Skip to comments.Poll shows Brown/Coakley race tightening
Posted on 01/05/2010 5:52:54 AM PST by GQuagmire
Click on link go to video with Rassmussen
(Excerpt) Read more at myfoxboston.com ...
Brown v. Coakley ping
Too far behind, especially for Mass
Where is the link to the Poll?
Don’t get your hopes up. I don’t see a Pub winning the state.
With polls showing 50-41, Coakley will win 55-38 thanks to Acorn and the Dem machine.
Thanks. I posted it over at Hillbuzz.
We’ve got two weeks.
On air interview with Scott Rassmussen. Actual poll to be released later today.
THE WEEKLY STANDARD has also learned that an earlier poll, done in mid-December by another firm for another client, had similar results in the ballot test—but that the poll also found that the race tightened significantly, down to a low single digits margin for Coakley, among those judged most likely to vote. Furthermore, a careful analysis by Sean Trende shows, that if one assumes a swing against the Democrats like that in New Jersey and Virginia two months ago, the race could become very close.
The Private Sector is outnumbered here in MA. It seems that everyone has a hack job, is an SEIU member, or on Welfare.
We should treat every election now as the last one we will ever have.
I wouldn’t be surprised if the vote totals are already loaded into the precinct machines and the press releases written.
Those numbers are pretty stunning. Too bad Brown doesn’t have more time and money. Plus I suppose this “independent” will screw things up if the race were to get really close. Still, if the Dem wins by only something like 55-45 it will be stunning. They will scream that their mandate to continue far left policies is strong but in reality this will be a sign to them that they are weak and in less “blue” states they are going to be in real trouble later this year.
Not absolutely necessarily at all.
Coakley is as good as the Teddy K. incumbent, and 50% is the key mark for whether incumbents are in trouble. Her voters aren’t as motivated as his, and there’s still two weeks left.
“We should treat every election now as the last one we will ever have. “
You have the right idea. Fight, fight... And sending $20 to Brown would help to, after of course doing same or better to Jim Robinson here.
I hear it's a lot closer than that amongst those likely to actually vote.
You are right!!! Turnout in a low turnout special election means everything. Scott Brown can win this election if you good folks in MA turn out in huge numbers and support Scott Brown with your vote, checkbook and cash donations. We out-staters will do our part also!!! Go Scott Brown!!! The Lord has chosen you to be a leader back to freedom, individual opportunity and a future America that will benefit all citizens and our children to come!!!
Your last statement is absolutely spot on!!!
Call the RNC, they should on this election like white on rice. I am so disgusted with them right now. btw, I sent Brown a donation.
Someday the wealth will dry up or move out and the electorate will be up the creek.
I have the same faith in the CT electorate. The AARP is running ads for Dodd here and the numbskull elderly will fall for it once again.
No place is safe in this country anymore from these thieves. Unless we are willing to literally stand in front of them to stop them it will not change.
Perhaps, just perhaps, if Barbra Streisand gives a free, all-day concert in Provincetown, while at the same time they hold a Che Guevara Appreciation Day with free vegan food on Election Day, and a blizzard hits, then Brown might win.
We need to chase the damned libertarian from the race... the RATS are obviously frightful, because they are bankrolling this guy.
If Romney wants this to be the miracle that he is peddling, then let his PAC throw some significant money to Brown — Romney should put his money where his mouth is.
The NRSC should go in via television in the final week if the race looks like a decent shot - with health care being the key issue. Vote for Brown to stop the health care monstrosity. Target seniors.
Let’s not wait until his “money bomb” a week from now. Remember how the libs did it with EMILY’s list:
What Brown has NOW, he can spend NOW.
Now according to their own theory, if you say nice things to them and about them they will be your friends. Now be nice to them and expect to win the election.
Besides, even if the RNC and the NRSC go in and lose, what is the downside, particularly if they make the race close?
RATS in more conservative states will be frightened, and if Coakley wins handily, we are just as likely to get this health care monstrosity anyway.
There are other RATS in MA that won’t want Coakley to win, b/c they’d like a shot at the Senate seat when incumbent Brown would have to face the voters in 2012 with Obama at the top of the ticket.
I see little, if any, downside to investing in this race.
I’m not dissuaded by 50-41. This is one sample, and by all accounts it’s trending toward Brown, meaning that it will tighten. The debate is still in front of us, and Brown just might clobber her. Turnout will be low. She’s only polling at 50%, which is ominous. More crapola is hitting the fan every day — Detroit bomber, Newark lockdown, ... Etc.
This is a longshot, and I would obviously be happier if the spread were narrower. But I await more polls, and more events. I still put Brown’s odds as very good, perhaps even 50%.
Oh is that the way it works? The liberals will win by 15 points and they can have their May Day in January. Now I get why Yankee fans hate the Sox so much. The US has about 40 states with a majority of grown ups, the other 10 like Mass, RI, Ca, Oregon are populated by addled mental defectives. I am starting the think the South should have won the war, in fact conquered the North, we would be better off today. The slavery thing would have taken care of itself due to simple economics.
