Posted on 11/02/2008 6:30:36 PM PST by BIOCHEMKY
The conventional wisdom, which I share, is that Barack Obama will win this election, perhaps by a healthy margin. But Democrats are nervous wrecks; they're having nightmares that defeat will be snatched from the jaws of victory. To add to their misery (and guard against complacency), here's how that horror film could play out:
In the end, the problem was the LIVs. That's short for "low-information voters," the three fifths of the electorate that show up once every four years to vote for president but mostly hate politics. These are the 75 million folks who didn't vote in the primaries. They don't read newsmagazines or newspapers, don't watch any cable news and don't cast their ballots early. Their allegiance to a candidate is as easily shed as a T shirt. Several million moved to Obama through September and October; they'd heard he handled himself well in the debates. Then, in the last week, the LIVs swung back to the default choice: John McCain. Some had good reasons other than the color of Obama's skin to desert him; many more did not. In October, a study by the Associated Press estimated that Obama's race would cost him 6 percent. The percentage was smaller, but still enough to give the presidency to McCain.
Obama's field organization was superb, so it was no surprise that most of the 18 million Hillary Clinton voters came home to the Democrats; the person-to-person voter contact (and significant resentment about the selection of Sarah Palin) made a big difference. But the huge swath of more than 30 million independents broke heavily for McCain. By piling up overwhelming margins in big blue states like California, New York and Illinois, Obama carried the popular vote, but he ended up like Al Gore in 2000denied admission to the Electoral College.
(Excerpt) Read more at newsweek.com ...
Look, it's GOING to happen.
So, relax and enjoy it already.
They did, did they? Somebody ping the PUMAs on FR.
“here’s how that horror film could play out”
They aren’t biased are they?
Can you say Schadenfreude?
I’ve said for the last two weeks that McCain is going to pull out this election.
>>Ive said for the last two weeks that McCain is going to pull out this election.<<
Likewise. I doubled my bet the week before last.
Unfortunately, there are many in the 75 million who want to vote for the winner, which is why the media hyping and spinning the dems to victory is so darned dangerous.
I’ve just got this terrible feeling that given the media will really overplay how well Obama and the rest of the dems are doing to get the above mentioned vote, as well as to try to demoralize and hurt the republican base turnout.
Mark
Every Democrat voter is a ‘low information voter’.
The democrat party advocates for voting rights for murderers, rapists and burglars, and for non-english speakers. These folks are by definition, low-information voters. The democrat party is the natural home of the low information voter.
The Lord our God is on our side and we will win.
I have FAITH in my fellow americans and I think the pundits on the TV shows are full of poop.
That’s it...i’m done now...:)
They might be setting him up for a fall? It sounds likely!
It's those damn redneck racists again ... what are we going to do with those people.


It's for being a MARXIST and SOCIALIST, STUPID!!!
“...most...” = 50.0001%?
It is really the PUMAs who will decide this election. Never thought I would say it in my lifetime (and even now I am hesitant to) but thank god for Hillary. I would rather take on an enemy I know in 2012 than a much more dangerous one I do not in 2008.
What is the sin enshrined in our constitution?
The Obamalama is in trouble and it’s starting to show.
The guy voted three times in favor of legalized infanticide. Let him sweat. And please God, let him lose!
What a sorry @ss article. Whatever happens....a McCain victory or God forbid an Obama win...the free and secret election is what makes our country great. To say “it shouldn’t have happened” is a slap in the face to all who voted for it to happen. I pray to God McCain wins...but I will NOT will NOT discredit all the legal votes that puts the winner over the top. If their are challenges of illegal votes that is one thing—that all will get worked out (or should) but if one candidate has a clear win...then we move on—the people would have spoken and what’s done is done and we transfer power from Bush to whomever in a peaceful manner.
Translation of Article:
“We did our damndest to get this guy elected, but we, even Newsweek, just cannot lie any longer.”
