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The Democrat's Horror: Almost ONE HUNDRED Dem seats in play in '10
data from Cook Partisan Voting Index | 8-18-09 | Dangus

Posted on 08/18/2009 8:30:21 PM PDT by dangus

The Democrats attained domination over the US House of Representatives not by convincing America that conservative beliefs were wrong, but by individualizing each Republican incumbent as part of a block of corruption and political tone-deafness. Dozens won Republican-leaning district while promising to vote conservatively. The Republican losers weren't so much those in the most moderate-to-left-leaning districts, but those to whom insinuations of scandal, incompetence and detachment most easily stuck. The result is an astonishing number of Democrats in otherwise Republican-leaning districts.

The Cook Political Report publishes the Cook Partisan Voting Index, measuring whether districts are more Democratic or more Republican than average. An incredible seventy-two Republican-leaning districts are currently held by Democrats. Twenty-seven more have Democratic margins of three percent or less. That's a total of ninety-nine districts which could be in play in a Republican tide.

The worst possible thing that could happen for these ninety-nine Democrats would be for the Democratic leadership to push through a health-care bill that would enrage the majority of voters. If that happened, their particular stance on health care wouldn't matter, only their vote for Speaker of the House, Nancy Pelosi. And that's exactly what the Democratic leadership is planning on doing.

D+3: 11 districts

D+2: 7 districts

D+1: 7 districts

D<1: 1 district

R<1: 3 districts

R+1: 7 districts

R+2: 10 districts

R+3: 4 districts

R+4: 5 districts

R+5 or more: 43 districts

Seats needed to win House: 40

Seats needed to reach '95 Republican dominance: 53


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 111th; 2010midterms; bho44; congress; dangus; elections; gop
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1 posted on 08/18/2009 8:30:21 PM PDT by dangus
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To: dangus

Nancy is like the Wicked Witch of the West upon whom water was splashed.


2 posted on 08/18/2009 8:32:58 PM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (When did it become the Democrat You-Shut-Up-And-Listen-To-Me Tour?)
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To: dangus

*snrk*

This is gonna be fun...


3 posted on 08/18/2009 8:33:21 PM PDT by null and void (We are now in day 209 of our national holiday from reality. - 0bama really isn't one of US.)
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To: dangus

Toss the enemies to the Republic out of office!


4 posted on 08/18/2009 8:34:11 PM PDT by NRA2BFree ("To sin by silence when they should protest makes cowards of men." Abraham Lincoln)
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To: dangus

No horror.

They are condescending and arrogant because they have an ace up their sleeve:

Amnesty — spring/summer of 2010.


5 posted on 08/18/2009 8:34:14 PM PDT by Ghost of Philip Marlowe (I want all communists to fail.)
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To: HiTech RedNeck

“I’m melting, I’m melting......ohh... what a cruel world.......’


6 posted on 08/18/2009 8:34:55 PM PDT by Tuscaloosa Goldfinch
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To: Ghost of Philip Marlowe

The system can’t digest that volume of people.


7 posted on 08/18/2009 8:35:34 PM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (When did it become the Democrat You-Shut-Up-And-Listen-To-Me Tour?)
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To: dangus

I love it! Democrats up for election in 2010 know that if they pass this DISASTER health care bill... they are TOAST!

ROCK-HARD-PLACE!


8 posted on 08/18/2009 8:35:35 PM PDT by avacado
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To: null and void

Yep and the best part is the liberals don’t even see it coming!

ROFL

They still think the affirmative action president is playing chess!

ROFL

Man they are going to be on suicide watch after the election in 2010.


9 posted on 08/18/2009 8:36:09 PM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied, the economy died)
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To: Ghost of Philip Marlowe

It’s sad that so many conservative leaning voters were suckered in recent elections. What were they thinking? A snake will always be a snake, even if it promises to be an Elephant.


10 posted on 08/18/2009 8:36:12 PM PDT by catbertz
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To: dangus

This is excellent! We’re already seeing lifelong Democrats switching parties in droves. The gig is just about up, thankfully!


11 posted on 08/18/2009 8:36:30 PM PDT by Leah at A Better Florida (Effective conservative representation www.ABetterFlorida.com)
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To: Ghost of Philip Marlowe

If they try that, people will burn down the capital with them in it. Plus, there wouldn’t be any way to get all those people voting by November.


