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Romney's Image Improves; Palin Well Regarded by Republican Base
Pew Research Center ^ | June 24, 2009 | Pew Research

Posted on 06/24/2009 8:23:54 AM PDT by GOPGuide

Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney has seen his favorability ratings improve and now enjoys a positive balance of opinion among the general public: 40% rate him favorably, 28% unfavorably. This marks a reversal of opinion from February 2008, during the latter stages of the GOP primary campaign, when just 30% viewed him favorably and 44% expressed an unfavorable opinion.

The latest national survey by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press, conducted June 10-14 among 1,502 adults reached on landlines and cell phones, finds that impressions of Sarah Palin have not changed much since the presidential campaign. Palin continues to be a divisive figure among the general public, with about as many saying they have an unfavorable impression (44%) as a favorable view (45%) of the Alaska governor.

Among Republicans, however, the balance of opinion about Palin is more positive than it is regarding Romney or other leading GOP figures, Newt Gingrich and Michael Steele. More than seven-in-ten Republicans (73%) express a favorable opinion of Palin while just 17% have an unfavorable opinion. Romney, Gingrich and especially Steele are less familiar figures – among the public overall and Republicans – than is Palin. While comparable percentages of Republicans rate Palin and the other Republicans unfavorably, far more view Palin favorably. And Palin continues to be overwhelmingly popular with key parts of the GOP base – white evangelical Republicans (84% favorable) and conservative Republicans (80% favorable).

Romney’s Image Improves Since February 2008, shortly before he abandoned his race for the GOP presidential nomination, opinion of Romney has improved across most political and demographic groups, but the shift has been particularly pronounced among independents. In February 2008, just 29% of independents had a positive impression of Romney while 46% had a negative view. Today, that balance is reversed: 44% view Romney favorably and 25% unfavorably.

Positive opinions among both Democrats and Republicans have increased by eight points since early 2008. Among Republicans, Romney has made identical nine-point gains in favorability among conservative Republicans and moderate and liberal Republicans; currently, 61% of conservative Republicans and 52% of moderate and liberal members of the GOP express positive opinions of Romney.

Romney’s favorable ratings have not changed significantly among white non-Hispanic evangelical Republicans; 54% have a favorable opinion now, compared with 52% in February 2008. Among all other Republicans, by contrast, positive opinions of Romney have increased by 11 points, while negative opinions have fallen considerably (from 31% to 16%).

Sarah Palin Favorability Almost a year after capturing the attention of the political world as John McCain’s running mate, Sarah Palin remains a broadly popular figure within the Republican Party, despite receiving mixed reviews from the public as a whole.

Palin received her highest overall favorability rating of 50% in mid-September 2008, shortly after McCain named her as his vice-presidential running mate. At that time just 34% expressed an unfavorable opinion of the Alaska governor, while 16% offered no opinion. But her favorability slipped later in the campaign. In mid-October, more people expressed an unfavorable opinion of Palin (48%) than a favorable opinion (42%). Since the election, public views of Palin have shifted only slightly.

Unlike Romney, Palin’s ratings continue to be much better among conservative Republicans (80%) than among moderates and liberals in the party (62%). And while positive views of Palin have slipped among non-evangelical Republicans (from 77% to 67%), they remain overwhelmingly positive among white evangelical Republicans (84% now, 85% last October).

Notably, as was the case during the election, Palin is rated somewhat better by men than she is by women. About half of men (48%) say their overall opinion of Palin is favorable, while 40% say it is unfavorable. Among women, the picture is reversed: 48% offer an unfavorable view, 41% a favorable one. This difference largely arises from gender differences in party affiliation. For instance, among Republicans, men and women express similar views of Palin (73% favorable).

