Skip to comments.Texas to Gain Four US House Seats Under Reapportionment, Analysis Shows
Posted on 12/23/2009 10:16:54 AM PST by BP2
With the Census Bureau's release today of its annual population estimates for the 50 states, the final projections of next year's decennial census reveal further details of the likely winners and losers. Here are some highlights based on the analysis by Polidata, a demographic and political research firm.
Of the 11 House seats that would switch among the states as a result of the projections, Texas would gain four. The remaining seats would be distributed one each to seven states -- four in the West (Arizona, Nevada, Utah and Washington) and three in the South (Florida, Georgia and South Carolina).
Of the states losing seats, only Ohio would suffer multiple losses, with two. The remaining states that are projected to have downsized House delegations include four in the Northeast (Massachusetts, New Jersey, New York and Pennsylvania), four in the Midwest (Illinois, Iowa, Michigan and Minnesota), plus Louisiana.
Using the complex formula for apportioning the House, Missouri would be on the cusp with the 435th seat and Minnesota is listed for the mythical 436th seat -- by a margin of roughly 10,000 persons each. Those states, consequently, will be among those states with the most at stake to assure a full count of their residents.
Compared to similar projections a year ago of "winner" states, Washington has replaced Oregon in gaining a House seat, while Arizona would gain one seat instead of two, and North Carolina would gain none. California and Missouri no longer would lose a House seat.
|In Texas, for example, Hispanic and Democratic groups expect that the four-seat statewide gain will include three new Hispanic-majority districts: in the Dallas-Fort Worth area, in Houston and in south Texas. Those changes, in turn, could entrench several metropolitan-area House Republican districts, which have had huge increases in Hispanic population in the past decade.
Of the 11 House seats that would switch among the states as a result of the projections, Texas would gain four. The remaining seats would be distributed one each to seven states — four in the West (Arizona, Nevada, Utah and Washington) and three in the South (Florida, Georgia and South Carolina).
Except for my lame state (WA), looks like solid gains for Conservatives...even the RAT press & ACORN/COI can’t SPIN/CORRUPT that!
I,personally,would be thrilled if all 4 seats were to come from Massachusetts.It’s no secret that we,as a state,have the filthiest most amoral Congressional delegation of the 57.The voters of Texas have,in recent years,consistently shown a better grasp of what’s good for me (and this country) than have the people of Massachusetts.
Thanks for posting this. If the GOP does well in 2010 we could be set up for a real redistricting advantage. I espect Ohio, Michigan and Pennsylvania to have strog GOP gains in their respective legislatures.
At first you’d think the losing states being Rat controlled is good, but the bad thing about that is they will just gerrymander the one republican district out so that the only person that loses is the republican.
While the states that add a district since it’s new it’s anyone’s game. Overall it’s better to be gaining seats, but it won’t neccesarily translate to more Republicans in the house. We’ll need to see what the actual make up of each district is and how they plan to gerrymander them.
The music has started again for the Masachusetts congressational delegation playing musical House seats.
Texas - +4 seats.
Dem seats no doubt.
I'm not so sure of that,particularly if amnesty passes.NV,AZ and FL are **full** of wetbacks (can I say that? If I'm banned I guess I'll know that I can't) and I think we all know what that means...for the House and,more importantly,for the Senate.
Hey,that's an easy one to figure out.Given our *breathtakingly* filthy and amoral legislature,taking orders from DNC Headquarters in Havana,will pick the least repugnant of the current Congresscreatures (boy,will *that* be a tough job!) and...BOOM....he/she is out of work.
FYI, if those districts are along the Mexican border then they WILL go Democrat.
I’m not so sure of that,particularly if amnesty passes.NV,AZ and FL are **full** of wetbacks (can I say that?
Well be sure of this, Conservative sentiment runs deep in many states, and states like Oklahoma, I must say, and to some degree Texas will lead the way for others like AZ, FL and NV...I think this is hopeful.
At first youd think the losing states being Rat controlled is good, but the bad thing about that is they will just gerrymander the one republican district out so that the only person that loses is the republican.
While the states that add a district since its new its anyones game. Overall its better to be gaining seats, but it wont neccesarily translate to more Republicans in the house. Well need to see what the actual make up of each district is and how they plan to gerrymander them.
I have not looked recently but how many of the liberal/progressive states have zero Republican Representatives now?
I recall New York has zero Republican Representatives right now, so a reapportionment loss in New York would be a direct Democrat loss.
“Texas - +4 seats.
Dem seats no doubt”
If the GOP can increase their margin in the lege, we can break even and if lucky can gain a seat.
That’s a big ‘IF’ after the last round of gerrymandering that took place with Texas districts.
I hope you are right. I hope we get some more conservative candidates (at this point I don’t care what party the call themselves - as long as they are truly conservative) to set-up in Statewide elections.
Hmm, people move out of socialist Havens for the more Traditional Havens....
If eastern Washington gains the seat, then there’s a better chance it’ll go repub.
Was music to my ears when I heard 4 new seats for Texas!
Then I read more and find out they will be new Hispanic (Democrap) district seats. Oh hell and immigration is up next for these Congress scumbags to lock in the Hispy vote.
What a pile of ****
This adds up to more electoral college votes as well...
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