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Daily Presidential Tracking Poll (Tuesday, November 03, 2009)
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 11/3/2009 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 11/03/2009 6:29:50 AM PST by PDMiller

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows that 28% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Forty-one percent (41%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -13 (see trends).

The number who blame Obama’s policies for the nation’s economic woes has grown to 45%, the highest level yet. However, 49% still blame George W. Bush.

It’s Election Day. Our latest polls show a very close race in New Jersey and a solid lead for Republican Bob McDonnell in Virginia. Also, we look at what New York-23 race says about the GOP and its voters. Nearly half the conservatives nationwide do not consider themselves Republicans.

Confidence in the War on Terror has fallen to the lowest level in three years. Just 34% now believe the U.S. and its allies are winning, down from 62% earlier in the year.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: rasmussen; tracking
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1 posted on 11/03/2009 6:29:51 AM PST by PDMiller
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To: PDMiller

2 posted on 11/03/2009 6:33:17 AM PST by jessduntno (TOTUS fails and POtuS becomes a phuttering stuck.)
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To: PDMiller

The news today is the total approval index: this is the 5th day in a row at -6, a new record, smashing the old total approval index streak of 4 days at -6, hit just yesterday. Also, 7 straight days the total approval index was -5 or worse for -13Bama.


3 posted on 11/03/2009 6:34:29 AM PST by C210N (A patriot for a Conservative Renaissance!)
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To: PDMiller

Holding at -13 for the day. Wonder if Republican blow outs in NY, VA and slim victory in NJ will alter that assessment? Look for the obummunists to issue some BS today regarding their commitment to socialism.


4 posted on 11/03/2009 6:34:34 AM PST by equalitybeforethelaw
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To: PDMiller

-13. Getting back to his all time low of -14. Take that Hyde Park neighbors. It’s a beautiful day in the neighborhood.


5 posted on 11/03/2009 6:34:44 AM PST by bgill (The framers of the US Constitution established an entire federal government in 18 pages.)
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To: PDMiller
Obama's approval ratings are at -13 for the second day in a row, making his average approval for the last three weeks -11. He's now stable at negative double digits.

He's going down, and will take the whole Dem party with him. The question is, will he also take the US with him?

6 posted on 11/03/2009 6:36:29 AM PST by PapaBear3625 (Public healthcare looks like it will work as well as public housing did.)
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To: equalitybeforethelaw

I hope 13 is the democrats unlucky number today :)


7 posted on 11/03/2009 6:41:33 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied, the economy died)
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To: jessduntno

That little green squiggle is so so close to that 45% line. I’m giddy just thinking of the day when it dives below.


8 posted on 11/03/2009 6:41:57 AM PST by wilco200 (11/4/08 - The Day America Jumped the Shark)
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To: PapaBear3625
He's now stable at negative double digits.

That's the key, right there.

I've been saying that the "real" numbers - discounting statistical noise - are somewhere between -7 and -10.

I may need to revise that downwards. Not that the thought bothers me too much. :-)

9 posted on 11/03/2009 6:44:26 AM PST by wbill
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To: wbill

It’s been a steady fall for months now, altered somewhat by mini and pseudo crises that Obama concocts and the Late Night Appearances, or looking presidential.

The guy is such an empty suit that it is inevitable that his numbers will continue to slide unless there is some real national crisis. (Swine Flu is not one of them.)


10 posted on 11/03/2009 6:48:44 AM PST by nikos1121 (Praying for -16 today.)
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To: PDMiller

Minus 15 tomorrow.


11 posted on 11/03/2009 6:50:12 AM PST by nikos1121 (Praying for -16.)
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To: wbill
Yeah. Seems to me that he's bouncing around at let's call it -10.

When does the bottom fall out like a wet cardboard box?

12 posted on 11/03/2009 6:51:25 AM PST by OKSooner ("He's quite mad, you know." - Sean Connery to Honor Blackman in "Goldfinger".)
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To: wbill
The significance of this long-duration negative range is that people who strongly disapprove will voice criticism of him, and there aren't that many strong approvers to go into a screaming upset over The One being disrespected. Obama also does not have any accomplishments to boast over, so there are limits to how he can be defended.

Over time, this will erode Obama's numbers further.

13 posted on 11/03/2009 6:54:02 AM PST by PapaBear3625 (Public healthcare looks like it will work as well as public housing did.)
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To: OKSooner

One thing that surely is missing from the news is this quote, the young extremely popular blah blah blah


14 posted on 11/03/2009 6:58:16 AM PST by italianquaker (“Every inch of this Administration is rife with corruption and cronyism.” --- Michelle Malkin)
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To: bgill
Take that Hyde Park neighbors.

