Posted on 10/22/2009 4:39:16 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Not much Hope but a whole lot of Change. ObamaCare plus stagnant unemployment plus dithering on Afghanistan makes for a magical brew indeed, my friends.
In fact, the 9-point drop in the most recent quarter is the largest Gallup has ever measured for an elected president between the second and third quarters of his term, dating back to 1953. One president who was not elected to his first term — Harry Truman — had a 13-point drop between his second and third quarters in office in 1945 and 1946…
More generally, Obama’s 9-point slide between quarters ranks as one of the steepest for a president at any point in his first year in office. The highest is Truman’s 19-point drop between his third and fourth quarters, followed by a 15-point drop for Gerald Ford between his first and second quarters. The largest for an elected president in his first year is Bill Clinton’s 11-point slide between his first and second quarters.
When you think about the last three months and how far his support on major issues has deteriorated, it’s almost miraculous that he’s above 50 percent. The public must simply adore him on a personal level. What has he done for anyone lately? He got a health-care bill that’ll end up being completely rewritten through the Finance Committee and he got Iran to kinda sorta maybe agree to a nuclear deal that’s really just a bunch of hype annnnd … anything else? Winning the Nobel counts as something, I guess, even though a heavy majority thinks he didn’t deserve it. Oh — he chaired that meeting at the UN about ridding the world of nuclear weapons. So there you go. You’re welcome.
Actually, here’s some good news: North Dakota’s showing a net gain of 1,800 jobs since the stimulus was passed in February. See here :
http://www.republicans.waysandmeans.house.gov/News/DocumentSingle.aspx?DocumentID=150826
The drop is not that great of news considering he was very popular to begin with. A shame that his jobs/recovery bill did not become his WMDs and ‘mission accomplished’.
The press didn’t do their job before the election.
He lied lied lied about who he really was.
BIG SURPRISE.
My point is he is still too popular (compared to Clinton 2003 ) and can use that popularity to cause trouble, but not as much as before (Health care is still stuck) ,and still is trying.
His drop is because he ran as Reagan, got in office and with Pelosi moved to the left mainly with social spending and deficits and the economy and business. So many of us figured that out, while he is still talking like Reagan. But many seem clueless, it still is the GWB blame shield.
He also lost some progressives, he has not moved on many promises to the gays, and cap-and trade, and War... So he loses some of them.
As long as he remains popular in polls that is what will be reported, and what the voters will see. Plus the WH/dems can effectively marginalize the minority polling against him as hater-racist-birth-certificaters. He has to lose more popularity. He has to be seen as responsible as GWB was for the last 4 years. When his approval rating goes near 40% the MSM will start questioning his accomplishments, that's when you will know we are winning.
The past two years congress was polled with very low approval ratings. Many FRers cheered here "They hate the Pelosi congress". I tried warning them that this was a disapproval that those polled saw Republicans in charge and that republicans would be killed again in November 2008. Hannity was predicting the day before election, a surge that would put McCain in office. Instead I think we need to stick with reality and try to deal with it.
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