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Dems see path for Deeds in Virginia
politico.com ^ | October 18, 2009 | JONATHAN MARTIN

Posted on 10/18/2009 4:45:14 PM PDT by Dubya-M-DeesWent2SyriaStupid!

With just over two weeks left until Virginia’s gubernatorial election, Democrat Creigh Deeds is left with a narrow path to victory, one that hinges on energizing key demographic groups and the durability of the Old Dominion’s new politics.

Even as Deeds trails Republican Bob McDonnell by eight and nine points in two of the most recent polls, his campaign and other analysts can still envision a comeback made possible in no small part because of the state’s political turn leftward.

Virginia’s Washington, D.C. suburbs, where one-third of voters reside, have gone from being a battleground region to a Democratic bulwark in recent elections, making it dangerous to write off Deeds just yet.

“The demographic shift of the state combined with what we have done as a party allows us to have air in our lungs,” said Deeds campaign manager Joe Abbey.

Deeds, a state senator, represents the first true test of just how much the tectonic plates of the commonwealth’s political culture have moved.

(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: deeds; dempolitiks; mcdonnell; reed; va; va2009; virginia
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Wishful thinking. The fact is the state has not turned left; it turned ACORN with 0bama.
1 posted on 10/18/2009 4:45:15 PM PDT by Dubya-M-DeesWent2SyriaStupid!
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To: NoObamaFightForConservatives

Joe Abbey: master of the mixed metaphor.


2 posted on 10/18/2009 4:50:36 PM PDT by clintonh8r (My country. Not my government.)
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To: NoObamaFightForConservatives

All of the illegals and other immigrants have gravitated toward Northern Va.


3 posted on 10/18/2009 4:53:28 PM PDT by Venturer
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To: NoObamaFightForConservatives

Not this time, dems... not this time.


4 posted on 10/18/2009 4:56:40 PM PDT by ScottinVA
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To: NoObamaFightForConservatives
lefty johnny martin took an extra strong shot of obama kool aid before spitting out this piece of pure uncut propaganda .
But it is politico a branch of the obama state media umbrella ! JOhnny is a true believer !
5 posted on 10/18/2009 4:58:03 PM PDT by ncalburt (San Fran Nan , Your Harvey Milk was gunned down by a fellow Dem-RAT)
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To: ScottinVA

That idiot Terry McAufflic was on Fox today trying to explain why Deeds isn’t winning - didn’t work....Chris Wallace and Rove were both laughing at him....


6 posted on 10/18/2009 4:58:31 PM PDT by BamaDi (I'm glad that I'm free, though I wish I was a dog and Obama was a tree!)
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To: BamaDi

LMAO it is funny watching the media spin a loss.


7 posted on 10/18/2009 5:00:37 PM PDT by Dubya-M-DeesWent2SyriaStupid!
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To: clintonh8r

The democrats are watching Va. on how they will vote for 0bamaCare.

What a joke.


8 posted on 10/18/2009 5:01:57 PM PDT by Dubya-M-DeesWent2SyriaStupid!
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To: Venturer

The folks in Southside couldn’t get their lawns mowed without a regular supply of Fresh Mexicans.


9 posted on 10/18/2009 5:03:55 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: ncalburt

exactly why I posted this for all to see.


10 posted on 10/18/2009 5:04:36 PM PDT by Dubya-M-DeesWent2SyriaStupid!
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To: BamaDi
That idiot Terry McAufflic was on Fox today trying to explain why Deeds isn’t winning - didn’t work....Chris Wallace and Rove were both laughing at him....

Do you remember what McAuliffe said?

11 posted on 10/18/2009 5:06:18 PM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: Venturer
Thank you for finishing my post. I grabbed my horns and coat and got out of there eleven years ago.


12 posted on 10/18/2009 5:07:29 PM PDT by Viking2002
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To: NoObamaFightForConservatives

http://www.bobmcdonnell.com/ for Governor

http://www.billbolling.com/ for Lieutenant Governor

http://www.cuccinelli.com/ for Attorney General


13 posted on 10/18/2009 5:07:37 PM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: NoObamaFightForConservatives

Great article that conveniently ignores the fact that this is 2009 not 2004 or 2006 or 2008!


