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Democrats Predict 210-Vote Victory in NY-20 (is the "fix" in?)
washpost ^ | 4-1-09

Posted on 04/01/2009 10:44:45 AM PDT by rightinthemiddle

Venture capitalist Scott Murphy (D) will win the special election in New York's 20th district by 210 votes after all outstanding absentee and military ballots are counted, according to projections made by Democratic Party officials and obtained by the Fix.

The projections -- based off of the county performances by Murphy and state Assemblyman Jim Tedisco (R) on election night -- show the Democrat gaining 115 votes in Warren County, 96 votes in Columbia County and 70 votes in Washington County as well as scoring smaller gains in several other counties. Tedisco's only major gain, according to the model, will be in Saratoga County where he will net an additional 116 votes.

The Democratic projection puts the total number of absentee and military ballots at 5,584 with Murphy winning 2,864 and Tedisco taking 2,720. On election night, Murphy held a 65-vote lead -- 77,344 to 77,279.

(Excerpt) Read more at voices.washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New York
KEYWORDS: acorn; cheaters; corruption; fixed; murphy; newyork; ny2009; tedisco
This will be the goal and be treated as fact. If Murphy does not win, there will be cries of fraud.

The Democrats know how to work this stuff.

1 posted on 04/01/2009 10:44:46 AM PDT by rightinthemiddle
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To: rightinthemiddle

they will try to have military ballots thrown out


2 posted on 04/01/2009 10:45:44 AM PDT by GeronL (http://tyrannysentinel.blogspot.com)
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To: rightinthemiddle

Based on all recent elections, I would say that the GOP is toast.


3 posted on 04/01/2009 10:48:04 AM PDT by bill1952 (Power is an illusion created between those with power - and those without)
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To: rightinthemiddle

Pretty easy to predict the margin when you know the number of fraudulent ballots ginned up previously ...


4 posted on 04/01/2009 10:48:19 AM PDT by mgc1122
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To: rightinthemiddle

This is just ugly, come on military always vote Republican, I can see another Minnesota melt down coming.


5 posted on 04/01/2009 10:48:35 AM PDT by rstark56
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To: rightinthemiddle

I’m smelling something fishy about these close Rat races.


6 posted on 04/01/2009 10:49:48 AM PDT by madinmadtown (It is good to be right.)
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To: rightinthemiddle

And work it they will. There is maybe a 2% chance that he can pull this out against the schemers.


7 posted on 04/01/2009 10:51:33 AM PDT by pissant (THE Conservative party: www.falconparty.com)
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To: rightinthemiddle

“after all outstanding absentee and military ballots are counted”

They mean, after all the military ballots are rejected and they “find” ballots, courtesy of ACORN.


8 posted on 04/01/2009 10:52:17 AM PDT by wk4bush2004 (SARAH PALIN, 2012!!!!!!!)
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To: rightinthemiddle

Yup, and the WashPost is helping the DNC as usual. Any decent journalist or honest person would have reversed the order of the first sentence and started with “According to...” Instead, they knew the reader will skim the first line of the sentence and presume Murphy will win.

Par for course.


9 posted on 04/01/2009 10:52:39 AM PDT by KeatsforFirstDog
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To: rightinthemiddle

When it comes to close election contests, the ‘Rats win about 99.999999% of the time. They know how to make it happen. The ‘Rat will “win” this seat, it’s a pretty safe bet. The sure sign of doom is if the ‘Pubs file in court. That is the kiss of death. They won’t get any justice there.


10 posted on 04/01/2009 10:54:27 AM PDT by chimera
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To: rightinthemiddle; Impy; Clintonfatigued; fieldmarshaldj; Clemenza

So the idiot Democrats are assuming that the absentees will break exactly as the in-person vote went in each county? Without even considering the party registration of the persons that requested absentee ballots?

David Fredosso on The Corner looked at the party ID for those requesting absentee ballots, and it doesn’t look bad at all for Tedisco.


