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IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll: Final Estimate. Obama: 51.5%, McCain 44.3%, Other 4.2%
Investors Business Daily ^ | 2008-11-03 | IBD/TIPP

Posted on 11/04/2008 4:20:05 AM PST by justlurking

With just hours to go before the polls open Tuesday, the latest and final IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll shows Sen. Barack Obama with a 7.2-point lead over Sen. John McCain (51.5% Obama vs. 44.3% McCain). All other candidates garner a combined 4.2%. This tally represents IBD/TIPP’s final estimate after allocating undecided voters.

(Excerpt) Read more at ibdeditorials.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls
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1 posted on 11/04/2008 4:20:06 AM PST by justlurking
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To: justlurking
Photobucket
2 posted on 11/04/2008 4:21:39 AM PST by johnny7 ("Duck I says... ")
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To: justlurking

IGNORE IT! GO VOTE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


3 posted on 11/04/2008 4:22:02 AM PST by CommieCutter ("Why DON'Y you just let PEOOPLEP make up their own MINES who listen?“ (-Candor7)
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To: justlurking
All 2008 and 2004 IBD/TIPP poll results plotted here:

http://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=pLKmTgcVm7Pd_N-_t7U2cVQ

Looks like TIPP allocated about half of the remaining undecideds, breaking 2 for 1 in favor of Obama.

I think that's incorrect, but we'll know for sure in about 12 hours.

4 posted on 11/04/2008 4:22:20 AM PST by justlurking (The only remedy for a bad guy with a gun is a good guy with a gun.)
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To: justlurking

Crud. Wasn’t this the most accurate poll of 2004? Oh well, another one to be proven wrong today.


5 posted on 11/04/2008 4:22:42 AM PST by thirdgradeteacher (http://www.proverbs226.blogspot.com)
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To: justlurking

Doesn’t look good, but possibly a popular vote loss, electoral win.

probably just a pipe dream.


6 posted on 11/04/2008 4:23:25 AM PST by Jezebelle (Our tax dollars are paying the ACLU to sue the Christ out of us.)
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To: justlurking

Oh darn, the final poll. I was so hoping for another year of daily tracking polls.


7 posted on 11/04/2008 4:23:25 AM PST by oblomov
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To: justlurking

Okay, okay: Bada Ping.

What for I don’t know...


8 posted on 11/04/2008 4:23:38 AM PST by Nick Thimmesch
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To: justlurking

According to the internals Obama loses both the Protestant and Catholic vote, but wins the election.


9 posted on 11/04/2008 4:23:57 AM PST by wideawake (Why is it that those who like to be called Constitutionalists know the least about the Constitution?)
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To: justlurking

undecided 2:1 for Obama ?


10 posted on 11/04/2008 4:24:03 AM PST by gusopol3
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To: gusopol3

Obama = popular vote McCain = Electoral Vote


11 posted on 11/04/2008 4:24:53 AM PST by Blue Turtle (I)
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To: justlurking

Uh, this poll is screwed up. They have Osama Hussein winning the South 46 to 44. Nonsense.


12 posted on 11/04/2008 4:25:32 AM PST by pissant (THE Conservative party: www.falconparty.com)
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To: justlurking

Still 20% of conservatives for Hussein. Bullcrap.


13 posted on 11/04/2008 4:26:18 AM PST by Fresh Wind (Tom Manion USMC '08!!)
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To: justlurking

The Polls mean NOTHING without turnout.

If Christian value voters and conservatives turn out in droves, Palin-McCain wins.


14 posted on 11/04/2008 4:26:51 AM PST by txzman (Jer 23:29)
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To: justlurking

Why would they give %4 of the undecideds to o and %1.9 to McCain? They just overtly skewed their own results on a random biased guess.


15 posted on 11/04/2008 4:27:10 AM PST by allmost
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To: Blue Turtle

Obama’s got the atheist vote locked in.


16 posted on 11/04/2008 4:27:20 AM PST by chopperman
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To: pissant
this poll is screwed up

..they all are--IBD just joined the club

Good morning from CA : -)

17 posted on 11/04/2008 4:28:26 AM PST by WalterSkinner ( In Memory of My Father--WWII Vet and Patriot 1926-2007)
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To: justlurking

Now tell me what the poll was for Gore/Bush and Kerry/Bush at the same point in those elections.


18 posted on 11/04/2008 4:28:44 AM PST by Sacajaweau (I'm planting corn...Have to feed my car...)
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To: pissant

The whole internals of that are screwed, just look at it, total mess, Obama is not getting 71% of the jewish vote either, neither is he winning the south.

Its also perceiving Obama taking 7% repubs and McCain only 6% Dems, lol, the pumas alone are more than that.

I smell bullsheeeeeeeeeet.