12 posted on 08/18/2009 8:36:30 PM PDT by perfect_rovian_storm (The worst is behind us. Unfortunately it is really well endowed.)
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To: catbertz

I’m not one who got ‘suckered’ by Democrats, but frankly, we all got suckered by Republicans too and they paid for that at the ballot box.


13 posted on 08/18/2009 8:37:30 PM PDT by perfect_rovian_storm (The worst is behind us. Unfortunately it is really well endowed.)
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To: dangus
Bela Pelosi’s Congress and its’ Culture Of Seduction...

2010 is piquing my interest...

14 posted on 08/18/2009 8:37:38 PM PDT by JerseyJohn61 (Better Late Than Never.......sometimes over lapping is worth the effort....)
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To: Ghost of Philip Marlowe
"No horror. They are condescending and arrogant because they have an ace up their sleeve: Amnesty — spring/summer of 2010."

Rasmussen poll has 70% of Americans AGAINST amnesty. If Democrats try... it will BLOW up in their face.

15 posted on 08/18/2009 8:37:56 PM PDT by avacado
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Yeah, I love the fact that the pundits are calling Delaware’s Open Senate seat “safely Democratic,” even though the presumptive Democrat is losing to a Republican by more than 20 points. Don’t count your chickens when the eggs are smashed all over the sidewalk.


16 posted on 08/18/2009 8:38:34 PM PDT by dangus (I am JimThompson)
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To: perfect_rovian_storm

Have you forgotten the Slick Willy trick of using sporting stadiums?

File in one door.

Get sworn in at the middle.

File out the far door.

DNC voting booth right there. 10,000 voters at a clip.

Don’t doubt for a moment that a communist whose only achievement on his resume is “community organize” and Don of ACORN cannot make this happen.


17 posted on 08/18/2009 8:39:03 PM PDT by Ghost of Philip Marlowe (I want all communists to fail.)
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To: avacado

What difference will it make?

If these leftists can ram amnesty through, they won’t have to worry about the moderates and independent and quasi-conservative Dems that voted in this shipload of rats.

They can smile and flip the bird to them and say, “What are you gonna do about it?”

They’ll have the votes they need in any key population areas.


18 posted on 08/18/2009 8:41:01 PM PDT by Ghost of Philip Marlowe (I want all communists to fail.)
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To: Ghost of Philip Marlowe

nope. America woke up and is watching everything more carefully


19 posted on 08/18/2009 8:41:39 PM PDT by ari-freedom (Obama acted stupidly...and that's after knowing all the facts.)
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To: dangus

Names for us too tired to research ... please.


20 posted on 08/18/2009 8:41:46 PM PDT by knarf
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Rush has said that BO is destroying the rat party. HA


21 posted on 08/18/2009 8:41:59 PM PDT by shield (A wise man's heart is at his RIGHT hand;but a fool's heart at his LEFT. Ecc 10:2)
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To: dangus

I know it’s fantasy but Boxer in Ca is only up 4 points. You know its bad when that seat is in play. 2010 will be a delicious year for a Dem bloodbath. A few whispers are being heard around by some Dems in the House that ObamaCare needs be junked and rewritten. Man bad and worse scenarios for the Kenyian, all pubbies have to do is not compromise on Obamacare and let the Dems shoot their own wounded.


22 posted on 08/18/2009 8:42:00 PM PDT by pburgh01
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To: dangus

Hear that Nancy? *poof* That is the speakership evaporating in front of your eyes. Enjoy!


23 posted on 08/18/2009 8:42:53 PM PDT by chris_bdba
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To: perfect_rovian_storm
I’m not one who got ‘suckered’ by Democrats, but frankly, we all got suckered by Republicans too and they paid for that at the ballot box.

No. Most of the Republican we lost in 2006 were good conservatives.

24 posted on 08/18/2009 8:43:37 PM PDT by FreeReign
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To: dangus
This sounds like a description of the 2006 Democrat House strategy. They used the Foley page scandal as an "October Surprise" on top of the Abramoff lobbying scandal to tar all Republicans that year.

Can the Republicans finally fight back and convince the voters that the Democrats fooled them once in 2006, fooled them twice in 2008, but not again in 2010?