LOL.. I wonder how long until the 0 stickers start coming off the Prius cars and Volvo station wagons....

15 posted on 11/03/2009 7:03:19 AM PST by Arrowhead1952 (Jimmy Carter - now the second worst POTUS ever. BHO [the LIAR] has #1 spot in his sights.)
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To: OKSooner
Well, I posted this yesterday....

"Figure 12-14 % of the country is African American. Another 10-15% of people are moonbats, or white guilt libs, or always vote Dem, regardless of who's on the ballot, or can't admit that they were wrong in 2008.

27% has got to be close to a bottom (for a "strongly approve" rating").

So, to your question, I honestly don't think that he has much further to fall. That's OK with me, though, I like it when presidents I can't stand, peak on their first day in office. :-)

16 posted on 11/03/2009 7:06:57 AM PST by wbill
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To: nikos1121
"Minus 15 tomorrow."

A defeat in Virginia, NY23 and especially in NJ would evoke significant negative comment in the LeftStream Press, and knock down his support from those who get their news, directly or indirectly, from the New York Terrarium (aka the Bos-Wash Bubble).

17 posted on 11/03/2009 7:07:31 AM PST by cookcounty (Obama: ---Despiser of the Honduran Constitution and contemptuous of ours.)
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To: wbill

I am sort of with you. African AMericans will never ever disapprove of him, not at all. THere are libs who are in his column, the brain dead ones, who may turn on him if he sends any troops into Afghanistan, even 20 troops, so he may fall another five percent but I think we are near bottom for his strongly approve.


18 posted on 11/03/2009 7:11:24 AM PST by cajungirl (no)
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To: PDMiller

Mmmm mmmm mmmm


19 posted on 11/03/2009 7:14:31 AM PST by BulletBobCo
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To: PapaBear3625
here aren't that many strong approvers to go into a screaming upset over The One being disrespected.

Where I work, there was an Obama Lovefest for his coronation. Lots of A-American, gay, liberal types in the office.

A few weeks back, one girl at work was complaining loudly that her husband had just taken a massive pay cut. Guy in the office whined sarcastically..."I WANT my STIMULUS Package.". Without thinking, I chimed in with "How's that Hope and Change working for you?"

The response? Not a peep. In January, there would have been howls of derision. I might have even needed to go down to HR to discuss my "Poor Attitude", or something. Instead, nada.

The times, they are a changin'. Might have even changed already.

20 posted on 11/03/2009 7:14:35 AM PST by wbill
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To: equalitybeforethelaw

I think the lemming effect will start to set in as I think it also did with Bush. People just parroting what they hear others saying. Just as with Bush, it will become fashionable to hate Zero.


21 posted on 11/03/2009 7:15:19 AM PST by riri (http://rationaljingo.blogspot.com/)
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To: cookcounty

Agreed. And it will have a rippling effect regarding the passage of any legislation.

I look for Corzine to win. And you know something? New Jerseyans deserve it.


22 posted on 11/03/2009 7:16:44 AM PST by nikos1121 (Praying for -16.)
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To: wbill

The tide is starting to turn. When people can poke fun at Obama without getting in trouble, then Obama is staring at a long slide. The Obama/Joker posters were just the start.


23 posted on 11/03/2009 7:18:32 AM PST by PapaBear3625 (Public healthcare looks like it will work as well as public housing did.)
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To: cajungirl
Re: libs who are in his column who may turn on him

Yup. When that happens, you'll know that he's REALLY hit the bottom.

Hopefully will happen about January of '12.

But, even if it doesn't happen, I'll be happy with BO as an ineffectual lame duck, only one year into his term. And a 60-40 landslide in '12, with some serious coattails for Conservatives.

24 posted on 11/03/2009 7:20:37 AM PST by wbill
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To: riri
I think the lemming effect will start to set in as I think it also did with Bush. People just parroting what they hear others saying. Just as with Bush, it will become fashionable to hate Zero.

One big difference: African Americans will continue to take any criticism of Obama very personally. Look for race relations to go down-hill.

25 posted on 11/03/2009 7:21:56 AM PST by PapaBear3625 (Public healthcare looks like it will work as well as public housing did.)
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To: lilycicero

I’m liking this trend: 46% approve, 52% disapprove.


26 posted on 11/03/2009 7:24:13 AM PST by Girlene
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To: wbill

>> I’ve been saying that the “real” numbers - discounting statistical noise - are somewhere between -7 and -10. I may need to revise that downwards <<

I basically agree. It looks to me as if there was a significant downward shift ca. October 15, breaking out from the statistical band you mention to a new “real” level of about -11.


27 posted on 11/03/2009 7:26:08 AM PST by Hawthorn
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To: equalitybeforethelaw

That’s one of the most frustrating things about leftists and their policies.

