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Taxes Not Seen as Making the Rich Flee New York
New York Times ^ | March 18, 2009 | Nicholas Confessore

Posted on 03/19/2009 1:49:17 PM PDT by reaganaut1

It is perhaps the most potent argument offered by those who oppose increasing the income tax on wealthy New Yorkers: If you raise it, they will flee.

That case has been made repeatedly by Gov. David A. Paterson, who says that higher taxes should be a last resort. It has been featured in a campaign by Taxpayers for an Affordable New York, a coalition of real estate and business interests. And it has been on the mind of Mayor Michael R. Bloomberg, New York City’s richest person, who said in a radio interview, “You can’t tax too much those that can move.”

Yet there is surprisingly little evidence to support the proposition that rich New Yorkers would bolt if forced to pay higher income taxes. Though tracking the movement of wealthy taxpayers from state to state is difficult, experts on public finance and migration say they have yet to document a substantial “rich drain” in states that have raised income taxes in recent years.

“At the level we’re talking about, there’s no quantitative evidence that it affects the mobility decisions of affluent taxpayers,” said Douglas S. Massey, a demographer at Princeton University and president of the American Academy of Political and Social Science.

Pressured by enormous budget deficits, officials in Illinois, Hawaii, Wisconsin and New Jersey are considering new taxes on the rich. Lawmakers in Albany have discussed several proposals, including increases for those earning more than $250,000.

But even experts who oppose such taxes on other grounds — out of fear that they will retard economic growth and innovation, or encourage lawmakers to indulge in bouts of new spending — concede that there is not much evidence that raising taxes on the wealthy would drive out a significant number.

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; US: New York
KEYWORDS: economy; incometaxes; nyc; taxes; taxincrease; taxincreases
I think the biggest impact of taxes is on where new jobs are created. There is also the moral question -- if one is not a socialist -- of whether the tax burden should fall primarily on a small fraction of the population.

The rich in NY are mostly Democrats. They will be getting Democratic policies, good and hard.

1 posted on 03/19/2009 1:49:17 PM PDT by reaganaut1
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To: reaganaut1

lol. sez nyt.


2 posted on 03/19/2009 1:51:52 PM PDT by chuck_the_tv_out
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To: reaganaut1

This idiot doesn’t realize, that while they may keep a residence in NY, they register their businesses in the Caribbean or overseas somewhere and send their profits to Grand Cayman. Idiot.


3 posted on 03/19/2009 1:52:33 PM PDT by ChinaThreat (3)
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To: reaganaut1
The New York Times is whistling past the graveyard. Again.
4 posted on 03/19/2009 1:52:59 PM PDT by gridlock (The wheels on O's bus go thump thump thump!)
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To: reaganaut1
there is not much evidence that raising taxes on the wealthy would drive out a significant number

Of course not. In fact, very rich people are more likely to move to New York where they know they can be taxed at much higher rates than from whence they came. People love to pay high taxes, or they simply don't mind whatsoever.

5 posted on 03/19/2009 1:56:20 PM PDT by Nonstatist
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To: reaganaut1

Here’s the thing I can’t understand...sooner or later they’re going to have to cut spending. They just have to cause folks will run out of money to tax. So why not start now?


6 posted on 03/19/2009 1:56:21 PM PDT by exPBRrat
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To: reaganaut1
No, it's not just the income taxes..
It's the 400 other taxes and fees (how about 21% total taxes on cell phone use?)
that gets rammed right up our wallets every day.
Add to that about twice the number of onerous regulations and laws,
pitiful on its best day gun rights,
Politicians that are dumber than a bag of horsehair,
and the largest number of unelected and unaccountable bureaucrats (just to make your life more miserable) per capita than any other state.
7 posted on 03/19/2009 1:56:37 PM PDT by xcamel (The urge to save humanity is always a false front for the urge to rule it. - H. L. Mencken)
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To: reaganaut1

Affluent retirees are not leaving NY, NJ, IL. etc...just to escape cold winters only. They don’t want their savings being raped by state and local taxes in these DemRat sinkholes.


