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Obama Approval Index Month-by-Month (Now at -18)
Rasmussen Reports ^ | January 02nd 2010

Posted on 01/02/2010 9:11:23 PM PST by Steelfish

Obama Approval Index Month-by-Month Saturday, January 02, 2010

When tracking President Obama’s job approval on a daily basis, people sometimes get so caught up in the day-to-day fluctuations that they miss the bigger picture. To look at the longer-term trends, Rasmussen Reports compiles the numbers on a full-month basis, and the results can be seen in the graphics below.

The president’s Approval Index ratings fell three points in December following two-point declines in both October and November. Looking back, the president’s honeymoon ended quickly before his ratings stabilized from March through May. They tumbled in June and July as the health care debate began before stabilizing again over the summer. Public attitudes towards the health care legislation have hardened in recent months, with most voters opposed to the work being done in Congress.

As Congress has drawn closer to achieving the president’s goals on health care, unemployment also has been rising, and Obama’s ratings have reflected the turmoil.

The number who Strongly Disapprove of the president’s performance inched up a point to 41% in December. The number who Strongly Approved fell two more points to 26%. That leads to a Presidential Approval Index rating of -15, a new low for Obama.

Also in December, the president’s total approval dropped two points to 46%. His total disapproval gained a point to 53%. It’s worth noting that the Approval Index ratings have generally proven to be a good leading indicator of the president’s overall approval ratings.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2009polls; bho44; bhochristmas; bhojobapproval

1 posted on 01/02/2010 9:11:26 PM PST by Steelfish
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To: Steelfish

Wasnt’ he at minus 20 already once?


2 posted on 01/02/2010 9:13:40 PM PST by mamelukesabre (Veni, Vidi, Vicki: "I came, I saw, and I'm like, Omigod!")
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To: Steelfish

3 posted on 01/02/2010 9:15:41 PM PST by Uncle Miltie ("Free" Healthcare + Citizenship for Lawbreakers = Democrats Forever! Buenos Dias!)
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To: Uncle Miltie

Nice graphic. Well done!


4 posted on 01/02/2010 9:16:26 PM PST by Steelfish
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To: mamelukesabre

5 posted on 01/02/2010 9:16:40 PM PST by Uncle Miltie ("Free" Healthcare + Citizenship for Lawbreakers = Democrats Forever! Buenos Dias!)
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To: Steelfish
How can it be that good?....

Image and video hosting by TinyPic

6 posted on 01/02/2010 9:18:03 PM PST by Cyber Ninja (His legacy is a stain OnTheDress)
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To: OnTheDress

That is what I was thinking.


7 posted on 01/02/2010 9:26:25 PM PST by WHBates
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To: mamelukesabre

Hopefully the muslim will be there again in the coming week.


8 posted on 01/02/2010 9:36:38 PM PST by Frantzie (TV - sending Americans towards islamic serfdom - Cancel TV service NOW)
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To: mamelukesabre

The -20 was a 3-day average. Perhaps the December -15 is a new low monthly average. I dunno.


9 posted on 01/02/2010 9:42:56 PM PST by FoxInSocks (B. Hussein Obama: Central Planning Czar)
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To: Steelfish

3 more years of this sh!t. Sucks to be us.


10 posted on 01/02/2010 10:06:34 PM PST by TruthHound ("He who does not punish evil commands it to be done." --Leonardo da Vinci)
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To: mamelukesabre; All

“Wasnt’ he at minus 20 already once?”

Indeed he was. I recall that it even went to -21% on one occasion. It is not what happens on any one day that is significant. The important component is the trend, and it is generally downwards (this is a good thing for our side).

I would be interested in what the folks here perceive Obama’s popularity rating/polls from the other groups, besides Rasmussen. As you may have noticed, the White House has brought out the long knives with Mr. Rasmussen. IMHO this is exactly like killing the messenger.

Do most polling organizations find a similar statistical slide in Obama’s ratings? If this happens to be the case, then trying to take out one polling organization is not going to be terribly effective, if the general flow is against the Executive.

Does anyone care to offer their opinion on how the rest of the polling crowd is portraying O’s numbers?


11 posted on 01/02/2010 10:12:41 PM PST by Habibi ("It is vain to do with more what can be done with less." - William of Occam)
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To: Uncle Miltie

Do you know if it’s okay to post Rasmussen charts on a Facebook account? I want to play with some liberals!!!


