Skip to comments.Key Battlegrounds Trending McCain
Posted on 11/04/2008 10:44:23 AM PST by RecallMoran
The Latest From Inside McCain HQ November 04, 2008 11:30 AM ET | James Pethokoukis | I just talked to one of my best Team McCain sources who told me that heading into today all the key battleground polls were moving hard and fast in their direction. The source, hardly a perma-optimist, thinks it will be a long night, but that McCain is going to win. So add this with the new Battleground poll (Obama +1.9 only) and the rising stock market...
I have my Talisman of Protection (+4 against Zealots).
I think things will probably be closer than the polls have said (popular vote, not necessarily electoral), but very unlikely McCain will win. We can hope, but I think it’s unlikely. If he does, basically ALL the polling organizations are going to have zero credibility in the future.
If McCain can hold Florida and somehow pulls PA, it could portend a big loss for Obama. A win in PA will likely indicate a hold in Ohio in Florida - and that will just about do it. PA is a huge mountain to climb but man, if it goes RED tonight, I will be dancin’ in the street. (Probably avoiding Black Panther gunshots)
BTW, it is raining now in southeastern PA. May help keep some afternoon voters away in Philly.
Drudge needs to keep that black panther link up on his site..maybe some of the undecideds will recognize what is coming our way if Obama gets elected.
There is now a video on Youtube of the police telling the two black panthers to step away from the entrance.
dear GovernmentShrinker, in the words of Ronald Reagan, “there you go again.”
A lot better than Ruby Slippers for getting home.
Why is PA a huge mountain to climb? Didn’t GWB lose it by less then Kerry lost OH?
Then you add the Obama comment, Murtha comment, PUMA’s, the Coal comment and probably some racist democrats so why is it sooooo hard to win?
If the election is very close, nearly ALL of the polling organizations will have zero credibility.
BUt that won’t stop the media and the pollsters from toddling right along into the future as if nothing went wrong.
Now, think, please.
If polls are wrong enough to allow for a close election (Battleground has it close), then they are wrong enough to potentially allow for a McCain win.
When you go behind the headlines and analyze the polls, they look full of flaws.
Here’s something to consider regarding the IBD/TIPP poll that did so well last time. Their final poll showed Obama outpolling McCain in the popular vote IN THE SOUTH.
With glitches like that one, it’s hard to trust their overall margin of over 7 points to Obama.
They actually FORCED allocated undecideds. When people wouldn’t say who they leaned toward, IBD came up with some type of formula (???) that gave the majority of them to Obama.
I don’t know the outcome, but the polls already don’t look reliable.
If McCain loses by anything like the average of most polls, I’ll say, hey, even a broken clock is right twice a day.
I was gonna comment on Laz’ choice of ammo there.
Now’s not the time for target loads.
BIIIIG scoops in the front of the rounds. :)
See, I intend to MAKE IT HOME .... BY ANY MEANS NECESSARY.
Test me, bad guys. Go ahead and test me.
We have the same gun.
Ever seen what frangible ammo does to a human?
It’s not just for target practice.
Yeah, I was saddened to find that out. I want custody on Mondays, Tuesdays, and Saturdays. We can alternate the Fridays.
I wonder if the lefties are keeping track of how resolved we are to make it home the next few nights. :)
Nice lookin’ piece. I just got a .40 caliber IWI Desert Eagle and a Springfield XD ACP .45 to go along with my .38 Ruger revolver, .44 magnum lever-action carbine, and (of course) 12 gauge pump gun.
Hydrashok...definitely not for punching holes in paper.
Not good to surrender the battlefield before the battle is won.
Glad you didn't do the .50 DE. Too much bullet.
I was gonna get a nice FNFAL but I gotta wait a bit.
waaaaay to expensive for paper punching, that’s for sure.
Laz’ picture didn’t show knock down loads, but Prole’s sure did.
I don't think it will be that late. By 10pm EST we will know that McCain has it in the bag.
I hope they are. I spent last night cleaning my AR and my pistols, and putting my body armor tactical carrier together. I also put together my rucksack with food, ammo, and water enough to get my family through three to five days. Gas up the Jeep today, and we're good to go.... just in case.
These polls are very susceptible to the effect variously known as the “Clever Hans” effect, or “shy voter” or what the Brits experienced in 1992 with ALL the polls calling it for Kinnock, when it was John Major who actually won. The Brits called it the “Spiral of Silence.”
It happens when one candidate is widely regarded by opinion-makers as “unfashionable” relative to his opponent. Some people will not admit to a pollster their preference for the “uncool” candidate. It only takes a couple voters per hundred to throw the polls into chaos.
where? I posted it 9 min after it broke and a search didn’t reveal any piece of the title
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