8 posted on 03/19/2009 1:56:37 PM PDT by tflabo
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To: reaganaut1
Talk to California. They are have a real drain going on. And how many auto makers are locating in Michigan since they ran up their taxes and union rules. This kind of migration isn't immediate. It has taken 40 years for the auto makers to move from Detroit to Ohio and Tennessee, but it did happen. Most of the so called rich will sit out an election cycle or two just to see if things get better before uprooting their entire family and business to move someplace else. But if the taxes stay high enough, long enough the move will happen.
9 posted on 03/19/2009 1:57:19 PM PDT by GonzoGOP (There are millions of paranoid people in the world and they are all out to get me.)
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To: reaganaut1

Wow...the Times found professors, politicians, & think tanks that say taxes aren’t so bad... I’m shocked (obvious sarcasm)


10 posted on 03/19/2009 1:58:38 PM PDT by BookmanTheJanitor
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To: reaganaut1

Dimwit. The rich don’t pay the taxes whatever you do. You pay the tax when you buy the product at the store. It all just gets rolled into the price of doing business.


11 posted on 03/19/2009 1:58:53 PM PDT by marron
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To: reaganaut1

‘There is also the moral question”

The criteria they are using is how uch can i suck from people without them leaving. NOT how much should these people pay.


12 posted on 03/19/2009 1:59:00 PM PDT by driftdiver (I could eat it raw, but why do that when I have a fire.)
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To: reaganaut1

Of course, the NYT thinks the CURRENT residents will live forever, huh?

Think of it this way: people might not be DRIVEN out in droves, since family and business contacts and other issues will, maybe, anchor them. Also, they might not be able to AFFORD selling a home at a loss right now, or the price of breaking a lease.

However, these taxes WILL keep new people from MOVING IN!

So, the effect is gradual, but very real.

The “rich” might very well stay.

Every year, the “grim reaper” will cull the heard, and nobody will be there to take their places!


13 posted on 03/19/2009 2:00:49 PM PDT by Kansas58
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To: reaganaut1

Maybe because it’s not the rich that higher taxes are killing?


14 posted on 03/19/2009 2:02:37 PM PDT by DJ MacWoW (Make yourselves sheep and the wolves will eat you. Ben Franklin)
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To: ChinaThreat

Also the insane libs in NYC usually live in rent control apartments.


15 posted on 03/19/2009 2:05:47 PM PDT by Frantzie (Boycott GE - they own NBC, MSNBC, CNBC & Universal. Boycott Disney - they own ABC)
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To: ChinaThreat

NYT idiot doesn’t realize his employer and NYC is on the slower local stop train to bankruptcy... Michigan is riding the express train to economic wasteland. They keep deluding themselves of the obvious dangers of high taxes....
then again liberals are brain-challenged! Let the shock therapy of reality hit ‘em hard!


16 posted on 03/19/2009 2:06:05 PM PDT by tflabo
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To: gridlock

He should look at California....


17 posted on 03/19/2009 2:06:25 PM PDT by expatpat
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To: reaganaut1
since the government believes that raising tax rates will have not cause it's people to leave NY, they should be perfectly willing to raise the rate to 100%. Using their perspective, that will maximize government takings and no one will even leave the state. Hey, NY, go ahead and implement!

Put your residents money where your mouth is and we will know once and for all if tax rates will cause behavior change.

18 posted on 03/19/2009 2:08:39 PM PDT by rigelkentaurus
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To: gridlock

The NYT is not merely sipping at the Kool-Aid. They are swallowing huge draughts.

Wealthy New Yorkers may make their domiciles in New York City, as it IS a rather high-class address. But their businesses are all placed elsewhere, and their direct income from sources within the State of New York will remain at very low levels, comparatively, to what they are drawing as earnings from elsewhere. And as their investments in New York State will be very low, if any, they are a net LIABILITY on the City of New York.

In these days of Internet businesses, their entire commerce may be carried out online, with not a nickel passing through what may be considered the domain of New York State or New York City.

No taxable revenues, no taxes collected.


19 posted on 03/19/2009 2:09:09 PM PDT by alloysteel (Obama was lying, your rights are dying)
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To: xcamel
(how about 21% total taxes on cell phone use?)

Similar to Illinois.

I have to pay a village tax too, it's only 25 cents per phone but it really irks me that my little town, population 1600 can levy a tax on cell phones at all.