Palin receives a more favorable rating from those with a high school degree or less (48% favorable, 36% unfavorable) than she does from college graduates (41% favorable, 52% unfavorable). Regionally, she is somewhat better regarded in the South (49% favorable) than she is in the Northeast (39% favorable).

snip


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2009polls; 2012; 2012gopprimary; mittromney; palin; pew; poll; rino; rinoromney; romney; romneyantipalin; shamesty
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Discuss!
1 posted on 06/24/2009 8:23:55 AM PDT by GOPGuide
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To: GOPGuide

NOT ROMNEY! Palin -yes.


2 posted on 06/24/2009 8:24:25 AM PDT by Tuscaloosa Goldfinch (My new favorite quote "You can't organize clutter.")
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To: GOPGuide

Let the Romney-bashing begin!


3 posted on 06/24/2009 8:25:01 AM PDT by Constitution Day
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To: GOPGuide

Go away, Slick Willard. You've destroyed enough of the GOP already.

4 posted on 06/24/2009 8:25:01 AM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Alps !"~~)
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To: GOPGuide

Sadly, 0bama is so bad that he is making all GOP candidates look better by comparison.


5 posted on 06/24/2009 8:27:34 AM PDT by pnh102 (Regarding liberalism, always attribute to malice what you think can be explained by stupidity. - Me)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

I’ll second that. A Massachusetts Rhino will not be my President.


6 posted on 06/24/2009 8:27:50 AM PDT by Maelstorm (When you can no longer say no to the government's confisation of your wealth then you are not free.)
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To: GOPGuide

Sarah has may vote already all she has to do is decide to run.


7 posted on 06/24/2009 8:28:23 AM PDT by Maelstorm (When you can no longer say no to the government's confisation of your wealth then you are not free.)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Slick Williard will embrace Obamacare. Wait and see.


8 posted on 06/24/2009 8:29:15 AM PDT by RED SOUTH
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To: GOPGuide

I think more people trust Palin.
There is a core there that isn’t going to cave.


9 posted on 06/24/2009 8:29:26 AM PDT by Names Ash Housewares
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To: GOPGuide

Romney, NO!!!!!

Palin, OH, YOU BETCHA!!!!


10 posted on 06/24/2009 8:29:35 AM PDT by wk4bush2004 (PALIN-BACHMANN, 2012......."GIVE ESTROGEN A CHANCE!!!!")
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To: GOPGuide

Flip Romney is part of the problem, not part of the solution. It’s a mystery to me how this flim-flam artist has so many people fooled.


11 posted on 06/24/2009 8:31:19 AM PDT by Antoninus (Queer is boring.)
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To: RED SOUTH

Embrace Obama’s plan, hell he made his own, I am sure he is willing to talk shop with Obama at anytime...


12 posted on 06/24/2009 8:40:36 AM PDT by ejonesie22 (Mitt Romney is a more subtle version of Arlen Specter with better hair...)
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To: RED SOUTH

Embrace it ? Hell, he INSPIRED it !


13 posted on 06/24/2009 8:42:35 AM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Alps !"~~)
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To: GOPGuide

opinion of Romney has improved across most political and demographic groups, but the shift has been particularly pronounced among independents.


RINOs for Romney.


14 posted on 06/24/2009 8:45:00 AM PDT by Beelzebubba (Typical "Rightwing Extremist")
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Comment #15 Removed by Moderator

To: GOPGuide

Which Mitt Romney?

The pro-abortion or the anti-abortion one?
The pro-gay-marriage or the anti-gay-marriage one?
The pro-illegal-immigration or the anti-illegal-immigration one?
The Obama-is-lousy or the Obama-ain’t-so-bad one?

I can never tell which one we’re supposed to be talking about.


16 posted on 06/24/2009 8:50:12 AM PDT by F15Eagle (1 John 5:4-5, 4:15, John 11:25, 14:6, 1 Tim 2:5, John 3:17-18, John 20:31, 1 John 5:13, John 6:69)
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To: Names Ash Housewares

I concur. And I hope that the vitriol and vituperation that the ‘cool’ contingent directs against her (coupled with the sense of responsibility she clearly feels towards the well-being of the Republic) push many independents and Democrats to her the way they pushed me (erstwhile Democrat) to George W. Bush.