14 posted on 10/18/2009 5:12:14 PM PDT by rocksblues (Sarah and Joe, Real Americans!)
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To: NoObamaFightForConservatives
“LMAO it is funny watching the media spin a loss.”

Don't count your chickens ...

The way elections have been going nationally, it is hard to believe any repub could win a race.

I'm sure some last minute ballots in the 10’s of thousands will appear and Deeds will be the next Gov.

15 posted on 10/18/2009 5:14:00 PM PDT by CapnJack
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To: BamaDi

Yeah, if McAuliffe was part of the plan to get Deeds elected, I think it backfired. What a clown. Of course, while McAuliffe put on a show for Deeds, I don’t think his heart was really in it.


16 posted on 10/18/2009 5:16:18 PM PDT by Brilliant
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To: NoObamaFightForConservatives

Right, because all the pollsters are just too stupid to know the demographic makeup and to adjust their samples accordingly.

Of course, there’s also the inconvenient truth that Deeds isn’t liberal enough for the liberals in NoVa (because he isn’t anti-gun), and republicans do win in parts of NoVa regularly.


17 posted on 10/18/2009 5:25:37 PM PDT by CharlesWayneCT
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To: CapnJack

If it’s even close, it will be jammed up in the courts for as long or longer than the Coleman/Franken race in MN was. It’s got to be a blow out in order for McConnell to survive the aftermath.


18 posted on 10/18/2009 5:27:44 PM PDT by randita (Chains you can bereave in.)
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To: randita

Va. needs to ban ACORN and moveon from Va.


19 posted on 10/18/2009 5:28:44 PM PDT by Dubya-M-DeesWent2SyriaStupid!
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To: Viking2002

“...I grabbed my horns and coat and got out of there eleven years ago.”

Me too. I practically skipped the way to my car as I left the Northern Virginia area 12 years ago. Came back to Washington once, this past September 12th.


20 posted on 10/18/2009 5:33:00 PM PDT by OldPossum
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To: NoObamaFightForConservatives

LOL at the Lies here.


21 posted on 10/18/2009 5:36:00 PM PDT by Soul Seeker
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To: Venturer

The immigrants don’t vote in large numbers in NoVa. What has really turned places like Loudon and Fairfax County (the two wealthiest counties in the United States) left has been the influx of gubmint employees and folks from places like New York and New Jersey.


22 posted on 10/18/2009 5:39:20 PM PDT by Clemenza (Remember our Korean War Veterans)
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To: HokieMom

Watch the video if possible. I dont remember the full exchange but at the end McAwful tried to drop in a line about Deeds and Corzine and Rove whipped out a newpaper article from his folder quoting exactly the opposite of what McAwful said. it was funny, Rove knew he would pull that line and had him in checkmate before he even went on the show. It was a Rovian moment, where Rove is 9 thoughts ahead of McAwful.


23 posted on 10/18/2009 5:40:44 PM PDT by IllumiNaughtyByNature (FR33 73h lOn9 fOrM 81R7H c3r71F1ca73!!)
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To: NoObamaFightForConservatives
Virginia’s Washington, D.C. suburbs, where one-third of voters reside, have gone from being a battleground region to a Democratic bulwark . . .

Pigs feeding at the government trough. When the country collapses and its various regions regroup, who gets these people?

24 posted on 10/18/2009 5:55:27 PM PDT by madprof98 ("moritur et ridet" - salvianus)
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To: BamaDi

McAwful probably thinks Deeds is losing, because he, not McAwful, won the primary.


25 posted on 10/18/2009 5:57:05 PM PDT by conservativebuckeye
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To: IllumiNaughtyByNature

I love the internet. I found a part 2 of 2 that would play. Rove had a quote from the Richmond paper where McAuliffe said in the democrat primary last spring that Deeds can’t win because he’s in favor of raising taxes. I’ll try again later and maybe the ‘error occurred’ message will be resolved and I hear the whole exchange.


