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The National Ponzi Scheme
Townhall.com ^ | February 4, 2009 | Walter E. Williams

Posted on 02/04/2009 4:06:57 AM PST by Kaslin

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) was set up to combat fraudulent practices. The SEC's website explains that "Ponzi schemes are a type of illegal pyramid scheme named for Charles Ponzi, who duped thousands of New England residents into investing in a postage stamp speculation scheme back in the 1920s." It goes on to say, "Decades later, the Ponzi scheme continues to work on the 'rob-Peter-to-pay-Paul' principle, as money from new investors is used to pay off earlier investors until the whole scheme collapses." That is how the SEC described the recent Bernard Madoff $50 billion Ponzi scheme, "a stunning fraud that appears to be of epic proportions."

A Ponzi scheme does not generate any wealth whatsoever; that is why it ultimately collapses. As Circuit Judge Anderson said in the 1922 Lowell v. Brown case, the Ponzi scheme was "simply the old fraud of paying the earlier comers out of the contributions of the later comers." So long as the number of late comers -- you might call them suckers -- grows, the fraudulent scheme has life.

We have a national Ponzi scheme where Congress collects about $785 billion in Social Security taxes from about 163 million workers to send out $585 billion to 50 million Social Security recipients. Social Security's trustees tell us that the surplus goes into a $2.2 trillion trust fund to meet future obligations. The problem is whatever difference between Social Security taxes and benefits paid out is spent by Congress. What the Treasury Department does is give the Social Security Trust Fund non-marketable "special issue government securities" that are simply bookkeeping entries that are IOUs.

According to Social Security trustee estimates, around 2016 the amount of Social Security benefits paid will exceed taxes collected. That means one of two things, or both, must happen: Congress will raise taxes and/or slash promised Social Security benefits. Each year the situation will get worse since the number of retirees is predicted to increase relative to the number in the workforce paying taxes. In 1940, there were 42 workers per retiree, in 1950 there were 16, today there are 3 and in 20 or 30 years there will be 2 or fewer workers per retiree.

Social Security is unsustainable because it is not meeting the first order condition of a Ponzi scheme, namely expanding the pool of suckers. Social Security has been one congressional lie after another since its inception. Here's what a 1936 Social Security pamphlet said: "After the first 3 years -- that is to say, beginning in 1940 -- you will pay, and your employer will pay, 1.5 cents for each dollar you earn, up to $3,000 a year ... beginning in 1943, you will pay 2 cents, and so will your employer, for every dollar you earn for the next 3 years. ... And finally, beginning in 1949, twelve years from now, you and your employer will each pay 3 cents on each dollar you earn, up to $3,000 a year. That is the most you will ever pay." The pamphlet also said, "Beginning November 24, 1936, the United States government will set up a Social Security account for you. ... The checks will come to you as a right."

That's another lie. In .Flemming vs Nestor (1960), the U.S. Supreme court held that you have no "accrued property rights" to a Social Security check. That means Congress can do anything it wishes with Social Security. There is little or nothing that can be done to prevent the economic and political chaos that will result from the collapse of Social Security.

Today's recipients of Social Security, along with their powerful AARP lobby, represent a powerful political force. Few politicians are willing to risk their careers alienating today's senior citizens for the benefit of Americans in 2040. After all what do today's seniors and politicians care about a 2040 calamity? They will be dead by then.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial
KEYWORDS: genx; lp; lping; walterewilliams; williams

1 posted on 02/04/2009 4:06:57 AM PST by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin

Madoff looks like a rookie compared to Congress critters.


2 posted on 02/04/2009 4:10:15 AM PST by Man50D (Fair Tax, you earn it, you keep it!)
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To: Kaslin

I heard recently that the Fed is the only entity that will still purchase a 30 year treasure bill from the United States.

That is pretty frightening on several levels.


3 posted on 02/04/2009 4:14:54 AM PST by IamConservative (Dems: "Do as we say, not as we pay.")
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To: Kaslin
Can the Second Amendment and Social Security Coexist?

By Aaron Zelman and Claire Wolfe.