17 posted on 06/24/2009 8:54:18 AM PDT by definitelynotaliberal
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To: fieldmarshaldj

I love that you’re still holding on to the GOP. I understand Reagan’s commandment, but I’m sick and tired of this party and I think the time has come for the conservatives to just up and leave. I’m there. I feel no shame or embarassment about Ensign because I’m no longer a Republican and feel not one whit of loyalty to the GOP.


18 posted on 06/24/2009 8:56:04 AM PDT by definitelynotaliberal
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To: Maelstorm

I’ve heard people say that about a Kenyan Muslim.


19 posted on 06/24/2009 8:59:42 AM PDT by stuartcr (Everything happens as God wants it to...otherwise, things would be different.)
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To: Maelstorm

I think we will know when she decides not to run for reelection. The way the Dems have been after her in Alaska says it all about how much trouble they would cause if she ran and was Governor. The Ethics complaints keep getting thrown out but they keep filing them.

She needs to not run for re-election and spend her time in the lower 48 campaigning for Republican candidates. She brings the crowds to every event that the other candidates have not been able to achieve.

Signs point that she will not seek re-election.


20 posted on 06/24/2009 9:03:09 AM PDT by PhiKapMom (Mary Fallin for OK Governor/Coburn for Senate 2010 ! Mark Rubio for FL Senate 2010!)
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To: definitelynotaliberal

Until there’s a viable political apparatus elsewhere we can use, we have no choice but to use the GOP as the vehicle for the Conservative movement. Remember, even if we were to create a new party tomorrow, let’s say, the “New Federalist Party”, it wouldn’t take long before we’d have the same problems erupt with a statist establishment t. Think of it as having to clean up a room stocked with junk every so often. If you don’t do it, it’s all gonna come crashing down on you. Running away won’t fix the problem. Eternal vigilance will.


21 posted on 06/24/2009 9:03:14 AM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Alps !"~~)
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To: GOPGuide

I think Palin has a lot of potential. She wasn’t ready for the big show last time around and the McCain people never were able to utilize her to her full potential, but there’s certainly something there.

She needs to spend the next few years boning up on foreign policy issues and getting a professional communications team around her to avoid the embarassing gaffes from last time (such as the turkey slaughter episode).

She speaks to a lot of people who are sick of the DC crowd talking down to them (and I say this as a DC resident with some involvement in politics). She does have an uphill battle when it comes to the media- they loathe her almost as much as they hated Bush.

The GOP nomination is her’s to lose at this point. But, if Obama screws up as much as I hope he will, she will be in a decent position in 2012, if she chooses to run.


22 posted on 06/24/2009 9:11:03 AM PDT by Blackacre
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To: definitelynotaliberal

Could not agree more.


23 posted on 06/24/2009 9:14:24 AM PDT by montanajoe
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To: GOPGuide

I always love the Pew poll because the headlines are never what the poll reveals. Note that among Republicans Palin has 73% positive name recognition and Romney does not. Ha Ha Ha Ha


24 posted on 06/24/2009 9:15:18 AM PDT by the long march
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To: Blackacre

Why would she ever choose to run in 2012 with so much going on in her personal life - including a son back from Iraq and presumably in college, a daughter in college, another daughter at such an exciting time in her life, making plans, an 8-9 yr. old and a toddler! All this while being obviously happily married to a hot Toddy. I wish she would, but I think it would just be wishful thinking.


25 posted on 06/24/2009 9:16:14 AM PDT by definitelynotaliberal
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To: GOPGuide
Discuss? No, dismiss! If we didn't learn the bloody hard way after 2008 to ignore the SRM polls that are rigged to put forth the RINOs they want and bury the effective Republicans, we're never going to learn. Whether it's a beauty contest poll like this or a horserace poll, the best thing to do is dismiss it.

