Skip to comments.Christie leads ["Chris Christie leads Jon Corzine 47-41 in PPP's final poll"]
Posted on 11/01/2009 8:19:45 PM PST by Jet Jaguar
Chris Christie leads Jon Corzine 47-41 in PPP's final poll of the New Jersey Governor's race, with Chris Daggett at 11%.
Corzine had pulled to within a point of Christie on our poll three weeks ago after trailing by as many as 14 points over the summer, but his momentum has stalled since then and Christie's built his lead back up to 4 points last week and now 6.
Christie's advantage is due largely to his support from independents and because he has Republicans more unified around him than the Democrats are around Corzine. Christie leads Corzine 52-29 with indies, as Daggett's support with that group has declined to 16%. Christie is getting 82% of Republicans to Corzine's 72% of Democrats.
As the campaign concludes it seems like Daggett's presence in the race has actually ended up hurting Corzine more than Christie, contrary to the earlier conventional wisdom. 45% of Daggett voters say the incumbent is their second choice to 36% for the challenger. Daggett's backers report having voted for Barack Obama by a 67-23 margin last year.
As is the case around the country this year enthusiasm is on the Republicans' side in New Jersey. 47% of Christie's supporters say they're 'very excited' about voting this fall to just 34% of Corzine's. The electorate is also likely to be more Republican leaning this year with likely voters reporting that they voted for Obama by a 54-43 margin in 2008, a spread narrower than the actual 57-42 result in the state.
In a finding symbolic of how unenthralled New Jersey voters were with their choices this year Christie is polling at 47% despite the fact that only 40% of voters think he made a strong case for why he should be elected Governor. Fully 27% of Christie's supporters don't feel he made the case for himself but Corzine's approval rating with that group of voters is only 3%, and those folks seem to have picked Christie as the lesser of two evils.
Corzine could still win with an exceptional Democratic turnout on Tuesday but there aren't a lot of factors in the race pointing to that as a strong possibility.
Full results here
What is WA state voting on Tuesday?
I expect the zombies to be out in force in NJ. I will not relax until it’s over, and that might take years.
Giraldo just said Christie is only up by 1/2 a point?
For people who want to go to bed: McDonnell 56 Deeds 42, Bolling 54 Wagner 41, Cuccinelli 55 Shannon 39. Full results up in a little bit
2 minutes ago from web
Well folks either Democrats don’t like to answer polls over Halloween or Tuesday is going to be b-r-u-t-a-l
7 minutes ago from web
Deeds gains in our final poll! When was the last time you heard that? Ok he’s down by 14 instead of 15 but still
11 minutes ago from web
McDonnell’s up by a zillion, can I just skip weighting it and go to bed? I’ll weight it
40 minutes ago from web
Did Jerry Rivers say which poll?
I’m not too sure money wouldn’t make a difference. Corzine has already laid out $100 MILLION of his own for the offices he’s held. He didn’t get those $$ being a fool, but if he thinks another $10-20 MILLION would reelect him as governor, he’d write a check without a second thought.
Christie was a prosecutor, don’t think he can write personal checks in that league.
JJ, I don’t care what the polls say. People need to GET THERE. Polls ain’t worth a thing if the people don’t show up. We can’t afford to be complacent no matter how good things look.
It isn’t like the dems are above skewing polls in our favor to make us lethargic or anything./s
Absolutely. I agree. No more ACORN, SEIU, or New Black Panther shenanigans.
He probably did- but I can’t stand Giraldo- so wasn’t really paying much attention other than he stated it was only a 1/2 point advantage- but the guests brought up good poinjt- those who say they are goign for 3’rd party are thsoe who were votign republican, and may, in the end, end up voting for Hoffman isntead of throwing their vote away on 3’rd party- so hoofman may gain those as well
I’ma takin’ several of the kid’s Fisher Price toys. They are indestructible and they hurt like heck when whaled at ya.
The STATE has two issues on which to vote.
(BTW, you have Freepmail).
There are many county issues going on as well. Who knew the Port Commissioner was so important?
Then there’s school and fire stuff..... yada yada. If they’d just do what they’re supposed to do with our money, things would run pretty smooth.
Can’t have THAT!
Thanks for the laugh!!!!
And God Bless ya! I’m still laughing.
(memories can be alot of fun)
It’s da truth. Holy Cow. I got bruises on my bruises. She thinks she’s a Pittsburgh Steeler quarterback throwin’ for downs.
lol chuch a truck at em for me, will ya?
The protect marriage initiative looks like it will fail in WA. Non-stop sob stories running 24/7 on local TV.
It aint over yet! It aint over till they steal votes and run to a liberal judge who will “grant” them their wish.
God love ya! I so need to laugh tonite!
I really hate “early voting,” too, especially during presidential election years. If people are too “inconvenienced” to actually vote on Election Day,
they should avoid voting altogether.
Early voting has the potential for fraud.
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