-PJ

25 posted on 08/18/2009 8:43:44 PM PDT by Political Junkie Too (This just in... Voting Republican is a Terrorist act!)
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To: knarf

You want me to give you every name? How’s this: a page with links to pages about each congressional district:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cook_Partisan_Voting_Index


26 posted on 08/18/2009 8:43:51 PM PDT by dangus (I am JimThompson)
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To: dangus

27 posted on 08/18/2009 8:45:56 PM PDT by Doogle (USAF.68-73..8th TFW Ubon Thailand..never store a threat you should have eliminated)))
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To: FreeReign

>> No. Most of the Republican we lost in 2006 were good conservatives. <<

Actually, not really. A LOT were in solidly Republican seats, but most were very politically correct. Of the 180 sponsors of English as an official language, for instance, only a handful lost. 2008 was more damaging to conservatives, but only because their challengers ran still farther to the right.


28 posted on 08/18/2009 8:46:10 PM PDT by dangus (I am JimThompson)
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To: avacado
What I love?
Even if the Dems vote against Obamacare in this current battle -— if they voted FOR the “stimulus” they ALREADY voted in favor of rationing!
So we can kill this bill, by spooking the “blue dogs” and STILL get the seniors, and the disabled groups, upset over the rationing of Ezekial Emanuels “comparative effectiveness” death panels!~
29 posted on 08/18/2009 8:46:37 PM PDT by Kansas58
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To: dangus

I think I will just donate my salary to help the conservatives next year. Otherwise, our poor country.

Maybe we could make a Molon Labe flag ...


30 posted on 08/18/2009 8:46:58 PM PDT by bboop (Tar and feathers -- good back then, good now)
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To: FreeReign

Some were. The house in general was fairly conservative, but with the ideologically incoherent Bush at the head of the party, they expanded government and did the opposite of what they claimed to stand for. They failed us and betrayed us. Very few, even the ‘good conservatives’ can truly say they weren’t guilty.


31 posted on 08/18/2009 8:48:03 PM PDT by perfect_rovian_storm (The worst is behind us. Unfortunately it is really well endowed.)
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To: HiTech RedNeck
The system can’t digest that volume of people.

This is not a problem if your goal is to utterly destroy the system.

32 posted on 08/18/2009 8:48:13 PM PDT by null and void (We are now in day 209 of our national holiday from reality. - 0bama really isn't one of US.)
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To: catbertz
A snake will always be a snake, even if it promises to be an Elephant.

Those aren't snakes.

They're public serpents...

33 posted on 08/18/2009 8:49:42 PM PDT by null and void (We are now in day 209 of our national holiday from reality. - 0bama really isn't one of US.)
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To: null and void

I mean even if the promise were to vault them from illegales to instant voting citizens, the bureaucrats can’t chew through that number of people.


34 posted on 08/18/2009 8:49:54 PM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (When did it become the Democrat You-Shut-Up-And-Listen-To-Me Tour?)
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To: Ghost of Philip Marlowe
They are condescending and arrogant because they have an ace up their sleeve: Amnesty — spring/summer of 2010.

You wanna see a real political revolt in this country? Pass an amnesty for illegals against the wishes of 80% of the entire American public.

Every time Americans have been polled about how they feel about another amnesty for illegals, the answer has been overwhelmingly, "NO WAY JOSE".

35 posted on 08/18/2009 8:50:03 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: Windflier

No problem. We’ll just call it a ‘Mexican Co-Op’. Problem solved.

Gee, I should be in the Dem leadership with ideas like these.


36 posted on 08/18/2009 8:51:32 PM PDT by perfect_rovian_storm (The worst is behind us. Unfortunately it is really well endowed.)
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To: dangus

The Pelosi Nuclear Winter - coming soon to a corrupt party in power next election day.

I am already planning to take the following day off so I can watch the fallout.


37 posted on 08/18/2009 8:51:39 PM PDT by R0CK3T
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To: perfect_rovian_storm
No problem. We’ll just call it a ‘Mexican Co-Op’. Problem solved.

Shades of the NAU...

38 posted on 08/18/2009 8:54:50 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: dangus
No. Most of the Republican we lost in 2006 were good conservatives.

