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IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll: Final Estimate. Obama: 51.5%, McCain 44.3%, Other 4.2%
Investors Business Daily ^ | 2008-11-03 | IBD/TIPP

Posted on 11/04/2008 4:20:05 AM PST by justlurking

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To: LS
Check out today's Muehlenberg PA poll (Obama +4, about a 4 MOE): question, "Do you know anyone who wouldn't vote for Obama because he is black?"

14% There's your "Bradley Effect."

In other words, 14% know "someone", but all of 0% will admit to being "someone".

That fits with the 47.5%.

101 posted on 11/04/2008 5:55:02 AM PST by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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To: justlurking

They gave nearly all the undecideds to Obama. This has no basis the undecideds were not polled just guessed. This poll is as bogus as the rest, there is still 8-9% undecided like yesterday just put in Barry’s column.

Pray for McCain and Our Troops


102 posted on 11/04/2008 5:57:07 AM PST by bray (Rezko = Obama)
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To: TMA62

Tammy Bruce: Everyone who is voting for Obama has decided already.


103 posted on 11/04/2008 6:00:09 AM PST by EdnaMode
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To: fortheDeclaration
IF WE SHOW UP, WE WIN

This is all anybody needs to know. The polls are close enough that the winner will be determined by whose side has more people being motivated to show up and stand in line.

104 posted on 11/04/2008 7:02:00 AM PST by PapaBear3625 ("In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act." -- George Orwell)
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To: justlurking

Went to the website to find specifics only to find their aren’t any.

This poll is not among likely voters and I have to assume that so many people, like me, when asked by a stranger who I will vote for the answer is always Obama, just to make the fool go away and stay away.

Fear not freepers!

Go vote!


105 posted on 11/04/2008 7:03:02 AM PST by HonestConservative (Go Baroke with Barack)
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To: bray
They gave nearly all the undecideds to Obama. This has no basis the undecideds were not polled just guessed.

My personal guess is that most of the "undecided" were people who didn't like Obama, but were uneasy about saying that to a pollster.

106 posted on 11/04/2008 7:05:01 AM PST by PapaBear3625 ("In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act." -- George Orwell)
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To: johncocktoasten

These poll results suck. This, Fox and Mason Dixon are the only ones I pay attention to. I’m a little bummed, but alas there is hope. Regardless, I’m bowling, drinking and romancing my lady tonite so I’m good.


107 posted on 11/04/2008 7:08:41 AM PST by GerardKempf (Let's Get Over This)
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To: MBB1984
Unfortunately, I believe this poll to be somewhat correct. It generally samples more conservatives than the other polls. It looks to be a long evening.

Actually, if the poll is correct it will be short evening.

108 posted on 11/04/2008 7:14:04 AM PST by Sans-Culotte
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To: justlurking

I’m not real confident today. The droves of people coming out today are not coming out for McCain, in my opinion.


109 posted on 11/04/2008 7:20:51 AM PST by deep (http://www.americansagainstobama.com)
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To: justlurking

bump


110 posted on 11/04/2008 7:23:52 AM PST by hoe_cake (" 'We the people' tell the government what to do, it doesn't tell us." Ronald Reagan)
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To: justlurking

Aren’t these the people who claimed to have the most accurate poll in 2004? May they lose their claim to fame in 2008.


111 posted on 11/04/2008 7:35:37 AM PST by Non-Sequitur
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To: MBB1984

Uhhh, think about what you wrote.

You wrote that a poll that samples more conservatives (your words) than other polls (and shows Obama winning more handily than, say, the final Battleground Poll - my words), is probably right.

See a contradiction there?

Why would conservatives go for Obama?

But a significant number would HAVE to in order for your statement to be reasonable.


112 posted on 11/04/2008 7:37:45 AM PST by txrangerette (Just say "no" to the Obama Cult.)
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To: Marathoner

Just hope that the Laura Ingrahams of the world, have not discouraged voters to stay home? Or the Britt Humes of the world etc.


113 posted on 11/04/2008 7:42:57 AM PST by Friendofgeorge (TINA FEY WISHES SHE LOOKED LIKE SARAH PALIN. FEY IS HOMELY, SARAH IS KNOCKOUT DROP DEAD GORGEOUS)
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To: txzman

“If Christian value voters and conservatives turn out in droves, Palin-McCain wins.”

They are, and we will win. I have never seen such a crowd at our polling place, OKlahoma.....and we have McCain in the bag by about 29% plus....but the crowds were there. I feel very good about today....


114 posted on 11/04/2008 7:46:51 AM PST by IndianPrincessOK (McCain/Palin...2 pit bulls, one with lipstick! Pigs will fly with lipstick Nov. 4th)
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To: MBB1984

Actually, if this poll is correct it looks to be a very short evening.

America, you just drank cyanide laced Flavor Aid. Congratulations, idiots!


115 posted on 11/04/2008 8:03:52 AM PST by amishman (Barack Obama=Jim Jones)
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To: Perdogg

I wouldn’t spend a nanosecond sweating about how a polling company decides to allocate undecideds. The final result was 47-45 (or whatever it was) with the rest undecided. The rest is not polling but speculation. Hey, I’m doing the same thing myself. The difference is that I am basing my speculation on what the undecideds have done in every political election since at least 1976 (where no GOP candidate or side has gotten less than 48% of the vote and get over 50% much more often than Democrats).


116 posted on 11/04/2008 9:36:12 AM PST by kesg
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