11 posted on 04/01/2009 10:55:12 AM PDT by AuH2ORepublican (Fred Thompson appears human-sized because he is actually standing a million miles away.)
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To: rightinthemiddle; Impy; Clintonfatigued; fieldmarshaldj; Clemenza

Oops, forgot the link: http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/?q=M2Q1MjdiOGQ2NTAyNGZmOTAyM2E5NGNhODkzZTg2NzE=


12 posted on 04/01/2009 10:55:40 AM PDT by AuH2ORepublican (Fred Thompson appears human-sized because he is actually standing a million miles away.)
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To: rightinthemiddle

Damn, that’s the area where I saw a woman with a Hillary sticker in a grave yard with a clip board. She was acting suspicious when she saw me stop the car to look. Hmmmmmm ?


13 posted on 04/01/2009 10:57:58 AM PDT by Bringbackthedraft (Liberals fear the return of The Cleaver Family.)
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To: Bringbackthedraft

That was in 2000.


14 posted on 04/01/2009 10:59:03 AM PDT by Bringbackthedraft (Liberals fear the return of The Cleaver Family.)
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To: rightinthemiddle
I voted in 2006 amd I voted in 2008. The Democrats came into power, and Obama got into the White House and I know I did everything I could to stop them, but it happened any way.

Personally, based on how I've seen elections go over the past few years, I'm not sure I'll bother in the future. I just can't take these outcomes seriously.

15 posted on 04/01/2009 10:59:41 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (American Revolution II -- overdue)
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To: ClearCase_guy

The Democrats/Liberals just keep complaining, fighting, annoying...they intend to wear down people until they give up.
Since most of them work in jobs that afford them a lot of free time (or they steal time from their employers), they seem to have much more power.

They’re just like the “protesters” at the G-20 summit.


16 posted on 04/01/2009 11:04:07 AM PDT by rightinthemiddle (I think we're gonna have another civil war.)
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To: rightinthemiddle
Get ready!! Ballots are about to be located in car trunks and they will find voting machines where the votes haven't been counted. And NY has a very desperate Gov. who has a 15% popularity rating. ACORN and Carville and co. are working overtime to protect the messiah.
17 posted on 04/01/2009 11:08:39 AM PDT by kenmcg (cOMMBYAH)
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To: rightinthemiddle

They know the precise numbers because they have already PRINTED extra ballots. They are in someone’s back seat.

Can you smell the STENCH?


18 posted on 04/01/2009 11:08:43 AM PDT by bboop (obama, little o, not a Real God)
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To: bill1952

Based on all recent elections, I would say that the GOP is toast.

In this election and many to come. Ugh...


19 posted on 04/01/2009 11:13:52 AM PDT by stevecmd
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To: rightinthemiddle

Democrats find votes in strange places after the polls close. Ho hum.


20 posted on 04/01/2009 11:18:56 AM PDT by Minn (Here is a realistic picture of the prophet: ----> ([: {()
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To: rightinthemiddle

How can they predict this? How do they know how all those absentees voted?

If correct, the GOP cannot continue to lose votes after election day. EVERY. SINGLE. TIME.


21 posted on 04/01/2009 11:22:20 AM PDT by St. Louis Conservative
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To: ClearCase_guy
"Personally, based on how I've seen elections go over the past few years, I'm not sure I'll bother in the future. I just can't take these outcomes seriously."

Do you see how close these elections are? Staying home won't help. You are part of the problem if you're not part of the solution...

22 posted on 04/01/2009 11:24:52 AM PDT by uncommonsense (liberals see what they believe and conservatives believe what they see)
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To: uncommonsense
I HATED voting for John McCain. I thought he was about the worst Republican candidate I ever saw, but I voted for him.

If the GOP gets a clue and runs someone better, maybe I'll go vote for 'em. I do like Sarah Palin. But I see the Republican party picking RINOs as nominees and I see the Democrats engaging in naked election fraud, and I just don't see why I need to participate in that game.

And although I've never missed an election since 1978 (and I've never voted for a single Democrat), I am quite tired of the mantra: "Democrats win because Republicans refuse to vote". I think that is SERIOUSLY missing the real problem. The problem is two-fold: 1) The GOP does not oppose Democrat policies, and 2) The Democrats cheat.

23 posted on 04/01/2009 11:34:46 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (American Revolution II -- overdue)
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To: rightinthemiddle
What's with all races coming down to 200-some votes lately?

Something smells...