Actually, not really. A LOT were in solidly Republican seats, but most were very politically correct. Of the 180 sponsors of English as an official language, for instance, only a handful lost. 2008 was more damaging to conservatives, but only because their challengers ran still farther to the right.

I don't agree.

All but one or two who lost in 2006 voted for the big anti illegal alien bill in the fall of 2005.

I've got a file somewhere that I created documenting the voting record of all the House Republicans who lost in 2006.

All but a couple were real RINO's.

39 posted on 08/18/2009 8:55:12 PM PDT by FreeReign
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To: dangus
LL!


40 posted on 08/18/2009 8:55:27 PM PDT by skinkinthegrass (Zer0 to the voter: "Welcome to 'MY' DeathCARE ® Plan"...Sucker! ...now just die. :^)
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To: dangus

Just as interesting would be if the incoming Republican freshman class was a very surly, conservative lot.

Imagine their reply if the sniveling RINO leaders suggested that “We should reach across the aisle to the Democrats and be extra generous to them, like we used to be...”

Quid Pro Quo, baby. The Democrats treated the Republicans like crap when they were in the majority. Payback is a biatch. The Republicans tried to play fair before and got burned bad.

No more Mister Nice Guy. Tear down the Frankenstein castle that the Democrats built, to the ruination of our nation.


41 posted on 08/18/2009 8:55:56 PM PDT by yefragetuwrabrumuy
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To: R0CK3T
I think I will look into a fund raising effort to buy a bus pass for Speaker Pelosi, as she will not get that private jet service, anymore.

She is despised in Wichita, an aircraft building town, for her lack of support for aviation (unless it is for HER private use!)

42 posted on 08/18/2009 8:56:05 PM PDT by Kansas58
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To: R0CK3T
I am already planning to take the following day off so I can watch the fallout.

Got'sta rig up the hammock, portable tv, and a pony keg in a cooler. Should be a smash watching them implode. Best fireworks ever.

43 posted on 08/18/2009 8:56:24 PM PDT by going hot (Happiness is a Momma Deuce)
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To: dangus

I think I’ll watch PMSNBC’s election night coverage in 2010......strong potential for on-air suicides.


44 posted on 08/18/2009 8:57:08 PM PDT by clintonh8r ("Seems fishy")
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To: HiTech RedNeck
I can see the resemblance..


45 posted on 08/18/2009 8:58:44 PM PDT by AFreeBird
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To: dangus

Seems like it would be easy to make a case for needing a balance of power. It is so dangerous to have everything in the hands of ONE party, no checks and balances and they just ram stuff through. On those grounds alone anyone should vote the Democrats out.


46 posted on 08/18/2009 8:59:14 PM PDT by Anima Mundi
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To: dangus
Republicans Target 70 House Dems for 2010
47 posted on 08/18/2009 9:01:26 PM PDT by freespirited (The only thing growing faster than the deficit is Chris Matthews' man crush on Obama -- Tim Pawlenty)
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To: dangus

Let’s un-elect the dims. They are really doing it to themselves by supporting Obamacare. LOL!


48 posted on 08/18/2009 9:05:37 PM PDT by Salvation (With God all things are possible.)
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To: ari-freedom; Windflier

I agree with both of you about the view of Americans.

But seriously, if the Dems push through amnesty and those illegals given the vote give power to Dems in perpetuity, what do you think Americans will do?

Do you really think they’ll take to arms and start shooting?

I don’t think they will. I think they’ll scream and complain and throw a bunch of rallies and protests and when all the dust settles...

they’ll go back to work on Monday, gritting their teeth, and the new political oligarchy (the DNC) will sit back and smile knowing that they are untouchable.

Trust me, I do hope I am completely wrong on this. But we’d be fools to rest on our laurels on this issue.

Obammie the Commie mentioned today about pushing talk of “immigration reform” off until next year. I believe it was a true statement and I believe it fits in with the communist strategy of throwing so many issues at us we don’t know which one to swing at and which one to duck. If they can get us stirred up about amnesty now, it will get us off government-run medical care and we’ll blow our steam by next year.


49 posted on 08/18/2009 9:07:45 PM PDT by Ghost of Philip Marlowe (I want all communists to fail.)
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To: JerseyJohn61

50 posted on 08/18/2009 9:09:53 PM PDT by Wardenclyffe
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