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MO-Senate: Bond to Retire (Open GOP seat in 2010)
The Washington Post ^ | January 8, 2009 | Chris Cillizza

Posted on 01/08/2009 9:37:55 AM PST by St. Louis Conservative

Bond is the third Republican Senator to leave the chamber in 2010 -- following Sens. Sam Brownback (Kans.) and Mel Martinez (Fla.) down that path. Democrats are expected to heavily target all three seats.

Bond's retirement ends a long -- and, at times, rocky -- career in Missouri politics that began more than four decades ago when he ran and lost a race for Congress. In 1970, Bond bounced back to be elected state auditor and two years after that was elected governor of the Show Me State. In 1976 he was defeated for re-election but in 1980 reclaimed the office. (We told you it was a long and rocky career.) In 1986, Bond won a Senate seat and had managed to hold the seat ever since -- winning re-election to a fourth term in 2004 with 56 percent, his highest share of the vote ever.

Bond's retirement makes a candidacy by Secretary of State Robin Carnahan, the daughter of the late Governor Mel and former Senator Jean Carnahan, even more likely. Robin Carnahan had made no secret of the fact she was thinking about the race before Bond's decision. Another potential candidate is state Attorney General Chris Koster although Carnahan has the right of first refusal.

The Republican bench is thinner. The three names likely to get significant attention over the next few days are former Sen. Jim Talent, former Rep. Kenny Hulshof and Rep. Roy Blunt.

Talent, who served in the House during the 1990s, lost a run for governor in 2000 but bounced back two years later to defeat Jean Carnahan. Talent lost to Sen. Claire McCaskill in his bid for a full term in 2006.

(Excerpt) Read more at voices.washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Missouri
KEYWORDS: 111th; 2010; congress; electionussenate; kitbond; missouri; mo2010; senate
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I don't think Talent should run again. Kenny Hulshof would be good except he lost a landslide election against Jay Nixon in 2008.

Otherwise, there's Peter Kinder. Kinder is a good guy and works very hard and can raise money, but he's not a real dynamic candidate.

Sarah Steelman would be the best candidate, IMO.

1 posted on 01/08/2009 9:37:58 AM PST by St. Louis Conservative
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To: St. Louis Conservative

Senators up for re-election 2010:

McCain (AZ) (R)
Voinovich (OH) (R)
Gregg (NH) (R)
Specter (PA) (R)
Burr (NC) (R)
Mel Martinez (FL) (R) (retiring - open seat)
Sam Brownback (KS) (R) (retiring - open seat)
Kit Bond (MO) (R) (retiring - open seat)

Bayh (IN) (D)
Lincoln (AR) (D)
Dorgan (ND) (D)
Salazar (CO) (D)
Reid (NV) (D)


2 posted on 01/08/2009 9:42:57 AM PST by AmericanGirlRising (Buying carbon credits will not get me into Heaven. I am second - http://iamsecond.com/#/home/)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

Is Carnahan popular in MO? Would you care to handicap the GOP’s chances of keeping the seat?


3 posted on 01/08/2009 9:43:28 AM PST by Big_Monkey
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To: AmericanGirlRising

Wow, that is depressing. I don’t see a safe seat except for McCain’s and I don’t see an at-risk seat for the Dummies except for (perhaps) Reid.


4 posted on 01/08/2009 9:45:30 AM PST by Big_Monkey
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To: St. Louis Conservative; Impy; BillyBoy; Clemenza; AuH2ORepublican; NewRomeTacitus; darkangel82; ...

I think Republicans like Bond are seeing the writing on the wall that they may be in the minority for a long time to come. If the Dems claim his seat, we could conceivably fall into the mid 30 range in the Senate by 2010 unless the GOP figures out a way to get their act together and counter the False Messiah.

As for Talent, he’s only won one statewide and lost two, and that’s not a good record. Hulshof is a good man, but a bust for statewide. Roy Blunt ? Worst Republican Whip in the past half-century ? No way. Same goes for his gutless son who ran away from facing a contested reelection.

Yeah, Peter Kinder (now, sadly, our last remaining statewide Republican other than Bond) or Steelman are the only viable options, although I think Jo Anne Emerson is a possibility as well. The Carnahan spawn MUST be stopped.


5 posted on 01/08/2009 9:46:24 AM PST by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Alps !"~~)
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Comment #6 Removed by Moderator

To: Big_Monkey

Robin Carnahan was just reelected in November by 62%, the highest vote-getter in the state this cycle. Unfortunately, Lt Gov. Peter Kinder, the only Republican to retain his office statewide, won with just 49.88%. Our chance of keeping Bond’s seat is 50-50, but depends upon if the national climate becomes more favorable towards us. If it’s still like this past year, we’ll lose it.


