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Key Battlegrounds Trending McCain
US NEWS ^ | NOVEMBER 4, 2008 | James Pethokoukis

Posted on 11/04/2008 10:44:23 AM PST by RecallMoran

The Latest From Inside McCain HQ November 04, 2008 11:30 AM ET | James Pethokoukis | I just talked to one of my best Team McCain sources who told me that heading into today all the key battleground polls were moving hard and fast in their direction. The source, hardly a perma-optimist, thinks it will be a long night, but that McCain is going to win. So add this with the new Battleground poll (Obama +1.9 only) and the rising stock market...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; battleground; election; electionday; electionpresident; mccain; obama; swing
Awesome. (I have to go and get my toddler. I'll be back!)
1 posted on 11/04/2008 10:44:24 AM PST by RecallMoran
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To: RecallMoran
Great news! I believe we will be in for some riots.

I have my Talisman of Protection (+4 against Zealots).


2 posted on 11/04/2008 10:48:22 AM PST by Lazamataz (Secondhand Aztlan Smoke causes drug addiction obesity in global warming cancer immigrant terrorists.)
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To: RecallMoran

I think things will probably be closer than the polls have said (popular vote, not necessarily electoral), but very unlikely McCain will win. We can hope, but I think it’s unlikely. If he does, basically ALL the polling organizations are going to have zero credibility in the future.


3 posted on 11/04/2008 10:52:25 AM PST by GovernmentShrinker
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To: GovernmentShrinker

If McCain can hold Florida and somehow pulls PA, it could portend a big loss for Obama. A win in PA will likely indicate a hold in Ohio in Florida - and that will just about do it. PA is a huge mountain to climb but man, if it goes RED tonight, I will be dancin’ in the street. (Probably avoiding Black Panther gunshots)


4 posted on 11/04/2008 10:56:59 AM PST by AbeKrieger (Gore, Kerry, Obama. GOP Hat Trick 2008.)
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To: AbeKrieger
If McCain wins Florida and PA, he can lose VA, CO, and NH and still win.

BTW, it is raining now in southeastern PA. May help keep some afternoon voters away in Philly.

5 posted on 11/04/2008 10:59:32 AM PST by Dems_R_Losers (NEVER FORGET -- it all started with Fannie Mae and the Democrats!)
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To: Lazamataz

6 posted on 11/04/2008 10:59:48 AM PST by Prole (Please pray for the families of Chris and Channon. May God always watch over them.)
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To: Lazamataz

Drudge needs to keep that black panther link up on his site..maybe some of the undecideds will recognize what is coming our way if Obama gets elected.

There is now a video on Youtube of the police telling the two black panthers to step away from the entrance.


7 posted on 11/04/2008 11:00:34 AM PST by RummyChick
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To: GovernmentShrinker

dear GovernmentShrinker, in the words of Ronald Reagan, “there you go again.”


8 posted on 11/04/2008 11:01:05 AM PST by latina4dubya ( self-proclaimed tequila snob)
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To: Prole

A lot better than Ruby Slippers for getting home.


9 posted on 11/04/2008 11:03:17 AM PST by Lazamataz (Secondhand Aztlan Smoke causes drug addiction obesity in global warming cancer immigrant terrorists.)
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Why is PA a huge mountain to climb? Didn’t GWB lose it by less then Kerry lost OH?

Then you add the Obama comment, Murtha comment, PUMA’s, the Coal comment and probably some racist democrats so why is it sooooo hard to win?


10 posted on 11/04/2008 11:04:08 AM PST by KavMan
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To: GovernmentShrinker

If the election is very close, nearly ALL of the polling organizations will have zero credibility.

BUt that won’t stop the media and the pollsters from toddling right along into the future as if nothing went wrong.

Now, think, please.

If polls are wrong enough to allow for a close election (Battleground has it close), then they are wrong enough to potentially allow for a McCain win.

When you go behind the headlines and analyze the polls, they look full of flaws.

Here’s something to consider regarding the IBD/TIPP poll that did so well last time. Their final poll showed Obama outpolling McCain in the popular vote IN THE SOUTH.

With glitches like that one, it’s hard to trust their overall margin of over 7 points to Obama.

They actually FORCED allocated undecideds. When people wouldn’t say who they leaned toward, IBD came up with some type of formula (???) that gave the majority of them to Obama.

I don’t know the outcome, but the polls already don’t look reliable.

If McCain loses by anything like the average of most polls, I’ll say, hey, even a broken clock is right twice a day.


11 posted on 11/04/2008 11:05:48 AM PST by txrangerette (Just say "no" to the Obama Cult.)
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To: Prole; Lazamataz

I was gonna comment on Laz’ choice of ammo there.

Now’s not the time for target loads.


12 posted on 11/04/2008 11:09:05 AM PST by MrB (0bama supporters: What's the attraction? The Marxism or the Infanticide?)
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To: MrB
Trust me, I have conflict-oriented ammo today.

