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Rasmussen: Republicans Top Democrats on Generic Congressional Ballot (R-41%, D-38%)
Rasmussen ^ | April 28, 2009 | Rasmussen

Posted on 04/28/2009 3:48:54 PM PDT by GOPGuide

For just the second time in more than five years of daily or weekly tracking, Republicans now lead Democrats in the latest edition of the Generic Congressional Ballot.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey found that 41% would vote for their district’s Republican candidate while 38% would choose the Democrat. Thirty-one percent (31%) of conservative Democrats said they would vote for their district’s Republican candidate.

Overall, the GOP gained two points this week, while the Democrats lost a point in support. Still, it’s important to note that the GOP’s improved position comes primarily from falling Democratic support. Democrats are currently at their lowest level of support in the past year while Republicans are at the high water mark.

Over the past year, Democratic support has ranged from a low of 38% to a high of 50%. In that same time period, Republicans have been preferred by 34% to 41% of voters nationwide.

During calendar 2009, Democratic support has ranged from 38% to 42% and the Republican range has been from 35% to 41%.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates also available on Twitter.

Democrats began the year holding a six- or seven-point lead over the GOP for the first several weeks of 2009. That began to slip in early February and the Republicans actually took a two-point lead for a single week in the middle of March. Since then, the results have ranged from dead even to a four point lead for the Democrats.

Men now favor the GOP by a 45% to 34% margin. Women prefer the Democrats by a 42% to 38% margin.

Other recent polling shows 50% believe the high reelection rates result from election rules that are “rigged to benefit members of Congress.”


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 111th; 2009polls; bho44; first100days; poll; polls; rasmussen; rasmussenpoll
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1 posted on 04/28/2009 3:48:54 PM PDT by GOPGuide
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Le Ping


2 posted on 04/28/2009 3:50:31 PM PDT by GOPGuide
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To: GOPGuide

Well, good, hope it holds and widens. Of course, I want “decent” Republicans to win, no more socialist-lite trash.


3 posted on 04/28/2009 3:53:20 PM PDT by Baladas ((ABBHO))
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To: GOPGuide

This can’t be true. The media said the GOP is dead. It’s been proven by the Specter defection.


4 posted on 04/28/2009 3:53:36 PM PDT by St. Louis Conservative
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To: GOPGuide

woopty doo!!!! There is no election today or tomorrow. Now that Specter the schmuck is now a DEMONcrat, this poll means crapola.


5 posted on 04/28/2009 3:53:37 PM PDT by MAD-AS-HELL (Hope and Change. Rhetoric embraced by the Insane - Obama, The Chump in Charge)
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To: GOPGuide

The problem is when the generic gets replaced with an actual politician.


6 posted on 04/28/2009 3:54:16 PM PDT by dfwgator (1996 2006 2008 - Good Things Come in Threes)
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To: GOPGuide
START WEIGHTING THE POLLS USING THIS AS YOUR START... THEN WE WILL FIND OUT WHERE THE NATION REALLY STANDS.

Up until now, the media is using 18 to 20% republicans... 38% plus for dims... mid to high 30’s for indies.

LLS

7 posted on 04/28/2009 3:55:00 PM PDT by LibLieSlayer (hussein will NEVER be my President... NEVER!!!)
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To: GOPGuide

And yet there is virtually no chance that the Republicans win back Congress. Go figure.


8 posted on 04/28/2009 3:55:22 PM PDT by TBP
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To: GOPGuide

That’s funny because Juan Williams on FOX Report just said the GOP is dead. Dems supposedly have a 20 point generic ballot lead in (the bogus) ABC poll.

He said this with a straight face.


9 posted on 04/28/2009 3:55:56 PM PDT by nhwingut
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To: GOPGuide

The worst thing that could happen to us is that we actually take either the House or the Senate in ‘10.That would allow Hussein to pull a “Clinton ‘96” in ‘12.The best case scenario is that we come close enough to taking one and/or the other to cause Hussein to stall in his tracks.


10 posted on 04/28/2009 3:56:05 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Christian+Veteran=Terrorist)
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To: GOPGuide

This is meaningless unless the public really begins to frighten Dems regarding re election. The Blue Dog Dems might feel the effect first. That’s about the only good news I can glean from something like this because the election is so far off that the entire Dem agenda could be in place long before then. If it is it won’t really matter who gets elected in 2010.


11 posted on 04/28/2009 3:56:19 PM PDT by saganite (What would Sully do?)
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To: nhwingut
He said this with a straight face.

That's funny because I've never seen Juan as being even close to being straight.

12 posted on 04/28/2009 3:58:47 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Christian+Veteran=Terrorist)
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To: GOPGuide

This will change.

Free elections are over.


13 posted on 04/28/2009 3:59:56 PM PDT by combat_boots ("too much money is spent on extending the life of old people who are just gonna die anyway J Elders)
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To: GOPGuide
A sleeping giant is about to wake up.

Photobucket

14 posted on 04/28/2009 4:00:26 PM PDT by rfp1234 (Phodopus campbelli: household ruler since July 2007.)
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To: GOPGuide

The more we purge POS’s like Specter, the better our numbers become.