24 posted on 04/01/2009 11:46:38 AM PDT by what's up
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To: rightinthemiddle

Even if Tedisco squeaks it out, he lost. He should have won by 6,000 votes. Steele is a retard, and should be fired. I don’t care if the Left screams “high-tech lynching!”. Get rid of the loser.


25 posted on 04/01/2009 11:47:12 AM PDT by montag813 (www.FreepShop.com)
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To: ClearCase_guy
1) The GOP does not oppose Democrat policies

Last I heard the House GOP stood united against the stimulus.

26 posted on 04/01/2009 11:48:13 AM PDT by what's up
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To: what's up
Only because they cannot stop it. When a situation arises in which the GOP might actually stop the Left, the GOP finds people like Collins, Snowe, Specter, or even McCain. And the deal is made, and the Left wins.

The GOP stands strong and united in opposition only when it serves no purpoise to do so.

27 posted on 04/01/2009 11:53:33 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (American Revolution II -- overdue)
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To: ClearCase_guy
when it serves no purpoise to do so

I believe a large purpose was served.

When the stimulus goes into effect and all the corruption and failure is seen, EVERY House GOP member can say, "we told you so".

This is capable of having a very large effect come Nov. '10.

28 posted on 04/01/2009 12:05:18 PM PDT by what's up
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To: GeronL

“they will try to have military ballots thrown out”

And they are often successful... unfortunately.


29 posted on 04/01/2009 12:10:54 PM PDT by ScottinVA (Meanwhile, the sheeple graze mindlessly while awaiting slaughter at Hope and Change Ranch)
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To: rightinthemiddle

“The Democratic projection puts the total number of absentee and military ballots at 5,584 with Murphy winning 2,864 and Tedisco taking 2,720”

And how the hell would they know that, considered they’ve been “sequestered” by a judge? Sounds to me like some “special counting” has been occurring here.

Once again, another close “election” to the dems. We are toast.


30 posted on 04/01/2009 12:14:00 PM PDT by ScottinVA (Meanwhile, the sheeple graze mindlessly while awaiting slaughter at Hope and Change Ranch)
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To: what's up

“When the stimulus goes into effect and all the corruption and failure is seen...”

Who’s going to the let the sheeple see the corruption and failure? The MSM? LOL!!!


31 posted on 04/01/2009 12:15:02 PM PDT by ScottinVA (Meanwhile, the sheeple graze mindlessly while awaiting slaughter at Hope and Change Ranch)
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To: rightinthemiddle

The rats are willing to lie, cheat, and steal with absolutely no shame or conscience. The gutless Republicans don’t stand a chance.


32 posted on 04/01/2009 12:15:35 PM PDT by Lancey Howard
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To: ScottinVA

“to the let” = “to let”

Long day..


33 posted on 04/01/2009 12:16:34 PM PDT by ScottinVA (Meanwhile, the sheeple graze mindlessly while awaiting slaughter at Hope and Change Ranch)
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To: rightinthemiddle
How could they possibly come up with this figure? If I were a WaPo writer, this would be the first question out of my mouth. They have absolutely no way of knowing what the outcome will be, unless, of course, the flying monkeys at ACORN were involved.
34 posted on 04/01/2009 12:25:35 PM PDT by Major Matt Mason (The Democrat Party is a criminal enterprise.)
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Comment #35 Removed by Moderator

To: rightinthemiddle
This makes NO sense. Saratoga county is far larger than Warren or Washington Counties, and voted for Tedisco as Warren and Washington voted for Murphy, around 55%. How on Earth do they give their respective candidates the same amount of absentee advantage? How do the Democrats catch Tedisco when 500 more Republicans out of the 6,000 Absentees had taken out Absentees, and when 750 more Republicans have returned them? How do they claim victory when Republicans consistently win with Absentee ballot in Rural Republican Majority Districts, and when many of the ballots were sent back when Tedisco was up 15%?????
Tedisco may very well lose, but I dont understand the Democrat's confidence on this one. I just dont....
36 posted on 04/01/2009 12:33:09 PM PDT by MassachusettsGOP
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To: rightinthemiddle
I think we're missing the forest for the trees. I wouldn't take anything for granted and all politics are local, but a race that is this close in New York isn't good news for the Democrats.
37 posted on 04/01/2009 12:38:55 PM PDT by Red Dog #1
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To: GeronL

no democrats have learned. Absentee ballots are a license to print victory.

