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Imminent Yellowstone 'Supervolcano' Now 'Unlikely'
cbs ^ | 1/2/09 | cbs

Posted on 01/02/2009 9:13:55 AM PST by Flavius

NEW YORK (CBS) ―

[Click to zoom.] Click to enlarge Yellowstone remains very geologically active — and its famous geysers and hot springs are a reminder that a pool of magma still exists five to 10 miles underground. (File)

CBS 1 of 1

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numSlides of totalImages Related Stories

* Yellowstone Earthquakes May Be 'Precursory' Events (12/30/2008) * Author: Yellowstone Park A Ticking Bomb (7/28/2008) * Wolves Of Yellowstone Spur Love And Hate (7/18/2007) * Yellowstone Bulge May Cause Thermal Unrest (3/2/2006)

Related Links

* Lowenstern Interview With Blogger * Yellowstone Earthquake Map

The recent "swarm" of small earthquake tremors happening in Yellowstone National Park are not likely to be a sign of a pending "supervolcano" eruption as some fear, according to a top scientist at the Yellowstone Volcano Observatory.

Dr. Jacob Lowenstern of the U.S. Geological Survey said Monday that the earthquake activity in Yellowstone most likely will continue for weeks, "and then will end without any other related activity."

Lowenstern's comments were reported by money and politics blogger James Pethokoukis of U.S. News & World Report, who chatted with the scientist via e-mail.

Yellowstone National Park was jostled by a host of small earthquakes this week, and scientists watched closely to see whether the more than 250 tremors were a sign of something bigger to come

(Excerpt) Read more at cbs13.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Wyoming
KEYWORDS: earthquakes; environment; eruption; geology; globalcooling; supervolcano; usgs; yellowstone
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1 posted on 01/02/2009 9:13:55 AM PST by Flavius
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To: Flavius

Whew! I was buying up rice and beans, Y2K style.


2 posted on 01/02/2009 9:16:42 AM PST by Zevonismymuse
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To: Flavius

Whew. We sure dodged that bullet in the nick of time. Now all we have to do is dodge the incoming Obama bullet.


3 posted on 01/02/2009 9:16:46 AM PST by ProtectOurFreedom
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To: Flavius

God forbid anything bad happens during “The One’s” presidential term, obviously it will be Bush’s fault if we blow.


4 posted on 01/02/2009 9:17:53 AM PST by GauchoUSA
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To: Flavius

Try not to get worried
Try not to turn on to
Problems that upset you
oh Don’t you know
Everything’s alright
Yes everything’s fine
And we want you to sleep well tonight


5 posted on 01/02/2009 9:18:31 AM PST by null and void (Petroglyphs. The original cliffs notes...)
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To: Flavius

I hope not but what does he base this on?


6 posted on 01/02/2009 9:18:46 AM PST by CindyDawg (I)
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To: Flavius
When the experts proclaim something, the exact opposite usually happens.

O s**t.

7 posted on 01/02/2009 9:19:47 AM PST by Lazamataz (Illegal Zombies: Just Eating the Brains that Ordinary Americans Won't Eat)
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To: Flavius
When the experts proclaim something, the exact opposite usually happens.

O s**t.

8 posted on 01/02/2009 9:19:53 AM PST by Lazamataz (Illegal Zombies: Just Eating the Brains that Ordinary Americans Won't Eat)
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To: Flavius

It’s fascinating to read about the seismic activity Yellowstone, because we know what this caldera is capable of. However, the chances that any given swarm of small earthquakes is a precursor to the ‘the big event’ is extremely small. Just to give perspective, there was a 7.4 earthquake in Yellowstone in 1959 and that didn’t lead to any notable volcanic activity.


9 posted on 01/02/2009 9:21:20 AM PST by CaptainMorgantown
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To: CaptainMorgantown

Yeah but what has changed between yesterday and today? Yesterday it was “it’s happened in the past...we don’t know..we are watching.


10 posted on 01/02/2009 9:24:52 AM PST by CindyDawg (I)
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To: null and void

Barrack Obama, Superstar?

Hill’ry, your appointment
brand new and expensive
could haaave been saved for Al Gore...
Why has it been wasted?
We could have raised maybe
three hundred million offshore!


