Skip to comments.Senate runoff seen favoring Chambliss
Posted on 11/24/2008 6:42:56 PM PST by Al B.
ATLANTA | Democrat Jim Martin is campaigning feverishly, aided by Barack Obama's grass-roots organization from the presidential race and a flood of support from the national party, but he remains an underdog against incumbent Republican Sen. Saxby Chambliss in a Georgia runoff election considered pivotal for the balance of power in the U.S. Senate.
Mr. Martin is behind in polls, has half the cash of his opponent and early-voting turnout among black voters is stagnating - a crucial block for any Democrat in this mostly conservative state where Republicans also hold the other U.S. Senate seat, the governor's office and majorities in both houses of the state General Assembly.
That doesn't bode well for Mr. Martin and Senate Democrats eyeing an unexpected victory Tuesday to put them one vote away from a filibuster-breaking 60-vote majority and the power to ram the party's agenda through the chamber.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtontimes.com ...
I hope the GOP leaning state that went McCain will be sensible enough not to give Obama a super majority in the Senate. Unfortunately, in this crazy election cycle, ya never know.
I heard recently that there is a PAC to which we can donate to help Chambliss. I wish that I could remember what the name of the organisation is.
Martin cannot win without overwhelming black turnout, and that does not appear to be happening in the early voting. Moreover, Obama is not going to put his reputation on the line to campaign for Martin, which would be his one chance for an upset win.
Most of the battleground states were lost because of the early voting. The democrats amassed the necessary votes in the early voting to win. That is how they won Ohio, North Carolina, Florida, Nevada, and Virginia. Without the early voting I am confident that they would have lost.
The Republicans who control state legislatures should make it illegal to have early voting in their states. Also our side should go the courts and make this fraud process totally illegal on the national level.
Republican Sen. Saxby Chambliss in a Georgia runoff election considered pivotal for the balance of power in the U.S. Senate. Mr. Martin is behind in polls, has half the cash of his opponent and early-voting turnout among black voters is stagnating -- a crucial block for any Democrat in this mostly conservative state where Republicans also hold the other U.S. Senate seat, the governor's office and majorities in both houses of the state General Assembly.Goodnight all.
the loons are capable of pulling ANYTHING at this point.
Just ONE seat from tyranny!!!
Curiously enough, and you may draw your own conclusions, nothing was made of black racism. Not only did Obama score something like 96-98% of the black vote, but the black turnout was massive. And, of course, the huge black turnout for Obama had a profound influence down the ballot, as a great deal of straight-ticket voting was involved.
It will be interesting to see what happens with a honkey at the top of the Dem ticket in the Georgia Senate runoff. I'm betting there will be a substantial falloff in black turnout, leading to a comfortable win for Chambliss.
If Martin is campaigning feverishly, you wouldn’t know it from the phone calls I’ve been receiving...they’ve almost all been from Saxby Chambliss.
According to another article I saw today, black turnout in the early voting so far is 23% of the total, down from 31% in the general.
That’s great journalism. The writer says the runoff favors Chambliss yet the writer does not quote or cite a poll. The last poll I saw a week or so ago said Chambliss was up by 4. I would imagine Martin will have a hard time getting the first time Obama voters who only registered to vote for Obama.
What a joke. The only reason I can think of is that in 2002 I voted in a Democratic primary so I could help throw out Billy McKinney (Jihad Cindy's daddy - he was trounced in the primary 65% to 35%, and of course he blamed the Israeli lobby and claimed his opponent was Jewish).
I'm not happy with Chambliss because of his immigration shenanigans, but as I told the RNC person who called here, the alternative is far, far worse.
Chambliss ran much poorer in Georgia than McCain primarily because of a blunder by the Republican Governor who made a significant misstep against retired teachers. They felt betrayed because the teachers were the one of the primary reasons Republicans took control of the Governor’s Office in 2002 and the legislature in 2002 & 2004. Hard to believe teachers would be so anti Democrat but the former Democratic Governor made them that mad. They teachers could not take it out on Governor Perdue so Chambliss became the target of many to send the GOP a message in the state.
The message worked and the Governor and his appointees backed off the change in teacher retirement pay.
Unfortunately it almost cost us the Senate seat.
I recall one or two calls from the AFL/CIO, but most have been from the GOP, and most have been pre-recorded so there wasn't a real person to argue with. I've let the answering machine get about half of them, though.
Our 3 precincts are in Billy McKinney's old district because the former Dem governor got mad at us for voting for his opponent (he was a Cobb Countian and I suppose he thought we were obligated to vote for him as a homeboy) and redistricted us right into Billy's bailiwick.
So if you just look at a district map, you'd think this would be a hotbed of Obama voters. But other than a few brain-dead liberals with more money than wits, this is a pretty solid conservative area.
...would the GOP even use a filibuster if it could?
In the past there is always some “gang of (fill in number here)” that put the screws to it, lead by Republicans (usually McCain).
I think there are a few things (probably very few) that would galvanize them....card check for instance. Of course, Collins and Snowe could just cave and it would be a moot issue whether Chambliss is there or not.
The article cites two polls.
I would think a runoff would favor Chambliss as there would no Obamamania to drive the Dem vote.
Well, you know that my district is pretty much a neighborhood-by-neighborhood mix of GOP and Dems. I guess they figure the whole county is up for grabs. :)
dude here is the deal
there is NO WAY that the liberal Obama people will come out and vote AGAIN....... Saxby will win in a landslide
Don’t believe it. Fight!
In some areas it’s not so much that Martin ran well, it’s that the Libertarian candidate ran better than usual. In Gwinnett County, one of the big suburban counties outside Atlanta, Saxby got 53%, Martin 43%, Buckley 4%. In Cobb County, another big suburban county, it was pretty much the same, with Martin just one point lower. In many northern GA counties, Saxby scored in the 60-70% range, Martin 20%-30%, and Buckley anywhere from the low to high single digits. Martin’s vote actually doesn’t look much different from Max Cleland’s losing 46% six years ago, it’s just that Saxby’s seeing a cut from his column due to Buckley, plus the extra black turnout has dampened the GOP margins in the Atlanta metro area.
Saxby may be in good shape even if he only picks up a small portion of the Buckley vote.
If Georgia is similar to other states, retirement benefits must be reduced substantially. Pension portfolios have lost 30% to 50% of value in one year. The ridiculous target rate of return is far short of the actual rate of return. Government workers, especially teachers feel entitled to subsidized early retired. Subsidized early retirement cannot be afforded now. It seems like a sensible reform to me unless teacher pensions are much different in Georgia than other states.
If the LP candidate doesn’t endorse Saxby Chambliss publicly, then he is a total jerk and a danger to freedom and we need to swear to never support or vote LP again.
I am sick and tired of the LP handing victory after victory over to the liberal socialist Democrats.
They’re running ads here in Georgia for Chambliss. Dick Morris was telling people tonight to go to this site and donate.
He called it goptrust.com, and I actually got to this site by going to http://www.goptrust.com
Alas, we never know about GA which gave the world her own GA Jimmy.
Newt or Mike Huckabee would do Chambliss more good than Giuliani in Georgia.