19 posted on 11/04/2008 4:29:06 AM PST by sunmars
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To: justlurking

The 4.2% represents “other” not undecided. They seem to have allocated the undecideds somehow. BO only tops 50% when the undecideds are forced into a category.


20 posted on 11/04/2008 4:29:06 AM PST by Mygirlsmom (Prayers for John McCain, Sarah Palin and our great Nation)
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To: txzman
If Christian value voters and conservatives turn out in droves, Palin-McCain wins

..and I haven't seen this demographic this motivated since 1980...

21 posted on 11/04/2008 4:29:56 AM PST by WalterSkinner ( In Memory of My Father--WWII Vet and Patriot 1926-2007)
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To: justlurking

How in Hades do they allocate the undicideds like that? That’s just crazy.


22 posted on 11/04/2008 4:30:31 AM PST by Marathoner (Obama voters, what appeals to you; the Marxism or the infanticide?)
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To: johnny7
Let me say again, and even this poll proves it:

MCCAIN WILL WIN MORE DEM VOTE THAN OBAMA WINS REPUBLICAN VOTES.

All the rest is based on IBD "giving" the undecideds to the Messiah. We'll see. I don't believe it for a minute.

23 posted on 11/04/2008 4:31:18 AM PST by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: WalterSkinner

Good morning. So it has come to this. The MSM has managed to portray Obama as a centrist agent of change. The RNC and milquetoast McCain campaign have walked on eggshells not to offend the marxist quisling and his anti-American followers.

If McCain pull this out, it will be for 2 factors: The NRA and Palin.


24 posted on 11/04/2008 4:32:21 AM PST by pissant (THE Conservative party: www.falconparty.com)
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To: Mygirlsmom
The 4.2% represents “other” not undecided.

Ouch. Thanks for the correction. I'll have the moderator correct the title.

25 posted on 11/04/2008 4:32:28 AM PST by justlurking (The only remedy for a bad guy with a gun is a good guy with a gun.)
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To: WalterSkinner
..and I haven't seen this demographic this motivated since 1980...

Fear is a great motivator, and this idiot strikes fear in the hearts of our base that far exceeds that of Slick, ALgore, or Lurch.

26 posted on 11/04/2008 4:32:28 AM PST by Marathoner (Obama voters, what appeals to you; the Marxism or the infanticide?)
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To: gusopol3

“undecided 2:1 for Obama ?”

I saw that too. It aint gonna happen.


27 posted on 11/04/2008 4:32:59 AM PST by TMA62 (TMA62)
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To: wideawake

Hmmm.
Maybe this is God’s way of telling us we haven’t been doing our jobs of ministering to our fellow man and getting them to church.

I’m a Christian, but even I haven’t been attending church regularly for quite a while. Guess I will start going again and enjoy it while I can before Obama makes Islam the national religion.


28 posted on 11/04/2008 4:35:00 AM PST by a real Sheila (John McCain may not be able to defeat Obama on his own but GOD CAN!)
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To: justlurking
AS RUSH LIMBAUGH SAID YESTERDAY...'IGNORE THE POLLS...GO AND VOTE!'

All these alphabet organization are in some kind of frenzy right now...they have to be 'viable' in future elections. Just the word of the wiseman, and ignore.

29 posted on 11/04/2008 4:35:11 AM PST by PennsylvaniaMom ((Rapping) I say 0bama...you say Ayers. 0bama! Ayers! 0bama! Ayers!)
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To: justlurking

As I’ve been saying, we will need some kind of a mass movement to oppose the policies of the Democrats and the Obama Administration. Something much larger than just the conservative blogs.


30 posted on 11/04/2008 4:36:02 AM PST by popdonnelly (Obama is a neo-Marxist)
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To: TMA62

Just go vote

Ignore the polls

Remember, regardless of who is POTUS they may lead the country, but God is in control. Obama may say he has the “righteous wind”, but God is in our side.


31 posted on 11/04/2008 4:36:29 AM PST by DocT111
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To: pissant
..it's a miracle it has got this far

And if God is in this, the miracle will continue...

32 posted on 11/04/2008 4:36:44 AM PST by WalterSkinner ( In Memory of My Father--WWII Vet and Patriot 1926-2007)
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To: justlurking

Vote. In 24 hours we’ll all see the results. I have a gut feeling that McCain/Palin will pull it out.


33 posted on 11/04/2008 4:39:08 AM PST by I_hate_politicians
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To: justlurking

I just don’t see undecideds breaking for Obama that way.


34 posted on 11/04/2008 4:39:51 AM PST by jennyjenny
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To: WalterSkinner
We know 0 is going win the popular vote by 2 to 3% of the vote. But will lose to Mac in Electoral College.
35 posted on 11/04/2008 4:40:01 AM PST by scooby321 (Cai)
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To: johnny7
PAY NO ATTENTION to THE POLLLSTERS OR ELECTORAL MAPS

They are WRONG, not only has bias been shown for Obama but the pollsters are not set-up to deal with people voting early in up to 30 states!

