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Regime Uncertainty - Now Maybe People Will Take the Idea Seriously
Liberty and Power at the History News Network ^ | January 4, 2009 | Robert Higgs

Posted on 01/04/2010 6:21:12 PM PST by Captain Kirk

Writing in today’s Wall Street Journal, Gary S. Becker, Steven J. Davis, and Kevin M. Murphy discuss how the government’s multifaceted efforts to “reform” health care, energy and environmental controls, financial regulation, taxation, monetary policy-making, and various other aspects of the politico-economic order have created such great uncertainty that business people are reluctant to invest or to hire new workers, and therefore recovery from the present recession, to the extent that it is occurring at all, is proceeding unusually slowly. As I read this article, I nodded yes … yes … yes … they are talking about regime uncertainty, all right.

I have been promoting this idea publicly since 1997, in articles, songs, dances (without wolves), stand-up comedy, performance art, and blog posts, not to mention my tedious lectures and my boring 2006 book Depression, War, and Cold War. I cannot say that the world has beaten a path to my door as I’ve sought to convince my fellow economists that this phenomenon was important in retarding recovery from the Great Depression and, in all likelihood, in retarding recovery from the present recession (although, to be fair, I must acknowledge that a few of my fellow economists and others have taken note).

Before I could write anything about the WSJ article, however, Brooks Wilson wrote a nice post about it at his blog, which I recommend. Wilson has artfully combined my crisis hypothesis on the growth of government with my regime-uncertainty argument to produce what he calls “the crisis paradox” — “crisis is the best time politically and worst time economically to enact fundamental economic reform.” Indeed. But, of course, that is precisely how things tend to happen, making political entrepreneurship the mortal enemy of economic prosperity.

(Excerpt) Read more at hnn.us ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Philosophy
KEYWORDS: depression; obama; recession

1 posted on 01/04/2010 6:21:14 PM PST by Captain Kirk
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To: Captain Kirk

A more direct and less delicate way of stating the obvious...is that a Fascist State can not afford to support the rival of private enterprise. We are there.


2 posted on 01/04/2010 6:23:02 PM PST by mo
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To: Captain Kirk
I've been talking to a number of people who think the country dodged a bullet. The economy is now recovering -- sure, 2009 was a little rough, but 2010 will be OK. There will be growth, and jobs will come back, and the dollar will be strong, and stocks will go up, and unicorns will crap skittles.

When the economy of 2010 turns ugly (and I have little doubt that it will) I think people will be very confused. And I think Obama will declare an emergency and assert much greater control.

3 posted on 01/04/2010 6:28:06 PM PST by ClearCase_guy (We have the 1st so that we can call on people to rebel. We have 2nd so that they can.)
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To: Captain Kirk
'Regime uncertainty" seems a very good way of summing up both the GWB and Osamabama administrations.

The difference is that the former ("cowboy") response was to muddle ahead and hope that history looked nicely on the effort (Truman) while the latter ("scholarly") shows signs only of tightening its grip in order to quell the uncertainty (Hitler or Mugabe).

It will be interesting to see just how much uncertainty will be hammered into the careers of 60% of congress during the Christmas hiatus - might make for a real interesting 2010.

4 posted on 01/04/2010 6:48:26 PM PST by norton
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To: ClearCase_guy

Apparently, there are a lot of delusional morons out there. Now, one sees how Hitler was able to build his military machine for years in front of those that he later put on boxcars. And, in the end, those that were still alive were killing each other.


5 posted on 01/04/2010 6:48:54 PM PST by ExTexasRedhead (Clean the RAT/RINO Sewer in 2010 and 2012)
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To: ExTexasRedhead

Yes. I am surprised and disappointed that people have not yet stared to decorate lamp posts with judges and politicians. It’s past time. We need open revolt in this country.


6 posted on 01/04/2010 6:50:45 PM PST by ClearCase_guy (We have the 1st so that we can call on people to rebel. We have 2nd so that they can.)
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To: Captain Kirk
the government’s multifaceted efforts to “reform” health care, energy and environmental controls, financial regulation, taxation, monetary policy-making, and various other aspects of the politico-economic order have created such great uncertainty that business people are reluctant to invest or to hire new workers,

Gee, I don't need a PhD in economics to understand this. I would think the business environment in 2010 is going to be more dismal than ever now that everyone understands the DESTROYER OF AMERICA is not going to be governing from a 'Centrist Position'. Expect more unemployment as business stagnates and more jobs are offshored due to the uncertainty.
7 posted on 01/04/2010 6:50:58 PM PST by Cheerio (Barack Hussein 0bama=The Complete Destruction of American Capitalism)
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To: ClearCase_guy

Enjoy this display of arrogance, in-your-face disrespect from a political hack that must be voted out.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IsGR83Imoto


8 posted on 01/04/2010 6:52:11 PM PST by ExTexasRedhead (Clean the RAT/RINO Sewer in 2010 and 2012)
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To: ClearCase_guy

That sounds right, and the greater control may be martial law at about election time so Obama can keep his promises to Congress made in secret sessions (which seemed to us political suicide on their part).


9 posted on 01/04/2010 6:59:03 PM PST by charlie72
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To: Captain Kirk
...created such great uncertainty that business people are reluctant to invest or to hire new workers, and therefore recovery...

The same dynamics occurred throughout the Depression and FDR's reaction was the same, i.e., I don't care, I am going to redo this economy anyway.

One of FDR's speechwriters, Raymond Moley, came to the conclusion that his boss was maybe a bit crazy but for sure, he was dangerous to this country. And he was right.

History does often repeat itself.

10 posted on 01/04/2010 7:05:26 PM PST by OldPossum
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