15 posted on 04/28/2009 4:00:56 PM PDT by behzinlea
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To: GOPGuide

tea Party effect ... In every Congressional district.


16 posted on 04/28/2009 4:01:27 PM PDT by Tarpon (You abolish your responsibilities, your surrender your rights.)
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To: nhwingut

Well a lot of fools keep giving Disney money and they own ABC News. Parents going to Disney World or buying Disney are selling their kids out as Disney supports O. Smart.


17 posted on 04/28/2009 4:01:43 PM PDT by Frantzie ("Remember when Bush was President & Americans had jobs?")
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To: Gay State Conservative

I’ve wondered about him myself. He certainly “sounds” that way with the lithp.


18 posted on 04/28/2009 4:02:04 PM PDT by Baladas ((ABBHO))
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To: GOPGuide

this poll will widen, I speak with people that thought obamama was the hottest thing since sliced bread, now the SAME PEOPLE approch me and tell me they can’t believe they voted for the loser in cheif, one at a time OUR Country is waking up to this, empty suit punk excuse of a human


19 posted on 04/28/2009 4:02:23 PM PDT by peace with honor ( they)
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To: GOPGuide

ssshhhhhhh don’t alert the clusterf*ck clown car known as the “media” ...they’ll have to find a republican to “foot tap” in the bathroom before the mid term primaries...they were hoping to wait at least 6 more months before character assassinating any and all repub candidates that they can....


20 posted on 04/28/2009 4:03:01 PM PDT by wheresmycheckbarry?
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To: Tarpon

Yep. The Tea Parties were not only attended by GOPers. The ‘rats have overreached and will continue to do so. Now, to turn that Tea Party into our own ACORN (without the fraud) come GOTV time...


21 posted on 04/28/2009 4:04:09 PM PDT by eureka! (Elections have consequences, boy howdy. *sigh*)
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To: Gay State Conservative

“The worst thing that could happen to us is that we actually take either the House or the Senate in ‘10.That would allow Hussein to pull a “Clinton ‘96” in ‘12.The best case scenario is that we come close enough to taking one and/or the other to cause Hussein to stall in his tracks.”

If it is any consolation to you, we are so deep in the hole on the Senate side that getting to majority in one cycle is really difficult to impossible.

On the House side it would take a 40 seat shift, which is difficult but possible.


22 posted on 04/28/2009 4:04:31 PM PDT by WOSG (Why is Obama trying to bankrupt America with $16 trillion in spending over the next 4 years?)
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To: WOSG

I agree. Short of a complete and total meltdown of the Obama administration there is no way the GOP can take back the Senate. The House is quite possible but, at the moment, still unlikely. If this number continues to widen then I’d say it moves into the somewhat likely territory.


23 posted on 04/28/2009 4:08:01 PM PDT by Norman Bates
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To: WOSG

Once Zero’s policies actually begin to take effect, and the economy tanks, these poll numbers will shift dramatically. Right now, the public still supports Zero since they can’t see the results of his actions. Yet.


24 posted on 04/28/2009 4:09:38 PM PDT by datura ("Against all enemies, both foreign and domestic")
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To: GOPGuide

BAM!


25 posted on 04/28/2009 4:11:42 PM PDT by Free Vulcan (No prisoners. No mercy. 2010 awaits.....)
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To: eureka!

What the site ??

You are right about turning the tea parties into America’s ACORN.


26 posted on 04/28/2009 4:12:51 PM PDT by Tarpon (You abolish your responsibilities, your surrender your rights.)
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To: GOPGuide

fluke.

This is Hussein’s Amerika. We’re just living in it.


27 posted on 04/28/2009 4:20:15 PM PDT by Recovering_Democrat (I'm SO glad I no longer belong to the party of Dependence on Government!)
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To: GOPGuide
bad timing for Senator Spectre

28 posted on 04/28/2009 4:20:50 PM PDT by ari-freedom (Fiscal conservatism without social conservatism is dead.)
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To: ari-freedom

He looks like the villain in the Austin Powers movies.


29 posted on 04/28/2009 4:22:47 PM PDT by puroresu (Enjoy ASIAN CINEMA? See my Freeper page for recommendations (REALLY & TRULY updated!).)
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To: Tarpon

I recall one called “aftertheteaparties.com” or somesuch. If found, I’ll let you know. That said, a lot of grassrooters were created and contacts made. The organizers in each of the cities probably would be a good start as well. Here’s hoping...


30 posted on 04/28/2009 4:22:55 PM PDT by eureka! (Elections have consequences, boy howdy. *sigh*)
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To: GOPGuide

Are we done yet?

Are we going to have to suffer under the full weight of soviet style communism before the general American public gets it?

Conservatives need to reacquaint Americans with the revolution.

ruefully


31 posted on 04/28/2009 4:25:05 PM PDT by petro45acp (Power corrupts! Why does hoi poloi insist on electing the corrupt?)
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To: WOSG

It was plus 52 in 1994. It’s possible, Zero seems determined to press his radical agenda and now the Republicans won’t be able to restrain him with a Senate filibuster.