11 posted on 01/02/2009 9:26:20 AM PST by dangus
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To: CindyDawg

if you did not see it

there is a nice bbc show about the whole thing

its worth watching if you like some science with entertainment

http://www.earthmountainview.com/yellowstone/yellowstone.htm


12 posted on 01/02/2009 9:31:43 AM PST by Flavius
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To: Flavius
Uh huh....

A report from the MSM citing a government geologist. This is like the officers and crew of the Titanic telling the passengers that putting the women and children off in the lifeboats is just a "precautionary measure".

I do understand it, though. There is a very fine line between instilling concern combined with positive action and creating a panic. Especially now with so many who have seen all those "Yellowstone supervolcano pr0n" shows on Discovery and Nat Geo. Want to find the heart of the matter? If any of you know first responders in Idaho, (especially) Wyoming, Montana, Utah, Colorado, Nebraska and the Dakotas play "Go Fish" with them. See if they have received any out of the ordinary "instructions" or things of that nature.

13 posted on 01/02/2009 9:34:18 AM PST by Nahanni
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To: Flavius

Likely. Unlikely. Likely. Unlikely. Likely. Unlikely.

Volcanologists. Can’t live with ‘em. Can’t live without ‘em.


14 posted on 01/02/2009 9:37:36 AM PST by onedoug
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To: Flavius
"There have been 80 volcanic eruptions at Yellowstone since the last 'supervolcano' eruption 640,000 years ago and hundreds of large steam explosions," said Lowenstern. "The last time a volcanic eruption occurred at Yellowstone was 70,000 years ago."

We need to keep this in mind just in case some sort of explosive event does occur soon at Yellowstone. Yellowstone farts a lot but only kills en masse on rare special occassions.

15 posted on 01/02/2009 9:42:45 AM PST by HerrBlucher
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To: Flavius

Are these the same people that said Global Warming is Man made? If so, then I am now really scared. They only seem to be right about 5% of the time. So if they say it won’t blow......?????


16 posted on 01/02/2009 9:48:05 AM PST by Blackhawk (God said it, I believe it, That settles it.)
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To: Flavius

Are they using computer “models”? We all know what “scientists” can do with computer models.


17 posted on 01/02/2009 9:48:19 AM PST by LiberConservative ("I, you know, can see, you know, upstate, you know, from my house, you know.")
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To: Zevonismymuse
Always a good idea, regardless of circumstances. I'd rather have it and not need it, than need it and not have it.

Scouts Out! Cavalry Ho!

18 posted on 01/02/2009 9:50:44 AM PST by wku man (Who says conservatives don't rock? Go to www.myspace.com/rockfromtheright)
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To: Flavius

Whoops - better get that mortgage payment in the mail.


19 posted on 01/02/2009 9:51:13 AM PST by reagan_fanatic (Resist the Obamination!)
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To: Flavius
Meanwhile....

YML - 01/02/2009

Don't s'pose the eggheads know that means.....

20 posted on 01/02/2009 9:54:56 AM PST by mewzilla (In politics the middle way is none at all. John Adams)
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To: Flavius

Oh crap, I guess I’m going to have to pay off those credit card bill after all.


21 posted on 01/02/2009 9:55:42 AM PST by dfwgator (I hate Illinois Marxists)
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To: mewzilla
...what that means...
22 posted on 01/02/2009 9:56:00 AM PST by mewzilla (In politics the middle way is none at all. John Adams)
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To: Flavius
Mathematica
people have made a movie
about the quake swarm:

Visualizing the Recent Yellowstone Earthquakes
23 posted on 01/02/2009 10:00:00 AM PST by theFIRMbss
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To: null and void

I had a megga crush on Yvonne Elliman back then.


24 posted on 01/02/2009 10:00:36 AM PST by MarineBrat (The New York Times is a Communist Kamikaze.)
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To: wku man
I'd rather have it and not need it, than need it and not have it.

I'm with you wku....one look at my pantry and you would wrongly assume I was a Morman. One look at our backyard and you would rightly assume I am white trash; we have most of the cars we have ever owned in a sort of vehicle graveyard. We all save coffee cans, nuts and bolts, all sorts of oddities. We are ready for darn near anything. If we can find it....

