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In New Jersey, Turnout Higher In GOP and Swing Districts Than In Democrats
NRO ^ | 11/03/09 | Jim Geraghty

Posted on 11/03/2009 11:08:19 AM PST by freespirited

In New Jersey, Turnout Higher In GOP and Swing Districts Than In Democrats

I want to preface this by noting that all of this is based only on the early voting, and is based on about a half-dozen polling places in every county in New Jersey; some known as historically Republican districts, some known as historically swing districts, and some known as historically Democratic districts.

A trusted source tells me that as of noon, total turnout in the GOP the swing districts in NJ is significantly outpacing turnout in Democrat districts. The turnout ratio is not quite two to one, but it's not that far from it.

Now, this should NOT be interpreted as ipso facto evidence that Chris Christie is going to win. Democratic districts may have more voters show up later in the day. This isn't an exit poll, and we have no idea how the folks in any of these districts are voting; we just know that they're showing up and voting.

But, as of this morning, turnout was higher Republican areas of the state than in Democratic ones, and that has to make Chris Christie and his supporters feel like they're doing their jobs well...

11/03 02:03 PM


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: New Jersey
KEYWORDS: christie; elections; nj2009; njgovernor; turnout
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Will keep checking for more info -- as soon as I get back from voting for McBolinelli!
1 posted on 11/03/2009 11:08:20 AM PST by freespirited
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To: freespirited

Have the busses from Philadelphia started arriving yet?


2 posted on 11/03/2009 11:09:57 AM PST by kempster
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To: freespirited

Weren’t the Obama voters offered any “Obama money” to get to the polls for Corzine?


3 posted on 11/03/2009 11:10:23 AM PST by petercooper (GOP: Big Tent Party??? Not if you are a CONSERVATIVE.)
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To: freespirited

>> Democratic districts may have more voters show up later in the day.

Those malt liquor hangovers are wicked. No relief until two or three PM sometimes.


4 posted on 11/03/2009 11:12:20 AM PST by Nervous Tick (Stop dissing drunken sailors! At least they spend their OWN money.)
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To: freespirited
The Democrats are holding back the big city voters until they know how many votes they need.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find only things evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelogus

5 posted on 11/03/2009 11:12:24 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: freespirited

>> Democratic districts may have more voters show up later in the day.

Those malt liquor hangovers are wicked. No relief until two or three PM sometimes.


6 posted on 11/03/2009 11:12:28 AM PST by Nervous Tick (Stop dissing drunken sailors! At least they spend their OWN money.)
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To: Nervous Tick

Intrade has Corzine at 45 down from 50 an hour ago.


7 posted on 11/03/2009 11:13:09 AM PST by GoCards ("We eat therefore we hunt...")
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To: kempster
Have the busses from Philadelphia started arriving yet?

Oddly enough, SEPTA is on strike.

8 posted on 11/03/2009 11:13:43 AM PST by new cruelty (Shoot your TV. Torch your newspaper.)
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To: Nervous Tick

“Those malt liquor hangovers are wicked. No relief until two or three PM sometimes.”

Yep. Besides, operating hours for welfare recipients start after 1 p.m. anyway.


9 posted on 11/03/2009 11:15:42 AM PST by ScottinVA (The liberation of the Old Dominion is nigh...)
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To: GoCards

>> Intrade has Corzine at 45 down from 50 an hour ago.

That’s good to hear. On the other hand, we’re dealing with New Jersey here. To paraphrase Stalin, “I don’t care who votes, as long as I get to COUNT the votes...”


10 posted on 11/03/2009 11:15:57 AM PST by Nervous Tick (Stop dissing drunken sailors! At least they spend their OWN money.)
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To: freespirited
Democratic districts may have more voters show up later in the day.

I hear that ghosts most often vote after dark..boo!
11 posted on 11/03/2009 11:18:39 AM PST by mmichaels1970
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To: freespirited

Shouldn’t sent Biden. JoBi could have closed the deal.


12 posted on 11/03/2009 11:21:42 AM PST by VanDeKoik (Iran doesnt have a 2nd admendment. Ya see how that turned out?)
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To: mmichaels1970
This sounds familiar to last year with McQueeg. I am getting a little queasy about only polling +2-5 on election day. Optimistic but cautiously so.
13 posted on 11/03/2009 11:22:17 AM PST by pburgh01
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To: freespirited

“In New Jersey, Turnout Higher In GOP and Swing Districts Than In Democrats”

Especially since those in GOP/swing areas are likely to be going to vote before going to work. “Going to work” isn’t necessarily an issue for those in dems’ districts.


14 posted on 11/03/2009 11:23:03 AM PST by ScottinVA (The liberation of the Old Dominion is nigh...)
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To: freespirited

I hate to say it, but wait until the Demo voters wake up around 3 PM.


15 posted on 11/03/2009 11:23:21 AM PST by Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus (There are only two REAL conservatives in America - myself, and my chosen Presidential candidate)
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To: pburgh01
This sounds familiar to last year with McQueeg. I am getting a little queasy about only polling +2-5 on election day. Optimistic but cautiously so.

I'm not necessarily worried. McQueeg was actually behind in the polling going into election day. We here in FReeperland just engaged in a mass self-delusion that caused us to assume that all the polls were uniformly wrong and that we were really ahead.

Won't make that mistake again.

16 posted on 11/03/2009 11:25:19 AM PST by Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus (There are only two REAL conservatives in America - myself, and my chosen Presidential candidate)
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To: freespirited
Democratic districts may have more voters show up later in the day.

We call these ACORN voters...

17 posted on 11/03/2009 11:25:55 AM PST by BookmanTheJanitor
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To: freespirited

don’t forget there is a “holdback” county.


18 posted on 11/03/2009 11:26:27 AM PST by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: Alberta's Child; algernonpj; alice_in_bubbaland; Ballygrl; Calpernia; certrtwngnut; Clemenza; ...
NJ ping

(PS: I have only my old, non-updated ping list at this office, so I apologize if I left anyone off. I'll put the link to this thread on the NJ board.)

19 posted on 11/03/2009 11:28:04 AM PST by NewJerseyJoe (Rat mantra: "Facts are meaningless! You can use facts to prove anything that's even remotely true!")
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To: Nervous Tick

Beggining of month - welfare checks just arrived so
‘Rat voters too drunk/stoned/hungover to do much


20 posted on 11/03/2009 11:29:55 AM PST by njslim
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