They are obviously implementing socialist programs,

yet refuse to acknowledge that they are advocating socialism.


28 posted on 11/03/2009 7:28:09 AM PST by MrB (The difference between a humanist and a Satanist is that the latter knows who he's working for.)
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To: PDMiller

There are 2 things that stood out to me here.
1.) 46% of the population “at least somewhat” approve, yet 41%”strongly disapprove”. That should be evidenced by the elections today.
2.)”At least half of conservatives do not identify themselves as Republicans” This should be illustrated in NY 23, if it hasn’t already.

As an addendum, when 10,000 people show up for a Tea Party event as they did in Houston last night while the World Series and Monday Night Football are on at the same time, something is definitely up...


29 posted on 11/03/2009 7:28:11 AM PST by brickdds
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To: PapaBear3625
"African Americans will continue to take any criticism of Obama very personally. Look for race relations to go down-hill.

This is the real tragedy of our first black president being a radical and extremist.

As much as I sometimes disagree with her, a Condi Rice as president would have introduced a completely different dynamic. I'm sad for my country, I'm sad for blacks in America. Obama is setting all of us back, but he is especially setting back African-Americans..

30 posted on 11/03/2009 7:28:17 AM PST by cookcounty (Obama: ---Despiser of the Honduran Constitution and contemptuous of ours.)
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To: jessduntno
Can't go low enough to suit me!

I would love to see the "approval" rating after these next two things occur.

First, NY, NJ, and VA go conservative in today's elections. Second, after the 2010 elections throw both the House and Senate back into conservative majorities.

It will be fun to watch the pouting and whining and the dim rats deserting the communist ship sinking rapidly hard by the bow.

31 posted on 11/03/2009 7:28:32 AM PST by Logic n' Reason (If you always do what you always did, you'll always get what you always got.)
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To: cajungirl
I am sort of with you. African Americans will never ever disapprove of him

That is a sad but accurate statement. It is proof of the Democrats and race hustlers success in dividing the country. With most whites (there are still a few bigots left) political position is the detereming factor on whom to support. Among most blacks, it is color first and political position second. The race hustlers have won this round. Their currency they use is hate, envy, fear, and above all division by race and class and wealth.

32 posted on 11/03/2009 7:29:04 AM PST by cpdiii (roughneck, oilfield trash and proud of it, geologist, pilot, pharmacist, iconoclast.)
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To: PapaBear3625

Zero is RESPONSIBLE for the slide in race relations.

AA’s felt “empowered” by his election and let their generational racism out in the open.


33 posted on 11/03/2009 7:30:07 AM PST by MrB (The difference between a humanist and a Satanist is that the latter knows who he's working for.)
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To: PapaBear3625
Look for race relations to go down-hill

I think that we're there already.

Back when he was elected, I said that "BO's election will set race relations back 20 years. There are still plenty of people (mostly Dem) who will make everything about this president a matter of race. And, BO is a small enough man to let it happen."

Sometimes, I wish that I wasn't right.

America is plenty ready enough for a black president. Just not this particular one.

34 posted on 11/03/2009 7:31:31 AM PST by wbill
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To: cajungirl
>> African Americans will never ever disapprove of him, not at all <<

Agreed. But let's not overlook the probability a certain number of them are almost sure to move from the "strongly" approve to the "sorta" approve category. And that shift is bound to affect the enthusiasm/turnout factor.

It seems to me that the bon temps may be getting ready once more to rouler!

35 posted on 11/03/2009 7:33:58 AM PST by Hawthorn
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To: PDMiller

Garde la Foi, mes amis! Nous nous sommes les sauveurs de la République! Maintenant et Toujours!
(Keep the Faith, my friends! We are the saviors of the Republic! Now and Forever!)

LonePalm, le Républicain du verre cassé (The Broken Glass Republican)

36 posted on 11/03/2009 7:36:48 AM PST by LonePalm (Commander and Chef)
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To: wbill
Back when he was elected, I said that "BO's election will set race relations back 20 years.

Back then, I was thinking he would set it back 140 years.

37 posted on 11/03/2009 7:40:49 AM PST by PapaBear3625 (Public healthcare looks like it will work as well as public housing did.)
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To: Hawthorn
“But let's not overlook the probability a certain number of them are almost sure to move from the “strongly” approve to the “sorta” approve category. And that shift is bound to affect the enthusiasm/turnout factor.”

You have it right. Obama won in part because of an unprecedented spike in minority voters and conservative voter apathy as a result of McCain being the nominee. 2012 could be a whole lot different.

38 posted on 11/03/2009 7:45:21 AM PST by Tulane
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To: PDMiller

Nice that 45% now recognize that Ø owns the economy. Better than 37%, as it was previously.