>> Turnout in a low turnout special election means everything <<
Pray for a record-setting blizzard on January 18-19 in Boston, Newton and Cambridge — with only light flurries in the far suburbs, small towns and rural areas!
“The Private Sector is outnumbered here in MA. It seems that everyone has a hack job, is an SEIU member, or on Welfare.”
That is the reality in heavily blue states where government is the primary employer and provider.
>> Someday the wealth will dry up or move out <<
A lot of of the wealth already has left.
Why do you think Vermont has become so ultra-left in recent years? A big part of the reason is that great numbers of socialist-leaning “trust fund babies” have moved from the Peoples Republic of Massachusetts to the Green Mountain State in order to have lower taxes.
(Vermont has no state tax on income from trusts.)
I love it!!!!!! Never give up, never give in. :-)
Brown is doing very well on the radio debate, imo. Coakley sounds like an uptight “Ms.”
I agree that the negativity on FR is astounding. Where is the American spirit?
I think this can happen... I sent $300 to Brown. If anyone can pull this off, I believe he can. His wife (I think) is a popular newscaster and well-liked. His favorables are better than Coakley and the trend is his friend.
We just can NOT give up (even tho the GOP has). I predict a 1 - 2 pt win for Brown. It will be an historical stunner and oh, the irony.
You're just starting? You must have gone to school in the north and thought the war was about freeing the slaves.
They thought it couldn’t happen in the New Jersey governor’s race, too. But it did.
Coakley is a POS! Massachusetts is a liberal POS!
Even if what you say is true, I agree with AU72 in #12 above...we need to fight each election tooth and nail to the very end..
9 points with 14 days left? I’d like to see a miracle happen up on Mass, but its blindingly apparent that state is going to fall into the ocean on failed liberal policies before it will likely change course.
Brown can win. He is getting the independent vote by a huge margin and independents if I’m not mistaken represent the biggest voting block in Massachussetts. The key is getting them to the polls.
“Both candidates get better than 70% of the vote from members of their respective parties, but Brown leads 65% to 21% among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties. In Massachusetts, however, Democrats vastly outnumber Republicans and it is very difficult for the GOP to compete except in special circumstances. Eight percent (8%) of Democrats remain undecided while just 3% of Republicans are in that category. “
Legacy wealth? You mean the legacy wealth that allows the wealthy to pay for accountants and attorneys that help them create tax shelters so their “hard earned” money doesn’t wind up in the state coffers?
Whatever you say, friend.
Those numbers are pretty stunning. Too bad Brown doesnt have more time and money. Plus I suppose this independent will screw things up if the race were to get really close. Still, if the Dem wins by only something like 55-45 it will be stunning. They will scream that their mandate to continue far left policies is strong but in reality this will be a sign to them that they are weak and in less blue states they are going to be in real trouble later this year.
And what if it’s closer? And what if Brown wins? As to more time and money, this may be shaping up like NY23...we can only hope for a last minute SHOCKER...Keep your eyes open to the fraud folks...votes will come out of the trunks for sure on this one...but the closer it is, the BETTER for us...as you say above TNCMAXQ.
Brown can win he is winning Independents and they represent a bigger voting block than both Democrats and Republicans. The key is getting them to vote. All the naysayers here should be ashamed. This can be changed. Have faith, fight the fight and then win or lose. Giving up before you’ve lost is stupid. These special elections are unique. GOTV can close the gap. Any of us who do not have obligations should head to MA. That’s how you win a race.
Democrats vastly outnumber Republicans and
A FReeper who’d relocated to South Carolina from MA told me a few weeks ago that the Conservatives have left MA in droves - but the 10s of Thousands...that would make any close race or win by Brown even MORE impressive. Especially with all the boo hoo for Teddy crap the libs are thowing out there for commie care.
Wait... 7% are undecided.. which I can’t believe anyone who’s seriously considering the entrenched machine hasn’t decided already... so this may be more of a 5 point race, at this point.
Still a hell of a hill to climb in 14 days, but a flood of cash and marketing may be able to at least make it possible.
Don’t bet on the RNC doing anything, the folks that run that place are as inept as Fauxbama.
All the naysayers here should be ashamed. This can be changed. Have faith, fight the fight and then win or lose. Giving up before youve lost is stupid. These special elections are unique. GOTV can close the gap. Any of us who do not have obligations should head to MA. Thats how you win a race.
Hear, hear! Let’s roll.
I told my 30 + daughter to round up all of her friends and take them with her, to town hall, to vote. They’re all busy mommies and probably would just skip it. This election is just too important.
We have to hope that the Dems. think Coakley has it in the bag and won’t be motivated.
Still a hell of a hill to climb in 14 days, but a flood of cash and marketing may be able to at least make it possible.
Well, that’s what’s happening...Brown’s getting money from all over. Probably Coakley is too to some degree...but the underdog story is Brown, and its also being pitched in Conservative (real) media. The RAT press won’t touch it with a 39 and 1/2 foot pole, of course. Shaping up similarly to NY23, only we’re hoping for a different result! Hoffman looks to be heading back into that race for November, btw, from his rhetoric recently:
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