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Daily Presidential Tracking Poll (-13)
Rasmussen Reports ^ | November 2, 2009

Posted on 11/02/2009 6:32:52 AM PST by Maceman

Monday, November 02, 2009

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows that 27% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Forty percent (40%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -13 (see trends).

Following release of the House health care plan by Speaker Nancy Pelosi, 42% of voters now support the Congressional effort while 54% are opposed.

In October, 37.8% of American adults considered themselves to be Democrats while 31.9% are Republicans. The number of Democrats has been inching up steadily since July.

The Presidential Approval Index is calculated by subtracting the number who Strongly Disapprove from the number who Strongly Approve. It is updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update). Updates are also available on Twitter and Facebook.

Overall, 46% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the President's performance. Fifty-two percent (52%) disapprove. It’s sometimes easy to get caught up in the day-to-day fluctuations of the tracking poll and miss the longer-term trend. Rasmussen Reports also compiles the data on a month-by-month basis which shows that the President’s ratings slipped a bit in October after stabilizing in September.

Check out our review of last week’s key polls to see “What They Told Us.” Election Day is Tuesday and Republicans are likely to win back the Governor’s mansion in Virginia. The race in New Jersey is too close to call.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: failmarxist
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1 posted on 11/02/2009 6:32:53 AM PST by Maceman
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To: Maceman

Lucky 13. It is a beautiful Monday. I think it will be a gorgeous Tuesday.


2 posted on 11/02/2009 6:34:05 AM PST by rep-always
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To: Maceman

Obama’s CONTINUOUS campaigning and lack of presidential work ethic are hurting him (among other things).


3 posted on 11/02/2009 6:34:49 AM PST by SumProVita (Cogito, ergo...Sum Pro Vita. (Modified Decartes))
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To: rep-always

Effete man overboard!


4 posted on 11/02/2009 6:35:39 AM PST by ConservativeStatement (Obama lies, Freedom dies)
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To: Maceman

umm, umm, umm
Barack Hussein 0bama.


5 posted on 11/02/2009 6:35:39 AM PST by Oldeconomybuyer (The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money.)
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To: rep-always

I think this is his lowest approval yet.


6 posted on 11/02/2009 6:36:10 AM PST by surrey
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To: Maceman
There appears to be a new shape to the trend line of the “Strongly Approve.” I like the trend he is showing no bounce ... flat and falling with acceleration.
7 posted on 11/02/2009 6:36:19 AM PST by Quick Shot
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To: Maceman

If Republicans start nominating conservatives, 2010 won’t be close...we’ll take 50 seats. The public is getting tired of TOTUS and its policies. Yet, the current Republican party is not capitalizing (note the dems inched up in party support).

Come on Republicans...let’s get it together!


8 posted on 11/02/2009 6:36:22 AM PST by Tulane
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To: Maceman

I can’t wait until the 0 is at -20.


9 posted on 11/02/2009 6:36:26 AM PST by mplsconservative
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To: ConservativeStatement

I hear, that like many supermodels, our Princess President has an eating disorder.


10 posted on 11/02/2009 6:36:49 AM PST by Mamzelle (Who is Kenneth Gladney? (Don't forget to bring your cameras))
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To: surrey

He was at -14 on 8/23.


11 posted on 11/02/2009 6:38:02 AM PST by mplsconservative
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To: surrey

Close—he’s been -14.


12 posted on 11/02/2009 6:38:07 AM PST by Buck W. (The President of the United States IS named Schickelgruber...)
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To: Maceman

It keeps inching and inching the correct direction...

13 posted on 11/02/2009 6:38:40 AM PST by markomalley (Extra Ecclesiam nulla salus)
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To: Maceman

a new record for Presidential Approval freefall

erasing the previous record held by Baaaarrrraaack Oooooobbaaaamaaaaa.

how’s that Hope and Change workin’ out fer ya?

Hussein?


14 posted on 11/02/2009 6:38:44 AM PST by kralcmot (my tagline died with Terri)
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To: Buck W.

are you talking public opinion polls or his I.Q.?


