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Obama overall job approval average dips below 50% for the first time on Real Clear Politics website.
RealClearPolitics.com ^

Posted on 11/25/2009 11:10:52 AM PST by DestroyLiberalism

RealClearPolitics.com, which averages all recent national public opinion polls, now shows President Obama's job approval average has dropped to 49.9%, marking the first time this number has dipped below the critical 50% line. Obama's job disapproval average has also climbed to an all-time high of 44.6%, thus narrowing the approval/disapproval gap to a new low of +5.3%.

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: approval; average; hidethedecline; job; obama; overall; rcp
This is particularly bad news for The One given that this RCP polling average factors in biased media outlet surveys like CBS and CNN, which routinely inflate O's job approval numbers by disproportionately oversampling Democrat respondents.
1 posted on 11/25/2009 11:10:54 AM PST by DestroyLiberalism
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To: DestroyLiberalism

Absolutely. This is trending the right direction, no question.


2 posted on 11/25/2009 11:14:33 AM PST by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: LS

Does this poll, poll more dems?


3 posted on 11/25/2009 11:16:42 AM PST by Dubya-M-DeesWent2SyriaStupid!
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To: DestroyLiberalism

After 2010 it will get worse. Most Presidents are deemed lame ducks at the end of their fourth year in office. This President will be considered a lame duck after his first year in office. Congress needs to be changed so all this guy can do is give speeches and sit in the Oval office..........and of course, throw more parties.


4 posted on 11/25/2009 11:17:02 AM PST by RC2
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To: DestroyLiberalism

Good. I pray every day that this fool will be exposed for the Euro-socialist that he is, and we wont suffer his ilk ever again.


5 posted on 11/25/2009 11:19:05 AM PST by DeusExMachina05 (I will not go into Dhimmitude quietly.)
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To: DestroyLiberalism

Not even one year into his failed presidency.


6 posted on 11/25/2009 11:20:05 AM PST by Nervous Tick (Stop dissing drunken sailors! At least they spend their OWN money.)
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To: NoObamaFightForConservatives

You’re not understanding RCP’s AVERAGE, which takes all polls and averages them together. That means that if ANY poll greatly oversamples Dems, it certainly will change the average, but will still be subject to other offsetting polls.


7 posted on 11/25/2009 11:24:35 AM PST by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: NoObamaFightForConservatives

NoObamaFightForConservatives wrote: “Does this poll, poll more dems?”

*****

Real Clear Politics is not a poll, but rather an *average* of all recent national telephone poll results. The latest sample includes job approval polling data from Rasmussen, Gallup, USA Today, Fox News, CBS News, Democracy Corps (a hardcore liberal Democrat outfit), and CNN.

You can view the RCP job approval average by clicking below:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_obama_job_approval-1044.html


8 posted on 11/25/2009 11:24:44 AM PST by DestroyLiberalism
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To: NoObamaFightForConservatives

Probably, since many organizations out there do it that way. The “RealClearPolitics” poll, however, is an average of a number of polls from various sources including Zogby, Rasmussen, Fox, etc., etc.


9 posted on 11/25/2009 11:25:56 AM PST by BuckyKat
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To: DestroyLiberalism
RCP polling average factors in biased media outlet surveys

True, but I still like it because it is much less volatile than individual polls and when it moves it shows a real trend. This is not good news for Barry.

10 posted on 11/25/2009 11:26:29 AM PST by colorado tanker (What's it all about, Barrrrry? Is it just for the power, you live?)
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To: DestroyLiberalism

Confirms Rasmussen -15. Real Clear just likes to be a follower rather than a leader. Next up is Gallop. It might get so bad that even CNN, NBC, ABC, CBS, and MSNBC will report the falling numbers. I am trying really hard to guess what would make them do this, but as some point they have to do something to prevent themselves from becoming a total laughing stock. You would think?


11 posted on 11/25/2009 11:26:36 AM PST by equalitybeforethelaw
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To: Nervous Tick

No sitting President has ever won re-election if he was under 47 percent approval on Gallup Poll.


12 posted on 11/25/2009 11:27:28 AM PST by Signalman
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To: DestroyLiberalism

Something else to give thanks for tomorrow.


13 posted on 11/25/2009 11:28:28 AM PST by bw17
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To: bw17

Keep in mind, he still has a 90% approval rating among African Americans which is still artificially boosting his approval rating.