26 posted on 10/18/2009 5:59:33 PM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: HokieMom

That was it. You could see McAwful at the end try to spin it as “that way the primary” but Rove knew he had him.


27 posted on 10/18/2009 6:03:26 PM PDT by IllumiNaughtyByNature (FR33 73h lOn9 fOrM 81R7H c3r71F1ca73!!)
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To: NoObamaFightForConservatives
"The demographic shift of the state combined with what we have done as a party allows us to have air in our lungs

I'm pretty sure what he means by "what we have done as a party" is code for "get ready for voter fraud on a scale never before seen."

28 posted on 10/18/2009 6:04:28 PM PDT by The Good Doctor (Democracy is the only system where you can vote for a tax that you can avoid the obligation to pay.)
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To: Thud

VA Democrats are worried about a collapse of down ballot races from a 1994 style disproportionately Republican turn out.

They may even be right.

Congressional Democratic leaders are acting like there is a Republican land slide coming in VA & NJ Governors races.


29 posted on 10/18/2009 6:04:51 PM PDT by Dark Wing
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To: NoObamaFightForConservatives

Wishful thinking.

For whatever reason, blacks and the 18-29 year old age group just aren’t motivated to back Dems in Jersey and Va. If they aren’t motivated now, then they won’t be motivated by Nov 3rd. Obama, Biden, and other Dem celebrities have visited Jersey & VA countless times during the summer.


30 posted on 10/18/2009 6:07:51 PM PDT by yongin
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To: NoObamaFightForConservatives

“The demographic shift of the state”

That’s exactly how the left will make conservatives politically irrelevant.


31 posted on 10/18/2009 6:09:27 PM PDT by Boiling Pots (Barack Obama: The Final Turd George W. Bush laid on America)
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To: yongin

It’s surprising how unmotivated the democrats are. Last spring in their primary there was only a 4% turnout for governor and two other statewide races. That’s unbelievably low. It was even high profile with McAuliffe spending lots of $$ and three men in the race making lots of noise.


32 posted on 10/18/2009 6:14:48 PM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: yongin

The problem is the suburban ditzy women who decide NJ elections will either go for Corzine or Third Party Daggett.


33 posted on 10/18/2009 6:20:28 PM PDT by Clemenza (Remember our Korean War Veterans)
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To: NoObamaFightForConservatives

I saw a rainbow and a unicorn today.....


34 posted on 10/18/2009 6:22:29 PM PDT by cranked
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To: madprof98

A lot of those gubmint workers in N VA work for those scams Fannie & Freddie. Sub postal workers trying to do govt secs. It is all designed to make Goldman Sachs richer.


35 posted on 10/18/2009 6:33:42 PM PDT by Frantzie (Do we want ACORN running America's health care?)
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To: NoObamaFightForConservatives

d-duh d-uh d-don’t think s-so...


36 posted on 10/18/2009 6:34:59 PM PDT by databoss (Keep The Change....)
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To: madprof98

who gets these people?

Who ever has a plentiful supply of good rope!


37 posted on 10/18/2009 6:49:09 PM PDT by dusttoyou (libs are all wee wee'd up and no place to go)
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To: NoObamaFightForConservatives
Yes, that "path" would be lined with ACORNs, namely copious amounts of voter fraud. The GOP had better be prepared to fight, but that is never a sure thing.
38 posted on 10/18/2009 6:58:37 PM PDT by Major Matt Mason (The DemocRat Party is no longer an American political party.)
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To: NoObamaFightForConservatives
Saw where Deeds was throwing in the kitchen sink. Clinton and Obama are coming to NOVA to campaign next week. Obama may hurt more than it would help, but I guess when you are desperate you have nothing to lose.
39 posted on 10/18/2009 7:26:02 PM PDT by lt.america (wearing my Brooks Brothers shirt proudly)
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To: NoObamaFightForConservatives
Also saw an interview with Wagner where she was trying to defend her horrible revenue forecasting which has driven the state into a huge budget deficit. Who do you thank she blamed? Global recession which constrained revenues brought on by none other than President Bush.
40 posted on 10/18/2009 7:29:32 PM PDT by lt.america (wearing my Brooks Brothers shirt proudly)
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To: HokieMom

McDonnell winning will be huge. A GOP sweep will be nothing short of colossal.


