Posted on 10/25/2009 6:24:54 AM PDT by Zakeet
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows that 30% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Forty percent (40%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -10 (see trends).
Check out our review of last week’s key polls to see “What They Told Us.”
The Presidential Approval Index is calculated by subtracting the number who Strongly Disapprove from the number who Strongly Approve. It is updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update). Updates also available on Twitter and Facebook.
Overall, 48% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the President's performance. Fifty-one percent (51%) disapprove. The President’s total approval has been very stable, staying between 47% and 49% every day for two full weeks. Looking back a bit further, his ratings have stayed between 45% and 52% every day for nearly four months.
Thirty-eight percent (38%) of voters say deficit reduction is the top priority for Washington to obtain while 23% say health care is most important. Among Democrats, health care is most important. Among Republicans and unaffiliated voters, health care is fourth on the priority list.
[Snip]
It is important to remember that the Rasmussen Reports job approval ratings are based upon a sample of likely voters. Some other firms base their approval ratings on samples of all adults. President Obama's numbers are always several points higher in a poll of adults rather than likely voters. That's because some of the President's most enthusiastic supporters, such as young adults, are less likely to turn out to vote.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
The overall approval is still at 48%. The GOP needs to press harder; linking him closely with Congress’ Pelosi and Frank.
They must attack him every day on multiple fronts regardless of the news focus. It is only a matter of time before this number is under 40% - the sooner, the better for the US.
He’ll get a temp. bump this week for declaring Swine Flu a “national emergency.” Just wait.
Bound to get worse. Not that it’ll much satisfy those of us in the bread lines...
Come to think of it, this Depression, we may need to get into the govt card line first. Then, IF you have a card, the bread line.
Why would he get a bump for that? Does anyone really believe that the swine flu is a real emergency? He declares that it is a national emergency and then the news comes out that they want to give away vaccine to other countries - some national emergency.
wait a couple of years his ratings will be below carter’s, double digit unemployment and double digit inflation will do that.
I only know of ONE family that has gotten it and it was far milder than the regular flu. (According to the actual family that had swine flu.) NOT the media.
I for one will NEVER get ANY government vaccination for ANYTHING! Period.
End of discussion....
Oh and Oblabermouths numbers aren't low enough. He should already be a lame duck pres__ent.
And he is just getting started
In the last 10 days, there’s been only one day where he didn’t have double-digit negatives. I’m thinking the trend is still going lower, albeit slowly.
I know about 5 people who got it. 2 adults in the 40-60 range and 3 kids.
Each of them was back up-and-running after one or two days down-time. Each said it wasn’t fun [included bad headache] but it wasn’t as bad as usual flu.
I know of nobody yet who has struggled with it.
Anecdotal yes - but what do you believe? Wild variations from gov’t and press or your own experiences?
As the man himself said, “You ain’t seen nothin’ yet!”
I still long for the September days of -12...but they’ll be back. :)
IMO, those numbers mean there are truly about 30% whom are mostly white independents. That is the area where opposition for der leader policies has to be targeted.
Dick Morris had an interesting take last week. His comment was 2/3s of the elders are convinced that Obamacare is a disaster for them but those under 30 still favor it by almost 5 to 4. He believes they are ignorant of how much this program is going to cost them. Since I believe much of der leader's support stems from the health care issue, if those under 30 can be persuaded to reverse that number, der leader's plan for medicare and his programs in general will be stopped because his overall favorability ratings could tank to -15 or more.
Talk to all your young friends and point to the folly of following his road to ruin.
Vince
“Overall, 48% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the President’s performance. Fifty-one percent (51%) disapprove.”
***
I have had a question about this. “Somewhat approve” is wishy-washy, but “disaprove” is clearcut, so does this favor our side? Are the 51% flat out disapprovers while the 48% group includes partial approvers/disapprovers?
I don’t know anyone who’s had it, even though my area supposedly has been one of the hardest hit (according to the map). Seems like the only difference between this and regular flu is the age group it targets. (?)
