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People, you have to realize that states move in groups. It's topographic. The reliable analysts know this. For example, if a GOP candidate takes PA, he is going to take OH, because OH polls 5 points higher for a Pub candidate than PA. And if Mac takes OH, he is going to take VA, because VA polls a few points higher than OH.

Bottom line: if PA falls for Mac, then a slew of other states will fall for Mac. So, keep your eyes on PA people, if it goes for McCain he WILL be the next POTUS. BTW, ain't it interesting that Mac spent so much time in typically Democratic strong holds in PA?

25 posted on 11/04/2008 10:00:06 AM PST by Don'tMessWithTexas
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To: Don'tMessWithTexas
People, you have to realize that states move in groups. It's topographic. The reliable analysts know this. For example, if a GOP candidate takes PA, he is going to take OH, because OH polls 5 points higher for a Pub candidate than PA. And if Mac takes OH, he is going to take VA, because VA polls a few points higher than OH.

Bottom line: if PA falls for Mac, then a slew of other states will fall for Mac. So, keep your eyes on PA people, if it goes for McCain he WILL be the next POTUS. BTW, ain't it interesting that Mac spent so much time in typically Democratic strong holds in PA?



Exactly. Plus I think that would signal that the Upper Midwest is in play. If the bitter clinger/PUMA vote is enough to win PA for McCain over the urban+black+youth vote, then I think we'd see the same effect in WI, MN, & IA. Plus what about MI?
35 posted on 11/04/2008 10:04:28 AM PST by Harry Wurzbach (Joe The Plumber & Rep. Thaddeus McCotter are my heroes.)
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To: Don'tMessWithTexas

I agree with the OH/PA analysis, but I question whether VA/OH is still valid. VA is so “top heavy” in the north with DC Beltway libs, immigrants, and other assorted socialists that I think it’s going more the way of MD. We may still pull it out this year, but it’s getting bluer and bluer every day.


55 posted on 11/04/2008 10:09:18 AM PST by workerbee (If you vote for Democrats, you are engaging in UnAmerican Activity.)
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To: Don'tMessWithTexas
The reliable analysts know this. For example, if a GOP candidate takes PA, he is going to take OH, because OH polls 5 points higher for a Pub candidate than PA

Thank you for your analysis. I don't mean to pick at it, rather I think you'll agree with me that this is a time for Pennsylvania where an alignment of gravitational forces are making their vote much more similar to Ohio's than five points.

72 posted on 11/04/2008 10:15:41 AM PST by unspun (PRAY & WORK!! - SPAM FOR FREEDOM!! - investigatingobama.blogspot.com - www.etpv.org/whatsnew.html)
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To: Don'tMessWithTexas

Also don’t be fooled if they call Pennsylvania early for Obama. The MSM expects it based on the bogus polls.


80 posted on 11/04/2008 10:21:10 AM PST by scratcher (I trust the media about as much as I trust al Qaeda.)
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To: Don'tMessWithTexas

I was reading one of the blogs last night another freeper posted. I forget the name but it was incredibly detailed with on the ground PA and OH stuff. It was not HillBuzz (pumas) but they may link to each other. He said what you were saying about all these rusht belt & mid atlantic states being similiar and 5 points more conservative than another etc.

It talked about McCain going to the airport in PA and two of the ladies who worked on Hillary’s campaign missed the rally and raced to the airport just to wave. They thought Johnny would miss them but he saw them, had the truck turn around, jumped out, ran to them and hugged one woman with the Secret Service guy trying to chase McCain down!

These ladies I think ran Hillary’s campaign in PA. The blog said McCain offices had Repub and Hillary volunteers working side by side!

I wonder if McCain quietly hired these Hillary staffers in PA and other Rust Belt states and maybe FL.

I am pretty sure, based on a source I have, that McCain did this in NM.

I wonder if McCain has kept this secret the whole campaign that he is employing Hillary people in key states to reach out to PUMA’s. This may be the secret we read about tomorrow after the win.

This dovetails with Mr. Marston who said McCain will have a Landslide by switching a few PUMAs. Marston is a long time AZ resident and he lives in Prescott. I think McCain lives in Sedona.

I think the PUMA operation may be the biggest secret and end run in the history of American politics. I will fight with Pres. McCain, I am sure, but he is a clever man witha clever team.


163 posted on 11/04/2008 11:31:09 AM PST by Frantzie
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