7 posted on 01/08/2009 9:50:57 AM PST by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Alps !"~~)
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To: Chris DeWeese

I’d like Sam Graves, but he doesn’t strike me as a career politician type.

Rush Limbaugh in 2010! :)


8 posted on 01/08/2009 9:51:48 AM PST by RabidBartender
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To: fieldmarshaldj

No way to Jo Ann Emerson. She is a RINO if there ever was one. Her husband is a big time Dem too.

She was one of 4 Republicans to vote against the surge and votes for every bloated bill that comes down the pike, Highway Bill, Farm Bill, Energy bill, etc.


9 posted on 01/08/2009 9:53:24 AM PST by St. Louis Conservative
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Comment #10 Removed by Moderator

To: St. Louis Conservative

Well, that is another state we can kiss goodbye.


11 posted on 01/08/2009 9:55:48 AM PST by Anti-Bubba182
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To: Big_Monkey

No strong Republican statewide candidates, maybe Hulshof can try...chances to keep seat in Missouri in 2010...25%...my view from Southeast MO...magritte


12 posted on 01/08/2009 9:59:23 AM PST by magritte (If a problem comes along, you must whip it.)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

Is there a reason Gov. Matt Blunt shouldn’t run?


13 posted on 01/08/2009 9:59:41 AM PST by MSSC6644 (Defeat Satan. Pray the Rosary)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

That’s too bad. I hadn’t heard she remarried.


14 posted on 01/08/2009 10:00:18 AM PST by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Alps !"~~)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

Like the rest of her clan, Robin Carnahan is dumb as a bag of hammers. However Planned Parenthood will spare no cost to get her elected, as they did for her mouth-breathing, low-life carpetbagger brother Russ. Another infernal legacy from St. Mel, Missouri’s foremost secular martyr.


15 posted on 01/08/2009 10:01:59 AM PST by Dionysius
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Her ACU score last year was only 60, but 83 lifetime. Then again they gave McCain a high score too.


16 posted on 01/08/2009 10:02:53 AM PST by darkangel82 (I don't have a superiority complex, I'm just better than you.)
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To: fieldmarshaldj
Well, Roy Blunt announced he is running.

Sam Graves smacked Kay Barnes in November.

17 posted on 01/08/2009 10:02:54 AM PST by LdSentinal
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To: MSSC6644

Yes. He’s a gutless weasel who peed his pants when he heard big bad Jay Nixon was going to run against him for Governor and ran away instead, leaving Nixon to waltz right on in. No rewards for cowards.


18 posted on 01/08/2009 10:03:28 AM PST by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Alps !"~~)
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To: AmericanGirlRising

Special elections for Hillary’s seat, Biden’s seat and Obama’s seat (now Burris’) also come around in 2010.


19 posted on 01/08/2009 10:05:00 AM PST by LdSentinal
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To: LdSentinal

It’ll be my pleasure to see Roy Blunt lose. Apparently nobody told ole Roy what exactly you’re supposed to do when you’re Minority Whip. He seemed to think it was hiding in a closet and being seen by the media once in a blue moon. Now we see where his boy got his courage from. Two worthless little weasels.


20 posted on 01/08/2009 10:05:57 AM PST by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Alps !"~~)
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To: LdSentinal

We’ll probably lose all 3. If Paterson appoints little Caroline Schlossberg, Andy Cuomo will beat her in the Dem primary, and that seat is gone. Biden’s seat is being held for his progeny to claim it. And unless a giant is found in IL, Burris or no Burris in ‘10, they’ll probably hold it, too. Sickening.


21 posted on 01/08/2009 10:08:30 AM PST by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Alps !"~~)
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To: Anti-Bubba182
"Well, that is another state we can kiss goodbye."

We are quickly running out of states. Might be time to consolidate and move towards secession II.

22 posted on 01/08/2009 10:09:22 AM PST by Big_Monkey
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To: LdSentinal

good catch - thanks. I’ve added them to the list:

Senators Seats (re-elections, retirements, term completions) 2010:

McCain (AZ) (R)
Voinovich (OH) (R)
Gregg (NH) (R)
Specter (PA) (R)
Burr (NC) (R)
Mel Martinez (FL) (R) (retiring - open seat)
Sam Brownback (KS) (R) (retiring - open seat)
Kit Bond (MO) (R) (retiring - open seat)

Bayh (IN) (D)
Lincoln (AR) (D)
Dorgan (ND) (D)
Salazar (CO) (D)
Reid (NV) (D)
Clinton (NY) (D) (seat will be filled for the balance of 09-10)
Biden (DE) (D) (seat will be filled for the balance of 09-10)
Obama/Burris (IL) (D) (seat will be filled for the balance of 09-10)


23 posted on 01/08/2009 10:10:19 AM PST by AmericanGirlRising (Buying carbon credits will not get me into Heaven. I am second - http://iamsecond.com/#/home/)
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To: AmericanGirlRising

Any chance for pickup by unseating Dingy Harry in NV and Dorgan in ND?


