years ago at this point, George W. Bush was down five points in Iowa," Brownback said. "Today John McCain is down one point in Iowa."

He was citing an unreleased internal McCain campaign poll of the state, which was completed last Thursday, said Black. (The campaign stopped doing its own polling after Thursday, he added, because television time through the election all had to be purchased by Friday.) However, public polls in Iowa suggest that McCain is still in a big hole. Last week, the Des Moines Register poll, which has a good record of prediction in that state, put McCain's deficit at 17 points, with Barack Obama garnering 54 percent of the support.

"McCain is in a good position to win every red state," Black said. "Plus he is probably going to win Pennsylvania and Iowa." Polls have narrowed sharply in Pennsylvania in recent weeks, though Obama still has a sizable lead of 7 points in the Real Clear Politics average. Black said he had seen a poll recently that showed McCain tied in the Philadelphia suburbs, a crucial swing region of the state.

(Excerpt) Read more at swampland.blogs.time.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2008; barracuda; electionpresident; ia; iowa; maverick; pa; palin; redstates; thanks; win
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To: kc8ukw

Ha! Good one!


21 posted on 11/02/2008 12:38:41 PM PST by sgtyork (The secret of happiness is freedom, and the secret of freedom, courage. Thucydides)
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To: bayliving
I regret that I have but ONE vote to give for my country.....

Contact ACORN...they'll fix that pesky problem for ya.

22 posted on 11/02/2008 12:39:23 PM PST by tsmith130
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To: Retired Greyhound; All

YES !

IN FACT ......VOTE EARLY IN CASE YER SICK OR INJURED OR WORSE AND CAN’T GET THERE ON THE 4TH !!!

Please .......:o)


23 posted on 11/02/2008 12:39:36 PM PST by Squantos (Be polite. Be professional. But have a plan to kill everyone you meet)
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To: goldstategop
As I have argued.

I can't imagine that McCain (who appeals to a broader spectrum than W) could do worse than Pres. Bush in 04.
And I can't imagine voter fraud can tip the scale enough to give it to Obama.

I've even cautiously argued that we may fare far better in the houses than pundits are predicting.

24 posted on 11/02/2008 12:39:43 PM PST by Ghost of Philip Marlowe (If Hillary is elected, her legacy will be telling the American people: Better put some ice on that.)
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To: rwfromkansas

Thus, I tend to think the campaign is right that things are a lot closer than the public polls would suggest.

We can and I think we will win this thing.


25 posted on 11/02/2008 12:39:43 PM PST by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: Windcatcher
If its tied in the Philly suburbs that means McCain is actually ahead. He will take the state.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

26 posted on 11/02/2008 12:39:50 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: bayliving
I regret that I have but ONE vote to give for my country.....

Only if you're not a Democrat.

27 posted on 11/02/2008 12:40:26 PM PST by Mad_Tom_Rackham ("The land of the Free...Because of the Brave")
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To: denydenydeny

watch fraud in Philly, including suburbs... critical to carrying PA

I would give my eyeteeth to see the networks have to crap in their pants on Tuesday night. Final nail in their coffin.


28 posted on 11/02/2008 12:41:36 PM PST by mwl8787
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To: Retired Greyhound
Black said he had seen a poll recently that showed McCain tied in the Philadelphia suburbs, a crucial swing region of the state.

That would mean that he's doing better than Bush. Based on yard signs, McCain's way ahead.

29 posted on 11/02/2008 12:41:38 PM PST by Fresh Wind (Tom Manion USMC '08!!)
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To: rwfromkansas
Yep. Because of a lot of factors the media isn't reporting or just refuses to see. The truth is the campaign is ending right where it needs to be. After tomorrow, its all in the hands of the American people.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

30 posted on 11/02/2008 12:41:45 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: kc8ukw

Each campaign does its own internal polling because they need the absolute truth. The campaigns don’t poll nationally, only statewide. Their polling is so specific that they’ll poll down to the precinct level to find out where their votes are coming from and where they need to go for rallies, etc. Mac’s pollster, Bill McInturff, is excellent.


31 posted on 11/02/2008 12:41:50 PM PST by Kim Priestap
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To: Onerom99

We need to keep in mind internal polling usually will be too positive for your candidate. Usually it will be wrong, and somewhere in between is the truth. However, I believe in this case, it will be closer to what the GOP is saying than the public polls...the public polls are really off I think.


32 posted on 11/02/2008 12:42:07 PM PST by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: squidly

I have no idea what’s going to happen Tuesday. But, if the Networks do call PA for Mac anytime, especially before midnight, Wednesday is going to be a very, very long day for Barry and his minions.


33 posted on 11/02/2008 12:42:41 PM PST by Big_Monkey
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To: Retired Greyhound

And make phone calls to get out the vote. It’s easy. You can even do it from home. Go to johnmccain.com to volunteer. They give you the numbers and you go from there.


34 posted on 11/02/2008 12:42:51 PM PST by GipperGal
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To: Fresh Wind
Kerry won PA by less than 2%. The Western part of the state is solidly McCain. The ghettos will go O but the swing counties will go McCain.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

35 posted on 11/02/2008 12:43:11 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: kc8ukw

The stuff we see is junk though TIPP/IBD and Battleground Polls do good work.

The GOP has an incredible database plus experts in each state that known down to individual streets how people vote and why they vote plus what can motivate them. Their internal polls have far greater detail and you will never see them. The GOP has an awesome database and GOTV. Rove spent many millions on it.

The Dems are a bit less sophisticated but getting better. Their awesome GOTV includes vote fraud with ACORN.


36 posted on 11/02/2008 12:43:32 PM PST by Frantzie
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To: squidly

VA polls are the first to close in the nation, and the winner will likely win the election.


37 posted on 11/02/2008 12:44:07 PM PST by Retired Greyhound
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Comment #38 Removed by Moderator

To: goldstategop; Chet 99; DesertRhino; ExTexasRedhead; Frantzie; GOP_Lady; HamiltonJay; ...

ping


39 posted on 11/02/2008 12:44:45 PM PST by Perdogg (Raila Amollo Odinga - community organizer)
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To: goldstategop

Scranton/Wilkesbarre is a toss up because of the Biden Effect but central Pennsyltucky is McCain all the way. I am betting it will be very close and won’t be called until the abstentees are counted. PA pumps out a lot of military and their absentee votes will tip the scales heavily in Macs favor.


40 posted on 11/02/2008 12:44:47 PM PST by 1972BornFree
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