25 posted on 01/02/2009 10:01:48 AM PST by Zevonismymuse
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To: theFIRMbss

That is neat!


26 posted on 01/02/2009 10:05:07 AM PST by mewzilla (In politics the middle way is none at all. John Adams)
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To: Flavius

thanks


27 posted on 01/02/2009 10:09:10 AM PST by CindyDawg (I)
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To: Flavius

Yeah, that’s exactly what all the experts and government types said in the movie, too!..............


28 posted on 01/02/2009 10:12:34 AM PST by Red Badger (I was sad because I had no shoes to throw, until I met a reporter who had no feet.....)
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To: Flavius

Yellowstone >> IS << a supervolcano. Saying it is ‘unlikely’ is as nonsensical as saying the White House is unlikely.


29 posted on 01/02/2009 10:15:05 AM PST by MahatmaGandu (Remember, remember, the twenty-sixth of November.)
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To: Flavius

Note the statement was made Monday, reported today. Since then the earthquake swarm has moved north and up (USGS is several hours behind in plotting), while harmonics indicative of magma movement are clear on the U. of Utah siesmographs. An eruption of some sort is likely within 72 hours, I say, but nothing will be heard from the USGS until after the fact.


30 posted on 01/02/2009 10:15:05 AM PST by GRANGER (We should invade their countries, kill their leaders and convert them to Christianity. - Ann Coulter)
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To: CindyDawg
I hope not but what does he base this on?

Algore says he'll use his superpowers to prevent an eruption from preventing global warming.

31 posted on 01/02/2009 10:16:26 AM PST by MahatmaGandu (Remember, remember, the twenty-sixth of November.)
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To: mewzilla
Interesting related article....

Johnson's Volcano Research Featured in Nature

32 posted on 01/02/2009 10:16:39 AM PST by mewzilla (In politics the middle way is none at all. John Adams)
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To: mewzilla
Looks like lots of wind noise. There are very high winds with significant gusts today.
33 posted on 01/02/2009 10:20:45 AM PST by Myrddin
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To: Flavius

Here is how a real interview with a scientist would go:

Reporter: OK, so you are saying that these small quakes do not indicate anything large is coming, right?

Scientist: Well, er, no. I am saying the odds of such a thing happening is fairly remote.

Reporter: If Yellowstone was going to blow, what would we see ahead of time?

Scientist: Well, I, uh, you would see some activity that would indicate something is about to happen.

Reporter: Like what type of activity?

Scientist: Well, uh, seismic activity of a very sophisticated type that would need interpretation from someone knowlegeable about this area and its history.

Reporter: Have you EVER been able to predict a large quake?

Scientist: No, but, uh, I once got the Pick 3 right.

Reporter: Has ANY scientist predicted a large quake ahead of time?

Scientist: Well, er, no, but that doesn’t mean we can’t. We just need more funding to continue our research into these things. You see, the Bush Administration cut funding for seismic research in favor of the war......

Reporter: Another lost opportunity to reveal the mysteries of earthquakes lost by this illegal war and illegitimate President. I, like so many, know that the Obama Administration will be able to predict every earthquake with 100% accuracy very soon.


34 posted on 01/02/2009 10:21:22 AM PST by Erik Latranyi (Too many conservatives urge retreat when the war of politics doesn't go their way.)
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To: GRANGER

Likely? Like 55% likely or 80% likely....?


35 posted on 01/02/2009 10:22:13 AM PST by txhurl (somebody just bought 12 Carrier Battle Groups for 600 million dollars)
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To: mewzilla

I’m pretty sure this Johnson is from the Rock Ridge Johnsons.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=WiTKIbR69ss


36 posted on 01/02/2009 10:23:16 AM PST by GRANGER (We should invade their countries, kill their leaders and convert them to Christianity. - Ann Coulter)
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To: GRANGER

I don’t know about an eruption within 72 hours, but it’s obvious that dismissing this is not a wise thing to do. I have a friend in Cody, Wyoming who says the local FD got a little heads-up from FEMA about this last week so it’s on the radar screen for the government.


