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Volatile Swings in Price of Oil Stir Fears on Recovery
NY Times ^ | July 06, 2009 | JAD MOUAWAD

Posted on 07/06/2009 2:00:51 AM PDT by RobinMasters

The extreme volatility that has gripped oil markets for the last 18 months has shown no signs of slowing down, with oil prices more than doubling since the beginning of the year despite an exceptionally weak economy.

The instability of oil and gas prices is puzzling government officials and policy analysts, who fear it could jeopardize a global recovery. It is also hobbling businesses and consumers, who are already facing the effects of a stinging recession, as they try in vain to guess where prices will be a year from now — or even next month.

A wild run on the oil markets has occurred in the last 12 months. Last summer, prices surged to a record high above $145 a barrel, driving up gasoline prices to well over $4 a gallon. As the global economy faltered, oil tumbled to $33 a barrel in December. But oil has risen 55 percent since the beginning of the year, to $70 a barrel, pushing gas prices up again to $2.60 a gallon, according to AAA, the automobile club.

“To call this extreme volatility might be an understatement,” said Laura Wright, the chief financial officer at Southwest Airlines, a company that has sought to insure itself against volatile prices by buying long-term oil contracts. “Over the past 15 to 18 months, this has been unprecedented. I don’t think it can be easily rationalized.”

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS:

1 posted on 07/06/2009 2:00:51 AM PDT by RobinMasters
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To: RobinMasters

Markets get whacked tomorrow. Not looking good.

http://www.cme.com

commods getting smoked, too.

http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/commodities/cfutures.html


2 posted on 07/06/2009 2:08:42 AM PDT by Attention Surplus Disorder (What kind of organization answers the phone if you call a suicide hotline in Gaza City?)
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To: RobinMasters

one word -> manipulation


3 posted on 07/06/2009 2:27:01 AM PDT by driftdiver (I could eat it raw, but why do that when I have a fire.)
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To: RobinMasters
The Obama administration is working overtime to raise the price of oil. Higher gasoline prices make mini-cars and electric cars more competitive.

http://www.weeklystandard.com/Content/Public/Articles/000/000/016/588tpmuu.asp

4 posted on 07/06/2009 2:39:01 AM PDT by Brad from Tennessee (A politician can't give you anything he hasn't first stolen from you.)
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To: Brad from Tennessee
Anticipating the calamity at the polls, I published a series of urgent recommendations for the Republicans to save themselves. Here is recommendation #6, posted October 15, 2006. To repeat, October 15, 2006

6. The house should pass every conceivable energy measure such as drilling in Anwar, drilling offshore and around Florida etc. providing for refineries, providing for nuclear power plants and let the Democrats and the Rinos oppose them and create a climate in which the people can direct their rage about gas prices at the Democrats.


5 posted on 07/06/2009 2:47:47 AM PDT by nathanbedford ("Attack, repeat, attack!" Bull Halsey)
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To: Brad from Tennessee
Obama can keep his minicars. I'll be rocketing past them on this, which I have just purchased for $500 - and which gets 50mpg.

[img]http://www.dallasdrivers.org/gallery/d/28112-2/IMG_4211.JPG[/img]

1998 Honda Pacific Coast PC800 motorcycle.

6 posted on 07/06/2009 2:57:55 AM PDT by Spktyr (Overwhelmingly superior firepower and the willingness to use it is the only proven peace solution.)
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To: Spktyr
Argh, when will FR start using img tags like every other board on the internet???? Here's the pic.


7 posted on 07/06/2009 2:58:53 AM PDT by Spktyr (Overwhelmingly superior firepower and the willingness to use it is the only proven peace solution.)
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To: RobinMasters
The instability of oil and gas prices is puzzling government officials soothsayers and policy analysts fortune tellers, who fear it could jeopardize a global recovery.

Fixed it.

8 posted on 07/06/2009 3:05:09 AM PDT by An.American.Expatriate (Here's my strategy on the War against Terrorism: We win, they lose. - with apologies to R.R.)
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To: An.American.Expatriate

We should be drilling and building refineries, Instead we are not drilling and we are closing refineries.

I suppose that makes sense to Democrts, but it’s end result will raise energy costs. Which appears to be their goal.


9 posted on 07/06/2009 3:14:07 AM PDT by Venturer
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To: RobinMasters

Gee, I guess it’s time to take over the oil companies Mr. Chave...er...I mean, Mr Obama.


10 posted on 07/06/2009 3:25:47 AM PDT by brewer1516
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To: Venturer

True, but we didn’t exactly force a change when we had the chance!


11 posted on 07/06/2009 3:28:05 AM PDT by An.American.Expatriate (Here's my strategy on the War against Terrorism: We win, they lose. - with apologies to R.R.)
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To: RobinMasters

The system is being fed uppers and downers. It’s in cardiac arrest.


12 posted on 07/06/2009 3:29:26 AM PDT by bkepley
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To: Spktyr
[img]http://www.dallasdrivers.org/gallery/d/28112-2/IMG_4211.JPG[/img]

vs. < > on FR.

...or do you mean EVERYONE ELSE uses the square brackets, and FR is the odd one out? I usually don't examine the page source anywhere else...

Cheers!

13 posted on 07/06/2009 3:29:46 AM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: grey_whiskers

Even if you change from square brackets to the HTML type brackets, it still won’t parse properly. Try it. You have to do the full HTML code for embedding

Damn near every other forum, BBS, or related site on the internet uses the VBB-type code - where you stick a tag in square brackets before and after the URL and it parses it automatically. FR is the only major site (that allows object embedding) I’ve run across in years that *doesn’t* do this.