And before anyone says anything, this has nothing to do with Romney or any other Republican mentioned by Pew. I'm not calling him a RINO or a conservative for that matter. I would be saying the same thing if Pew put out a poll saying everyone loves Sarah Palin. I truly believe the SRM polls played a large part in making both McCain and Huckabee appear far more viable than they were.

Getting away from the polls AND doing away with open Republican primaries will go a long way toward avoiding another election disaster in 2012.

26 posted on 06/24/2009 9:16:34 AM PDT by Dahoser (The missus and I joined the NRA. Who says Obama can't inspire conservatives?)
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To: Blackacre

Agree. Palin is a real Conservative. But...she has a general perception among the public as not being the brightest bulb in the package and not having command of national defense issues and she made too many gaffes during the last election. So did Biden but Biden gets a break becase he’s a lib and a male. If Palin can master the issues and make less mistakes when being interviewed, she’ll be formidable.


27 posted on 06/24/2009 9:18:19 AM PDT by Bobkk47
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To: Maelstorm

The media is going to pull out all the stops for RINO Romney, just like they did for McCain. They’ll do anything they can to get the weakest, most liberal candidate nominated.


28 posted on 06/24/2009 9:22:45 AM PDT by buccaneer81 (Bob Taft has soiled the family name for the next century.)
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To: definitelynotaliberal

I doubt she will run in 2012. Despite Obama’s best efforts to the contrary, the economy should have recovered by then and you can bet he’ll be taking the credit for saving us.

It’s tough to beat a sitting President if the economy is good and there’s no unpopular ongoing war. 2016 is more likely for Palin, IMO.


29 posted on 06/24/2009 9:23:21 AM PDT by Blackacre
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To: buccaneer81

I don’t think that will work. I think they will be distracted fawning over Obambi.


30 posted on 06/24/2009 9:26:49 AM PDT by Maelstorm (When you can no longer say no to the government's confisation of your wealth then you are not free.)
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To: Bobkk47

Yeah- I think all of her political problems can be fixed by hiring a more sophisticated and professional staff. That’s the usual problem for Governors trying to step up onto the national stage- they need to replace a lot of the people who did a good job helping them run a state but who are not qualified for the big show.

There’s also the problem that Alaska is a pretty small state outside of the mainstream of American life. But, Palin can transcend this by doing what Reagan did- giving speeches to various organizations in order to show that she has a grasp of national issues.

Time will tell, of course. The political landscape is littered with the smoking ruins of the careers of hot rookies.


31 posted on 06/24/2009 9:27:57 AM PDT by Blackacre
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To: Blackacre

Thats what I fear as well. As much as Obama is trying to destroy this economy, eventually it will show SOME signs of life and the state-run media will give him every ounce of credit.

The average American idiot will swallow it.

Our hope is that ‘10 will be a hardcore conservative backlash to reign him in, while purging more RINO’s.


32 posted on 06/24/2009 9:29:30 AM PDT by HailReagan78
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To: definitelynotaliberal

“Why would she ever choose to run in 2012 “
I think she’s a leader, leaders are born to lead. Not sit home.


33 posted on 06/24/2009 9:30:11 AM PDT by Robbin (If Sarah isn’t welcome, I’m not welcome, it’s just that simple…)
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To: Blackacre

Sarah Palin does not need to “bone up” on anything. She will decide to run or not. Fact is I don’t trust those who “bone up” on foreign policy issues -— it usually means that they have been coached into a position that has nothing to do with what is part of a core value


34 posted on 06/24/2009 9:30:18 AM PDT by the long march
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To: GOPGuide

I do not care for Romney. I would not vote for him.


35 posted on 06/24/2009 9:33:03 AM PDT by Pilated
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To: RED SOUTH
Slick Williard will embrace Obamacare. Wait and see.

Obama will embrace Romneycare. Wait and see.

