Posted on 07/21/2009 5:31:52 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
One of the challenges of working in the IT field is staying on top of emerging technologies - while letting go of those that are becoming obsolete. This Global Knowledge article lists 10 areas that are fading into obscurity.
There are some things in life, like good manners, that never go out of style. And there are other things, like clothing styles, that fall in and out of fashion. But when an IT skill falls out of favor, it rarely ever comes back. Here’s our list of 10 dying IT skills. If any of these skills is your main expertise, perhaps it’s time to think about updating your skill set.
1: Asynchronous Transfer Mode
ATM was popular in the late 90s, particularly among carriers, as the answer to overworked frame relay for wide-area networking. It was considered more scalable than frame relay and offered inherent QoS support. It was also marketed as a LAN platform, but that was its weakness. According to Wikipedia, ATM failed to gain wide acceptance in the LAN where IP makes more sense for unifying voice and data on the network. Wikipedia notes that ATM will continue to be deployed by carriers that have committed to existing ATM deployments, but the technology is increasingly challenged by speed and traffic shaping requirements of converged voice and data networks. A growing number of carriers are now using Multi-Protocol Label Switching (MPLS), which integrates the label-switching capabilities of ATM with the packet orientation of IP. IT skills researcher Foote Partners listed ATM in its IT Skills and Certification Pay Index as a non-certified IT skill that has decreased in value in the last six month of 2008.
2: Novell NetWare
Novell’s network operating system was the de facto standard for LANs in the 1990s, running on more than 70% of enterprise networks. But Novell failed to compete with the marketing might of Microsoft. Novell tried to put up a good fight by acquiring WordPerfect to compete with Windows Office, but that move failed to ignite the market, and Novell eventually sold WordPerfect to Corel in 1996. Novell certifications, such as Certified Novell Engineer, Master Certified Novell Engineer, Certified Novell Certified Directory Engineer, and Novell Administrator, were once hot in the industry. But now, they are featured in Foote Partners’ list of skills that decreased in value in 2008. Hiring managers want Windows Server and Linux skills instead.
3: Visual J++
Skills pay for Microsoft’s version of Java declined 37.5% last year, according to the Foote Partners’ study. The life of J++, which is available with Microsoft Visual Studio 6.0, was not a smooth one. Although Sun Microsystems licensed Java to Microsoft to develop J++, Microsoft failed to implement some features of the official Java standard while implementing other extensions of its own. Sun sued Microsoft for licensing violations in a legal wrangle that lasted three years. Microsoft eventually replaced J++ with Microsoft .NET.
4: Wireless Application Protocol
Yes, people were able to browse the Internet in the late 90s before Apple’s iPhone. Web site operators would rewrite their content to the WAP’s Wireless Markup Language, enabling users to access Web services such as email, stock results and news headlines using their cell phones and PDAs. WAP was not well received at the beginning because WAP sites were slow and lacked the richness of the Web. WAP has also seen different levels of uptake worldwide because of the different wireless regulations and standards around the world. WAP has since evolved and is a feature of Multimedia Messaging Service, but there is now a new generation of competing mobile Web browsers, including Opera Mobile and the iPhone’s Safari browser.
5: ColdFusion
ColdFusion users rave that this Web programming language is easy to use and quick to jump into, but as many other independent software tools have experienced, it’s hard to compete with products backed by expensive marketing campaigns from Microsoft and others. The language was originally released in 1995 by Allaire, which was acquired by Macromedia (which itself was purchased by Adobe). Today, it is superseded by Microsoft .NET, Java, PHP, and the language of the moment: open source Ruby on Rails. A quick search of the Indeed.com job aggregator site returned 11,045 jobs seeking PHP skills, compared to 2,027 CF jobs. Even Ruby on Rails, which is a much newer technology - and which received a major boost when Apple packaged it with OS X v10.5 in 2007 — returned 1,550 jobs openings on Indeed.com.
6: RAD/extreme programming
Back in the late 90s and early 2000s, the rapid application development and extreme programming development philosophies resulted in quicker and more flexible programming that embraced the ever-changing needs of customers during the development process. In XP, developers adapted to changing requirements at any point during the project life rather than attempting to define all requirements at the beginning. In RAD, developers embraced interactive use of structured techniques and prototyping to define users’ requirements. The result was accelerated software development. Although the skills were consistently the highest paying in Foote Partners survey since 1999, they began to lose ground in 2003 due to the proliferation of offshore outsourcing of applications development.
7: Siebel
Siebel is one skill that makes a recurring appearance in the Foote Partners’ list of skills that have lost their luster. Siebel was synonymous with customer relationship management in the late 90s and early 2000s, and the company dominated the market with a 45% share in 2002. Founded by Thomas Siebel, a former Oracle executive with no love lost for his past employer, Siebel competed aggressively with Oracle until 2006 when it was ultimately acquired by the database giant. Siebel’s complex and expensive CRM software required experts to install and manage. That model lost out to the new breed of software-as-a-service (SaaS) packages from companies such as Salesforce.com, which deliver comparable software over the Web. According to the ITJobsWatch.com, Siebel experts command an average salary of GBP52,684 ($78,564), but that’s a slide from GBP55,122 a year ago. Siebel is ranked 319 in the job research site’s list of jobs in demand, compared to 310 in 2008.
