Skip to comments.IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll: Final Estimate. Obama: 51.5%, McCain 44.3%, Other 4.2%
Posted on 11/04/2008 4:20:05 AM PST by justlurking
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14% There's your "Bradley Effect."
In other words, 14% know "someone", but all of 0% will admit to being "someone".
That fits with the 47.5%.
They gave nearly all the undecideds to Obama. This has no basis the undecideds were not polled just guessed. This poll is as bogus as the rest, there is still 8-9% undecided like yesterday just put in Barry’s column.
Pray for McCain and Our Troops
Tammy Bruce: Everyone who is voting for Obama has decided already.
This is all anybody needs to know. The polls are close enough that the winner will be determined by whose side has more people being motivated to show up and stand in line.
Went to the website to find specifics only to find their aren’t any.
This poll is not among likely voters and I have to assume that so many people, like me, when asked by a stranger who I will vote for the answer is always Obama, just to make the fool go away and stay away.
Fear not freepers!
My personal guess is that most of the "undecided" were people who didn't like Obama, but were uneasy about saying that to a pollster.
These poll results suck. This, Fox and Mason Dixon are the only ones I pay attention to. I’m a little bummed, but alas there is hope. Regardless, I’m bowling, drinking and romancing my lady tonite so I’m good.
Actually, if the poll is correct it will be short evening.
I’m not real confident today. The droves of people coming out today are not coming out for McCain, in my opinion.
Aren’t these the people who claimed to have the most accurate poll in 2004? May they lose their claim to fame in 2008.
Uhhh, think about what you wrote.
You wrote that a poll that samples more conservatives (your words) than other polls (and shows Obama winning more handily than, say, the final Battleground Poll - my words), is probably right.
See a contradiction there?
Why would conservatives go for Obama?
But a significant number would HAVE to in order for your statement to be reasonable.
Just hope that the Laura Ingrahams of the world, have not discouraged voters to stay home? Or the Britt Humes of the world etc.
“If Christian value voters and conservatives turn out in droves, Palin-McCain wins.”
They are, and we will win. I have never seen such a crowd at our polling place, OKlahoma.....and we have McCain in the bag by about 29% plus....but the crowds were there. I feel very good about today....
Actually, if this poll is correct it looks to be a very short evening.
America, you just drank cyanide laced Flavor Aid. Congratulations, idiots!
I wouldn’t spend a nanosecond sweating about how a polling company decides to allocate undecideds. The final result was 47-45 (or whatever it was) with the rest undecided. The rest is not polling but speculation. Hey, I’m doing the same thing myself. The difference is that I am basing my speculation on what the undecideds have done in every political election since at least 1976 (where no GOP candidate or side has gotten less than 48% of the vote and get over 50% much more often than Democrats).