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The Feds Have No Faith In Economic Recovery
The Market Oracle ^ | 11-5-2009 | Michae Pento

Posted on 11/05/2009 11:42:26 PM PST by blam

The Feds Have No Faith In Economic Recovery

Economics / Economic Stimulus
Nov 05, 2009 - 05:18 AM
By: Michael_Pento

The stock market has enjoyed a significant rally since the end of the first quarter. The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported last week that the economy grew at a 3.5% annual rate in the third quarter--a figure they achieved by that claiming inflation was running at only a 0.8% annual rate, despite a sharp drop in the dollar, a spike in commodity prices and record highs for gold.

The cyclical bull market in stocks and positive print on GDP has caused some on Wall Street and in Washington to claim the recession has ended. Despite all the good economic news, an end to fiscal and monetary stimulus is nowhere in sight, precisely because policymakers know the happy news is artificially derived.

A closer look indicates that neither the administration nor the Federal Reserve believes its own recovery rhetoric. They understand that the economy will not prosper without continued life support.

I believe removing such artificial stimulus is needed so the country can immediately begin de-leveraging and to prevent the accumulation of yet more baneful debt. What is truly amazing is how many people on Wall Street are foolish enough to postulate that our problems have been solved. The stock market will not be so easily fooled for much longer.

The Great Depression Part II was narrowly averted last year by slashing interest rates to near zero. The Fed made money virtually free because the record level of indebtedness ($34 trillion) in the economy required such low rates so that borrowers could service their obligations. Otherwise a cataclysmic domino effect of defaults and bankruptcies would have occurred.
To avoid that scenario, the public sector assumed some of the private sector's debt and then subsequently took on a significant amount more. The debt of the nation continues to increase at a 4.9% annual rate.
All public debt is ultimately the responsibility of the private sector to pay off--either directly or through future taxes. As a result, the economy has never been more precarious than it is today.

[snip]


TOPICS: Business/Economy; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: economy; gold; recovery; stocks

1 posted on 11/05/2009 11:42:28 PM PST by blam
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To: blam

We have an administration that doesn’t support economic recovery.


2 posted on 11/05/2009 11:46:02 PM PST by oyez ( damnant quod non intelligunt)
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To: blam
"That means money supply growth is emanating from government's misallocation and redirection of capital. It isn't being loaned out to build mines and factories; it is instead being loaned out to increase consumption and build even more consumer debt."
3 posted on 11/05/2009 11:48:43 PM PST by blam
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To: blam

“They understand that the economy will not prosper without continued life support.”

- Life support of course meaning new taxes on businesses and individuals alike.

Maybe another Stimulus will fix this mess. Er, yeah, that’ll work!


4 posted on 11/06/2009 12:00:51 AM PST by Soothesayer9
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To: blam; FromLori; M. Espinola; stephenjohnbanker; GOPJ; EggsAckley; TigerLikesRooster; ...
The 'American Dream' is no longer alive. It was killed with the death of the middle class. Our great middle class began dying over thirty years ago. Today we no longer have domestic industry. The Corporations shipped our industrial capacity overseas.

The Looting of America: Billionaire Bailout Society

Most of the large international corporation have moved their Hdq overseas as well. E.g. Haliburton moved to Dubai. GE is moving green operations to China. Looks like smart people with money want to be outside the boundaries of the U.S. To avoid social upheaval, rioting and martial law.

There is a crisis coming . . .

5 posted on 11/06/2009 4:49:30 AM PST by ex-Texan (Ecclesiastes 5:10 - 20)
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To: blam
I believe removing such artificial stimulus is needed so the country can immediately begin de-leveraging and to prevent the accumulation of yet more baneful debt. What is truly amazing is how many people on Wall Street are foolish enough to postulate that our problems have been solved. The stock market will not be so easily fooled for much longer.

The silly run up and down of the silly daily trades of the market has more to do with stealing and gambling than it does with investing. A higher tax on short term gains and ending the special treatment of commodes gains will stop it.

6 posted on 11/06/2009 4:54:47 AM PST by org.whodat (Vote: Chuck De Vore in 2012.)
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To: blam
If the Treasury and Federal Reserve truly believed the economy and the stock market were on a sustainable recovery path, talk of extending and increasing the home buyer's tax credit would be off the table.

The misallocation of resources into housing is an attempt to restart the prior bubble economy made up of 2-3 story foyers and granite countertops. I was talking with an otherwise reasonable guy about his house in GA that he must sell (he is now in VA). He said it is a high end house and must sell at a high end price. Until unrealistic expectations such as those are reset the economy will continue to suffer. Around me in VA there are empty high end houses but closer to the city (DC) they are still building more.

7 posted on 11/06/2009 5:01:01 AM PST by palmer (Cooperating with Obama = helping him extend the depression and implement socialism.)
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To: org.whodat
special treatment of commodes gains

I'm still kicking myself for not buying a bunch of the 5 gallon flushers before they were outlawed.

8 posted on 11/06/2009 5:02:44 AM PST by palmer (Cooperating with Obama = helping him extend the depression and implement socialism.)
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To: ex-Texan
Corporations shipped our industrial capacity overseas.

Cap and tax will be the final straw. If I didn't realize that the politicians were so clueless, I would have to suspect that they want to completely destroy domestic industry.

9 posted on 11/06/2009 5:04:29 AM PST by palmer (Cooperating with Obama = helping him extend the depression and implement socialism.)
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To: palmer

LOL, neeed another cup of coffee.


10 posted on 11/06/2009 5:08:33 AM PST by org.whodat (Vote: Chuck De Vore in 2012.)
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To: palmer
They are not clueless. They know and understand everything they are doing to ruin our country. The politicos want a top down society with them at the top and everybody else on the bottom.

They have been bought and bribed into a corrupt conspiracy to ruin America. That traitor George Soros is primarily responsible. His crazy schemes (including eugenics via Obamacare) are working. He has Zero and most of the Dems and moderate Repubs in his pocket. Please check my freeper page. Hit 'edit' and 'search' for Soros.

11 posted on 11/06/2009 5:34:04 AM PST by ex-Texan (Ecclesiastes 5:10 - 20)
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To: blam
The Fed made money virtually free because the record level of indebtedness ($34 trillion) in the economy required such low rates so that borrowers could service their obligations.

So that explains why Citibank is charging 30% APR on their credit cards - so borrowers can service their obligations.

Now it all makes sense.

12 posted on 11/06/2009 5:36:51 AM PST by DuncanWaring (The Lord uses the good ones; the bad ones use the Lord.)
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To: ex-Texan
Bailouts For Bonuses
13 posted on 11/06/2009 7:38:40 AM PST by blam
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To: ex-Texan; PAR35; AndyJackson; Thane_Banquo; nicksaunt; MadLibDisease; happygrl; Roy Tucker; GOPJ; ..
The left only knows how to leech on the productive economy. They have no idea on how to grow one. Or to put it accurately, they don't want to, because it will force them to compromise their ideological outlook.
14 posted on 11/06/2009 8:10:14 AM PST by TigerLikesRooster (LUV DIC -- L,U,V-shaped recession, Depression, Inflation, Collapse)
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To: ex-Texan; All

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article14818.html


15 posted on 11/06/2009 8:30:58 AM PST by FromLori (FromLori)
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