Election 2010: Texas Republican Primary

Rasmussen Reports ^ | September 17, 2009 | Scott Rasmussen

[GoldStandard]

The volatile 2010 Republican Primary race for governor in Texas has become a toss-up, with Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison currently inching ahead of incumbent Rick Perry by two points – 40% to 38%.

A new Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 telephone survey of Texas GOP Primary voters finds just three percent (3%) support Debra Medina, a tea party activist who joined the GOP race this month. But 19% are not sure who they favor.

[trumandogz]

The Democrats, knowing that their nominee cannot win the General Election, will cross party lines and vote for KBH in the GOP Primary.

[GeronL]

Super RINO edges right-leaning RINO

[GeronL]

yup.

open primaries= teh stoopid

[the long march]

Both of these “republicans” have proven to be pretty useless. Perry and dear old Kay both love open borders.

[K-oneTexas]

I think your right. [Snip]Perry won reelection in 2006 with 39% of the overall vote. Democrat Chris Bell earned 30%, followed by independent candidates Carole Keeton Strayhorn and Richard 'Kinky' Friedman with 18% and 12% support respectively. [Snip] I don't believe Carole or Kinky will take another run at it. Just my sense of things.

[US Navy Vet]

Hasn’t “Kinky” already announced?

[BJClinton]

Ms. Medina needs to do a better job of getting her name out there.

[trumandogz]

Kinky has announce for the Dem. Primary but he could not win a General.

However, the problem for the GOP is that there is a small possibility that 39% Perry could be beat in the General and there is no way the KBH could be beat in the General.

However, in the end, lots and lots of Dems will be voting for KBH in the GOP Primary and Perry will go down.

As for me, I have no use for either the Longhorn or Aggie cheerleaders.

[K-oneTexas]

I don’t think so but I could be wrong.

[mono]

Wow! The only earlier poll I saw had Perry way ahead.

[CenTex]

“I think your right. [Snip]Perry won reelection in 2006 with 39% of the overall vote. Democrat Chris Bell earned 30%, followed by independent candidates Carole Keeton Strayhorn and Richard ‘Kinky’ Friedman with 18% and 12% support respectively. [Snip] I don’t believe Carole or Kinky will take another run at it. Just my sense of things.”

Slight correction:
Perry won with about 35% of the overall vote. Many voted “none of the above”

Kinky has announced already...

Kinky recieved my protest vote last time...

I have not heard of the Tea Party candidate until now. She currently has my vote....

[Grams A]

Yes and he changed parties. Said the Republicans “didn’t want him”. KBH needs to stay in Washington - although she is a RINO thru and thru, as is Perry. Hard to believe that we can’t find one honest conservative Republican that we can all support.

[devane617]

Yes, Kinky is in...He and Willie Nelson were in Plano last night for a big bash...

[hocndoc]

That 39% was in a field of 5 nominees in the General.

[devane617]

I find this poll hard to believe. RP seems to be the one with support. There is no way in heck that KBH will get a vote from me.

[Truth is a Weapon]

My cynical side tells me that perhaps Scott Rasmussen is sewing seeds for more polling by both candidates. Similar unusual results in the VA race today. Could economic pressure be coloring poll outcomes?

[K-oneTexas]

At this point if Carole ran, she’d have my vote. KBH doesn’t. Gov. Goodhair doesn’t either.

[fwdude]

Super RINO edges right-leaning RINO

Too true. As much as I dislike Perry, illegal-alien-lovin' Hutchison would be a disaster.

[GoldStandard]

Perry, if elected again, will have been Governor of Texas for I believe 14 years at the end of the new term. That is ridiculous.

[K-oneTexas]

I agree.

It has not been a stellar reign thus far.

[Norman Bates]

I don’t think this was the first poll showing KBH edging ahead.

[crosstimbers]

14 years is ridiculous, but I can’t stomach the thought of Hutchison as our governor.

[She hits a grand slam tonight]

I’ve been against Perry since his TTC thing. That was going to be a multi-lane highway that would have exported even more jobs south of the border & allowed Mexican trucks to transport the goods. Hell, I think he was even allowing a mexican company to run the highway.
Plus i would have been the largest confication of private land in American history. Many ranches would have been divided with no access to the other side.
Perry has already been there too long.
Personally I think Mayor White from Houston will be the dem candidate.
It looks like another election where I have to hold my nose, close my eyes & throw a dart.

[deport]

A few months ago Perry was way down, came back to the lead or near the lead during the last session of the legislature and his campaigning afterwards. The race is now becoming more focused and will get very nasty by the first of the year.

The primary on March 2, 2010 is important in other ways as some of the down ballot offices help decide the redistriction VIA the Legislative Redistricting Board after the 2010 census should the legislature not be able to accomplish that feat.

[lonestar]

At this point if Carole ran, she’d have my vote.

She is a real RINO...and nuts to boot. Maybe Scott will enter politics. LOL!

[deport]

Personally I think Mayor White from Houston will be the dem candidate.

---

Isn’t White setting his sites on the May 8, 2010 election to replace KBH? Isn’t Sharp being mentioned as a democratic candidate also?

[deport]

sites -—— sheesh

sites s/b sights,

[TexanByBirth]

I find this poll hard to believe.

Yeah, my BS meter went off too!

The survey is of likely primary voters. From the survey:

Perry now leads among men, while Hutchison has the edge among likely women primary voters. The incumbent leads among those who identify themselves as conservatives, while Hutchison is ahead among party moderates and liberals.

Polls are like statistics. You can make them come out any way you want!

[deport]

Polls are like statistics. You can make them come out any way you want!

---

Isn’t the numbers you posted about what you’d expect? Perry running hard to the right and Hutchison in the middle/left.

[devane617]

An anecdotal bit of info is that I am seeing lots more RP bumper stickers than KBH in north Texas.

[rhinohunter]

Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison currently inching ahead of incumbent Rick Perry by two points – 40% to 38%.

Fear not, fellow KBH haters!

Sarah has yet to cross the Red River to campaign for Perry.

[TexanByBirth]

Isn’t the numbers you posted about what you’d expect? Perry running hard to the right and Hutchison in the middle/left.

You would kind of expect a breakdown like that. But without a further breakdown of those surveyed it is hard to say if is an accurate reflection of how likely Republican primary voters feel. It is also a fairly small survey size and 19 percent of those surveyed were not sure. CNN's recent survey after Obama's speech which way over sampled Democrats should make us all look closely at the actual breakdown of those surveyed.

A much more interesting survey would be one that samples just registered Republicans. That might give us a better picture.

[BuckeyeTexan]

Thanks for posting, GoldStandard.

Ping.

Freepmail me or ping me from the original thread to get on/off the 2010 Texas Governor's Race ping list.