Posted on 11/12/2008 6:31:58 AM PST by reaganaut1
As Richard Nixon wrote, “history is written by liberals,” but the story of the 2008 campaign is too important to cede to them the analysis of what happened. A close analysis of the returns indicates several key realities:
a) Sarah Palin made a vast difference in McCain’s favor. Compared to 2004, McCain lost 11 points among white men, according to the Fox News exit poll, but only four points among white women. Obama’s underperformance among white women, evident throughout the fall, may be chalked up, in large part, to the influence of Sarah Palin. She provided a rallying point for women who saw their political agenda in terms larger than abortion. She addressed the question of what it is like to be a working mother in today’s economy and society and resonated with tens of millions of white women who have not responded to the more traditional, and liberal, advocates for their gender.
b) Turnout did not increase substantially. Despite predictions (by me and others) of a vastly greater voter turnout, it didn’t happen. About 127 million people voted in 2008, compared to 122 million in 2004. By contrast, turnout rose by almost 20 million between 2000 and 2004. The emphasis on early voting and the heavy participation in primaries indicated the likelihood of a huge increase in turnout, but, on Election Day, the turnout was modest.
c) The black vote made a huge difference; but young people did not. Obama, as expected, generated a big increase in African-American voter turnout. Fox News’s exit polls estimate that blacks constituted 13 percent of the turnout in 2008, compared with 11 percent in 2004 and 10 percent in 2000. But voters under 30 years of age were still the same 11 percent of the vote that they were in 2004.
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
yes.
Many are unwilling to give credit where its due. Morris is right this time.
Even a blind sucker finds a toe once in a while!?!?! (:
When he’s right, he’s right. And lately he’s been right a good deal of the time.
Palin repeatedly pulled McCain’s bacon out of the fire, yet nary a word of that from anyone. And, I’m not sure that Dick Morris counts as anyone.
But it's not going to work.
As to Obama, well, we have to keep soldiering on and fighting.
IMHO, we simply must write our GOP senators and urge them to stand.
While standing up in any way we can ourselves over these next four years until we can turn this OBAMANATION out.
He is correct. If it weren’t for Sarah, this election would have been 70-30 or worse..............
This may have been the one time in 232 years where the Vice-Presidential candidate was more important than the top of the ticket.
Governor Palin probably saved the Republican Party from a defeat of catastrophic proportions.
Who was more important on the ticket? Look at who was attacked more on the campaign. The fear on the left was against Governor Palin not John McCain.
WTF? over. So if Maverick had done as we;ll as she, he would be POTUS? Dick Morris, famous toe-sucker and Clinton adviser... And Odinga campaign strategist in Kenya, right along side you-know-who. Together they barnstormed for Odinga all over Kenya, raised over a $ Million bucks for the church-burner here in the USA, and if anyone gives a rat's patoot, violated the Logan Act..
Dick is a brilliant guy, but a mixed bag in the long run, like most of us-——he has a permanent virtually daily conduit to FOX and has his every thought heard and his every column referred to and publicized. Considering how much he has to say, and does say, his batting average is pretty high. But when he’s wrong, he’s really wrong, and proves he’s not so smart as to be a prophet> Remember a lame idea that actually got turned into a book titled “Condi vs. Hillary”? How’d that one work out?
I just wonder about vote fraud, and by that I don’t mean just inflated numbers on the Dem side. I wonder about Republican votes being “lost,” or otherwise not counted. The intensity of the Republican voters I know was higher than 2004, or even 2000. It doesn’t add up, for me at least.
He often makes sense. Just like when you read or listen to anyone, you have to use your own judgment about what is said. He’s worth listening to. I could care less about toe fetishes.
Damn skippy Sarah saved him from a landslide defeat.
I would have voted Bab Barr if McCain had picked Crist as running mate.
She is the reason I voted for and financially supported McCain.
I am more scared by the complete wussification of America if Obama garnered that much support from white men. That’s disgusting.
Trapped as I am here in the Blue State Hell of Massachusetts, I have really been surprised at the number of people who have told me that they were leaning McCain, or at least “could have lived with him,” but were so turned off by Sarah Palin that they voted for Obama.
Even my own 85-year-old mother in Florida told me that.
bump
“The black vote made a huge difference”
Reverse racism.
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