37 posted on 01/02/2009 10:23:27 AM PST by MahatmaGandu (Remember, remember, the twenty-sixth of November.)
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To: txflake

~80% IMHO


38 posted on 01/02/2009 10:25:24 AM PST by GRANGER (We should invade their countries, kill their leaders and convert them to Christianity. - Ann Coulter)
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To: Myrddin
Looks like lots of wind noise. There are very high winds with significant gusts today

LOL. It looks like it.

Streaming Video from around Old Faithful

Brrrrrr.....

39 posted on 01/02/2009 10:27:10 AM PST by mewzilla (In politics the middle way is none at all. John Adams)
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To: CindyDawg
The quake chart I've been watching indicates, in the last one or two days, depending on whether you go by MT or UTC there have been two more quakes registering 3.0 and 3.1. That doesn't sound like things are quieting down.

Sometimes I wonder why it took us so long to realize this National Treasure is really a super volcano.

The officials will be very concerned about creating panic as well as the impact on tourism.

40 posted on 01/02/2009 10:28:39 AM PST by TiaS
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To: MahatmaGandu
FEMA's got a statement up. Click on the link and scroll down to Region VIII....

National Situation Update: Wednesday, December 31, 2008

41 posted on 01/02/2009 10:29:55 AM PST by mewzilla (In politics the middle way is none at all. John Adams)
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To: MahatmaGandu

In December 2000, scientists at the National Center for Prevention of Disasters in Mexico City predicted an eruption within two days at Popocatépetl, on the outskirts of Mexico City. Their prediction used research that had been done by Bernard Chouet, a Swiss volcanologist who was working at the United States Geological Survey and who first observed a relation between long-period events and an imminent eruption.[1][2][3] The government evacuated tens of thousands of people; 48 hours later, the volcano erupted as predicted. It was Popocatépetl’s largest eruption for a thousand years, yet no one was hurt.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prediction_of_volcanic_activity


42 posted on 01/02/2009 10:30:37 AM PST by GRANGER (We should invade their countries, kill their leaders and convert them to Christianity. - Ann Coulter)
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To: mewzilla

Well, at least they’re paying attention to it.


43 posted on 01/02/2009 10:31:34 AM PST by MahatmaGandu (Remember, remember, the twenty-sixth of November.)
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To: mewzilla
We have winds SW 26 gusts 37 MPH in Pocatello right now. Yellowstone reads variable 6 gusts to 21 MPH. The stuff in Pokey will be moving to Yellowstone soon.
44 posted on 01/02/2009 10:34:42 AM PST by Myrddin
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To: mewzilla

Mark for later.


45 posted on 01/02/2009 10:36:19 AM PST by fanfan (Update on Constitutional Crisis in Canada.....Click user name)
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To: GRANGER

Long-period events is what we have right now ay Yellowstone....


46 posted on 01/02/2009 10:38:20 AM PST by GRANGER (We should invade their countries, kill their leaders and convert them to Christianity. - Ann Coulter)
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To: jeffers

ping


47 posted on 01/02/2009 10:42:20 AM PST by Arizona Carolyn
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To: GRANGER

Rocks breaking close to surface:
3.4 2009/01/02 11:32:49 44.552N 110.382W 0.3 59 km (36 mi) ESE of West Yellowstone, MT
http://www.seis.utah.edu/req2webdir/recenteqs/Maps/111-45.html


48 posted on 01/02/2009 10:42:41 AM PST by GRANGER (We should invade their countries, kill their leaders and convert them to Christianity. - Ann Coulter)
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To: MahatmaGandu

They’re paying attention, but what the heck are they gonna be able to do, especially before an eruption? They’re not going to want to try to evacuate millions of people on a hunch, risk Heaven knows how many fatalities and injuries from a panicked stampede just on an educated guess. Not to mention the economic nightmare that would ensue. My bet is that even if they do suspect something horrific will happen, they won’t say a thing beforehand. And I couldn’t blame them. Folks should just be prepared for the worst and hope for the best. And plan on taking care of themselves instead of waiting for Uncle Sam to do it. That’s good advice no matter the disaster.


49 posted on 01/02/2009 10:42:41 AM PST by mewzilla (In politics the middle way is none at all. John Adams)
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To: GRANGER

so your actually seeing harmonics?


50 posted on 01/02/2009 11:04:19 AM PST by Flavius
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