12 posted on 01/02/2010 10:22:39 PM PST by goodnesswins (Become a Precinct Committee Person/Officer....in the GOP...or do NOT complain.)
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To: Steelfish

Obviously an isolated incident, no trend here ;-)


13 posted on 01/02/2010 10:23:54 PM PST by bigbob
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To: OnTheDress

98% approval amoung people with matching skin color, that’s how.


14 posted on 01/02/2010 10:49:30 PM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied, the economy died)
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To: Steelfish

I’ve heard some people make light of the approval index since it only considers strong feelings of approval/disapproval and not overall approval.

But strong feelings are EXACTLY what counts come election time. In elections, the demoralized tend to lose to the energized.

Mere approval isn’t enough to get people to the polls.

If the index remains strongly negative, you can bet the Democrats lose big in 2010.

The big election is 2012, of course. There are so many Dem Senate seats up for grabs.


15 posted on 01/02/2010 11:42:26 PM PST by GeorgeSaden
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To: Steelfish

Rassumssen polls are RACIST! /rahm emanuel


16 posted on 01/03/2010 4:24:48 AM PST by Oldeconomybuyer (The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money.)
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To: Steelfish
Here is my 60 day moving average version. It only covers through 23 December 2009 but there hasn't been that much polling by Rasmussen since that date so it is still fairly current. Averaging over 60 days really shows the long term trend in the Rasmussen Approval Index and it doesn't look good for Obama.

The 60 day average stands at about -12 while his day to day numbers are in the -14 to -20 range indicating that the downward trend will continue. That would always be indicated if the day to day numbers are more negative than the 60 day average. If he starts polling better than the 60 day average then he will be in an upswing. If you look at the plot carefully you will see that there are periods of pretty constant ratings and periods of falling ratings and virtually no periods of improvement in Obama's rating. I find that somewhat surprising but, of course, a good thing.

...


17 posted on 01/03/2010 5:26:15 AM PST by InterceptPoint
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To: goodnesswins
Do you know if it’s okay to post Rasmussen charts on a Facebook account? I want to play with some liberals!!!

It probably is. If you're worried you can use my plot from post #17. It uses Rasmussen's data but not specifically his plot.

18 posted on 01/03/2010 5:28:34 AM PST by InterceptPoint
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To: Steelfish

Going down by the bow faster than the H.M.S. Titanic


19 posted on 01/03/2010 5:28:51 AM PST by SandRat (Duty, Honor, Country! What else needs said?)
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To: Steelfish
When you look at the three factors driving the numbers, it becomes clear that it will "continue" to "continue." Also the "differential" is important at 15-20% but look at the other numbers. The "gap" Rasmussen reports may never get much over 20 ... but when you look at the Total Approve and see that continuing to tumble ... that's the "real" number. He won on "HOPE" because he encouraged people to project "anything they hoped for" on his "blank screen" ... that will get you elected, but when you see the final image appearing on the screen and it is not what you "hoped" for (be you lib, mod or consv) you are DISAPPOINTED ... and then numbers will go down. Hope and Change is a great strategy for "winning" ... but it is also the the key to losing decisively in the "end game."
The Patriot's Flag - Blank Screen Politics
20 posted on 01/03/2010 5:46:42 AM PST by ThePatriotsFlag (http://www.thepatriotsflag.com - The Patriot's Flag)
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To: Steelfish
By November, 2010 he will be a negative 30%, no question.

If we get hit with a serious terror attack it will increase to over 60%

21 posted on 01/03/2010 8:59:48 AM PST by Jimmy Valentine (DemocRATS - when they speak, they lie; when they are silent, they are stealing the American Dream)
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To: Steelfish

All I can say is: Happy New Year!


22 posted on 01/03/2010 10:08:54 AM PST by fwdude (It is not the liberals who will destroy this country, but the "moderates.")
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To: InterceptPoint

Where do you get the raw data that Rasmussen uses, seeing he uses a 3-day average for this dailies?


23 posted on 01/03/2010 10:13:17 AM PST by fwdude (It is not the liberals who will destroy this country, but the "moderates.")
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To: fwdude
The data I use is HERE. And yes, I am averaging Rasmussen's 3-day average. He does not give out his actual daily figures as far as I know.

You can also get to this page by clicking on the "(see trends)" link on the main Daily Presidential Tracking Poll Page.

24 posted on 01/03/2010 10:29:35 AM PST by InterceptPoint
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