8: SNA
The introduction of IP and other Internet networking technologies into enterprises in the 1990s signaled the demise of IBM’s proprietary Systems Network Architecture. According to Wikipedia, the protocol is still used extensively in banks and other financial transaction networks and so SNA skills continue to appear in job ads. But permanent positions seeking SNA skills are few and far between. ITJobsWatch.com noted that there were three opening for permanent jobs between February and April, compared to 43 during the same period last year. Meanwhile, companies such as HP offer consultants with experience in SNA and other legacy skills, such as OpenVMS and Tru64 UNIX for short-term assignments.
9: HTML
We’re not suggesting the Internet is dead, but with the proliferation of easy-to-use WYSIWYG HTML editors enabling non-techies to set up blogs and Web pages, Web site development is no longer a black art. Sure, there’s still a need for professional Web developers, but a good grasp of HTML isn’t the only skill required of a Web developer. Professional developers often have expertise in Java, AJAX, C++, and .NET, among other programming languages. HTML as a skill lost more than 40% of its value between 2001 and 2003, according to Foote Partners.
10: COBOL
Is it dead or alive? This 40-year-old programming language often appears in lists of dying IT skills. But it also appears in as many articles about organizations with legacy applications written in COBOL that are having a hard time finding workers with COBOL skills. IBM cites statistics that 70% of the world’s business data is still being processed by COBOL applications. But how many of these applications will remain in COBOL for the long term? Even IBM is pushing its customers to “build bridges” and use service-oriented architecture to “transform legacy applications and make them part of a fast and flexible IT architecture.” About the author
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Linda Leung is a senior IT journalist with 20 years’ experience editing and writing news and features for online and print. She has extensive experience creating and launching news Web sites, including most recently, independent communities for customers of Cisco Systems and Microsoft.
So SAP experts make in the neighborhood of 65-70 bucks an hour?!!!
Wow, time for me to go to school I guess...
135 - 145K a year to work in SAP all day long....
Maybe that’s still not enough. I really hate school!
Sounds like a plan. I can remember avoiding the use of index registers because not all S/360s had them - was a priced feature, as was the decimal instruction set.
And I remember looking up instruction timings for real-time code to optimize it.
Overlay programming, anyone?
I earned every one of these gray hairs!
hehe.. And that reminds me, during college we had Niklaus Wirth visit to give a lecture on language design using his Modula-2 as an example. It turned into a two hour rant about C.
HTML is there, but it is far low on the skill set for the designer, and it’ll be hard getting a job with that as your main skill. You don’t do that much with it these days, as it is mostly a container for CSS and JavaScript.
Exactly, at the end of the day, all of these web frameworks’ only job is to ultimately generate HTML and Javascript.
I have switched to using Apache Wicket for web development. It’s great! No more embedded scriptlets, or tons of XML configuration. Just plain HTML and Java backing classes. I can use any HTML editor to design the look and feel with CSS.
Why can't you just code in B? /Pointy-Headed Manager
I’ve been looking at Scala. It runs on the JVM and combines the best of both Object-Oriented and Functional programming languages (like Erlang). I could see it one day replacing Java as the primary JVM language.
That is not 100% correct. Some of the newer frameworks such as Silverlight do not use HTML or JavaScript except as a launching point. They run through their own plug-in/shell.
The fact that VB is still going up disgusts me. What was kept around to lure VB programmers to .NET so they can be weaned off onto a real language is actually being used for real production. It can’t even natively multi-thread.
It’s just strange that any company would seriously consider programming any new application in VB. Use the skill for maintenance maybe, but rewrite it as they go if they’re smart, to c# if staying on Windows.
/rant
I've worked with those, "My code is perfect. You won't be able to find one thing wrong with it." Famous last words.
It's an attitude problem. Anyone who takes QA dings as a personal offense needs to find another field. Anyone who sees QA as a chance to improve his code is someone I want to work with, since that's the kind of programmer I am.
emacs has everything but a nice text editor. vi forever!
How is that a skill? Any UNIX guy who doesn’t want to be caned like a American teenage painting graffiti in Singapore can script in multiple languages.
If we didn’t keep deciding every few sprints that we’ve got a better plan we might actually accomplish something. Seems just at the point where it’s starting to look like an application the etch-a-sketch shake happens. But even without all the reboots I find user stories just insulting.
I can draw a snowman in GWBASIC, but my Turbo Pascal skills are getting rusty.
It was just an observation on the language itself. Why the hostility over it?
It’s important to be partners in making a better product. I always try to keep in mind that it’s my job to call the developers’ baby ugly and that it’s understandable for them to get a little defensive once in a while and to just ride that initial wave so we can get to productive talk. And it’s important for me not to be accusatory, always try to avoid phrases like “screw up” and “your bug”, keep it neutral, it’s a bug they happen now let’s fix it.
But some guys just can’t handle it. I had one always argumentative developer tell me that since he had a masters he didn’t believe anyone with less that a bachelors should be testing his code, I replied that it didn’t even take a high school diploma to double click on the icon and watch his application crash and maybe he shouldn’t be worrying about our qualifications. Nobody liked Pierre.
Well, course you have to picket outside MuSnot and chant about how proprietary software is the same as theft! Free beer, code and sex all around! Oh, wait, we don’t have any girls....scratch that last part!
I [don't] Enjoy DP.
Are you kidding me? After about 15 minutes, I'd be asking to borrow the drill.
Heck, I can thank my COBOL and MVS/JCL skills for surviving the last purge where I work. Even though I'd not used them much in the past 20 years, the fact that I could and WOULD program in COBOL and even a little BAL was the tipping point between me and another guy in my department.
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