41 posted on 10/18/2009 7:31:41 PM PDT by lt.america (wearing my Brooks Brothers shirt proudly)
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To: NoObamaFightForConservatives

There was a poll breakdown the other day presented on either Fox or Lou Dobbs that indicates that McDonnell is ahead even in northern VA.

It will come down to the ground game, though. With ACORN and other corrupt rat organizations involved, it’s hard to say that Deeds can’t pull out an illegitimate win. They did it in MN’s U.S. Senate race.


42 posted on 10/18/2009 7:41:35 PM PDT by bustinchops (Teddy ("The Hiccup") Kennedy - the original water-boarder)
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To: CapnJack

I agree. It’s very likely. Unless the pubs have a good ground game and watch every ballot like a hawk, they can easily lose any election no matter if the polls show their guy ahead 65-35.

This Daggett guy in NJ is going to hand the governorship for Corzine by bleeding votes from Christie. Why does this always only happen to pubs? Are there so many seemingly conservative independents willing to do this, or were they rat stealth shills from the first day they entered politics?


43 posted on 10/18/2009 7:47:17 PM PDT by bustinchops (Teddy ("The Hiccup") Kennedy - the original water-boarder)
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To: Clemenza

What’s the story on Daggett? Sleeper agent for the rats or legitimate candidate?


44 posted on 10/18/2009 7:54:30 PM PDT by bustinchops (Teddy ("The Hiccup") Kennedy - the original water-boarder)
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To: lt.america

Christie will lose in NJ, sad to say. Daggett’s presence assures that.


45 posted on 10/18/2009 7:57:54 PM PDT by bustinchops (Teddy ("The Hiccup") Kennedy - the original water-boarder)
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To: bustinchops

Yes, losing because of a 3rd party candidate happens primarily to Republicans, but it also happened in Florida in 2000, when Ralph Nader got 90,000 votes, so Bush was able to beat Gore.


46 posted on 10/18/2009 8:01:34 PM PDT by DeweyCA
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To: lt.america

Another thing.......winning in VA will be valuable, of course, but it will be brushed off as VA being basically a red state except for the last election, so move along folks, nothing to see here. What would be huge would be to win in NJ, but I seriously doubt that will happen. The presence of Daggett in the race assures a Corzine win. NJ has been reliably blue, so a win there would have been an earthquake, but a pub win in VA - not so much.


47 posted on 10/18/2009 8:01:35 PM PDT by bustinchops (Teddy ("The Hiccup") Kennedy - the original water-boarder)
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To: NoObamaFightForConservatives

There simply hasn’t been any of the ACORN and La Raza visibility in No. VA that we had in 06 and 08. There seems to be a lot of apathy, if not disillusionment, among the likely Deeds supporters quite possibly because the Bammy didn’t deliver.


48 posted on 10/18/2009 8:01:47 PM PDT by Thrownatbirth (.....Iraq Invasion fan since '91.)
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To: DeweyCA

True (as far as we know, anyway). But it’s almost always the pubs who get hosed in 3-way races. Recently, that’s how we got “Al Franken.” That’s how we got Bubba. Twice.


49 posted on 10/18/2009 8:04:35 PM PDT by bustinchops (Teddy ("The Hiccup") Kennedy - the original water-boarder)
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To: bustinchops
What I was referring to was a Republican sweep in VA. Gov, LtGov, and Att General could all go to the GOP. I agree that Christie is probably not going to be able to pull it out, especially when Corzine starts outspending him 5 to 1. If Christie somehow wins that the Democrats might as well start looking for a new party chairman and leadership in both the Senate and the House. Because that scenario would be truly cataclysmic.
50 posted on 10/18/2009 8:33:19 PM PDT by lt.america (wearing my Brooks Brothers shirt proudly)
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