15 posted on 11/02/2009 6:39:38 AM PST by Hegewisch Dupa
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To: surrey

Actually he has hit 27% approve several times. Here is the history chart.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/obama_approval_index_history


16 posted on 11/02/2009 6:40:26 AM PST by stockpirate ("if my thought-dreams could be seen. They'd probably put my head in a guillotine" Dylan)
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To: Maceman
Daily Presidential Tracking Poll (-13)

It's still way too high. Wake up, America!

17 posted on 11/02/2009 6:40:48 AM PST by concerned about politics ("Get thee behind me, Liberal")
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To: stockpirate

Third straight day his F/UF has been at 46/52.


18 posted on 11/02/2009 6:41:39 AM PST by techno
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To: techno

I think after Tuesday we will be singing a better song!


19 posted on 11/02/2009 6:42:48 AM PST by stockpirate ("if my thought-dreams could be seen. They'd probably put my head in a guillotine" Dylan)
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To: Maceman

Looking for 60% “Strongly Disapprove”.

or 70.


20 posted on 11/02/2009 6:43:14 AM PST by DontTreadOnMe2009 (So stop treading on me already!)
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To: Tulane

“If Republicans start nominating conservatives, 2010 won’t be close...we’ll take 50 seats. The public is getting tired of TOTUS and its policies. “

I heard this yesterday on Chris Wallace, and tend to agree. The people who elected Obama don’t participate in politics regularly. So, you’re right, if conservatives are nominated, 2010 could be a very good year. But not because people are tired of Obama, because the ones who support him most, just don’t pay attention.

In 2012 those vermin will resurface and vote Obama.


21 posted on 11/02/2009 6:44:05 AM PST by brownsfan (The average American: Uninformed, and unconcerned.)
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To: Maceman

Wow!!!


22 posted on 11/02/2009 6:44:08 AM PST by CPT Clay (Pick up your weapon and follow me.)
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To: Maceman

The Raz poll is an outlier. No other single national poll comes close to his results.


23 posted on 11/02/2009 6:45:54 AM PST by montag813 (During times of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act. -George Orwell)
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To: Buck W.
Now he has the proverbial, fish or cut bait on Afghanistan. The election is over. No more excuses boy President...your decision please Sir. I'd say he does a half loaf and we pull out in a year, ala Siagon 1975. Sad but elections have consequences people, and you Liberals, yes you have the blood of any soldiers on your hands here on out. Limbaugh was totally right, Obama will sink the Democrat party and another African American won't sniff the Whitehouse for a generation.
24 posted on 11/02/2009 6:47:48 AM PST by pburgh01
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To: DontTreadOnMe2009
Looking for 60% “Strongly Disapprove”.

Coming soon. October unemployment numbers come out on Friday.....

25 posted on 11/02/2009 6:48:19 AM PST by Thermalseeker (Stop the insanity - Flush Congress!)
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To: SumProVita

>> lack of presidential work ethic

All things considered, that’s probably a blessing for US.


26 posted on 11/02/2009 6:48:50 AM PST by Nervous Tick (Stop dissing drunken sailors! At least they spend their OWN money.)
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To: SumProVita
Obama’s CONTINUOUS campaigning and lack of presidential work ethic are hurting him (among other things).

You should have seen him stumping for Corzine in NJ yesterday. He was just pathetic. He was angry, he was still blaming Bush. A very poor showing. He looked like a desperate beaten man trying to save a desperate beaten governor.

27 posted on 11/02/2009 6:49:29 AM PST by jersey117
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To: Maceman
tomorrow it will go back up to -11 and his MSMwhores will run headlines:

OBAMA APPROVAL SOARS 15%!!!!!!!

28 posted on 11/02/2009 6:50:15 AM PST by wny
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To: montag813

“The Raz poll is an outlier. No other single national poll comes close to his results.”

If they used the same standard “likely voters”, a lot of them would the exactly the same as Rasmussen. The rule of thumb is to subtract 2-3 points from Democrats for “registered voters” and about 5 points for “adults” or “Americans.” Those 53% approval numbers become 48%.


29 posted on 11/02/2009 6:50:17 AM PST by qwertypie
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To: brownsfan
The people who elected Obama don’t participate in politics regularly.

The college kids who got sucked in by the Oboma girl are the ones who are really going to get screwed by this guy. They're getting stuck with the bills, and they haven't even started working yet. Image how sheepish they must be feeling right now.

