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The Healthcare Polling Data That Has Democrats So Freaked Out
The Business Insider ^ | 12/10/09 | Megan McArdle

Posted on 12/10/2009 9:57:13 AM PST by FromLori

Polled support for the health care plan wending its way through Congress continues to crash downward in the polls. And before you say it, it's not just Rasmussen, which has actually been pretty much in the middle of the other polls. Here's where we stand as of today.

For reform advocates, this is not good news. At 40% approval, it probably passes. At 30% approval--what Social Security reform enjoyed by the time it imploded--it's not going to no matter how the Senate massages their plan. Democrats cannot pass a bill this large on a straight party line vote if the only people in the country who want it are Democrats. Where is the line crossed between "probably will" and "probably won't"? In September, a seasoned political reporter told me that the numbers could not go "much lower" before Democrats were forced to abandon the bill. Well, it's lower--and the disapproval is spiking.

The silver lining in this for reform advocates over the last few days has been Nate Silver's argument that a significant portion of the opposition to the plan was coming from the left:

Ipsos also asked a parallel question of people who supported the plan: did any of them support the plan because they oppose health care reform and thought that the plan was sufficiently watered-down so as to "keep health care reform from happening"? A small number of people picked this response: about 10 percent of those in favor of the plan, or 3 percent of the entire sample.

Combining these numbers together, we get the following:

(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: broke; debt; health; healthcare; poll; polls; socialized

1 posted on 12/10/2009 9:57:16 AM PST by FromLori
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To: FromLori

Excellent post.


2 posted on 12/10/2009 9:59:15 AM PST by gibtx2 (End Tenure)
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To: FromLori

I just hope he’s right, because if this thing passes, watered down or not, I may be out of a job. Oh I will survive, I just don’t look forward to starting a new career at 40.


3 posted on 12/10/2009 10:01:53 AM PST by lovecraft (Specialization is for insects.)
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To: FromLori

Change November 2010 and 2012.


4 posted on 12/10/2009 10:04:10 AM PST by Vaduz
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To: FromLori

The Healthcare Polling Data That Has Democrats So Freaked Out

Man, I hope they’re freaked out.

And that they stay that way.


5 posted on 12/10/2009 10:09:00 AM PST by DontTreadOnMe2009 (So stop treading on me already!)
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To: FromLori

The democrats are finally freaked out?

Good!

I’ve been freaked out for a year now.


6 posted on 12/10/2009 10:12:18 AM PST by Scotswife
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To: FromLori

They aren’t nearly as close to being as freaked out as they will if it DOES pass!!


7 posted on 12/10/2009 10:12:27 AM PST by DustyMoment (FloriDUH - proud inventors of pregnant/hanging chads and judicide!!)
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To: FromLori

My gut feeling is that unless something cataclysmic happens on the PR front, the Dems are going to do it, in spite of poll numbers.

McConnell and the worthless Republican leadership in the Senate “could” turn this so called debate into a PR nightmare for the Dems. But I use the term worthless (and raise you a stupid) for a reason.

And the equally worthless GOP is more concerned with fighting conservatism in its own party than challenging the destruction of the Republic by fascists.


8 posted on 12/10/2009 10:12:54 AM PST by ChildOfThe60s (If you can remember the 60s........you weren't really there)
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To: Scotswife

They haven’t been acting very freaked out. They’ve been acting like the Chicago crew told them “don’t worry about re-election, we’ll take care of that.”


9 posted on 12/10/2009 10:14:32 AM PST by listenhillary (I believe AGW is real now. It was caused by scientists and greenies LYING!)
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To: listenhillary

you’re right about that - and they can back it up with sugar daddy Sorosbucks.


10 posted on 12/10/2009 10:16:51 AM PST by Scotswife
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To: lovecraft
I just don’t look forward to starting a new career at 40.

Think about how it would be in your mid 50s. Welcome to Walmart? Paper, plastic or canvas?

11 posted on 12/10/2009 10:17:25 AM PST by rhombus
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To: FromLori

The Democrats don’t look so “freaked out” to me. They are on the verge of passing this unpopular bill.


12 posted on 12/10/2009 10:22:07 AM PST by montag813
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To: rhombus

40s, 50s, it would all suck horrendously. I told my boss the other day that if this thing passes, I sure as hell hope he has some good ideas stuck up his sleeve.


13 posted on 12/10/2009 10:22:49 AM PST by lovecraft (Specialization is for insects.)
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To: listenhillary

You’ve got that right!

Here’s prove:
Extension of TARP to Coincide with mid-term Elections
http://www.zerohedge.com/article/extension-tarp-now-official-tarp-maturity-suspiciously-coincide-mid-term-elections


14 posted on 12/10/2009 10:23:03 AM PST by TruthConquers (Delendae sunt publicae scholae)
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To: TruthConquers

They are planning to buy the Congress with our money. It’s the Chicago way.


15 posted on 12/10/2009 10:37:30 AM PST by Earthdweller (Harvard won the election again...so what's the problem.......?)
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To: lovecraft
Best of luck to you and to all of us. I suppose it could be worse... We could be 21, just starting out and have to pay for unlimited health care, the consquences of cap and trade as well as grotesquely huge student loans. The irony is that the demographic who supported Obama the most (young folk) are being screwed the most by him. I blame public school socialist educations. They don't even realize they are being screwed and follow Obama like he's the Pied Piper of Hamelin.
16 posted on 12/10/2009 10:53:51 AM PST by rhombus
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