24 posted on 01/08/2009 10:10:21 AM PST by bassmaner (Hey commies: I am a white male, and I am guilty of NOTHING! Sell your 'white guilt' elsewhere.)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Of course the GOP will lose every seat in 2010. The Dems learned in this last election that if they lose any close elections just call for a recount, sit back, be patient and you will win on the second or third recount.


25 posted on 01/08/2009 10:12:39 AM PST by Russ (Repeal the 17th amendment)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

“Sarah Steelman would be the best candidate”

I agree, wholeheartedly! I voted for Steelman in the primary and I think she’d be a great candidate for Senate. I live in Southwest Missouri and Steelman has A LOT of support around here! There were signs for her everywhere over the summer.

I just hope we don’t get another Claire McCaskill.....


26 posted on 01/08/2009 10:13:43 AM PST by wk4bush2004 (SARAH PALIN, 2012!!!!!!!)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Politics and the country’s mood are not linear.What looks solid for the Hate America crowd may be a Swamp of Curses by only a few events.


27 posted on 01/08/2009 10:13:44 AM PST by redstateconfidential (" An American Idol President")
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To: fieldmarshaldj
Yes. He’s a gutless weasel who peed his pants when he heard big bad Jay Nixon was going to run against him for Governor and ran away instead, leaving Nixon to waltz right on in. No rewards for cowards.

Thanks for the insight.

28 posted on 01/08/2009 10:14:48 AM PST by MSSC6644 (Defeat Satan. Pray the Rosary)
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To: fieldmarshaldj
Well, I agree NY is hopeless. Any Republican living here are fleeing the state. Peter King will lose to either Cuomo or "You Know" Kennedy.

Delaware, Michael Castle is our only hope.

For Illinois, let's just hope Burris survives the Dem Senate primary.

29 posted on 01/08/2009 10:14:56 AM PST by LdSentinal
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To: AmericanGirlRising

There should be more than 13 Senators up for re-election in 2010. Usually it is 33 Senators who are up for re-election every 2 years.


30 posted on 01/08/2009 10:16:53 AM PST by jveritas (God Bless President Bush and our brave troops)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

What about Graves?


31 posted on 01/08/2009 10:17:53 AM PST by AuH2ORepublican (Fred Thompson appears human-sized because he is actually standing a million miles away.)
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To: bassmaner

Dingy is quite vulnerable. Dorgan is unknown and the seat will rely on the quality of opposition.


32 posted on 01/08/2009 10:18:00 AM PST by AmericanGirlRising (Buying carbon credits will not get me into Heaven. I am second - http://iamsecond.com/#/home/)
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To: jveritas

This is just my starting list (16). Any other additions you have are surely welcome.


33 posted on 01/08/2009 10:19:59 AM PST by AmericanGirlRising (Buying carbon credits will not get me into Heaven. I am second - http://iamsecond.com/#/home/)
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To: redstateconfidential
"What looks solid for the Hate America crowd may be a Swamp of Curses by only a few events."

I continue to hope against hope, but it gets harder every year. I have argued with my friends that if it wasn't for a slutty intern and her strange predilection for saving soiled clothing, Al Gore would have easily won election. Remember, Clinton's approval rating was above 60% (proving that 60% of Americans are Godless idiots.

We now have a media that is shamelessly propagandizing for the left. There isn't even a pretense of balance anymore. Unless Barry gets caught, on film, molesting young boys on the Oval Office desk, I don't see how he doesn't get re-elected in four years.

34 posted on 01/08/2009 10:24:15 AM PST by Big_Monkey
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To: AmericanGirlRising

Burr is in big trouble, for he supported open borders. That football player from Asheville should win easily.


35 posted on 01/08/2009 10:25:36 AM PST by Theodore R. (GWB is neither "compassionate nor conservative.")
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To: St. Louis Conservative

What about Matt Blount? You think this is what he had in mind when he decided not to run for reelection as governor?


36 posted on 01/08/2009 10:27:02 AM PST by Non-Sequitur
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To: AmericanGirlRising

LA’s Vitter is also highly vulnerable.