There. Fixed it for you.

Give credit where credit is due. Romney came up with government-sponsored socialized medicine long before Obama reached the White House.

36 posted on 06/24/2009 9:34:25 AM PDT by mountainbunny (Mitt Romney: Collect the whole set!)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

The Pew Poll confirms what the RNC operatives say about Romney and Palin.

Having a 45% favorable / 44% unfavoroable is not good going into an election. The media has done its job on Palin. For Romney, the media will wait to attack him until he gets the nomination. So for the time being, expect good press for Romney from the MSM and talk radio.

Despite the gallup poll saying 40% of America is conservative, I am convinced that much of these conservatives get their news from the MSM and believe it. I have encountered many conservatives who repeat the MSM talking points perfectly:

Palin exploits Bristol and Levi for personal gain

Romney is brilliant and moral

Fred Thompson is lazy

Talk radio killed George Tiller

Until we find a way to counter the media, we won’t be winning another Presidential race again.


37 posted on 06/24/2009 9:35:30 AM PDT by DanZanRyu
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To: GOPGuide
Romney - His corruption is just like the others, but NOT Gov. Palin.

"Top 20 Recipients of AIG Contributions in 2008"


Mr. Romney "Disses" Amateur Radio In Televised Town Meeting

Gov. Sarah Palin, Governor of the state of Alaska, proclaimed the week of July 28 through August 3, 2008 as: Amateur Radio Week

"Mitt Romney...alienating America one group at a time."



38 posted on 06/24/2009 9:36:11 AM PDT by Diogenesis
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To: GOPGuide

Romney is Obama in whiteface.


39 posted on 06/24/2009 9:36:28 AM PDT by Redcloak ("Oh, bother!" said Pooh, as he chambered his last round.)
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Without talking about who SHOULD be the nominee, I think who the GOP nominee is depends greatly on how bad things are in min 2011.

If things are portrayed as stagnant, but not horrific, Romney has the best chance. Romney might be able to overcome the Wall Street label and seem like a reasonable choice compared to Obama.

If things are labeled as a “depression” or similar to late Jimmy Carter, and the mood is desperation, Huckabee’s comforting minister will play a lot better with moderates and he is just conservative enough to get a lot of the base to come along if things are bad.

If the mood shifts to bloodless revolution, and people get ANGRY and ready to make a statement, Palin will be the beneficiary of that.

Romney represents a tweak of the status quo, Huckabee represents comfort, Palin represents sweeping change/bloodless revolution. Ron Paul is too old now, but his economic message would play very well as things break down.

Obviously if the media can spin a recovery, Obama will win.

This is also PERCEPTION...this doesn’t mean what the candidates say they are, are what they are.

In my view, winning the House is paramount. You can uplug a lot of the agenda with the House...IF the GOP shifts right. Big if.


40 posted on 06/24/2009 9:37:01 AM PDT by Crimson Elephant
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To: Constitution Day
Ok!!!

Romney is a RINO and I will never vote for him. Never.

41 posted on 06/24/2009 9:38:28 AM PDT by rintense (Senior Marketing / IT / UX architect unemployed and looking for work. Freepmail me if you have leads)
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To: Tuscaloosa Goldfinch
I much prefer Palin. But by Republican tradition, it's Mitt's turn because he was the runner up to McCain. Therefore, we, the Palin supporters, need to show that it is time to replace this tradition with something better while being respectful of Mitt Romney and his base.

I believe it is possible by comparing the conservative bonafides and leaving the religious bigotry completely out of it.

42 posted on 06/24/2009 9:38:50 AM PDT by Vigilanteman (Are there any men left in Washington? Or, are there only cowards? Ahmad Shah Massoud)
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To: DanZanRyu
Romney and his team are not moral. From AIG to the backstabbing, Romney is corrupt.