36 posted on 11/04/2008 4:40:45 AM PST by Dubya-M-DeesWent2SyriaStupid!
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To: jennyjenny

Hillary won the vote by 5% over the Polls.


37 posted on 11/04/2008 4:41:12 AM PST by scooby321 (Cai)
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To: WalterSkinner

God punishes as well as rewards, alas.


38 posted on 11/04/2008 4:41:22 AM PST by pissant (THE Conservative party: www.falconparty.com)
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To: scooby321

..some think so—I’m still not convinced...


39 posted on 11/04/2008 4:41:43 AM PST by WalterSkinner ( In Memory of My Father--WWII Vet and Patriot 1926-2007)
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To: Jezebelle

Hope and pray that PA comes through. I think we have to have it in our column today.


40 posted on 11/04/2008 4:42:08 AM PST by ScottinVA
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To: justlurking

I just can’t believe this poll can be accurate. It always seems that the poll most accurate during a previous election is always the first one to go bad during a current one. I pray this one is wrong as well or we could start seeing the Marxist jubilation any time now.


41 posted on 11/04/2008 4:42:36 AM PST by pctech
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To: LS

..IBD must have run out of coffee last night and started drinking Kool Aid...


42 posted on 11/04/2008 4:43:05 AM PST by WalterSkinner ( In Memory of My Father--WWII Vet and Patriot 1926-2007)
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To: Jezebelle

Looks like a substantial win for Hussein. Everyone get out and vote and salvage the down ticket races.


43 posted on 11/04/2008 4:43:21 AM PST by LiveFree99
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To: oblomov

Not to worry, they’ll find something to poll about.


44 posted on 11/04/2008 4:47:04 AM PST by skr (May God confound the enemy)
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To: pissant
..we shall see--the family of faith may have opportunity to test what they really believe...

On a personal level, the appearance of Sarah Palin on the world stage-- out of nowhere-- gave me a reason to think that the Lord wasn't finished with America--just my view on things...

45 posted on 11/04/2008 4:48:07 AM PST by WalterSkinner ( In Memory of My Father--WWII Vet and Patriot 1926-2007)
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To: justlurking; All

There was never going to be a pre election poll showing a McCain lead. The narrative of a huge Democrat Voter ID edge has been written by the Axelrod and soaked up by sycophantic pollsters. It doesn’t exist, and there aren’t any statistics to prove that is exists.

For there to be absolute capitulation and destruction of the media and these ridiculous paid off pollsters, they all have to be on the wrong side of the ball. And they are.

FReepers, please help the Republican Party make calls and GOTV today. IF WE SHOW UP, WE WIN.

We are one step from the promised land. We just need to show up.


46 posted on 11/04/2008 4:48:28 AM PST by johncocktoasten (Obama/Biden '08, in and of itself, A Bridge To Nowhere)
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To: justlurking

Always be skeptical about poll results. The real thing happens today, including the fraud by the obamaistas. Just go and vote for McCain.


47 posted on 11/04/2008 4:48:44 AM PST by OneHun
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To: pissant
The RNC and milquetoast McCain campaign have walked on eggshells not to offend the marxist quisling and his anti-American followers.

You simply must add the MSM to this mix. Honestly, never before have the MSM been so absolutely deceptive throughout this campaign. A guy like Obama should never have made it to the national level without the colusuion of the MSM. Have you seen today's USAToday? Look at the front page picture. See anything askew about the candidate's pictures? There you have it.

48 posted on 11/04/2008 4:49:28 AM PST by Obadiah (If McCain wins will the NYTimes report it?)
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To: WalterSkinner

All is not lost, even with an Obama win, should the marxist pull it off.

Palin has been introduced to America. That is good.

Perhaps the GOP will see the folly of selecting a RINO to head the ticket. That is good.

I just think what a difference the debates would have been to see a Duncan Hunter stuffing Obama into his marxist piss bucket.


49 posted on 11/04/2008 4:52:01 AM PST by pissant (THE Conservative party: www.falconparty.com)
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To: scooby321

That is incorrect. Obama will lose the popular vote by at least 4%. McCain is running ahead of bush in bellweather areas of Ohio and Missouri by 2%+. Bush won both in 2004 by 2.5%. Similar to his popular vote total. 4.5%-5% MOV for McCain.

Watch at 5pm when the first exits leak and they show Obama Up 1 or 2 instead of 6 or 10. The look on Katie’s and Brian W.’s and Chrissy M’s face will be priceless.


50 posted on 11/04/2008 4:52:36 AM PST by johncocktoasten (Obama/Biden '08, in and of itself, A Bridge To Nowhere)
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