37 posted on 01/08/2009 10:27:23 AM PST by Theodore R. (GWB is neither "compassionate nor conservative.")
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To: St. Louis Conservative
No way to Jo Ann Emerson. She is a RINO if there ever was one. Her husband is a big time Dem too. She was one of 4 Republicans to vote against the surge and votes for every bloated bill that comes down the pike, Highway Bill, Farm Bill, Energy bill, etc.

What is her husband's name?

38 posted on 01/08/2009 10:27:29 AM PST by Just mythoughts (Isa.3:4 And I will give children to be their princes, and babes shall rule over them.)
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To: AmericanGirlRising
Dingy is quite vulnerable.

To who? You need a viable candidate to run against him.

39 posted on 01/08/2009 10:28:48 AM PST by Non-Sequitur
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To: Big_Monkey

In 2 years people will be screaming for heads to roll. No imcumbant is going to be safe save for those in deep Red or Blue states and districts.


40 posted on 01/08/2009 10:31:51 AM PST by misterrob (Smooth talkers win at singles bars and in politics .. often with similar outcomes for the listener)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Some of us from teamsarah contacted various reps from our state about running against McCaskill. JoaAnn wrote back thanking me for my kind letter & then guaranteed me when the new session started she would be working hard for her constituents. I thought at the time it was the usual no answer reply. However, since she did not actually rule it out perhaps she would be open to this opportunity. I think Rod Jetton would then stand a good chance at filling her position. Steelman would also be an excellent choice. Either way Mo. Republicans have a tough road ahead and better make some decisions soon.


41 posted on 01/08/2009 10:33:34 AM PST by PoplarBluffian
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To: Russ

“The Dems learned in this last election that if they lose any close elections just call for a recount, sit back, be patient and you will win on the second or third recount.”

There should be a federal law whereby any state, district ot polling location having more votes than registered voters will be disallowed for that and the next election!!!!


42 posted on 01/08/2009 10:35:42 AM PST by dbacks (God help the USA.)
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To: AmericanGirlRising

Isn’t there more than that? I thought roughly a third of the seats are up every 2 years.


43 posted on 01/08/2009 10:42:23 AM PST by 1L
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To: bassmaner

Harry “Negro-Free Senate” Reid is already having charges trumped up against his main potential GOP candidate in 2010, Brian Krolicki, the Lt Governor. I’m thinking it may be better to run Congressman Dean Heller against him, the only Republican to survive this past Novermber in a NV federal race.

North Dakota is more problematic. The GOP hasn’t run a first-tier candidate for office there in decades. We last won a Senate seat there in 1980 (and House seat in 1978, both with the same person). Dorgan and Conrad have been in continuous office for 40 years and 28 years respectively (and Conrad was Dorgan’s assistant for 7 years before that). We dominate the state offices, but NONE of them have stepped forward to run. Both the Dakotas should have an all-GOP delegation, but haven’t since 1955 (!).


44 posted on 01/08/2009 10:45:45 AM PST by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Alps !"~~)
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To: Theodore R.

Heath Shuler.
You know you’re a screwup when you fail in Washington twice.


45 posted on 01/08/2009 10:46:50 AM PST by darkangel82 (I don't have a superiority complex, I'm just better than you.)
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To: Russ

Or sixteenth recount... Let’s see if Coleman has the balls to sue from now until 2010 to overturn that obscenity. That seat was stolen as sure as the sun rises in the east.


46 posted on 01/08/2009 10:47:08 AM PST by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Alps !"~~)
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To: St. Louis Conservative
Sarah Steelman would be the best candidate, IMO.

Well, one can dream.
47 posted on 01/08/2009 10:47:56 AM PST by kc8ukw
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To: redstateconfidential

True, though I feel like nearly all of the rest of the country outside my state lost their collective minds. My state promptly reacted against the False Messiah as though he was McGovern Part Deux, the way the country SHOULD’VE reacted. It just seems to be getting worse with each passing election and we have fewer and fewer areas we can contest that 10 or 20 years ago were handily winnable or competitive.


48 posted on 01/08/2009 10:49:42 AM PST by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Alps !"~~)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

I suspect, sadly, that international events..the War on terror..will have a HUGE effect on the 2010 elections..suppose there’s a successful major terrorist strike against Israel, or inside the US...as I fear...well...being a Dem running for office won’t be a good thing...


49 posted on 01/08/2009 10:49:58 AM PST by ken5050 (Don't blame me, I voted for Palin!!)
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To: Non-Sequitur

Based on opinion polls and his fund raising record. I’m unaware of any possible challengers to Reid.


50 posted on 01/08/2009 10:51:31 AM PST by AmericanGirlRising (Buying carbon credits will not get me into Heaven. I am second - http://iamsecond.com/#/home/)
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