Plus I pay that tax on 3 cell phones, one for mine, one for my wife's and one for my mother's, who lives in another state.

20 posted on 03/19/2009 2:13:55 PM PDT by Graybeard58 (Selah)
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To: reaganaut1
The rich in NY are mostly Democrats. They will be getting Democratic policies, good and hard.

And if that's what they want, they're welcome to it. Just don't get me involved.
21 posted on 03/19/2009 2:15:24 PM PDT by JamesP81 (When Obama signed an order providing tax dollars to murder children, he stopped being my president)
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To: reaganaut1

If this is true, why are so many Hampton houses up for sale?

Also why so many NYC expensive condos dropping in price?


22 posted on 03/19/2009 2:27:41 PM PDT by razorback-bert (Will trade sex for ammo)
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To: reaganaut1

Sure, raising the taxes now may not cause them to flee. But when taxes are raised again next year, and then the year after that, and the year after that, etc., etc., they WILL start leaving.


23 posted on 03/19/2009 2:28:57 PM PDT by Nipplemancer (Abolish the DEA !)
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To: reaganaut1

A blind man can see...
Never mind.


24 posted on 03/19/2009 2:31:42 PM PDT by Crawdad (If you're in a fair fight, your tactics suck.)
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To: marron

that is why I think we should eliminate the income tax and just institute “corporate taxes” for those EVIIIIILL corporations.

They will just pass the taxes on to the poor in cost of goods sold, which the poor are too stupid to understand


25 posted on 03/19/2009 2:33:45 PM PDT by Mr. K (physically unable to proofreed (<---oops))
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To: reaganaut1

ping


26 posted on 03/19/2009 2:35:00 PM PDT by PMAS
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To: razorback-bert

At a certain point, if prices continue to fall, they will simply walk away and leave the real estate to decay back into the ground.

At which point, the county picks it up for taxes due, and turns these series of estates into a county or state park. Thus they end up with a broad greenbelt, and the agrarian life of simplicity they have always held up as the ideal.

Or a wilderness, begging for recolonization.


27 posted on 03/19/2009 2:37:03 PM PDT by alloysteel (Obama was lying, your rights are dying)
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To: reaganaut1

“...experts on public finance and migration say they have yet to document a substantial “rich drain” in states that have raised income taxes in recent years.”

They obviously haven’t bothered to interview the 300,000 native born Americans who have left California every year, for the last few years.

Most of them make $60K and up a year, so yeah, according to Obama’s “experts”, they’re all rich.


28 posted on 03/19/2009 3:20:04 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: reaganaut1
Somebody has to pay the public sector with salary, benefit, pension levels above those in the private sector.
Unions decide the election of politicians, politicians in turn adhere to demands by unionists or they are out.
Remember the good old days:
Got a Government job, got ongoing security, well worth your lower pay but not confronting layoff’s.
Question, what happens after two years when Obama's "stimulants" to States and Cities runs out? Answer: Ramapant inflation.
29 posted on 03/19/2009 3:43:50 PM PDT by hermgem (Will Olmr)
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To: reaganaut1

About 30 years ago I worked for a condo development in Naples, FL. I can’t tell you how many NY’ers moved to FL and
bought condos with the money they saved on income tax.


30 posted on 03/19/2009 5:45:30 PM PDT by OldEagle
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To: reaganaut1

About 30 years ago I worked for a condo development in Naples, FL. I can’t tell you how many NY’ers moved to FL and
bought condos with the money they saved on income tax.


31 posted on 03/19/2009 5:45:51 PM PDT by OldEagle
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To: reaganaut1

Interesting point:

“You can’t tax too much those that can move.”

But you can tax too much those who can’t move.

Think about it.


32 posted on 03/19/2009 8:42:25 PM PDT by FatherFig1o155 (I love -- and miss -- the republic I grew up in: America.)
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To: reaganaut1

Confiscatory taxation is fair for the democratic wealthy. I don’t see a problem with that as long as they are registered democrats, we can unburden them of the guilt they feel having accumulated all that money via capitalism.


33 posted on 03/21/2009 8:57:27 AM PDT by Cacique (quos Deus vult perdere, prius dementat ( Islamia Delenda Est ))
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