4 posted on 02/04/2009 4:28:00 AM PST by DuncanWaring (The Lord uses the good ones; the bad ones use the Lord.)
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To: Kaslin
"Today's recipients of Social Security, along with their powerful AARP lobby, represent a powerful political force."

The AARP has leaned to the social and fiscal left for at least more than fifteen years (re. some of the newsletters during the early '90s). Most of the members are left-leaning women, and our Nation will most likely fail to be able to support them soon. IMO, it's time to families to plan to take care of their grandmothers without much government help. Our politicians, IMO, should also be looking more toward conservatism now, for the very near future.


5 posted on 02/04/2009 4:44:48 AM PST by familyop (combat engineer (combat), National Guard, '89-'96, Duncan Hunter or no-vote, http://falconparty.com/)
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To: DuncanWaring

Not a problem. They can just print more money like the Fed does.


6 posted on 02/04/2009 4:56:55 AM PST by wolfcreek (There is no 2 party system only arrogant Pols and their handlers)
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To: Kaslin

bookmarked.


7 posted on 02/04/2009 5:13:31 AM PST by stylin_geek (Liberalism: comparable to a chicken with its head cut off, but with more spastic motions)
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To: qam1; ItsOurTimeNow; PresbyRev; Fraulein; StoneColdGOP; Clemenza; m18436572; InShanghai; xrp; ...
Xer Ping

Ping list for the discussion of the politics and social (and sometimes nostalgic) aspects that directly effects Generation Reagan / Generation-X (Those born from 1965-1981) including all the spending previous generations are doing that Gen-X and Y will end up paying for.

Freep mail me to be added or dropped. See my home page for details and previous articles.

8 posted on 02/04/2009 7:15:23 AM PST by qam1 (There's been a huge party. All plates and the bottles are empty, all that's left is the bill to pay)
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To: Abathar; Abcdefg; Abram; Abundy; akatel; albertp; AlexandriaDuke; Alexander Rubin; Allerious; ...
Few politicians are willing to risk their careers alienating today's senior citizens for the benefit of Americans in 2040. After all what do today's seniors and politicians care about a 2040 calamity? They will be dead by then.



Libertarian ping! Click here to get added or here to be removed or post a message here!
9 posted on 02/04/2009 7:19:41 AM PST by bamahead (Few men desire liberty; most men wish only for a just master. -- Sallust)
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To: Kaslin

The National Debt is also a Ponzi scheme. Pay off matured debt by issuing more. How long can that last?


10 posted on 02/04/2009 7:22:33 AM PST by djsherin (The federal government:: Because someone has to f*** things up!)
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To: Kaslin
In 1940, there were 42 workers per retiree, in 1950 there were 16, today there are 3 and in 20 or 30 years there will be 2 or fewer workers per retiree.

Old people need to start smoking. Seriously.

11 posted on 02/04/2009 7:32:07 AM PST by Drew68
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To: Drew68
"Old people need to start smoking. Seriously."

They/we keep trying but you won't let us! LOL.

I had a college professor friend years ago, who was otherwise a Lib. But even she admitted, at some point Social Security is no longer "getting back what you paid into it" even with interest. There comes a point where Social Security ultimately becomes welfare.

But if worse comes to worse, you can always pull a Soylent Green on us!

12 posted on 02/04/2009 8:16:09 AM PST by Bokababe ( http://www.savekosovo.org)
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To: Kaslin

National Ponzi scheme?

I thought you were referring to the Porkulus Bill.


13 posted on 02/04/2009 8:26:58 AM PST by exit82 (The Obama Cabinet: There was more brainpower on Gilligan's Island.)
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To: Kaslin

They are stealing out money at the point of a gun to give to old people, I hate it. I want out of the ponzi scheme!!!


14 posted on 02/04/2009 12:35:11 PM PST by TheKidster (you can only trust government to grow, consolidate power and infringe upon your liberties.)
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To: djsherin
The National Debt is also a Ponzi scheme

Yup. What happens when it collapses? Do the elites sell us off in bankruptcy court?
15 posted on 02/05/2009 12:46:29 AM PST by CowboyJay (Don't tread on me)
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