"Peeking Out From the McCain Wreckage: Mitt Romney"

"Someone's got to say it: IS MITT ROMNEY RESPONSIBLE FOR OBAMA'S VICTORY?"

"Vanity: Team Romney Sabotaged Palin and Continuing to Do So?"

"Romney Supporters Trashing Palin"

"Romney advisors sniping at Palin?"


Poor sport spoiler Romney attacks other GOP candidatesn:

Novak: "Fred Thompson drop-out rumors traced to Romney campaign"

Said Novak: "The rumors were traced in part to Mitt Romney's campaign,
trying to stir up strife between McCain and Thompson
."

"Despite outspending his rivals by huge margins throughout the primaries,
(Mitt Romney, Carpetbagger UT,CA,MA,NH,Mexico) lost Iowa, South Carolina, Florida and California.
The only primaries he won were in Michigan, where Dad was governor; LDS states;
and a few states on Super Tuesday in which his California-obsessed rivals
couldn't spare the cash to advertise.
Only John Connolly in 1968 had a worse cash-to-delegates ratio.
And John McCain rightly did not like Romney's tactics during the primaries.
(W)hen (Romney's early leads) started slipping away, he resorted to unfair,
distorted, scorched-earth negative ads, betting that his opponents couldn't
afford to spend enough for the truth to catch up to his charges."

[Romney: A Mistake for McCain, 7/23/2008, Dick Morris]


43 posted on 06/24/2009 9:39:18 AM PDT by Diogenesis
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To: Vigilanteman; Al B.; SolidWood; Leisler; greyfoxx39; Tennessee Nana; EternalVigilance; ...

Where was the respect of TeamROMNEY for Gov. Palin?


44 posted on 06/24/2009 9:41:04 AM PDT by Diogenesis
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To: Blackacre

Now be honest. If any politician was that popular with the base of her party. why would she not run?

Hey, any politician would die for those numbers.

Contrary to popular belief Sarah Palin is NOT stupid.


45 posted on 06/24/2009 9:41:11 AM PDT by techno
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To: HailReagan78

The flipside is, if the economy hasn’t recovered by 2012, Obama will be a marked man. Fair or not, the President gets the blame and the credit for what the economy is doing at the time.


46 posted on 06/24/2009 9:45:01 AM PDT by Blackacre
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To: Crimson Elephant
Decent and well-reasoned analysis, but I would forget about Huck in any case because of his religious bigotry baggage.

  1. Mormons find him highly offensive. Sure, they're only 2% of the population, but they vote Republican/Conservative by a 10-1 margin at the national level.

  2. Catholics find him only slightly less offensive and they are a HUGE demographic, particularly in swing states like Ohio and Pennsylvania.

47 posted on 06/24/2009 9:45:26 AM PDT by Vigilanteman (Are there any men left in Washington? Or, are there only cowards? Ahmad Shah Massoud)
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To: Maelstorm

Ditto


48 posted on 06/24/2009 9:46:24 AM PDT by Dr.Zoidberg (Warning: Sarcasm/humor is always engaged. Failure to recognize this may lead to misunderstandings.)
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To: Diogenesis

Showing the same respect for Gov. Sanford in this lynch-mob thread:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2278245/posts


49 posted on 06/24/2009 9:48:03 AM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Alps !"~~)
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To: the long march
Sarah Palin does not need to “bone up” on anything. She will decide to run or not. Fact is I don’t trust those who “bone up” on foreign policy issues -— it usually means that they have been coached into a position that has nothing to do with what is part of a core value

At this point, Sarah Palin is the Golvernor of a small state outside the mainstream of American politics and life. Like most Governors, she has little, if any, foreign policy experience. That's not fatal if you're running for VP, but the person at the top of the Presidential ticket needs to have answers for any potential questions dealing with foreign policy. When the time comes, if she isn't ready to give thoughtful, educated answers to foreign policy questions, she'll be doomed.

50 posted on 06/24/2009 9:48:23 AM PDT by Blackacre
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