At least she can prove her citizenship, whereas Barack can’t seem to. Also for what it’s worth, I don’t think the Nation of Islam would ever endorse her.
I'll take it any way I can get it.
Alter's first mistake.
I’m looking for those voters that don’t care for either candidate to vote to protect the First and Second Amendments from destruction by the Democrats. It will be like 1994, and they will again call us “angry white men”.
I have as well to my family and friends and I am very confident that is exactly what is going to happen.
Mr. Alter is so very much smarter than all of us racist, low information voters! If you don’t think so, just ask him.
I love how the “low information” voter will only voter for McCain out of racism...oh sure there might be a couple with other reasons, but...
The complete idiocy of the left never ceases to amaze me.
This article was good reading, the thing I took out of it was that racism is going to be blamed for the Obama defeat. That means the libs will continue to not have a single clue about what loses national elections in this country.
Low-information voters indeed. Most of us have more information available to us than the accumulation of every Democrat in Philadelphia.
Terrorist attack likelihood has hardly been an issue. It is the specter of Obama's socialism that terrorizes voters, but Alter can hardly say that.
Liberal projection is endlessly fascinating.
The ignorant, racist voters gave the electoral college and the election to McCain while the sexist voters gave Obama a popular vote victory in spite of what happened to Hillary? A disturbing mix of wishful thinking and classic projection.
Translation: "They actually have the temerity -- the brazen, unmitigated gall -- not to listen to me: JONATHAN ALTER!!!!!!!"
Incidentally, someone really ought to inform Mr. Big Deal Famous the Writer that "news magazines" is two words, not one.
yep. I had an interesting discussion with a lib at work re: the 2006 elections. He was convinced that they were a referendum on the war, and Dems got "a mandate" to leave Iraq.
IMHO, the 2006 elections were more about Republicans staying home, illegal immigration, and corruption. The War in Iraq might not have even made the top 5.
LOL. Obama has it by a landslide and you know it.
But we’ll be back and after Obama makes a fool of himself plagiarizing his way through four years in the white house — we’ll be back! And we will take congress, senate and the white house with Gov. Palin at the helm.
“...The Lord our God is on our side”
In the words of Abraham Lincoln, “We must pray that we are on God’s side.”
God is for the sanctity of life and for liberty.
Remember, “Righteousness exalts a nation, but sin is a reproach to any land.”
Vote for those candidates who have taken a stand for what’s righteous.
“Every Democrat voter is a low information voter.”
ROFL
Monday’s papers will be full of “Obama will lose” articles to try to stem the flow of complacency among ignorant and young Obamamaniacs.
Obama now over 89 on Intrade. Time to double up again.
Let me see......
He’s broken every campaign law written.
His ACORN friends have extra registrants just in case.
They will bus every homeless drug addict to the polls and pay them with cigarettes.
The college kids have been indoctrinated by the warped professors and Obama is promising to pay their way through life.
They’ve scared the seniors (again).
The Liberal media has successfully squashed every negative news story on Obama.
They’ve destroyed the VP pick.
IF LAWS WERE ENFORCED AND OBJECTIVITY RULED THE LAND, DEMOCRATS WOULD BE EXTINCT.
“Vote for those candidates who have taken a stand for whats righteous.”
No-brainer.
And I prefer to believe that most americans are on God’s side....therefore,we will win.
As Howard Stern demonstrated, you can add Harlem to that.
Ho Hum. Another article that says if we don’t vote for Obama, it must be because we’re racist. They don’t even touch on the issues.
The liberals at Newsweek have conceded.
They’re setting it up to blame Obama’s loss on racism.
It's the lib-inspired dumbing down of America that works in the Socialists favor.
This is pure evil. The notion that this election is all about race -- and not about two very different views of how this country should be governed -- is intended to create anger or fear, depending on your skin color.
I disagree...McCain will carry IA and NV. The rest of the article is some what on target.
LIVs are the voters who read Newsweak.
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