You don’t need the actual voter, just a willing notary IF THAT.

Nursing homes are the best with old people who are clueless.

If a republican does not win by a wide marging the fraud allows the taking.


38 posted on 04/01/2009 12:39:32 PM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: ClearCase_guy
"I think that is SERIOUSLY missing the real problem. The problem is two-fold: 1) The GOP does not oppose Democrat policies, and 2) The Democrats cheat."

I can't argue with that, but now that the radical libs have taken over the Rat party, there's NOTHING whatsoever to stop them from digging a hole so deep we'll never get out, while weakening our military, redistricting to keep themselves in power, and rigging the voting system so profoundly that everywhere they want, there will be a "D" behind the incumbent.

39 posted on 04/01/2009 1:09:10 PM PDT by uncommonsense (liberals see what they believe and conservatives believe what they see)
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To: GeronL; wk4bush2004

“they will try to have military ballots thrown out”
______________

I live by a large military base and have had several interesting conversations in the last few weeks. I don’t think the GOP can count on military votes the way we used to. The racial and ethnic make-up of today’s military has resulted in strong support amongst military members who used to stay home or show no interest- but support for OBAMA. How anyone can vote against their interests so obviously, I don’t know but it seems to be the case.


40 posted on 04/01/2009 1:25:55 PM PDT by awake-n-angry
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To: awake-n-angry

This is just temporary. Most of the military, especially Whites, Asians, and Latinos, backed McCain in the election (80%-20%). Only Blacks in the military backed Obama with a majority, and it was a much closer margin than the general population (2/3).


41 posted on 04/01/2009 1:55:48 PM PDT by Thunder90
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To: bill1952

Yep: the GOP cannot win an election unless they can somehow make it honest and that nowadays is impossible. They are dead in the water here. Since supposedly they had a 70,000 voter registration plus, they ought to be ashamed they could not win this one . It shows how the Dems get out the vote and then cheat to make sure.


42 posted on 04/01/2009 2:51:15 PM PDT by phillyfanatic ( iT)
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To: rightinthemiddle

“(is the “fix” in?)”

If it is, I smell ACORN, or it’s affiliates. Working families party is an affiliate, btw.


43 posted on 04/01/2009 9:30:44 PM PDT by Sun (Pray that God sends us good leaders. Please say a prayer now.)
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To: AuH2ORepublican; Clintonfatigued; Impy; perfect_rovian_storm; Clemenza; darkangel82; ...

Politics1 states Murphy’s lead has dropped to 25 (just on initially reviewing the ballots cast on election day).

“NEW YORK. A review of the votes cast in Columbia County narrowed the CD-20 special election results, with both men losing some votes accidentally double-tabulated. After the correction, venture capitalist Scott Murphy (D) leads State Assembly Minority Leader Jim Tedisco (R) by just 25 votes — out of over 152,000 cast. The race, however, will ultimately be decided by the thousands of still uncounted absentee and provisional ballots.”


44 posted on 04/01/2009 9:52:41 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Alps !"~~)
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To: rightinthemiddle

Until people start being convicted of election fraud and spend years in prison, this crap is only going to get worse. The whole country is becoming Chicago.


45 posted on 04/02/2009 6:10:48 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Meanwhile, the sheeple graze mindlessly while awaiting slaughter at Hope and Change Ranch)
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To: fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Clintonfatigued

The rats Coleman/Franken predictions mysteriously came true.

But I’m encouraged that the Republican actually GAINED in the recanvass. When does that ever happened?


46 posted on 04/02/2009 7:21:28 AM PDT by Impy (RED=COMMUNIST, NOT REPUBLICAN)
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To: Impy
When does that ever happened?

That happened when ever does.

47 posted on 04/02/2009 7:23:08 AM PDT by cornelis
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To: cornelis

Yes I meant to written “happen”.


48 posted on 04/02/2009 7:27:16 AM PDT by Impy (RED=COMMUNIST, NOT REPUBLICAN)
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