All the Oboma bumper stickers are GONE! No one will admit they voted for him. It would be nice if they came out to correct their error.

30 posted on 11/02/2009 6:50:18 AM PST by concerned about politics ("Get thee behind me, Liberal")
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To: surrey
I think this is his lowest approval yet.

He got 26% a few days back, but yes this is pretty low. The overall trend is down.

I don't expect to see his "strong approvals" to get much further down, since we're approaching his percentage of core supporters. It is nice to see his overall approval being -6, which is close to the lowest (-7 on 8/31).

One phenomenon that will be seen increasingly is that strong disapprovers will be more likely to voice criticism in public with reduced probability of strong approvers screaming at them for disrespecting The One. This will further erode Obama's image among those with no strong opinion.

31 posted on 11/02/2009 6:50:31 AM PST by PapaBear3625 (Public healthcare looks like it will work as well as public housing did.)
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To: surrey
It is. Maybe it is a precursor for tomorrow. Prayer to the Lord for a trifecta sweep.
32 posted on 11/02/2009 6:51:08 AM PST by rep-always
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To: Nervous Tick

Has he ever had a work ethic??? His background doesn’t show any.


33 posted on 11/02/2009 6:51:15 AM PST by Achilles Heel
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To: montag813

Raz is not an outliner, the other polls are weighted qith too many democrats.


34 posted on 11/02/2009 6:51:52 AM PST by stockpirate ("if my thought-dreams could be seen. They'd probably put my head in a guillotine" Dylan)
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To: pburgh01
Limbaugh was totally right, Obama will sink the Democrat party and another African American won't sniff the Whitehouse for a generation.

I'm looking for the media to begin to abandon Obamalamadingdong shortly. There have already been a few stray off the reservation recently. If Hoffman wins in NY23, Christie wins in NJ, and McDonnell wins in VA it's going to cause an earthquake in the media. If that happens watch for the rats to leave the sinking ship.....or, as my old business partner says "when it gets down to you or me, you gotta go!".....

35 posted on 11/02/2009 6:53:53 AM PST by Thermalseeker (Stop the insanity - Flush Congress!)
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To: rep-always

Ahhhh, sweeeet mercy. Let tomorrow be even better of a day.


36 posted on 11/02/2009 6:54:33 AM PST by riri (http://rationaljingo.blogspot.com/)
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To: Maceman

Back to 27% strongly approve. He got down to 26% last week...maybe he can go even lower.

It’s all wee-wee’d up.


37 posted on 11/02/2009 6:55:25 AM PST by B Knotts (Calvin Coolidge Republican)
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To: montag813

Raz polls likely voters instead of registered voters. His record for accuracy is at or near the top.


38 posted on 11/02/2009 6:55:31 AM PST by Texas Mulerider
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To: Thermalseeker
Coming soon. October unemployment numbers come out on Friday.....

Fifty-four percent now oppose Oboma Death Care, too.

39 posted on 11/02/2009 6:55:40 AM PST by concerned about politics ("Get thee behind me, Liberal")
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To: riri

I pray it will.


40 posted on 11/02/2009 6:57:25 AM PST by rep-always
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To: concerned about politics

“All the Oboma bumper stickers are GONE! No one will admit they voted for him. It would be nice if they came out to correct their error.”

I use stories my son tells me as a barometer. My son is 26 and conservative. He has a friend who has done very well in his own business. My son’s friend is a business owner, and a gun enthusiast, yet somehow he decided he loves Obama. This friend of my son is now struggling in his business, but he believes the Obama line that it’s all Bush’s fault. My son’s friend, with his house up for sale, is still an Obama supporter.

My son says, in general, most of his Obama supporting friends are still in Obama’s camp.


41 posted on 11/02/2009 6:58:37 AM PST by brownsfan (The average American: Uninformed, and unconcerned.)
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To: Maceman

WOW!!! Thanx 4 the post! The beginning of the end???? One can only hope...can’t WAIT to vote tomorrow...


42 posted on 11/02/2009 6:59:56 AM PST by matginzac
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To: Maceman
Happy Days are here again. Or at lest there is a good chance that they will be on Wednesday morning. I didn't think he would fall apart this quickly after the joint session speech. That bump is now officially steamrolled since he is back to where he was before the speech.

