Skip to comments.IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll: Final Estimate. Obama: 51.5%, McCain 44.3%, Other 4.2%
Posted on 11/04/2008 4:20:05 AM PST by justlurking
With just hours to go before the polls open Tuesday, the latest and final IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll shows Sen. Barack Obama with a 7.2-point lead over Sen. John McCain (51.5% Obama vs. 44.3% McCain). All other candidates garner a combined 4.2%. This tally represents IBD/TIPPs final estimate after allocating undecided voters.
(Excerpt) Read more at ibdeditorials.com ...
IGNORE IT! GO VOTE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Looks like TIPP allocated about half of the remaining undecideds, breaking 2 for 1 in favor of Obama.
I think that's incorrect, but we'll know for sure in about 12 hours.
Crud. Wasn’t this the most accurate poll of 2004? Oh well, another one to be proven wrong today.
Doesn’t look good, but possibly a popular vote loss, electoral win.
probably just a pipe dream.
Oh darn, the final poll. I was so hoping for another year of daily tracking polls.
Okay, okay: Bada Ping.
What for I don’t know...
According to the internals Obama loses both the Protestant and Catholic vote, but wins the election.
undecided 2:1 for Obama ?
Obama = popular vote McCain = Electoral Vote
Uh, this poll is screwed up. They have Osama Hussein winning the South 46 to 44. Nonsense.
Still 20% of conservatives for Hussein. Bullcrap.
The Polls mean NOTHING without turnout.
If Christian value voters and conservatives turn out in droves, Palin-McCain wins.
Why would they give %4 of the undecideds to o and %1.9 to McCain? They just overtly skewed their own results on a random biased guess.
Obama’s got the atheist vote locked in.
..they all are--IBD just joined the club
Good morning from CA : -)
Now tell me what the poll was for Gore/Bush and Kerry/Bush at the same point in those elections.
The whole internals of that are screwed, just look at it, total mess, Obama is not getting 71% of the jewish vote either, neither is he winning the south.
Its also perceiving Obama taking 7% repubs and McCain only 6% Dems, lol, the pumas alone are more than that.
I smell bullsheeeeeeeeeet.
The 4.2% represents “other” not undecided. They seem to have allocated the undecideds somehow. BO only tops 50% when the undecideds are forced into a category.
..and I haven't seen this demographic this motivated since 1980...
How in Hades do they allocate the undicideds like that? That’s just crazy.
MCCAIN WILL WIN MORE DEM VOTE THAN OBAMA WINS REPUBLICAN VOTES.
All the rest is based on IBD "giving" the undecideds to the Messiah. We'll see. I don't believe it for a minute.
Good morning. So it has come to this. The MSM has managed to portray Obama as a centrist agent of change. The RNC and milquetoast McCain campaign have walked on eggshells not to offend the marxist quisling and his anti-American followers.
If McCain pull this out, it will be for 2 factors: The NRA and Palin.
Ouch. Thanks for the correction. I'll have the moderator correct the title.
Fear is a great motivator, and this idiot strikes fear in the hearts of our base that far exceeds that of Slick, ALgore, or Lurch.
“undecided 2:1 for Obama ?”
I saw that too. It aint gonna happen.
Maybe this is God’s way of telling us we haven’t been doing our jobs of ministering to our fellow man and getting them to church.
I’m a Christian, but even I haven’t been attending church regularly for quite a while. Guess I will start going again and enjoy it while I can before Obama makes Islam the national religion.
All these alphabet organization are in some kind of frenzy right now...they have to be 'viable' in future elections. Just the word of the wiseman, and ignore.
As I’ve been saying, we will need some kind of a mass movement to oppose the policies of the Democrats and the Obama Administration. Something much larger than just the conservative blogs.
Just go vote
Ignore the polls
Remember, regardless of who is POTUS they may lead the country, but God is in control. Obama may say he has the “righteous wind”, but God is in our side.
And if God is in this, the miracle will continue...
Vote. In 24 hours we’ll all see the results. I have a gut feeling that McCain/Palin will pull it out.
I just don’t see undecideds breaking for Obama that way.
They are WRONG, not only has bias been shown for Obama but the pollsters are not set-up to deal with people voting early in up to 30 states!
Hillary won the vote by 5% over the Polls.
God punishes as well as rewards, alas.
..some think so—I’m still not convinced...
Hope and pray that PA comes through. I think we have to have it in our column today.
I just can’t believe this poll can be accurate. It always seems that the poll most accurate during a previous election is always the first one to go bad during a current one. I pray this one is wrong as well or we could start seeing the Marxist jubilation any time now.
..IBD must have run out of coffee last night and started drinking Kool Aid...
Looks like a substantial win for Hussein. Everyone get out and vote and salvage the down ticket races.
Not to worry, they’ll find something to poll about.
On a personal level, the appearance of Sarah Palin on the world stage-- out of nowhere-- gave me a reason to think that the Lord wasn't finished with America--just my view on things...
There was never going to be a pre election poll showing a McCain lead. The narrative of a huge Democrat Voter ID edge has been written by the Axelrod and soaked up by sycophantic pollsters. It doesn’t exist, and there aren’t any statistics to prove that is exists.
For there to be absolute capitulation and destruction of the media and these ridiculous paid off pollsters, they all have to be on the wrong side of the ball. And they are.
FReepers, please help the Republican Party make calls and GOTV today. IF WE SHOW UP, WE WIN.
We are one step from the promised land. We just need to show up.
Always be skeptical about poll results. The real thing happens today, including the fraud by the obamaistas. Just go and vote for McCain.
You simply must add the MSM to this mix. Honestly, never before have the MSM been so absolutely deceptive throughout this campaign. A guy like Obama should never have made it to the national level without the colusuion of the MSM. Have you seen today's USAToday? Look at the front page picture. See anything askew about the candidate's pictures? There you have it.
All is not lost, even with an Obama win, should the marxist pull it off.
Palin has been introduced to America. That is good.
Perhaps the GOP will see the folly of selecting a RINO to head the ticket. That is good.
I just think what a difference the debates would have been to see a Duncan Hunter stuffing Obama into his marxist piss bucket.
That is incorrect. Obama will lose the popular vote by at least 4%. McCain is running ahead of bush in bellweather areas of Ohio and Missouri by 2%+. Bush won both in 2004 by 2.5%. Similar to his popular vote total. 4.5%-5% MOV for McCain.
Watch at 5pm when the first exits leak and they show Obama Up 1 or 2 instead of 6 or 10. The look on Katie’s and Brian W.’s and Chrissy M’s face will be priceless.