Skip to comments.Exit polls: Livni's Kadima winner in 2009 elections
Posted on 02/10/2009 12:20:41 PM PST by Free ThinkerNY
Exit polls by Israel's three main television stations on Tuesday night showed Kadima as the clear winner in the 2009 general elections, with Likud coming a narrow second.
Channel 1, Channel 2 and Channel 10 polling of voters as they left the ballot box all showed victory for Kadima, headed by Tzipi Livni.
(Excerpt) Read more at haaretz.com ...
and exit polls are always reliable /sarc
Exit polls also had kerry as the next President
My guess is that she will prevail. She will be welcomed with open arms by Hillary and Bambi. Together they will sell out the nation Israel.
I’ll be the first to admit I didn’t follow this election closely, but thought Bibi would win it handily.
Kadima CLEAR winner, but Likud CLOSE second? That doesn’t make sense. I hope the Israelis haven’t turned to suicide by voting like most Jewish Americans.
Let’s wait and see. I hope this is not true, but it could be.
Likud may end up forming the government if it is only narrowly behind Kadima and Labor Party crashed.
Kadima might have won, but Likud will form the next Israeli government.
You mean, like most Americans?
It looks like Likud may come in second, but the right wing and religious parties will hold the majority. Livni may have the first try at setting up a government, but if the right and religious parties hold steadfast she will fail and Netanyahu will be able to form a majority government.
Not a bad result. Netanyahu lost a lot of support from the right when he tried to delegitimize Moshe Feiglin as a Likud member, moving his place on the ballot from approximately 20th to approximately 37th.
“voting like most Jewish Americans”
Most vote “D”.
The Republican Jewish political action committee actually meets every other Thursday in the phone booth in Times Square.
Shouldn’t that read that Kadima is LEADING the election?
I hope this isn’t true...if it is then Israel is signing it’s own death warrant.
Bye Bye Israel!!! The guess here it will cease to exist in 25 years.
The chart here makes things a little more clear. Left leaning parties did not do so well overall. If Livni is to form a ruling coalition she may choose a “unity” approach and that will mean bringing Bibi or Lieberman into the Govt. Also, remember that these are still exit poll results and things may change.
Voting in Israel's close-fought general election ended at 10pm this evening. Among the major parties, the Channel 1 exit poll gives 30 of the Knesset's 120 seats to Kadima, led by Tzipi Livni, 28 seats to Likud, led by Benjamin Netanyahu, 14 to Israel Beiteinu, led by Avigdor Lieberman, 13 to Labor, led by Ehud Barak, and 9 to Shas, led by Eli Yishai.
The Ynet-Smith poll gives 28 to Kadima, 26 to Likud, 16 to Israel Beiteinu, 14 to Labor, and 10 to Shas.
The exit poll results are something of an upset, since in pre-election polls Likud led all the way, albeit with a steadily reducing lead.
Although it looks as though Kadima will be the largest single party, as things stand it is nevertheless expected that it will be Benjamin Netanyahu who will be asked to try to form a government, since the right-wing block has a clear lead over the center-left block to which Kadima belongs. The result could however lead to a constitutional crisis, since as the largest party Kadima will claim that Tzipi Livni has the right to form a government.
The projected result is a catastrophe for Labor, the worst in the party's history. Israel Beiteinu too has gained far fewer seats than the pre-election polls indicated that it would.
By JPOST.COM STAFF
With voting stations officially closed, exit polls at 10 p.m. suggested that Kadima would win the general elections on Tuesday.
However, due to the dramatic rise in support of the Likud and Israel Beiteinu, it seemed that Likud chairman Binyamin Netanyahu would have a better chance than Kadima head Tzipi Livni of forming the next coalition.
The Channel 1 poll showed Kadima winning 30 mandates, and Likud trailing closely behind with 28 seat. Israel Beiteinu was predicted to earn 14 mandates, and Labor was slated to get 13 seats.
The Channel 2 poll narrowed the gap between first and second place, showing Kadima with 29 mandates, and Likud with 27 seats. Israel Beiteinu was predicted to earn 15 mandates, and 13 seats.
Channel 10 followed the same pattern, predicting Kadima with 30 mandates, Kadima with 28 seats, Israel Beiteinu with 15 mandates, and Labor with 13 seats.
Once the final results of the election are known, President Shimon Peres will begin a round of consultations with party leaders, to hear who they are recommending for prime minister. In the past, the task of forming a coalition has been given to the head of the largest party. But election legislation gives Peres wide leeway, and he can grant the first opportunity to the party leader who he judges has the best chance in forming a government, even if that party did not earn the most mandates in the election.
G-d says differently.
But America on the other hand...
If you'd like to be on or off, please FR mail me.
61 of 120 seats.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.