Skip to comments.Charlie Cook: Dem situation has 'slipped completely out of control'
Posted on 08/20/2009 2:17:07 PM PDT by SonOfDarkSkies
Charlie Cook, one of the best political handicappers in the business, sent out a special update to Cook Political Report subscribers Thursday that should send shivers down Democratic spines.
Reviewing recent polling and the 2010 election landscape, Cook can envision a scenario in which Democratic House losses could exceed 20 seats.
"These data confirm anecdotal evidence, and our own view, that the situation this summer has slipped completely out of control for President Obama and Congressional Democrats. Today, The Cook Political Reports Congressional election model, based on individual races, is pointing toward a net Democratic loss of between six and 12 seats, but our sense, factoring in macro-political dynamics is that this is far too low," he wrote.
(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...
But the Dems will still be the majority even with a 20 seat loss, right?
Democrats have gotten themselves into the position of either they turn on each other or risk not getting re-elected. This is what happens when they try and screw the people. Thank God for a Republic.
Uh, 20 seats is a little low for an average mid-term, not when the people are in a frenzy and will crawl over broken glass to get to the polls. If trends continue, losses will be closer to 40-50+.
I am hoping we see a Clinton style blowout- Newt Where are you???
20 seats? @#$% that. We need to take the thing back.
Charlie you are being too nice. The Rats are going to lose more than 80 and possibly 100. People are getting wise to Othuga even liberals who see him for what he is. The Second American Revolution is coming.
Which means Pelousy will still be the speaker. What a bummer.
It’s an off-year. Many fewer Democrats are up for election.
What are you talking about? The entire House is up for re-election.
I think he is way understating the mood in this country.
If Pelosi and Reid ram health reform through, they do so at their own and their party’s peril!
Yes. Current make up is 255 to 178, a 77 seat difference. A 20 seat switch would make it 235 to 198, and even Republicans picking up 2 seats would still put them 35 seats down.
However, if the polling continues at it’s current pace, you could see a soft chance at a 30 seat flip. That would put the Republicans in good position for a house take over with a successful Presidential candidate in 2012.
But even with the Democrats collapsing right now, it seems unlikely that the Republicans can recapture the House in 2010.
The volcano is building up pressure and is going to explode. See here:
I was under the impression it was staggered, as in my country.
The magic number is right around 40.
As horrifying as it is to see the Obama Admin and the Democratic Congress attempt to destroy this nation, it does appear that 233 years later, the Founding Fathers' Republic still works.
The House is always up for re-election (every 2 years) ... all gazillion of them (I forget how many of these princes reside in DC). Only 1/3 of the Senators are up for election - same as it is every 2 years...
If the Dems hang on to control but lose 20+ seats, maybe they'll dump Pelousy for Hoyer.
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