In addition, FR is the only major site that allows includes that doesn’t use VBB tags for text formatting. Or smilies. Or anything else.

For an example of how they work, go on over to FinalGear.com and enter their forums. Check out how much easier it is to embed a pic, or add a URL, or format text there.


14 posted on 07/06/2009 3:40:06 AM PDT by Spktyr (Overwhelmingly superior firepower and the willingness to use it is the only proven peace solution.)
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To: grey_whiskers

Here’s a dictionary of the VBB or vB Code:

http://www.xtremevbtalk.com/misc.php?do=bbcode


15 posted on 07/06/2009 3:41:42 AM PDT by Spktyr (Overwhelmingly superior firepower and the willingness to use it is the only proven peace solution.)
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To: grey_whiskers

Now, here’s the Wikipedia page on the BBcode system, which is almost identical and is free for anyone to implement.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BBCode

Which then makes one wonder why we have never done it here.

http://www.bbcode.org/


16 posted on 07/06/2009 3:45:09 AM PDT by Spktyr (Overwhelmingly superior firepower and the willingness to use it is the only proven peace solution.)
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To: grey_whiskers

Most importantly, adding BBcode items to the middle of a post, unlike on FR, doesn’t mean that in order to preserve your paragraph structure you have to go back through your entire post and add paragraph or line breaks.


17 posted on 07/06/2009 3:49:47 AM PDT by Spktyr (Overwhelmingly superior firepower and the willingness to use it is the only proven peace solution.)
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To: RobinMasters
There will be no recovery until the dims and the muzzie marxist in chief are no longer running things... and even then it will take years to repair their damage.

LLS

18 posted on 07/06/2009 4:48:49 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (hussein will NEVER be my President... NEVER!!!)
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To: Spktyr
1998 Honda Pacific Coast PC800 motorcycle, $500

Dude, for that price, its hot or broke. Which is it?

19 posted on 07/06/2009 4:53:32 AM PDT by MrPiper
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To: Spktyr

Would you like some cheese for that whine? ;^)


20 posted on 07/06/2009 4:55:18 AM PDT by BullDog108 (A Smith & Wesson beats four aces)
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To: RobinMasters

Don’t worry, cap and trade should fix everything. Soon there will be rainbows and unicorns crapping colorful skittles again.


21 posted on 07/06/2009 5:12:22 AM PDT by Sig Sauer P220 (Forget going Galt. Its time to go Braveheart.)
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To: MrPiper
Broke. PO dropped it.

Honda's drop protection system (the stub "wings" and breakaway mirrors) did their jobs. It comes with all the broken parts and most of the replacements needed. Damage is confined to the plastics, headlight bracket and drop protect parts - bike still runs and rides just fine with no frame damage.

On a slightly more disturbing note, the PO dropped it, survived with little injury, put the bike away in his garage and gave up riding for a while, perhaps due to spousal pressure. Then he killed himself a year later. The wife sold it to me (at the price the PO had mentioned to her prior to his death as what he thought it was worth if any of the neighbors had wanted it). This supports a theory I've had for a while: Once you have been a rider for a long time, you better not stop for any reason short of disabling injury or age because you are addicted to it and it will cause mental problems.

22 posted on 07/06/2009 5:20:26 AM PDT by Spktyr (Overwhelmingly superior firepower and the willingness to use it is the only proven peace solution.)
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To: Sig Sauer P220
Don’t worry, cap and trade should fix everything. Soon there will be rainbows and unicorns crapping colorful skittles again.

Oh yea, that and Goobermint Health rationing. And they also said that Food Stamps and Welfare is what will REEEEeeely get this "E"-conomy going again. We'll all be RICH beyond our wildest dreams!

23 posted on 07/06/2009 5:28:38 AM PDT by PSYCHO-FREEP (Give me LIBERTY or give me an M-24A2!)
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To: RobinMasters

Question: Since we are consuming more oil this year than we did last year why aren’t prices at the pump over $4.00 a gallon? Answer...this is not an election year.
Question: Why is the NY Times trying to blame this recession on the rise in oil prices instead of the government. Answer...because Bush is no longer in office and it is getting harder and harder for them to blame him for this recession so oil is the next thing on their list.


24 posted on 07/06/2009 5:51:38 AM PDT by when the time is right
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To: nathanbedford
Had your suggestions been followed three years ago the effects of the financial sector collapse likely would have been less severe. The 2006-2008 oil price bubble was punctured when Bush proposed lifting the offshore drilling ban. But $100-plus oil had already tipped the economy into recession.

The decade between the 1973-74 Arab oil embargoes and the inevitable worldwide oil glut by 1982 seemed like one continuous recession. The physicist Edward Teller predicted that if nuclear power wasn't developed in a big way the U.S. would eventually go to war in the Mideast over oil. The embargo taught the Arabs that production cuts wouldn't hurt their revenue because lower supply increased prices. Ultimately higher prices led to the opening of new fields in Alaska, the North Sea and Mexico. It became profitable to uncap old stripper wells in Oklahoma and Texas. That same market mechanism kicked in this last time and there was a glut for months.

When gas gets up to $4 a gallon the news media will not be able to ignore the war Obama and Congress are waging on oil. Consumers won't ignore it either.

25 posted on 07/06/2009 10:35:24 AM PDT by Brad from Tennessee (A politician can't give you anything he hasn't first stolen from you.)
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