32 posted on 04/28/2009 4:28:15 PM PDT by colorado tanker ("Lastly, I'd like to apologize for America's disproportionate response to Pearl Harbor . . . ")
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To: GOPGuide

Prediction: the more Specters that leave, the higher the GOP “generic” lead gets.


33 posted on 04/28/2009 4:28:40 PM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: GOPGuide
Women prefer the Democrats by a 42% to 38% margin.

(Some) Women are idiots.

34 posted on 04/28/2009 4:31:25 PM PDT by stayathomemom (Cat herder and empty nester)
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To: GOPGuide

But Juan Williams just said that NOBODY is a Republican any longer with the defection of Arlin Sphincter.


35 posted on 04/28/2009 4:35:12 PM PDT by headstamp 2 (Spay or Neuter your liberal today!)
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To: peace with honor

Do those same people hold the Dem congress responsible for the mess that is happening, or are they only looking at the man at the top?


36 posted on 04/28/2009 4:35:59 PM PDT by stayathomemom (Cat herder and empty nester)
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To: Frantzie

I think GE would be a better target. ABC plays it straight some of the time whereas NBC, MSNBC plays it straight none of the time.


37 posted on 04/28/2009 4:38:49 PM PDT by lt.america (Looking for a bailout)
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To: GOPGuide
Heh, my first glance made a false impression: Republicans Top Democrats on Generic Congressional Baillout.
38 posted on 04/28/2009 4:40:13 PM PDT by Cboldt
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To: Gay State Conservative
The worst thing that could happen to us is that we actually take either the House or the Senate in ‘10.

The old "the road to victory is defeat" theory.

39 posted on 04/28/2009 4:41:43 PM PDT by Minn (Here is a realistic picture of the prophet: ----> ([: {()
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To: GOPGuide

as much as it sucks, the Rats getting a filibuster proof majority will probably help the GOP do better in the future.

They can’t blame the GOP for anything from now on.


40 posted on 04/28/2009 4:50:52 PM PDT by MNDude
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To: stayathomemom

looking at the man


41 posted on 04/28/2009 4:54:41 PM PDT by peace with honor ( they)
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To: Minn
The old "the road to victory is defeat" theory.

You obviously learned nothing from the '96 Presidential campaign.Can you say "Newt Gingrich"? I'll wager that Hussein can.

42 posted on 04/28/2009 4:55:58 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Christian+Veteran=Terrorist)
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To: AdmSmith; Berosus; Convert from ECUSA; dervish; Ernest_at_the_Beach; Fred Nerks; george76; ...
Men now favor the GOP by a 45% to 34% margin. Women prefer the Democrats by a 42% to 38% margin. Other recent polling shows 50% believe the high reelection rates result from election rules that are "rigged to benefit members of Congress."
Term limits.
43 posted on 04/28/2009 5:12:56 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/____________________ Profile updated Monday, January 12, 2009)
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To: peace with honor

Although not a technical review, my nail techs today said they are hearing from ALOT of women that they voted for Obama and regret it.

And this is a very busy nail salon :)


44 posted on 04/28/2009 5:16:42 PM PDT by spacejunkie01
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To: ari-freedom

Dr. Evil.


45 posted on 04/28/2009 5:21:21 PM PDT by HonestConservative (http://www.operationvalentine.blogspot.com/)
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To: nhwingut

Juan’s selective and expedient memory apparently can’t recall the same was said about the demrats when Reagan got elected.

And, I wonder who Juan thinks will pick up the pieces when communism fails-—again.


46 posted on 04/28/2009 5:33:23 PM PDT by dools007
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To: GOPGuide

What I’m about to say will no doubt bring feminine wrath down on my head. But here goes.

It is amazing to me that women, who want to feel free to compete with men for top jobs continue to, as a robotic group, vote for the touchy feely “we’ll take care of you” party.

I submit that when women accept that performance, and that means the creation of products people want that are successfully sold for a profit, there will be no glass ceilings. As long as they, as a sex, cling to whining about glass ceilings there will always be glass ceilings.


47 posted on 04/28/2009 5:43:14 PM PDT by dools007
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To: dools007

A good number of women will defend ABORTION to the death and includes the death of the Republic.


48 posted on 04/28/2009 5:46:59 PM PDT by techno
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To: datura

I don’t believe these polls. My guess is he is at 42% or less. Possibly under 40% unless people are brain dead.


49 posted on 04/28/2009 6:05:43 PM PDT by Frantzie ("Remember when Bush was President & Americans had jobs?")
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To: MNDude

True. I read something today maybe in the WSJ, whcih I will not be renewing, and someone said the Dems wanted a show investigations into waterboardings and bush when they did not have the votes to please their base.

Now that they have the votes - they will be afraid and will have no excuses. The base will demand it and normal Americans will have a backlash against it.


50 posted on 04/28/2009 6:10:39 PM PDT by Frantzie ("Remember when Bush was President & Americans had jobs?")
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