First, the government says the “epidemic” started in Mexico but they won’t close the borders because the flu is already here - then they stop counting the number of people who have it because it’s already reached epidemic stage, although some sources say the worst is over and it wasn’t as bad as the government thought - then they declare a national emergency. And the only precaution they advise is to wash your hands. Just wait til they get the whole health care system!
I don’t know anyone who’s had it, even though my area supposedly has been one of the hardest hit (according to the map). Seems like the only difference between this and regular flu is the age group it targets. (?)
First, the government says the “epidemic” started in Mexico but they won’t close the borders because the flu is already here - then they stop counting the number of people who have it because it’s already reached epidemic stage, although some sources say the worst is over and it wasn’t as bad as the government thought - then they declare a national emergency. And the only precaution they advise is to wash your hands. Just wait til they get the whole health care system!
The last time he was at 50% approval was 10/10. From the article: The President’s total approval has been very stable, staying between 47% and 49% every day for two full weeks. Looking back a bit further, his ratings have stayed between 45% and 52% every day for nearly four months.
I like his ratings stabilized at that point.
Consider this: it took a full-on assault on GW Bush for years before his approval ratings got to that point. Even with the b*tt licking media propping Ø up, he can't seem to maintain a plurality of popularity.
Love the trend...
The big story is that the Administration has failed to get the vaccine out to the field in the needed quantities. Only 11 million doses have gone out far below their rosy predicitions. The Obama announcement is meant to divert attention from the real story, i.e., their mismanagement.
Just wait til they declare Martial Law.
I got a bad feeling about this administration.
They are up to something more sinister than just taking over our health care system....
I don't know what it is or what they are up to. I just got a bad feeling is all....
It’s going around my house right now. For us, it is like a really bad flu, but not life-threatening.
The shortage is due to 2 labs being unable to grow the thing in the lab.
How virulent can it be?
Nor am I worried about getting the flu or what will happen if and when I DO get the flu.
I am a BIG proponent of letting your body do the work. I take vitamins and try to stay healthy.
If I get sick and die, well, it was supposed to happen that way.
I hope your family is felling better soon....
i don’t know anyone with it and i live in a very crowded NYC.
I agree with you on both points.
Rasmussen is said to be the most accurate pollster. But sometimes I wonder who they are polling to get these high approval numbers.
Given the unemployment numbers and other disasters I would expect that the real approval numbers are significantly lower.
I would never get a government vaccination either. I think it makes more sense to work on bolstering you own immune system.
“Just wait til they declare Martial Law.”
That was my first thought when I heard about the “emergency.” I feel like I’m wearing a big tin foil hat all the time, but this administration hasn’t yet given us a reason to trust them.
Sorry to hear that - I hope you all feel better soon!
I hate to feel this way too but this administration has given me NO reason to feel all warm and fuzzy inside. It is outright hostile to MY point of view right up to the edge of violence against me for speaking my mind.
And they wonder why their precious approval numbers are tanking...
The official nomenclature used by Ras' is "Total Approve (48%)" and "Total Disapprove (51%)". This is in contrast to "Strongly Approve (30%)" versus "Strongly Disapprove (40%)". Thus, the answer to your question is that the terms used are indeed symmetric.
The trend is clear - down baby down! Down with obama’s agenda, down with socialism, down with fascism! obama is headed for the basement, probably going to make record lows to go with his already record setting slide from popularity.
How to google bomb Obama to "absolute catastrophe"?
trending down from a double digit base....
Does any one know the numbers Glenn Beck used when talking about what Congress said Social Security, Welfare, Medicare and Medicaid would cost and what it really cost. What it really cost was way beyond what Congress said and so will Obamacare. We need those numbers and pass them to everyone all over USA. I looked on Beck sit but could not find them do any of you have them?/p>
“”” I have had a question about this. “Somewhat approve” is wishy-washy, but “disaprove” is clearcut, so does this favor our side? Are the 51% flat out disapprovers while the 48% group includes partial approvers/disapprovers?No “””””””
No, that includes the wishy washy on our side also.
It will take a lot more serious bad news to get him to move much lower.
He is down to the strong koolaid drinkers in the strongly approve category (30%).
His weakly approve category is 27%
His weakly disapprove category is 11%
And his strongly disapprove category is 40%.