14 posted on 11/25/2009 11:34:02 AM PST by VA_Gentleman (Everybody says they have a plan, until they get punched in the face. - Mike Tyson)
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To: Bobkk47

“No sitting President has ever won re-election if he was under 47 percent approval on Gallup Poll.”

And if you look at the polls on RCP, Gallup falls near the middle. (Rasmussen gives the worst numbers for Obama)

And Gallup currently shows Obama at 50% approval, indicating re-election at this time.


15 posted on 11/25/2009 11:40:11 AM PST by truth_seeker
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To: DestroyLiberalism
While I like this site, Their averages are out dated. The current results are averaged in with older results. If you want to call it less volatile, I guess that is true. I would say it's just not up to date.
16 posted on 11/25/2009 11:40:14 AM PST by faucetman (Just the facts ma'am, just the facts)
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To: equalitybeforethelaw

equalitybeforethelaw wrote: “Confirms Rasmussen -15. Real Clear just likes to be a follower rather than a leader. Next up is Gallop. It might get so bad that even CNN, NBC, ABC, CBS, and MSNBC will report the falling numbers. I am trying really hard to guess what would make them do this, but as some point they have to do something to prevent themselves from becoming a total laughing stock. You would think?”

*****

Gallup’s polling numbers remained unchanged today so they’re already figured into the latest RCP numbers.

I think CNN, ABC, CBS, AP, Ipsos/McClatchy, etc. will still try to do everything they can to manipulate their surveys to keep Hussein’s job approval numbers at least 50% for the foreseeable future, but I predict they’ll soon start reporting approval numbers more in the 50-52% range rather than the usual 53-56%. At some point, however, when Rasmussen, Zogby, and even Gallup start showing The One’s approval numbers in the low 40s, then at some point you’d think the state-run alphabet media outlets will have no choice but to report approval numbers below 50% in their polls to maintain some shred of credibility and show they’re not completely disconnected from the rest of the universe.

Then again, I wouldn’t be surprised if the state-run media stops reporting their polling data altogether once they run out of creative ways to keep their beloved messiah above 50%!


17 posted on 11/25/2009 11:42:12 AM PST by DestroyLiberalism
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To: faucetman

faucetman wrote: “While I like this site, Their averages are out dated. The current results are averaged in with older results. If you want to call it less volatile, I guess that is true. I would say it’s just not up to date.”

*****

You might like pollster.com better. They also compile the job approval average of various public polls, but use a formula that places greater emphasis on the most recent polling data.

As of this posting, pollster.com shows O’s average job approval number at 48.4% and his average disapproval number at 46.5%, for a difference of only a razor thin +1.9%!

http://www.pollster.com/polls/us/jobapproval-obama.php


18 posted on 11/25/2009 11:49:54 AM PST by DestroyLiberalism
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To: DestroyLiberalism

You know when the RCP average has you polling below 50% you’re in real trouble. Keep in mind it’s mostly “adults” rather than “Registered” or “Likely” voters polled. You can knock an additional 5% off if strictly likely voters were polled.

That’s where Obama finds himself now and at this early stage in his Presidency it’s an ominous sign indeed.


19 posted on 11/25/2009 11:53:01 AM PST by traderrob6
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To: NoObamaFightForConservatives

It averages all the polls. It is basically a poll of polls.


20 posted on 11/25/2009 11:55:38 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied, the economy died)
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To: VA_Gentleman
Actually it is 98% approval among blacks and 39% among whites...

Nearly a 50 point gap, it's like OJ all over again. Tell me who the racists are in America.

21 posted on 11/25/2009 11:57:41 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied, the economy died)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Aye. We are in the throes of post traumatic press syndrome.
We have been over THEM for a long time. Now they need to get over themselves and show the real racism that exists in this country. obama counted on it to get himself elected in the first place.


22 posted on 11/25/2009 12:10:42 PM PST by MestaMachine (The First Thanksgiving was to THANK GOD, not the government. Thats my story and Im sticking to it)
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To: VA_Gentleman

I asked a black friend of mine why he still has such a high approval rating among blacks, and his answer was that blacks don’t want to see the first black President fail.

My reply: too late.


23 posted on 11/25/2009 2:13:19 PM PST by bw17
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