He certainly can't be of much help in NJ, VA and NY-23. In fact Obama may have hurt the dems in NJ. It is still a long shot but if he keeps up the negatives and the dems drop the three big races on Tuesday the Blue Dogs are going to go into self preservation mode. Obamacare and Cap-n-Tax will be "Postponed Indefinitely".
43 posted on 11/02/2009 7:00:44 AM PST by GonzoGOP (There are millions of paranoid people in the world, and they are all out to get me.)
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To: montag813

Many polling outfits just poll “adults.”

Some poll “registered voters.”

Some poll “likely voters.”


44 posted on 11/02/2009 7:01:13 AM PST by Boiling Pots (Barack Obama: The Final Turd George W. Bush laid on America)
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To: Maceman

Rasmussen is indeed an outlier, but it is important to note that presidential approval polls have no “market test,” unlike election polls. There is no way to determine whether they are right or wrong, in contrast to election polls that ultimately give way to elections.

As such, the pollsters have no incentive to be objective or disinterested.

Rasmussen stands above, because i) his polling methodology is uber consistent across time, ii) he samples repeatedly, so any aberrations are short-lived, and iii) whatever biases he has are washed out by trends. The last part is especially important. Let’s suppose he oversamples a particular constituency. Fine. But he does that every day. As such, the time trends are relatively free of any bias; and the trends are not in his favor.

Approval polling, I believe, also differs from election polling in several other important regards. Suppose (counterfactually) that I am a 2008 Obama voter. I may disapprove down the line on issue after issue with what he is tring to do, but I may consider it important to stay loyal for as long as I can. Even as a conservative, I regret that we show on this board such glee at his failures, because it just isn’t good for our country to have an empty suit in the White House. The US quickly becomes a laughingstock and door mat. I’m not saying that I favor any of his proposals, but I am saying that the Putins and Ahmadinjads and Bin Ladens of the world prey upon his weakness — to the detriment of everyone around the world.

I guess my bottom line point is that I think Rasmussen is likely portraying a very accurate picture; and while I won’t allow myself to get my hopes up in NJ because Dems always seem to pull these elections out ... dang, the numbers just look really, really bad from my vantage point for Corzine.

Obama would not put himself at risk in NJ if he did not think his team was a significant favorite; nor would he need to campaign there heavily if the race was a lock. My guess is that last week Obama’s advisors must have thought that there was a 70% or better chance of a Corzine victory, and that Obama could significantly increase that number.

To my way of thinking, his advisors were clearly wrong. I give Corzine maybe, maybe a 50% chance. If I were a betting man, I’d wager on Christie.


45 posted on 11/02/2009 7:04:51 AM PST by drellberg
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To: montag813

Ras was at 50 % until recently , same place as several others. The others will be here in a week or 2. Theyre still in spin mode, hoping this wont last.


46 posted on 11/02/2009 7:05:49 AM PST by Nonstatist
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To: Maceman
Following release of the House health care plan by Speaker Nancy Pelosi, 42% of voters now support the Congressional effort while 54% are opposed.

WHile this is good, they DO NOT CARE. They know that this is likely their one and only chance to fundamentally remake America as a Socialist nation. They will slam this through and won't care about the consequences and the nation as we know it will be over. That is their goal.

47 posted on 11/02/2009 7:10:38 AM PST by Wyatt's Torch (I can explain it to you. I can't understand it for you.)
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To: montag813

The trend is definitely not odumbos friend lol lol


48 posted on 11/02/2009 7:11:06 AM PST by italianquaker (“Every inch of this Administration is rife with corruption and cronyism.” --- Michelle Malkin)
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To: rep-always

The more they try and cram up the behind this odious Deathcare Government hijack of peoples Healthcare, the more they tank.


49 posted on 11/02/2009 7:14:59 AM PST by dforest (Who is the real Jim Thompson? I am.)
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To: Achilles Heel

>> Has he ever had a work ethic??? His background doesn’t show any.

heh heh... just for fun, google “obama work ethic”. You’re not the ONLY one who has had that question.

As far as I can tell, the answer is, “NO”.


50 posted on 11/02/2009 7:17:08 AM PST by Nervous Tick (Stop dissing drunken sailors! At least they spend their OWN money.)
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