For this ratio to go much lower, he must lose more of his ‘strongly approves’ to ‘weakly approve’ ratings.
He has already pretty much driven all of his weakly disapproves into strongly disapproves.
I would look for the overall approval rating to start to slide more in the next 3 months than this rating. As the weakly approves start to cross over into the weakly disapprove group.
I know. I never thought I’d have to mistrust my government like this.
My anedotal evidence is consistent with yours...when does it became an established fact!!!!
The rest of the plot looks OK to me and it is nice to see a comparison of the smoothed and un-smoothed data. Also good to see the trend turning our way again.
I saw last night on the news 1000 people have died so far with Swine flu.
36,000 die every year from the seasonal flu, and yet they want to make a big deal about Swine Flu.
If you ponder the huge numbers of Americans whose bread is now buttered by government instead of the private sector-those favored by tax policy, government workers, welfare recipients, the education establishment, trial lawyers, unions, social security recipients, and social entities funded partially by government-then you can get an idea why we are dreaming to feel Obama's poll numbers are going any lower.
Not once those same people read this:
Despite Shortage, US to Donate Swine Flu Vaccine Abroad Through WHO
yeah, but 48% is heading in the right direction. I think there is that last “remnant” that (as with any president) wants him to NOT fail because they view it as America fails if he fails. Wrong, I know, but this is how a lot of people think. When they abandon him, that 48% will plummet into the high 20s. It will never get below that, however, because of his looney followers.
its called weekend polling results . gops are out and about and dems are sitting home waiting on the next check.
Yes there is a number that he will never fall below given his core constituency.
But his numbers have held relatively flat for the last 4 months and if you look at the news over that time period I would have expected a steady decline.
I would think that his core support number is around 35%.
Just the way the spreadsheet is set up. When you have both positive and negative numbers within the 10 day window, that’s what you are going to get. Unfortunately, google docs doesn’t allow the conditional formatting with charts like you can do with Excel.
That is why it makes more sense to look at a 10 day rolling average or a smoothed curve. There is a certain amount of fluctuation in the data.
I look at the longer term trends or averages. The trend for the last 4 months has been quite flat.
Sadly, millions of ignoramuses are acting like it. Hospital ER's are swamped, people coming in with the barest sniffle or cough. Long lines, even into the night.
Someone came into the local hospital's ER a couple days ago, after midnight, saying she had "just gotten sick, an hour ago."(There was nothing wrong with her.)
Calling a national emergency plays to the masses' taste for disaster, just like those media driven "severe winter storm warnings" we will soon be getting up North here every time a snow flurry blows through.
If you think of the presidency as a stairwell and of his approval as how many flights up he is, I think we can say that he entered the presidency at a high floor six or so out of ten and now he has went down and has gotten off the steps and is now really sitting stationary on a lower landing (holding steady at 46-50 approval). It will take another big jolt in his presidency (think amnesty) for it to continue downward and stop at an even lower landing, and etc.
That’s how I look at it.
“Rasmussen is said to be the most accurate pollster. But sometimes I wonder who they are polling to get these high approval numbers.”
Having watched what happened on these boards during the 2006 and 2008 elections the advice I give to you is shed all shades of denial. Rasmussen has proven himself accurate time and time again while his critics are left asking what happened.
I should say up front that this post probably ventures into the tinfoil headgear territory. My guess is that the h1n1 “national emergency” has been orchestrated for several reasons. Number one, after months of planning and coordination the fed gov will swoop in and “save the day”, thus illustrating how swift and efficient gov run healthcare would be. Second, I think the WH is looking to divert attention from a string of major gaffes, not the least of which being the assault on Fox. Finally, and perhaps most out in the weeds is my belief that this administration is blowing h1n1 out of proportion in an effort to get massive headlines within WHO/UN for Barry, who will so unselfishly donate some of his country’s supplies to the less fortunate. My initial thought on this is that BO has aspirations to run the UN after he is voted out of the WH. He’s got the Nobel Prize. He will portray himself as a champion of the downtrodden. He sees eye to eye with the UN’s policy of wealth redistribution.Its a perfect fit for him. My fear is that he will do everything in his power to subjugate the US to the UN between now and that time.
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