BIIIIG scoops in the front of the rounds. :)

See, I intend to MAKE IT HOME .... BY ANY MEANS NECESSARY.

Test me, bad guys. Go ahead and test me.

13 posted on 11/04/2008 11:15:03 AM PST by Lazamataz (Secondhand Aztlan Smoke causes drug addiction obesity in global warming cancer immigrant terrorists.)
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To: Lazamataz
Hey Laz,

We have the same gun.

14 posted on 11/04/2008 11:16:16 AM PST by pby
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To: MrB

Ever seen what frangible ammo does to a human?

It’s not just for target practice.


15 posted on 11/04/2008 11:19:22 AM PST by Terabitten (...to support and defend the Constitution against all enemies foreign and domestic....)
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To: pby
Hey Laz, We have the same gun.

Yeah, I was saddened to find that out. I want custody on Mondays, Tuesdays, and Saturdays. We can alternate the Fridays.

16 posted on 11/04/2008 11:19:53 AM PST by Lazamataz (Secondhand Aztlan Smoke causes drug addiction obesity in global warming cancer immigrant terrorists.)
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To: Terabitten

I wonder if the lefties are keeping track of how resolved we are to make it home the next few nights. :)


17 posted on 11/04/2008 11:22:55 AM PST by Lazamataz (Secondhand Aztlan Smoke causes drug addiction obesity in global warming cancer immigrant terrorists.)
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To: Lazamataz

Nice lookin’ piece. I just got a .40 caliber IWI Desert Eagle and a Springfield XD ACP .45 to go along with my .38 Ruger revolver, .44 magnum lever-action carbine, and (of course) 12 gauge pump gun.


18 posted on 11/04/2008 11:24:12 AM PST by rashley (Rashley)
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To: MrB

Hydrashok...definitely not for punching holes in paper.


19 posted on 11/04/2008 11:29:30 AM PST by Lee'sGhost (Johnny Rico picked the wrong girl!)
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To: GovernmentShrinker

Not good to surrender the battlefield before the battle is won.


20 posted on 11/04/2008 11:32:16 AM PST by o2bfree
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To: rashley
I just got a .40 caliber IWI Desert Eagle and a Springfield XD ACP .45 to go along with my .38 Ruger revolver, .44 magnum lever-action carbine, and (of course) 12 gauge pump gun.

Glad you didn't do the .50 DE. Too much bullet.

I was gonna get a nice FNFAL but I gotta wait a bit.

21 posted on 11/04/2008 11:32:31 AM PST by Lazamataz (Secondhand Aztlan Smoke causes drug addiction obesity in global warming cancer immigrant terrorists.)
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To: Lee'sGhost

waaaaay to expensive for paper punching, that’s for sure.

Laz’ picture didn’t show knock down loads, but Prole’s sure did.


22 posted on 11/04/2008 11:34:39 AM PST by MrB (0bama supporters: What's the attraction? The Marxism or the Infanticide?)
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To: RecallMoran
The source, hardly a perma-optimist, thinks it will be a long night, but that McCain is going to win.

I don't think it will be that late. By 10pm EST we will know that McCain has it in the bag.

23 posted on 11/04/2008 11:38:37 AM PST by mlocher (USA is a sovereign nation)
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To: Lazamataz
I wonder if the lefties are keeping track of how resolved we are to make it home the next few nights. :)

I hope they are. I spent last night cleaning my AR and my pistols, and putting my body armor tactical carrier together. I also put together my rucksack with food, ammo, and water enough to get my family through three to five days. Gas up the Jeep today, and we're good to go.... just in case.

24 posted on 11/04/2008 11:40:07 AM PST by Terabitten (...to support and defend the Constitution against all enemies foreign and domestic....)
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To: RecallMoran

already posted!


25 posted on 11/04/2008 11:41:32 AM PST by RetiredArmy (God speaks & Americans ignore. So, maybe now He is going too act . . . you will notice, believe me.)
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To: RecallMoran

These polls are very susceptible to the effect variously known as the “Clever Hans” effect, or “shy voter” or what the Brits experienced in 1992 with ALL the polls calling it for Kinnock, when it was John Major who actually won. The Brits called it the “Spiral of Silence.”

It happens when one candidate is widely regarded by opinion-makers as “unfashionable” relative to his opponent. Some people will not admit to a pollster their preference for the “uncool” candidate. It only takes a couple voters per hundred to throw the polls into chaos.


26 posted on 11/04/2008 11:49:43 AM PST by cookcounty ("A ship in harbor is safe, but that's not why the ship is built." ---Governor Sarah Palin)
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To: RetiredArmy

where? I posted it 9 min after it broke and a search didn’t reveal any piece of the title


27 posted on 11/04/2008 11:58:52 AM PST by RecallMoran (Recall Brodhead)
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