39 posted on 11/03/2009 7:54:34 AM PST by markomalley (Extra Ecclesiam nulla salus)
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To: PapaBear3625
140 years? Wow, you're even MORE cynical than I am. :-)

I don't think that we're where we were in the 1950's and 60's (YET!). However, I'd not want to bet against things getting worse, especially if and when BO loses in '12.

My guess? If BO loses in '12 (assuming that even GETS the nomination, which IMHO is not a sure thing) ....then a few of the lousier neighborhoods in ATL, LA, NO, etc get burned flat. There will be a bunch of discord, lots of posturing in the news by "community leaders", lots of low income housing will wind up with new TVs, and things will be back to the status quo in a couple of months.

Now if the rioting spreads to the suburbs...all bets are off. We might get that 140 year setback that you're thinking about.

And, if BO doesn't even GET the nomination, I'd look for him to resign quietly to clear the way for the "new nominee" (Hillary?) in the "interest of party harmony", or somesuch nonsense. There will be the typical posturing by the racebaiters, but BO getting ousted likely won't make much of a ripple in this situation.

Just my $0.02. Not that it matters much.

40 posted on 11/03/2009 7:55:18 AM PST by wbill
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To: Tulane

One of the most underestimated variables in elections is the INTENSITY or PASSION of one’s supporters because quite honestly those with the most enthusiasm for one’s candidate are the ones who go to the polls; the ones with the less passion are the ones who will tend to stay home especially if the weather is awful.


41 posted on 11/03/2009 7:57:09 AM PST by techno
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To: Girlene

With #’s like this, I can do the hustle and the limbo at the same time.


42 posted on 11/03/2009 8:14:09 AM PST by lilycicero (I may even where a chicquita banana/fruit hat too....next song...Flo Rida..down down)
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To: wbill
I think there would be tremendous pressure against any Dem campaigning against O in the primaries. It would take a brave Dem to enter the race.

I think by 2012, most of the US will be fed up. It will be a year of "interesting times".

43 posted on 11/03/2009 8:18:46 AM PST by PapaBear3625 (Public healthcare looks like it will work as well as public housing did.)
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To: PapaBear3625
I think by 2012, most of the US will be fed up. It will be a year of "interesting times".

Especially since the world's ending in December of that year :>)
44 posted on 11/03/2009 8:39:30 AM PST by Bobkk47
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To: Arrowhead1952

Arrowhead1952 says: “LOL.. I wonder how long until the 0 stickers start coming off the Prius cars and Volvo station wagons....”

*****

Here in Pittsburgh, I still see a few of them but nowhere near as many as a year ago!


45 posted on 11/03/2009 8:59:04 AM PST by DestroyLiberalism
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To: lilycicero

LOL, How low can he go?


46 posted on 11/03/2009 8:59:30 AM PST by Girlene (I predict 40 by at least mid winter)
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To: PapaBear3625

PapaBear 3625 says: “The tide is starting to turn. When people can poke fun at Obama without getting in trouble, then Obama is staring at a long slide. The Obama/Joker posters were just the start.”

*****

Saturday Night Live is already starting to make poking fun at Obama a regular thing.


47 posted on 11/03/2009 9:01:35 AM PST by DestroyLiberalism
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To: DestroyLiberalism
Here in Pittsburgh, I still see a few of them but nowhere near as many as a year ago!

I see a LOT of anti 0 stickers here now. Even in the liberal capital of Texas, there is dissent against his agenda.

48 posted on 11/03/2009 9:06:54 AM PST by Arrowhead1952 (Jimmy Carter - now the second worst POTUS ever. BHO [the LIAR] has #1 spot in his sights.)
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To: cajungirl

cajungirl says: “I am sort of with you. African AMericans will never ever disapprove of him, not at all.”

*****

I was thinking about that and, sadly, you may be right. But then a friend of mine suggested that some blacks may actually turn on Obama and his failed policies by coming to the conclusion that he’s “not black enough” (after all, he *is* half white). I hope my friend is wrong because it’ll be a sad day in America if a significant number of the black population adopts that view.


49 posted on 11/03/2009 9:07:52 AM PST by DestroyLiberalism
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To: Arrowhead1952

Arrowhead1952: “I see a LOT of anti 0 stickers here now. Even in the liberal capital of Texas, there is dissent against his agenda.”

*****

Interesting! I haven’t really seen any anti-Obama bumper stickers here yet. Granted, Pittsburgh has been a blue dog Democrat city for generations, so folks may be reluctant to post negative bumper stickers about a Democrat. Then again, folks may simply be in a “holding” pattern until the bottom drops completely out from under this president.


50 posted on 11/03/2009 9:13:11 AM PST by DestroyLiberalism
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